TK & Stackin 2014 NFL Thread

[Tommy Karate]

i cannot believe the pubic is split on this sea game; i feel like going bigger.

stackin - who is lang on? wasnt he and landers on Denver?

[meader99]

i cannot believe the pubic is split on this sea game; i feel like going bigger.

stackin - who is lang on? wasnt he and landers on Denver?

We will find out tomorrow who Lang is on. Would think it can only be Seattle or pats.

[Trivial]

Hi All,

I think both OVERs have a very decent shot this week. At first glance, I was going to take over Indy and UNDER GB, but I think both NFC teams can light up the board if we get into a shootout. I know people have written off GB in this, but I think they still score enough to catch the OVER.

Going to take OVER 46 NFC and OVER 53.5 AFC. Also the lines are telling me this is the right play (the way I read them anyhow).

Also - Seattle is now -8.5 at some sportsbooks. If the line gets to 10 (which would be insane), I definitely would give some considerable thought of playing a middle on the NFC game. I definitely think Seattle wins this, but I always worry like TK that this line is 50/50 split and that worries me.

Good luck.

- Trivial

[RavensFan2k3]

Green Bay +7.5, 6 units
New England -6.5, 9 units

2 team 7 pt teaser, GB +14.5, NE +.5 --- Risk 6.5 to win 5

Green Bay to win by 1-6 points, 1 unit @ +500

---
27-28 straights
4-11 teasers
1-1 parlays
4-4-1 2H
0-1 1H

-72.2 units

This is what I like aswell. Packers up to 9.5 now, makes it much more appealing. Tommy seems to strongly disagree tho

[GT21Megatron]

Green Bay +7.5, 6 units
New England -6.5, 9 units

2 team 7 pt teaser, GB +14.5, NE +.5 --- Risk 6.5 to win 5

Green Bay to win by 1-6 points, 1 unit @ +500

---
27-28 straights
4-11 teasers
1-1 parlays
4-4-1 2H
0-1 1H

-72.2 units

You and Tommy playing opposites in here or what?

[GT21Megatron]

i cannot believe the pubic is split on this sea game; i feel like going bigger.

stackin - who is lang on? wasnt he and landers on Denver?

Its hard to pass up two scores with Rodgers but seattle is a monster at home....Why Colts TK? more of thinking Luck will keep then close? I think Pats when by 10+

[meader99]

i cannot believe the pubic is split on this sea game; i feel like going bigger.

stackin - who is lang on? wasnt he and landers on Denver?

Loser Lang is on the pats.

[Trivial]

Hi All,

I think both OVERs have a very decent shot this week. At first glance, I was going to take over Indy and UNDER GB, but I think both NFC teams can light up the board if we get into a shootout. I know people have written off GB in this, but I think they still score enough to catch the OVER.

Going to take OVER 46 NFC and OVER 53.5 AFC. Also the lines are telling me this is the right play (the way I read them anyhow).

Also - Seattle is now -8.5 at some sportsbooks. If the line gets to 10 (which would be insane), I definitely would give some considerable thought of playing a middle on the NFC game. I definitely think Seattle wins this, but I always worry like TK that this line is 50/50 split and that worries me.

Good luck.

- Trivial

Boy was I wrong.

[RavensFan2k3]

Loser Lang is on the pats.

penetrate

[Tommy Karate]

Its hard to pass up two scores with Rodgers but seattle is a monster at home....Why Colts TK? more of thinking Luck will keep then close? I think Pats when by 10+

im not going to go 5u; will see how the early game goes first - still like the colts but not as much as i thought.
just feel like luck is a championship QB, and this Pats defense is good but far from great. yes they have a great secondary, but i see herron and fleener having big games; watch out for moncrief today.
see something like 30-27 Pats

[Tommy Karate]

penetrate

check that; maybe i will go 5u...haha

[Tommy Karate]

Boy was I wrong.

think we also should see high scoring games today; going to be rainy in both games i believe but nothing heavy

[Tommy Karate]

i saw a stat that rodgers is like 0-5 vs top 5 defenses the last few seasons.
problem is, thats straight up.....

[RavensFan2k3]

check that; maybe i will go 5u...haha

Haha

Im more interested in why you're 10u confident in Seattle?

[bucket2233]

TK, I don't want to talk you out of SEA because I suck at betting, but it's something to consider:

During this period of "dominance" by the Seahawks where they've won 7 straight games, the QBs they have faced are:

Shaun Hill
Drew Stanton
Ryan Lindley
Colin Kaepernick x 2
Mark Sanchez
and then last week when they were out-gained by Cam Newton's Carolina Panthers in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated.

I don't know if that means anything, but I think it's at least worth considering. Personally, I think GB wins this game that goes down to the wire and it goes over the total, but again, I suck so take it for what it's worth.

[Trivial]

think we also should see high scoring games today; going to be rainy in both games i believe but nothing heavy

Thanks. I think people put too much on the rain and have lowered the number a lot.

[Tommy Karate]

Haha

Im more interested in why you're 10u confident in Seattle?

well, first of all i said before the playoffs started that my plan was to just pound sea all the way through. they did it for me last week, and i see no reason why i would back off them this week. they are rolling and obviously have the best defense in the world. rodgers is hurt, but even a healthy rodgers would have trouble in sea. they cant even lean on lacy, as hes been going backwards recently and sea's defense is just as stout vs the run. GB is horrible against dual threat QB's, and i expect a big offensive performance for both lynch and wilson. throw in the fact that the public is 50/50, and i like this even more. i really thought sea would see 60-70% of the bets; the discount double check commercials have had their affect i guess. do i see a blowout? not at all - late pull away by sea 31-17

[Tommy Karate]

TK, I don't want to talk you out of SEA because I suck at betting, but it's something to consider:

During this period of "dominance" by the Seahawks where they've won 7 straight games, the QBs they have faced are:

Shaun Hill
Drew Stanton
Ryan Lindley
Colin Kaepernick x 2
Mark Sanchez
and then last week when they were out-gained by Cam Newton's Carolina Panthers in a game that was much closer than the final score indicated.

I don't know if that means anything, but I think it's at least worth considering. Personally, I think GB wins this game that goes down to the wire and it goes over the total, but again, I suck so take it for what it's worth.

excellent post and info; i really dont think sea's defense is a fluke, but looking at something like this definitely has its merits.
cant overlook the fact that GB is horrible as an underdog; this year 0-3 and 2-10 the last 3 years. playing at home today i may have backed the pack, but not in rainy sea...

[Tommy Karate]

here comes the public; 55% on GB per Sports Insights

[Tommy Karate]

these rob lowe commercials are hilarious

[bucket2233]

TK you are right that Sea D isn't a fluke, I just don't know if they are as dominant as they were last year. Still best in the league though. Ultimately, you will probably be right, but I couldn't resist buying up to +10 -135 with Aaron Rodgers. Good luck dude.

[RavensFan2k3]

TK you are right that Sea D isn't a fluke, I just don't know if they are as dominant as they were last year. Still best in the league though. Ultimately, you will probably be right, but I couldn't resist buying up to +10 -135 with Aaron Rodgers. Good luck dude.

I think its no debating they arent as dominant as last year, but they're still best in the league

[Tommy Karate]

interesting start; im very lucky.....obviously

[StackinGreen]

Looking good. I have GB ML parlay with NE -6.5, Lang'ed me there, jeez

What if GB wins but not by 1-6, haha

[Tommy Karate]

Sunday 1.18

(10u) Seahawks -6.5/-140
(3u) Colts (NBY)

booked colts +7.5/-120

(4u) Over Colts 50.5/-130

[Tommy Karate]

why is wilson not running? is he the hurt qb? this is crazy...

[GIVEMETHEMONEY]

Partly what has hurt Seattle was a key offensive lineman being out.

Plus the GB defense has contained Wilson.

[Tommy Karate]

pick 6 ONE TIME

[Tommy Karate]

if sea scores an TD in OT, do they have to kick the pat? i assume no

[RavensFan2k3]

pick 6 ONE TIME

Lets go!

[Tommy Karate]

if sea scores an TD in OT, do they have to kick the pat? i assume no

anyone??

[RavensFan2k3]

anyone??

No they dont

[Trivial]

if sea scores an TD in OT, do they have to kick the pat? i assume no

They are not allowed to even if they wanted to.

[Trivial]

Line opened up at Seattle -2
Now is a Pk for superbowl

Early money is on NE

Fcuk - there is no team in any sport I hate more than NE.

[meader99]

Line opened up at Seattle -2
Now is a Pk for superbowl

Early money is on NE

Fcuk - there is no team in any sport I hate more than NE.

Seattle will win.