College Hoops 2011-12

Rick22 · 02-21-12, 06:16 PM

OK friend. No BS - no mushing - simply tailing every one of your plays tonite cause I think you are about to go on a big run. Good Luck.

Jayvegas420 · 02-21-12, 06:29 PM

I think I too like your 1st 1/2 - 8 bet on OSU.
I have a hard time picking a winner in this matchup as you can see from my thread.

I am guessing that the picks you made that preceeded the OSU 1st 1/2 pick are actually your stronger picks for the day.

Is this correct?

Jayvegas420 · 02-21-12, 07:43 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

i like OSU 1H -8', not sure yet if i'm going to play it. game looks good too, but if you check out the OSU 1Hs off a loss, they can come out really tough and run teams off the court (Minnesota comes to mind). BOL whatever you decide.

This is the 1st tip I have taken from an SBR member & bet a big chunk on it.
Even with 8 mins. left in the 1st 1/2 I consider this locked up & sent you points for this pick.
Not many but, I am new & only have 28 points saved up.

Thanks again for turning me onto this man!

Good Luck

I like New Mexico tonight by the way if this helps at all.

GoBlue23 · 02-21-12, 07:53 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

BOL, GoBlue. who says that UM and OSU fans can't work together to turn a profit? not i, that's for sure. i'm not on OSU 1H yet but i may well be. discussing it with some of my buddies over email right now. totally agree re: Matta. he's nothing special as an in-game coach, but he does prep them well.

BiffTFinancial · 02-21-12, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by Rick22

OK friend. No BS - no mushing - simply tailing every one of your plays tonite cause I think you are about to go on a big run. Good Luck.

thanks, BOL Rick!

BiffTFinancial · 02-21-12, 08:03 PM

3* OSU 1H -8' - WINNER

let's go Mildcats.

BiffTFinancial · 02-21-12, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

This is the 1st tip I have taken from an SBR member & bet a big chunk on it. Even with 8 mins. left in the 1st 1/2 I consider this locked up & sent you points for this pick. Not many but, I am new & only have 28 points saved up. Thanks again for turning me onto this man! Good Luck I like New Mexico tonight by the way if this helps at all.

thanks, man! appreciate it. nice no sweat winner to start the night. don't normally bet OSU but this was a decent spot play, esp with Illinois so lost. New Mexico is good for the over, so i'm all about that. BOL to you tonight.

BiffTFinancial · 02-21-12, 08:06 PM

Originally posted by GoBlue23

alamo · 02-21-12, 10:09 PM

Jumped back on board the fast moving wagon tonight Biff. I was running along side as fast as I could and you guys grabbed me and pulled me back onto it!

I actually just checked to see North Western was settled as a winner (its in OT now) and had forgotten you played it 1H only. A real sign of a change in our fortunes. 2/0 to start, lets make it 3/1 or why not get the broom sticks out !

Ahhhh its good to be back !

alamo · 02-21-12, 11:17 PM

Unreal how we only pushed that Virginia play. Missed free throw after FT and then miss again with 2s left.

pacocn · 02-21-12, 11:23 PM

Biff, great calls man, keep it going

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 05:23 AM

Originally posted by alamo

Unreal how we only pushed that Virginia play. Missed free throw after FT and then miss again with 2s left.

missed 3 front ends of one-and-ones in the final 30 seconds or so. that was really harsh. and lost the UNM/CSU over by a point and a half. tough ending after nice start, but can't complain about a positive day.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 05:24 AM

Tuesday 2.21.2012 final card
3* Ohio State 1H -8' - WINNER
3* Northwestern 1H -1 - WINNER
3* Virginia -2 (-108) - PUSH
3* New Mexico/Colorado State over 135' - LOSER

2-1-1 +2.7u. perilously close to 4-0. 141-135-7 -11.78u season to date.

keep-up game loser drops record on those to 28-24-1

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 06:16 AM

Wednesday 2.22.2012
3* Michigan State/Minnesota over 127'

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 06:17 AM

Sparty/Gophers over is a keep-up game. also considering VCU/UNCW and Wichita St/Illinois St as potential keep-up games.

HOT WINGS · 02-22-12, 07:45 AM

Nice job Biff. Looks like I should of went with that NW 1st half instead of game. Oh well I felt pretty good about that game and probably would make that bet 9 out of 10 times. Hit OSU 1st half though which was easy winner, although I was still down on night overall because of a couple other unforseen losses.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:22 AM

Originally posted by HOT WINGS

Nice job Biff. Looks like I should of went with that NW 1st half instead of game. Oh well I felt pretty good about that game and probably would make that bet 9 out of 10 times. Hit OSU 1st half though which was easy winner, although I was still down on night overall because of a couple other unforseen losses.

feel bad for NU full game backers and my heart literally breaks for Shurna and Mildcat nation. looks as if it's going to be a real long shot for us to have an NCAA Shurnament this March. i love that kid as a player. one of my best friends lives in hope of the day that NU makes the tourney (much like i do with W&M - i'll have a much longer wait) and really thought that this was going to be the year. so did i. sucks. on the flip side, i'm obviously no UM fan, but it is amazing how much their defense has improved from the last couple of seasons to this season. they are a Sweet Sixteen team and could go further.

Jayvegas420 · 02-22-12, 08:29 AM

I notice the Spart's last two wins have been convincing overs but the last three matchups between these two teams have been unders.
Any other information on why this is a good under 127 bet?!

thnx Jay

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:31 AM

adding

3* La Salle +2' (-105)

Wednesday 2.22.2012 updated card
3* La Salle +2' (-105)
3* Michigan State/Minnesota over 127'

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

I notice the Spart's last two wins have been convincing overs but the last three matchups between these two teams have been unders. Any other information on why this is a good under 127 bet?! thnx Jay

the under is actually 16-5 in the last 21 meetings between Sparty and Gophers. however, i'm not huge on trends like that. that's a ten-year trend, so none of the players and a lot of the coaches are different when looking at such a long-term trend (you are correct that there are some short-term under trends as well). i'm more interested in how teams play in similar spots, and MSU is 5-2 over in last 7 as fave of 6' or less while Minnesota is 4-0 over as a home dog, 9-3 over in last 12 as dog of 6' or less. Minnesota also has been scoring more than expected at home of late, while Sparty has simply been having their way with teams on both ends of the court (slight net positive for over there). also, in watching Sparty lately, they definitely want to push tempo.

also, i like to take overs with home dogs of 4-10 points, as i believe that there is great scoring potential in those spots. it's a circle-the-date-type game for the home team, so they will be inclined to try and jump out early against a team that is clearly better. also, if the margin is between 4-10 in the closing minutes, there is potential for a ton of FTs, causing the game to soar over.

one thing that really stuck out to me was that the total opened at 123 at Betonline, well below the kenpom prediction of 129 for this game. i believe that it opened low as a nod to the fact that these teams have a low-scoring history against one another (public should be on under here). four minutes later, the total jumped to 126 and has continued to rise. somebody smarter than me is on the over.

my forecast for this game is Sparty, 72-66, so i see significant value in the over. BOL whatever you decide. gotta run back later.

Jayvegas420 · 02-22-12, 08:49 AM

No doubt in my mind that Temple has been over-valued since their DUKE win.
GL with these two picks I will be following as well!

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 09:37 AM

Originally posted by Jayvegas420

No doubt in my mind that Temple has been over-valued since their DUKE win. GL with these two picks I will be following as well!

thanks, man. be careful, i have been horrendous the past two weeks or so.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 01:54 PM

adding

3* Buffalo -2' (-108)

Wednesday 2.22.2012 updated card
3* La Salle +2' (-105)
3* Buffalo -2' (-108)
3* Michigan State/Minnesota over 127'

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 04:00 PM

adding

3* West Virginia/Notre Dame 1H under 57'

Wednesday 2.22.2012 updated card
3* La Salle +2' (-105)
3* Buffalo -2' (-108)
3* West Virginia/Notre Dame 1H under 57'
3* Michigan State/Minnesota over 127'

HOT WINGS · 02-22-12, 04:01 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

feel bad for NU full game backers and my heart literally breaks for Shurna and Mildcat nation. looks as if it's going to be a real long shot for us to have an NCAA Shurnament this March. i love that kid as a player. one of my best friends lives in hope of the day that NU makes the tourney (much like i do with W&M - i'll have a much longer wait) and really thought that this was going to be the year. so did i. sucks. on the flip side, i'm obviously no UM fan, but it is amazing how much their defense has improved from the last couple of seasons to this season. they are a Sweet Sixteen team and could go further.

Yeah Michigan is improving every year and making up some ground in recruiting over MSU and OSU. I am a Spartan fan through and through though since I was a little kid, so you will never see me rooting for Michigan unless I back them as an underdog against someone. I usually just try to avoid there games for most part because I think my vision gets clouded from my level of angst towards them. Anyways like the Spartans over tonight. I could see the Gophers giving them a little fight tonight. Probably get some bonus FT's at the end of game.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 04:17 PM

Originally posted by HOT WINGS

Yeah Michigan is improving every year and making up some ground in recruiting over MSU and OSU. I am a Spartan fan through and through though since I was a little kid, so you will never see me rooting for Michigan unless I back them as an underdog against someone. I usually just try to avoid there games for most part because I think my vision gets clouded from my level of angst towards them. Anyways like the Spartans over tonight. I could see the Gophers giving them a little fight tonight. Probably get some bonus FT's at the end of game.

yeah, i generally avoid betting UM games in general and backing UM in particular because i feel so conflicted (nothing worse than backing UM and losing for me). i more try to play totals with them since i do follow Big Ten so closely (two football seasons ago, UM overs were by most consistent play along with Wisky overs).

i have a lot of extended family that are Sparty fans, and a few UM fans, but they're the minority (actually going up to Grand Rapids tomorrow). Izzo is the best coach in all of sports, i say. oh, and FTs at the end are definitely part of the play tonight. expecting 40 FTAs minimum, and around 50 is our magic number. 45 made field goals, 10 made threes and 30+ made FTs get us there with room to spare.

LockPickMaster · 02-22-12, 04:46 PM

Biff, Citadel U131
This article says the coach is gonna slow the pace down like last game. Whatcha think

http://www.postandcourier.com/news/2012/feb/22/bulldogs-slowing-down-for-success/

Madison · 02-22-12, 05:39 PM

Hey Biff,

Check out my thread in the NBA forum regarding the "Heads up". Lots of unfortunate personal issues distracting me but the info is real solid and a real good source of income over the next month or so. Apologies for not directing you to it earlier as I know you are not a big NBA guy but this is simply a really solid angle. I think it's already 5-0 ATS since I posted. BOL.

HOT WINGS · 02-22-12, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

yeah, i generally avoid betting UM games in general and backing UM in particular because i feel so conflicted (nothing worse than backing UM and losing for me). i more try to play totals with them since i do follow Big Ten so closely (two football seasons ago, UM overs were by most consistent play along with Wisky overs).

i have a lot of extended family that are Sparty fans, and a few UM fans, but they're the minority (actually going up to Grand Rapids tomorrow). Izzo is the best coach in all of sports, i say. oh, and FTs at the end are definitely part of the play tonight. expecting 40 FTAs minimum, and around 50 is our magic number. 45 made field goals, 10 made threes and 30+ made FTs get us there with room to spare.

GL hope its MSU hitting them to seal the deal

yes I hear GR is a nice place to live, Of course I may be a little bias.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by LockPickMaster

Biff, Citadel U131
This article says the coach is gonna slow the pace down like last game. Whatcha think
http://www.postandcourier.com/news/2...n-for-success/

Sorry just got home. Went out drinking.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:04 PM

Harsh loss by the hook on ND 1H under. Worst part is booked too early couldve had a push. Fk. Didn't count on 2FTs on technical. Bah.

BiffTFinancial · 02-22-12, 08:05 PM

Originally posted by Madison

Hey Biff,

Check out my thread in the NBA forum regarding the "Heads up". Lots of unfortunate personal issues distracting me but the info is real solid and a real good source of income over the next month or so. Apologies for not directing you to it earlier as I know you are not a big NBA guy but this is simply a really solid angle. I think it's already 5-0 ATS since I posted. BOL.

Whoa cool will check it out. Thanks.

Jayvegas420 · 02-22-12, 11:44 PM

If I'm jumping a band wagon it's Biff's.
I don't have a ton in the account @ 365 but I put $100 on your under.
I took so long to decide that when I layed the $100 I received the typical..."Sorry but the line has channged" message
And wouldn't you know it, instead of screwing me out of the points I received an extra 1/2 point on the under.
Rather than getting under 127, I was given under 127.5.
And the best part of it is I didn't give up any odds.
Took under 127.5 at -110.
this was parlayed all over the place.
I have to pay that Secretstash guy 2 points today.
Even though I feel cheap Im shippin' 5 points tonight.
Well done!
sorry to hear about your loss on the ND 1st 1/2.

LockPickMaster · 02-23-12, 12:16 AM

Biff,

Louisville looks like they may go small tomorrow and wants to pick up the tempo, same with Cincy. This article indicates it. Let me know if you like the Over 130.

http://www.courier-journal.com/article/20120222/SPORTS02/302220098/1002/rsslink

BiffTFinancial · 02-23-12, 08:53 AM

Wednesday 2.22.2012 updated card
3* La Salle +2' (-105) - WINNER
3* Buffalo -2' (-108) - LOSER
3* West Virginia/Notre Dame 1H under 57' - LOSER
3* Michigan State/Minnesota over 127' - LOSER

1-3 for -6.84u, 142-138-7 season to date. two more half-point losers on totals, have lost four totals last three days by total of 3 points. Bah. Quadruple bah.

Lowest point of the season. So disappointing. Down about 70 Units last two-plus weeks after great start. Taking a few days off due to a family thing out of town. It's probably for the better. Best of luck to all and will be back with more fade material in no time.