Bassmaster's daily tackle box thread

[SimonSayz]

I appreciate your in depth analysis and watching the games you play. While I cannot play the volume of games you do, I can cross reference the games you like with mine to see if we are both in agreement.

For tonight...I an leaning NYK, Mem/Minn Over, FSU/BC Over, Buff/CMU Over.

Kill the Bookie.

[bassmaster]

I JUST REALIZED WHAT AN AWFUL LOSS IN THAT AUBURN GAME THEY ONLY CAME UP WITH 5 points IN THE LAST 4min 38 sec WHICH WOUND UP SENDING IT UNDER BY ONE BASKET UN-F -IN-BELIEVABLE THAT SANK BOTH OF MY OVER PLAYS TO THE BOTTOM OF THE LAKE

[bassmaster]

The northen waters at 8pm are looking very very promising. I am comming up on the 1st draft today with huge plays. The problem is for some is that as of right now i have 11 leans. Remember it is early right now and need to re-submit these leans atleast 3 to 4 more times today. I will let you all know the numbers i am comimg up with as of right now are off the f**kin charts. Meaning they are 25% stronger than my beginning plays last saturday and we all know how that day went especially the first half of it.

Stay tuned and will post the leans only!!!! Soon

HERE IS ANOTHER NOTATION I WAS TOLD THIS MORNING FROM THE ORIGINATOR OF THIS SYSTEM WHICH IS MY FRIENDS COLLEGE SON. THAT WE CANNOT DO HALVES TONIGHT WHEN COMMING OFF A NEGATIVE PRODUCING HALVES NIGHT, WHICH IS WHAT WE HAD LAST NIGHT. I AM JUST TRYING TO FEED YOU ALONG AS I AM STILL ABSORBING AND LEARNING THIS

[bassmaster]

Wednesdays leans only:

Lasalle pick em 7pm
buffalo -6 7pm
kent st -6.5 7pm
st. Johns +4 7pm
g-town +9.5 7pm
akron -3.5 7pm
northern ill +9************************************** ***********8pm
northern iowa +10.5*********************************** **********8pm
duke +6.5************************************ *******************9pm
lsu +10************************************* ********************9pm
seton hall +1.5************************************ *************9pm

NOTE: THE STARS RUNNING ALONG THE LATER PLAYS WERE JUST MY GIGANTIC STANDOUTS FOR NOW, BUT THAT IS SUBJECT TO CHANGE LATER IN THE DAY

[JR007]

Question; does this system have a margin of safety, or have any regression analysis, do not know much about modeling, but what little I do, tells me there has to be some sort of backtesting, to any system . Thanks

[bassmaster]

GREAT QUESTIN J.R. I honestly do not know the answer or if their is an answer but will submit it to the Kentucky college looking for an answer for us

[G3ko08]

GREAT QUESTIN J.R. I honestly do not know the answer or if their is an answer but will submit it to the Kentucky college looking for an answer for us

Would this system work on soccer games?

[bassmaster]

Got great value here right now and want to post this game:

George washington +15.5 (-130) buying the point

NOTE: My local has this now at +14.5 and just checked about 30 min ago and vegas has them at +13 already, so i wanted to get this big play in now due to when my local update later i for sure will lose value on this game

[bassmaster]

I may be crucified here by posting this but need to post these as plays right away also using my locals lines to benefit the systems 2nd draft. I donot need to wait for drafts 3 and 4 on these plays and need to play them now.

2/8/2012#620765#523 NCAA Geo Washington (Game) +15.5 -130 Risking $390 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620766#525 NCAA Penn State (Game) +16.5 -130 Risking $390 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620767#551 NCAA Lasalle (Game) +1 -130 Risking $390 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620768#563 NCAA Pittsburgh (Game) -1 -120 Risking $360 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620769#567 NCAA Wake Forest (Game) +16.5 -130 Risking $390 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620770#569 NCAA Towson (Game) +25.5 -130 Risking $390 to Win $300 Pending 2/8/2012#620771#572 NCAA SMU (Game) -1.5 -120 Risking $360 to Win $300 Pending

[bassmaster]

I will tell you what I am hearing Rod Stewart playing in my head the song "Tonight's The Night" It is almost looking like redemption night here tonight. (lol) Ok here is the senario on draft two some of theses plays I played weren't even involved in draft one at all. Because of the percentages some above and some below these plays against the vegas odds were giant plays here for me and because of my locals lines needed to jump on them. Now even right now or later they probably will not be plays for most of you due to the line movements, but if played early enough today you may benefit still as lines move around. This is where your OWN PERSONAL PREFERENCE and OPINION come into play for each others wagers, decisions and of course money management.
good Luck

[bassmaster]

Wedesday's fishing plays:

George washington +15.5 (-130)
penn state +16.5 (-130)
lasalle +1 (-130)
pitt -1 (-120)
wake forest +16.5 (-130)
towson +25.5 (-130)
smu -1.5 (-120)

ADDING: VANDERBILT -9.5 (-120)

[bassmaster]

would this system work on soccer games?

who knows it worked like a charm on the giants game and soccer is called futbol (lol)

[JR007]

GREAT QUESTIN J.R. I honestly do not know the answer or if their is an answer but will submit it to the Kentucky college looking for an answer for us

thanks buddy, like to learn from these computer kids too

[TC Woods]

Wedesday's fishing plays:

George washington +15.5 (-130)
penn state +16.5 (-130)
lasalle +1 (-130)
pitt -1 (-120)
wake forest +16.5 (-130)
towson +25.5 (-130)
smu -1.5 (-120)

ADDING: VANDERBILT -9.5 (-120)

Now convinced that most of your posts are a bunch of...... BS

I just checked everyone of "these" wagers you profess to have completed, only one in that entire list of 7 were ever available at 5 dimes...ONE (PSU was at +17) for a few minutes.

So, I guess that begs the question.. Why post them, we can't follow you anyway????

Just one guys 2 cents, I'll be looking elsewhere for wagering help

[jameski999]

He's buying points

[bassmaster]

tc look I know your probably still mad at me because of the tease that you asked my advice about. It was Superbowl Sunday and I was getting ready for our party of 30 people and was busy also working for us here in this thread. I told you two things that day one was My system was unable to help you a day in advance that i felt confident about. I could of told you any play to get you off my back, but told you the truth.
Now for the plays I posted they are 100% true through my local. I've explained this earlier that because of there time change overseas where this originates they are just getting into there office at between 1pm and 2pm est here in the usa. It is great strategy sometimes with the current line movement and when my system locks in on certain games I need to unload on them for myself personally, but choose to share my information with our members. I could just stop right now and we can go on with our lives the way it was. I am on no ego trip here at all and are just looking to retire a little earlier.

In closing I do not appreciate your comments of saying that my lines are B.S. If you can't do them at what I am posting them as than like I said earlier it is up to the individual period. One last thing I do not hold grudges against people and will not judge you or bash you and wish the bol tonight and always wheather you follow me or not.

[Redscot]

tc look I know your probably still mad at me because of the tease that you asked my advice about. It was Superbowl Sunday and I was getting ready for our party of 30 people and was busy also working for us here in this thread. I told you two things that day one was My system was unable to help you a day in advance that i felt confident about. I could of told you any play to get you off my back, but told you the truth.
Now for the plays I posted they are 100% true through my local. I've explained this earlier that because of there time change overseas where this originates they are just getting into there office at between 1pm and 2pm est here in the usa. It is great strategy sometimes with the current line movement and when my system locks in on certain games I need to unload on them for myself personally, but choose to share my information with our members. I could just stop right now and we can go on with our lives the way it was. I am on no ego trip here at all and are just looking to retire a little earlier.

In closing I do not appreciate your comments of saying that my lines are B.S. If you can't do them at what I am posting them as than like I said earlier it is up to the individual period. One last thing I do not hold grudges against people and will not judge you or bash you and wish the bol tonight and always wheather you follow me or not.

I had the same situation here with my local and took about 40 units from him so far in NCAA... I blindly played all lines that I had a distinct advantage...Last week he stopped posting the lines the night before and now posts them when he gets in 11 ish. I'll give him credit, he paid me and didn't give me a hard time. It was amazing how many games pushed or became a winner because I had the pre-movement number, enough of a difference to push you over or under that important 53% hit rate for profit. So, in some ways I can understand TC's point. It's your thread and I wish you nothing but winners , but for tailing purposes it could prove unprofitable if people choose to play your plays without the ability to get your numbers.

[bassmaster]

I understand Red completely, but I need to do what I have to do in these situations which don't always happen especially in all these game tonight. It is usually one game that I see this, it also makes me wonder. Can it really be this easy? I guess we will all find out. Last night that didn't happen and also I have atleast 4-5 more plays here that I will post later that have unbelievable numbers, we need to wait though and also may gain an advantage with points later. I really don't want to say what I'm going to say but tonight is looking "EPIC" according to my findings. I also need to be smart here in my wagering. My plays already posted have consequences on bigger vigs tied to them already. The rest of my picks that I may throw out later may only be a normal (-110) and the most a (-120) from what I am seeing now. I went through phase 3 of the system and it is stable

[Redscot]

I understand Red completely, but I need to do what I have to do in these situations which don't always happen especially in all these game tonight. It is usually one game that I see this, it also makes me wonder. Can it really be this easy? I guess we will all find out. Last night that didn't happen and also I have atleast 4-5 more plays here that I will post later that have unbelievable numbers, we need to wait though and also may gain an advantage with points later. I really don't want to say what I'm going to say but tonight is looking "EPIC" according to my findings. I also need to be smart here in my wagering. My plays already posted have consequences on bigger vigs tied to them already. The rest of my picks that I may throw out later may only be a normal (-110) and the most a (-120) from what I am seeing now. I went through phase 3 of the system and it is stable

Good luck bro. Hope it is Epic tonight. As for the numbers you get, enjoy it while it lasts. It certainly is not your responsibility what others choose to tail and the numbers they get.....it was more a word of caution to potential tailers when they can't get you number.

[southpaw74]

Bass, so where do you live that you can get these numbers from a local that are typically so much better than we can get?

[bassmaster]

I am in Florida right now, but that doesn't matter. The website is matbrokes that I use

[bassmaster]

WEDESDAY'S FISHING PLAYS:

GEORGE WASHINGTON +15.5 (-130) 6PM
PENN STATE +16.5 (-130) 6:30
LASALLE +1 (-130) 7PM
PITT -1 (-120) 7PM
WAKE FOREST +16.5 (-130) 7:30
TOWSON +25.5 (-130) 7:30
SMU -1.5 (-120) 8PM
VANDERBILT -9.5 (-120) 9PM

ADDING: ST. JOHNS OVER 132.5
ADDING: Boston College Over 120.5
ADDING: NORTHEASTERN +9.5 (-120)
ADDING: PITT OVER 123.5
ADDING: KANSAS +2 (-120)

[southpaw74]

Hey bass, do you rate these at all as more or less strong? You seemed excited about some of them so i was curious. Good luck tonight.

[bassmaster]

The upper plays remember were put in early this afternoon with those lines being very favorable within my locals establishment. They are my plays and are being posted how i pursued them, as far as the rest they are posted as a whole from the system also. If you are looking for my personal pick of those meaning my favorite i would have to say either st. John's or b.c. Over

[bassmaster]

gw playing strong

[southpaw74]

GW does look great...I'll be taking the middle if they can maintain their lead going into halftime

[bassmaster]

guys another thing I wanted to let you know that was posted much earlier today. There will be NO SECOND HALF BETS TONIGHT!!

[Sourbumpy]

BOL Bass

[bassmaster]

Adding:

Indiana state -5.5
georgia -1
northern ill +9
northern iowa +10.5

[bassmaster]

George Washington (WINNER)
Penn State (loser)

[bassmaster]

Adding:

Duke +6.5
seton hall +1.5
west virginia -6.5
west virginia under 127

[bassmaster]

need to have a possitive finish in the 8 and 9:00 games good night

[bassmaster]

WEDESDAY'S FISHING PLAYS RESULTS: 12-10

GEORGE WASHINGTON +15.5 (WINNER)
PENN STATE +16.5 (-130) (loser)
LASALLE +1 (-130) (loser)
PITT -1 (-120) (loser)
WAKE FOREST +16.5 (-130) (loser)
TOWSON +25.5 (-130) (WINNER)
SMU -1.5 (-120) (loser)
VANDERBILT -9.5 (-120) (WINNER)
ST.JOHNS OVER 132.5 (loser)
Boston College Over 120.5 (WINNER)
NORTHEASTERN +9.5 (-120) (WINNER)
PITT OVER 123.5 (loser)
KANSAS +2 (-120) (WINNER)
Indiana state -5.5 (loser)
georgia -1 (WINNER)
georgia over 132.5 (WINNER)
northern ill +9 (WINNER)
northern iowa +10.5 (loser)
Duke +6.5 (BIG WINNER)
seton hall +1.5 (WINNER)
west virginia -6.5 (loser)
west virginia under 127 (WINNER)

NOT A BAD FISHING DAY YESTERDAY:

*****12-10 ON THE TRIP LAST NIGHT

*****22-23 ON THE WEEKLY TRIP

*****+620.00 CLAMS FOR THE DAY

*****OVER ALL TACKLE BOX RECORD: 71-53-1

*****OVER ALL TREASURE CHEST TOTAL $20,640.00

*****OVER ALL LEANS RECORD 3-1

note Leans that turned into plays are not recorderd as wins or loses in the Leans record, but wins & loses in my Tackle Box Record

****OVERALL EARLY WAS TAKING A HIT THAN A BIG REBOUND IN THE LATE GAMES WITH A BIG WINNER IN DUKE FOR A POSSITIVE NIGHT RECORD WISE AND MONEY WISE.

****EARLY LOOKS IN TONIGHTS GAMES IS SHOWING A SMALL CARD AS OF NOW

[bassmaster]

Thursday's plays:

Miami over 131.5

(big play and want to get this one out early. I have this game in the 140's and i feel this line will lose value against me throughout the day!

[exshot]

Thursday's plays:

Miami over 131.5

(big play and want to get this one out early. I have this game in the 140's and i feel this line will lose value against me throughout the day!

Thanks for the play. If you can please let us know which is a big play and a regular for you. Thank you!!