Indiana favored?

TPowell · 03-09-12, 02:56 AM

The LINE VEGAS SET ON THAT GAME WAS....... WISCONSIN -8

That is my ******* point, not that either team is better!

Frisco · 03-09-12, 02:58 AM

Gonna take a great performance by Jordan Taylor for them to have a chance

Mr. Doughnut · 03-09-12, 02:59 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

The LINE VEGAS SET ON THAT GAME WAS....... WISCONSIN -8

That is my ******* point, not that either team is better!

And this isn't January 26th! Rankings and stats change. Same with power rankings and what Vegas sees in teams. How hard is this to understand?

Mr. Doughnut · 03-09-12, 02:59 AM

By your logic every conference tourney rematch should be based solely off what the line was in the original matchup?

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:00 AM

Look through the schedule and tell me what has changed since January 26th. No injuries to Wisconsin, they've played up to par since then and so has Indiana. Both won a game or two as dogs and lost a shocker

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:01 AM

Originally posted by Mr. Doughnut

By your logic every conference tourney rematch should be based solely off what the line was in the original matchup?

why should anything change if one team hasn't fell apart or gotten the injury bug?

If I shoot 65 tomorrow on 18 holes of golf, are you gonna put the over and under on my score tomorrow at 65 no matter how good I really am?

BernardMadoff · 03-09-12, 03:03 AM

More risk backing the Badgers tomorrow, they lose if you ask me.

BernardMadoff · 03-09-12, 03:09 AM

So what would you have made the line? If it was 8 in Madison shouldnt Indiana be slightly favored here? I think so.

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:10 AM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

So what would you have made the line? If it was 8 in Madison shouldnt Indiana be slightly favored here? I think so.

Home court is worth 4 points MAXIMUM. So Wisconsin should be -4 on a neutral site, -2.5 or -3 since Indy has a slight advantage of it being in Indy

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:11 AM

I'm not saying that Wisconsin will win this game by 3 or 4 points tomorrow because this isn't a perfect world, but I think if you play the game 1000 times, Wisconsin would win more than half the time obviously

BernardMadoff · 03-09-12, 03:14 AM

Its not Bloomington, but its probably darn close, not sure how legit the fouls were, but Indiana got to the line 36 times, sounds Bloominton-ish, Ill back Indy and the refs in this one and let the chips fall where they may.

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:17 AM

Originally posted by BernardMadoff

Its not Bloomington, but its probably darn close, not sure how legit the fouls were, but Indiana got to the line 36 times, sounds Bloominton-ish, Ill back Indy and the refs in this one and let the chips fall where they may.

You don't just give a team 6 points for a semi-homecourt advantage. It makes no sense. I can't believe nobody isn't puzzled like myself

Mr. Doughnut · 03-09-12, 03:35 AM

Then stop making a scene out of this and put some money where your mouth is.

TPowell · 03-09-12, 03:40 AM

this is a sports betting forum. I'm talking about a game, whats the big deal?

LT Profits · 03-09-12, 07:11 AM

Line is exactly where I said it would be in the other thread based on the odds of Indiana winning this tournament being lower than Wisconsin's odds, so the line should not come as a surprise. Of course, that says ZERO about who will win this game.

thebestthereis · 03-09-12, 08:09 AM

The line is -1, what is the difference if Wisconsin was -2. Whoever wins the game will win by the spread either way almost every time. Pick the winner and stop worrying about spreads in this range.

LT Profits · 03-09-12, 08:45 AM

Originally posted by thebestthereis

The line is -1, what is the difference if Wisconsin was -2. Whoever wins the game will win by the spread either way almost every time. Pick the winner and stop worrying about spreads in this range.

No, Indiana opened -1.5 and is now up to -2 at a lot of places. I honestly see nothing wrong with this line if you consider this a "home" game, Wisconsin may have the strongest home court advantage in the country, maybe 5.5-6 points. So Wisconsin -8 really equates to Wiscy -2-2.5 neutral.

Jayvegas420 · 03-09-12, 08:57 AM

Originally posted by camelbreath$

Lines aren't set based on a teams strengths alone. Lines are set to garner action on both sides.

I like players who are aware of this!
Well said.

Jayvegas420 · 03-09-12, 08:59 AM

Originally posted by TPowell

they are power ratings based, action on both sides is irrelevent, that's pretty basic stuff. Look how many sides end up with 70% on them

I couldnt disagree more

Jayvegas420 · 03-09-12, 09:03 AM

Also:
play the over...Whatever it opens at

TPowell · 03-09-12, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by LT Profits

No, Indiana opened -1.5 and is now up to -2 at a lot of places. I honestly see nothing wrong with this line if you consider this a "home" game, Wisconsin may have the strongest home court advantage in the country, maybe 5.5-6 points. So Wisconsin -8 really equates to Wiscy -2-2.5 neutral.

LT, do you know ANYONE that would equate a home court advantage to over 5 points for ANY team in college sports? Seriously, just wondering

TPowell · 03-09-12, 05:39 PM

Originally posted by TPowell

I'm not saying that Wisconsin will win this game by 3 or 4 points tomorrow because this isn't a perfect world, but I think if you play the game 1000 times, Wisconsin would win more than half the time obviously

Mr. Doughnut · 03-09-12, 05:51 PM

If you feel the need to pump yourself after a win, then you must not win very often.

Either way good call.

TPowell · 03-09-12, 06:07 PM

something tells me if Indy blows Wisky out, I get pounded in this thread. So yes, I'll pump myself up after the win

PR9 · 03-10-12, 03:58 AM

yay wisky !!