If you really think that anyone is going to believe that you hit anywhere near 60% with this system, you are dreaming. You are down money wise for the season now, even though it is a small amount. The more you keep at 50%, the more you will lose. It is called Vig.
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Comment -
I'm familiar with juice and I'm not asking anyone to believe anything, I'm posting every play and following up. Good, bad and ugly.
If the ugly (week 6) is removed, the percentage sits at 59.52. I'm not saying to simply discount week 6 but I suppose it shows there is something to it. I am checking the week 7 inputs and making sure that nothing was misappropriated but I doubt I find anything.
With that being said, the sides are hitting:
Week 4 -- 4-2
Week 5 -- 5-1
Week 6 -- 2-6-1
Week 7 -- 5-2
16-11-1 = 59.25%
It's not 80% but it is outrunning the vig. Remove week 6 and the winning percentage for sides is 73.68%.
I'm not removing week 6, merely pointing it out. I will continue to post sides and totals for all to critique.Comment -
Week 8 Results:
Sides
L - MIA +9
W - TB +7.5
W - CIN PK
L - CAR -6.5
Totals
L- MIA/NE - OVER 50.5
L - DET/KC - UNDER 46
W - TB/ATL - UNDER 49.5
L - SF/STL - OVER 39
L - CIN/PIT - OVER 48
W - SEA/DAL - UNDER 41
W - IND/CAR - OVER 46
Week 8: 5-6-0 (45.5%)
Season to Date: 32-32-3 (50%)Comment -
Week 9 Picks:
Sides
CAR+3
NO -7.5
JAC +2.5
OAK +4.5
TB +3
CHI +4
Totals
GB/CAR - OVER 47.5
WSH/NE - OVER 51.5
TEN/NO - UNDER 48
JAC/NYJ - OVER 41
NYG/TB - OVER 48
ATL/SF - UNDER 45
DEN/IND - UNDER 45
PHI/DAL - UNDER 44.5
Good luck this week!Comment -
Update - Week 9 Picks:
Sides
W - CAR+3
L - NO -7.5
L - JAC +2.5
W - OAK +4.5
Pending - TB +3
Pending - CHI +4
Totals
W - GB/CAR - OVER 47.5
L - WSH/NE - OVER 51.5
L - TEN/NO - UNDER 48
W - JAC/NYJ - OVER 41
Pending - NYG/TB - OVER 48
Pending - ATL/SF - UNDER 45
Pending - DEN/IND - UNDER 45
Pending - PHI/DAL - UNDER 44.5
Good luck this week!Comment -
Week 9 Results
Sides
W - CAR+3
L - NO -7.5
L - JAC +2.5
W - OAK +4.5
L - TB +3
W - CHI +4
Totals
W - GB/CAR - OVER 47.5
L - WSH/NE - OVER 51.5
L - TEN/NO - UNDER 48
W - JAC/NYJ - OVER 41
W - NYG/TB - OVER 48
W - ATL/SF - UNDER 45
L - DEN/IND - UNDER 45
L - PHI/DAL - UNDER 44.5
Overall: 7-7-0 (50.0%)
Sides: 3-3-0 (50.0%)
Totals: 4-4-0(50.0%)Comment -
Week 10 Picks:
Sides
BUF +3
JAC +6
DET +13
MIN +3
KC +7
Totals
BUF/NYJ - OVER 42
CLE/PIT - UNDER 41.5
MIA/PHI - UNDER 50
NO/WSH - OVER 50
DET/GB - OVER 48.5
MIN/OAK - OVER 44
NE/NYG - OVER 54
ARI/SEA -UNDER 45
HOU/CIN - OVER 47
Good Luck this week!Comment -
Week 10 Update:
Sides
W - BUF +3
W - JAC +6
W - DET +13
W - MIN +3
W - KC +7
Totals
L - BUF/NYJ - OVER 42
W - CLE/PIT - UNDER 41.5
W - MIA/PHI - UNDER 50
W - NO/WSH - OVER 50
L - DET/GB - OVER 48.5
P - MIN/OAK - OVER 44
L - NE/NYG - OVER 54
L - ARI/SEA -UNDER 45
Pending - HOU/CIN - OVER 47
Week 10 Overall: 8-4-1 (66.7%)
Sides: 5-0-0 (100.0%)
Totals: 3-4-1 (1 Pending) (42.8%)Comment -
Week 10 Results:
Sides
W - BUF +3
W - JAC +6
W - DET +13
W - MIN +3
W - KC +7
Totals
L - BUF/NYJ - OVER 42
W - CLE/PIT - UNDER 41.5
W - MIA/PHI - UNDER 50
W - NO/WSH - OVER 50
L - DET/GB - OVER 48.5
P - MIN/OAK - OVER 44
L - NE/NYG - OVER 54
L - ARI/SEA -UNDER 45
L - HOU/CIN - OVER 47
Week 10 Overall: 8-5-1 (61.5%)
Sides: 5-0-0 (100.0%)
Totals: 3-5-1 (37.5%)Comment -
Nice sides! Hit em all
Comment -
Week 11 Picks:
Sides
DAL +1
IND +6
KC -3 (Pound it)
MIN PK
BUF +8.5
Totals
WSH/CAR - OVER 45
DAL/MIA - UNDER 47.5
TB/PHI - UNDER 45
IND/ATL - UNDER 47.5
KC/SD - OVER 44.5
GB/MIN - OVER 44.5
SF/SEA - UNDER 40
CIN/ARI - UNDER 49
Good luck this week!Comment -
Week 11 Update:
Sides
W - DAL +1
W - IND +6
W - KC -3 (Pound it)
L - MIN PK
W - BUF +8.5
Totals
W - WSH/CAR - OVER 45
W - DAL/MIA - UNDER 47.5
L - TB/PHI - UNDER 45
W - IND/ATL - UNDER 47.5
L - KC/SD - OVER 44.5
L - GB/MIN - OVER 44.5
L - SF/SEA - UNDER 40
L - CIN/ARI - UNDER 49Comment -
Status through 11 weeks:
Sides: 30-18-1 (62.5%)
Totals: 25-30-3 (45.5%)
Combined: 55-48-4 (53.4%)
Obviously, the totals are hurting me badly. I have very little faith remaining in the totals picks but will continue to post them for posterity.
I have made no adjustments to the system and will analyze all of the data as personal time allows to determine if the totals system can be salvaged or if it should be scrapped entirely. Right now, it is looking like the latter though I have seen success with it the past couple of years.Comment -
Don't bet against my Packers Larry
But overall, nice job
Comment -
Week 12 Picks:
Sides
CAR +2
CHI +9
KC -6.5
HOU -3
ARI -10
Totals
PHI/DET - Under 45.5
MIA/NYJ - Over 42.5
BUF/KC - Over 41.5
NYG/WSH - Over 46.5
MIN/ATL - Under 46
PIT/SEA - Under 46
Good luck this week!!Comment -
Yes. I forgot Baltimore in the original picks and added the pick above. The system has them winning straight up. CAR was also called for as a straight up winner (by two scores).
The only things that gives me trepidation are Flacco and Johnny Clipboard not playing.
The next strongest was ARI but 10 is a lot to lay.Comment -
Hello,
I want to fllow tour bet but I dont understand how to play ... ( I am new NFL fan ) could you explain more ?Comment -
I like Ravens as well Bol buddyComment -
Week 12 Update:
Sides
W - CAR +2
W - CHI +9
W - KC -6.5
W - HOU -3
Pending - ARI -10
Pending - BAL +3
Totals
L - PHI/DET - Under 45.5
W - MIA/NYJ - Over 42.5
W - BUF/KC - Over 41.5
L - NYG/WSH - Over 46.5
W - MIN/ATL - Under 46
Pending - PIT/SEA - Under 46Comment -
Any lean on the late game?Comment -
Week 12 Update
Sides: 5-1-0 (83.3%)
Totals: 3-3-0 (50.0%)
Overall: 8-4-0 (66.7%)
Season Update
Sides: 35-19-1 (64.8%)
Totals: 28-33-4 (45.9%)
Overall: 63-52-4 (54.8%)Comment -
Nice job Larry, sides are hitting great. I dont know the system but I wonder if there is a tweak that could be tested for the totalsComment -
Good gameComment -
Week 13 Picks:
Sides
DET +3
BAL +4
HOU +3
ARI -6
KC -2.5
CAR -7 -- For informational purposes only. This pick was returned as the only 3 unit play so far this season.
IND +7.5
Totals
GB/DET -- UNDER 47.5
HOU/BUF -- UNDER 41.5
SEA/MIN -- OVER 42
ATL/TB -- UNDER 46
NYJ/NYG -- OVER 45
CAR/NO -- OVER 49.5
Don't trust the totals.
Good luck this week!Comment -
Det+3 date ?Comment
