Advanced System Strategies NFL/CFB

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva Plays (Week 11) NFL
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +1
220/200

[ShivaBowl]

S/B Teaser (Week 11) NFL

Philadelphia Eagles +10½ (+3½) LOSS
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 (+1) WIN
130/100 LOSS

Denver Broncos -½ (-7½) WIN
Philadelphia Eagles +10½ (+3½) LOSS
130/100 LOSS

Denver Broncos -½ (-7½) WIN
Tampa Bay Buccaneers +8 (+1) WIN
130/100 WIN

[ShivaBowl]

A/I Week 11

Based on early lines.
1.5 Units.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Carolina Panthers
Game Total OVER 47 -123
No Play If TB PK or > -1

Cleveland Browns v Dallas Cowboys
Game Total OVER 42 -130
No Play If CLE < + 7

Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers
Game Total OVER 40 -117
No Play if PIT < +3

Complimentary Selection from ST for 11/18/2012

Take Jacksonville over Houston NO PLAY if JAC < +15

[franklee168]

Shiva....Is over on pitt still a play?

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva....Is over on pitt still a play?

You're my best employee franklee168,
Yes we are all in at 40. If you were late, you'll have to buy it down now.
good luck
Thank You!

[ShivaBowl]

I'll be checking the second half line to see if I get the hell out of this Over play.
If I have one, I'll post it.

[ShivaBowl]

At 19 take a shot on the Over in the second-half that's what I would do it.
110/100

[ShivaBowl]

A/I Week 11

Based on early lines.
1.5 Units.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers v Carolina Panthers
Game Total OVER 47 -123 WIN
No Play If TB PK or > -1

Cleveland Browns v Dallas Cowboys
Game Total OVER 42 -130 WIN
No Play If CLE < + 7

Baltimore Ravens v Pittsburgh Steelers
Game Total OVER 40 -117 LOSS
No Play if PIT < +3

Complimentary Selection from ST for 11/18/2012
Take Jacksonville over Houston NO PLAY if JAC < +15 WIN

At 19 take a shot on the Over in the second-half.
110/100 LOSS

xxx

[ShivaBowl]

A/I Week 11
1 Unit

NFL: Nov 19 8:30 PM
Chicago Bears v San Francisco 49ers
Game Total OVER 34 -130

[ShivaBowl]

S/B Teaser
NFL: Nov 19 8:30 PM
Chicago Bears v San Francisco 49ers

Chicago Bears +12½ (+5½)
Game Total OVER 29 (35)
195/150

FYI: I got my teaser im with Chicago at plus 5 1/2 When the line drop on the Smith news to -3 I backed it up with a play on San Fran +4 and over 29
195/150
Hoping to catch a middle play.

[ShivaBowl]

NFL: Nov 22 4:15 PM ET
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys –3 -130
260/200

[ShivaBowl]

Hey Tommygunn, I’m going to take a few days off….
I have to find the time, to get the year to date records, back up to date
The last year to date update, was on post-#98
BOL

[ShivaBowl]

FYI Tommygunn,
I received an email from HoulihansTX: About his college basketball thread.
I'm going to tail TX: He's good when it comes to college sports.(18-9-1) +8.7Units
BOL.
LINK: http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-baske...ing-picks.html

[ShivaBowl]

I see that the line is dropping on our Over tonight and I fully understand why the quarterback situation plus these Monday night and Thursday night games have just been Horrendous As far as scoring goes.

I believe that the pendulum has swung too far on playing the under.
The worm will turn because it's just not that easy.

Additional - 130 to win 100
Over the total of 33
good luck

[ShivaBowl]

NFL - Steelers QB Byron Leftwich fractured 2 ribs in loss to Ravens, QB Charlie Batch likely to start Sunday
And this guy played all 60 minutes
And the coaches haven't been doing us any favors at all you look at Buffalo game last week and I just get sick to my stomach at should've been over by halftime

[Tommygunn]

I see that the lime is dropping on our Over tonight and I fully understand why the quarterback situation plus these Monday night and Thursday night games have just been Horrendous As far as scoring goes.

I believe that the pendulum has swung too far on playing the under.
The worm will turn because it's just not that easy.

Additional - 130 to win 100
Over the total of 33
good luck

Thanks Shiva, rolling with 2 units -130 over 33

[franklee168]

Shiva...my lines at 35

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva...my lines at 35

Yeah, it looks like some late money, came in on the over. sorry bro

[ShivaBowl]

Shiva...my lines at 35

franklee168
Did you get it in?

[franklee168]

I got in! Thanks!

[ShivaBowl]

A/I Week 11
2 Units

NFL: Nov 19 8:30 PM
Chicago Bears v San Francisco 49ers
Game Total OVER 34 -130

I got in! Thanks!

Excellent I'm glad to see that the FormulaWiz filter worked out for some of us tonight. It's a damn shame he's not around anymore he was a smart cookie.
Let's be honest he was a pain in my ass, but at least he brought something to the table.

[ShivaBowl]

NFL: Nov 22 4:15 PM ET
Washington Redskins @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas Cowboys –3 -130
260/200

I'm off the Dallas Play.
Washington Redskins v Dallas Cowboys
Washington Redskins +3 +105
To Win 260

[ShivaBowl]

Points Awarded:
CypherNautz gave ShivaBowl 1 SBR Point(s) for this post.
tailin junkie gave ShivaBowl 2 SBR Point(s) for this post.

Thanks guys

[chinoloco]

Nice call on the over Shiva.

[ShivaBowl]

Nice call on the over Shiva.

Thanks Loco,
It was an excellent day yesterday, HoulihansTX: is killing college basketball and Tommygunn is destroying the NBA right now.
Take care buddy

[ShivaBowl]

Tracking filter:
Play under when AI is on a dog and it is a pass at –15.
Got destroyed last Saturday, just about all of them went over the total.
But I'm going to stay with it, because I think it had something to do with the SEC playing a ton of Patsies.
Something I have made note of and it’s a fairly new filter,
so it's still a work in progress.

A/I Under Play
Nov 20 7:00 PM ET
Akron v Toledo
Game Total UNDER 64½ -123
123/100

No Play, if a majority of casinos are at, Akron < +18
Akron must be at > +18
15 - 20 minutes prior to game start.

[franklee168]

It's at +18 1/2 right now.

[Tommygunn]

It's at +18 1/2 right now.

Looks like its trending toward +19

[chinoloco]

Thanks Loco,
It was an excellent day yesterday, HoulihansTX: is killing college basketball and Tommygunn is destroying the NBA right now.
Take care buddy

Thanks Shiva, I will check out TX and Tommy thread.

[franklee168]

Looks like its trending toward +19

17.5 and 62.5 right now

[ShivaBowl]

Tonights play dropped out

[CypherNautz]

Got the over/under at 63 from my local books. Looking good so far.

[ShivaBowl]

Guys, this is the scenario when a under play drops out and the line moves in the opposite direction.


At time of post the play was on the under 64 1/2 -123
I wagered on it, when I posted it.

Now do to the fact that the play dropped out and there was line movement.

I now wagered on the over of 61 -135
Now I have a great opportunity of catching a middle and my downside is only around $30 and my upside could be +200 on the night.

If anyone is having any trouble understanding what I'm trying to do here, please let me know, I'm here to help.
take care

Also, you could have done the same thing even if the play, did not dropout.Okay?

[ShivaBowl]

Tracking filter:
Play under when AI is on a dog and it is a pass at –15.
Got destroyed last Saturday, just about all of them went over the total.
But I'm going to stay with it, because I think it had something to do with the SEC playing a ton of Patsies.
Something I have made note of and it’s a fairly new filter,
so it's still a work in progress.

A/I Under Play
Nov 20 7:00 PM ET
Akron v Toledo
Game Total UNDER 64½ -123
123/100

No Play, if a majority of casinos are at, Akron < +18
Akron must be at > +18
15 - 20 minutes prior to game start.

Tonights play dropped out

[ShivaBowl]

Big Brother here; try not to gamble heavy on the holidays,
enjoy your time with your friends and family.

Pro Football Artificial Intelligence
Team Projected Points
For 11/25/2012 (Week 12) NFL

A/I Over the total play.
Never lay a 1/2-point, buy it down.
Plays based on early lines.
1.5 Unit
Not Updated

Nov 22 4:15 PM ET Washington @ Dallas (48) –110

I will update around 1/2 before game start, or when the line settles down.
Also, I love Dallas M/L in this game, but I'm not going to let Jerry, ruin my holiday.
Happy Thanks Giving.
BOL