Going big on Illinois ML (probably -120 tomorrow)

ridims · 03-08-12, 11:23 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Funny... that same Illinois team that is struggling still beat Iowa by double digits despite turning it over 19 times and Iowa's 3 point expert going 5-6.

Fair enough. If you want to make a play on a team that turned the ball over 19 times against the same team recently then go ahead. To me, that is not very wise. 3's did drop and more will fall today.

I hope you win. I really do ... but I just don't see a big enough angle other then past history to lay that much money.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 11:25 AM

Originally posted by ridims

Fair enough. If you want to make a play on a team that turned the ball over 19 times against the same team recently then go ahead. To me, that is not very wise. 3's did drop and more will fall today.

I hope you win. I really do ... but I just don't see a big enough angle other then past history to lay that much money.

I think too much is being made of 'Iowa will play harder' angle. Way too much, in fact. The only team that has any chance to win this tournament is Illinois. It is like .5% but it is still a chance. Iowa has a 0.00% chance of doing anything and they know that.

MagicDiceFlow · 03-08-12, 11:28 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Sharps have apparently never seen Iowa play. They look like middle schoolers against Leonard.

This is a much different Iowa team that has beaten Indiana & Wisconsin recently so they've turned it around since the beginning of the season. The same cant be said for an Illinois team that has gone a putrid 1-8 in their last 9 games. Look for a totally different Iowa team on the floor today.

ridims · 03-08-12, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

This is a much different Iowa team that has beaten Indiana & Wisconsin recently so they've turned it around since the beginning of the season. The same cant be said for an Illinois team that has gone a putrid 1-8 in their last 9 games. Look for a totally different Iowa team on the floor today.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

This is a much different Iowa team that has beaten Indiana & Wisconsin recently so they've turned it around since the beginning of the season. The same cant be said for an Illinois team that has gone a putrid 1-8 in their last 9 games. Look for a totally different Iowa team on the floor today.

They are a small, unathletic team. Illinois out rebounded them by 10 last game and I'd expect more of the same.

Iowa would have to shoot something crazy from 3 to win this game, like 13-25. If they do it and pull out a win, good job for them. Don't see it.

MagicDiceFlow · 03-08-12, 11:30 AM

By the way, line has just dropped down to -1.5 everywhere ....Like I said sharps were going to hammer Iowa late to get the extra point.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by ridims

They had beaten Wisconsin and Indiana recently to walking into Illinois and getting smacked around too. You guys are acting like this matchup was months ago.

ridims · 03-08-12, 11:32 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

I think too much is being made of 'Iowa will play harder' angle. Way too much, in fact. The only team that has any chance to win this tournament is Illinois. It is like .5% but it is still a chance. Iowa has a 0.00% chance of doing anything and they know that.

0.5% more of a chance to win the tourney is really your excuse here? really?

Good luck. You will need some.

ridims · 03-08-12, 11:37 AM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

They had beaten Wisconsin and Indiana recently to walking into Illinois and getting smacked around too. You guys are acting like this matchup was months ago.

Yes, they did play illinois on the road and did lose by 11. Mostly from a bad start. However, your right, they did lose to illinois right after they beat up on two of the top 5 teams b2b in the big ten. I figure any team that was ranked that had won both of those games would had a tough time playing on the road the next game.

Regardless. This is a dead debate. Game has started.

I hope you win.

cnote24 · 03-08-12, 11:49 AM

you keep talking all these big numbers "2400" "1950" That you bet, please show us your slips to show you're really betting that much

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by cnote24

you keep talking all these big numbers "2400" "1950" That you bet, please show us your slips to show you're really betting that much

dude, sukk my cokk, who the fukk are you? I've proved I bet these kinds of amounts so do some digging if you really want to know.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:06 PM

2-11 from 3, still winning. Need to cut down on the 3's and just pound it inside.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:10 PM

Iowa very very lucky this lead isn't 10+. We'll see what unfolds in the 2nd half.

4seasons · 03-08-12, 12:16 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

Iowa very very lucky this lead isn't 10+. We'll see what unfolds in the 2nd half.

Don't know if we're watching the same game, as to me Ill is lucky to be ahead at half.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:17 PM

Originally posted by 4seasons

Don't know if we're watching the same game, as to me Ill is lucky to be ahead at half.

LOL... Illinois is out rebounding Iowa 18-8 and is lucky to be leading? Do you watch college basketball ever?

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:18 PM

Just another fun stat, Illinois is 14-0 on Thursday in the BTT.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:21 PM

Going to go watch the 2nd half. Illinois is certainly capable of blowing this lead but I feel good about it as of now considering Illinois has wasted a lot of opportunities. I guess that is why they are Illinois this year.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:38 PM

That is the 3rd clean block called a foul on Illinois. What the fukk?

CoachemUp · 03-08-12, 12:41 PM

This game reminds me of an old phrase from Rounders (referring to Iowa): "Hanging around, hanging around, kids got Alligator blood."

HoulihansTX · 03-08-12, 12:47 PM

PWAD is a moron

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:53 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

PWAD is a moron

says the guy who bets 20 bucks a game.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 12:53 PM

And I hate to say this, but Illinois is throwing this game. For anyone who has played basketball, it is pretty hard to underpass the ball by 10 feet and Illinois has done it 5 times here in the 2nd half.

tsrudm · 03-08-12, 12:54 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

PWAD is a moron

A complete moron. Regardless of how this game ends, pretty much his entire analysis was incorrect. He kept talking about Illinois' superior athleticism...but Iowa is by far the more athletic team. The most awkward player out there is by far Illinois' PG.

He must just be a huge Illinois homer.

d2bets · 03-08-12, 12:58 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

And I hate to say this, but Illinois is throwing this game. For anyone who has played basketball, it is pretty hard to underpass the ball by 10 feet and Illinois has done it 5 times here in the 2nd half.

If by throwing, you mean blowing, then sure. If by throwing, you mean intentionally losing the game, then just give up.

CoachemUp · 03-08-12, 12:58 PM

PWAD don't say I didn't tell you so. This team as inconsistent as I've ever seen. This game is microcosm of their season.

HoulihansTX · 03-08-12, 12:59 PM

Originally posted by PickWinnerAllDay

says the guy who bets 20 bucks a game.

I have posted various tickets that dissprove your weak claim. But you... everytime you post you prove how idiotic you are.

rjp322 · 03-08-12, 01:02 PM

Yeah come on man give it up. Illinois is fcking terrible. Dont try to make ridiculous excuses that they are trying to throw the game. You get sadder by the day when it comes to Illinois basketball

Finch Dinero · 03-08-12, 01:05 PM

Told ya'

Ghenghis Kahn · 03-08-12, 01:10 PM

illinois... ice cold

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 01:10 PM

How do I always find myself on the wrong side of the fix? Illinois has went inside all game and has zero free throws?

Now they call a travel on Brandon Paul when his pivot foot didn't move? I've never seen a ref call a travel when there wasn't one.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 01:13 PM

LOL

Paul mauled at the rim, still zero free throws.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 01:14 PM

I think I may never bet on Big 10 basketball again. Illinois has been tackled at the rim a dozen times and has zero free throws. Unreal.

MagicDiceFlow · 03-08-12, 01:15 PM

Originally posted by HoulihansTX

PWAD is a moron

Total desperation bet from him ....Illinois was the squarest play on the board.....sharp money knew what was up. As expected , total meltdown from an Illinois team that went 1-8 their last 9 game.....nothing different.

Finch Dinero · 03-08-12, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

Total desperation bet from him ....Illinois was the squarest play on the board.....sharp money knew what was up. As expected , total meltdown from an Illinois team that went 1-8 their last 9 game.....nothing different.

Exactly.

PickWinnerAllDay · 03-08-12, 01:18 PM

Originally posted by MagicDiceFlow

Total desperation bet from him ....Illinois was the squarest play on the board.....sharp money knew what was up. As expected , total meltdown from an Illinois team that went 1-8 their last 9 game.....nothing different.

Not desperation. I was up 4 grand on this week and was up 4500 in vegas last weekend.