Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

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  • Filmoz
    SBR MVP
    • 10-05-11
    • 3933

    #2451
    Princeton -5.5 -103 3x
    Comment
    • blackout31
      SBR High Roller
      • 05-19-11
      • 180

      #2452
      Leaning Princeton -5 against Rider. Rider is so bad, but I hate betting against home underdogs. Any thoughts?

      Edit: Nevermind just saw Moz's post. I feel so much better.
      Last edited by blackout31; 12-14-11, 02:14 PM. Reason: Stop looking at me, Swan.
      Comment
      • Filmoz
        SBR MVP
        • 10-05-11
        • 3933

        #2453
        Originally posted by blackout31
        Leaning Princeton -5 against Rider. Rider is so bad, but I hate betting against home underdogs. Any thoughts?

        Edit: Nevermind just saw Moz's post. I feel so much better.
        Lol beat you to the punch on that one. Also, there are a lot of bad teams that do alright at home. Rider is not one of them.
        Comment
        • Luckotheirish
          SBR Sharp
          • 10-05-11
          • 469

          #2454
          Moz that Cleveland guy is whack, disregard him, arrogant narcissist. Moz I have never questioned any of your picks and nor am I doing so now. However, I am a student at Richmond as well as a die hard basketball fan. I've been capping for about a year and have now and have achieved somewhat exceptional success. I am no expert nor do I consider myself equally as knowledgable as the more known 'Cappy and Oz. With that being said, I simply can not with hold my judgement on your Richmond pick. 'Moz were not very good this, at all. At best the crowd tonight will provide a small town-like atmosphere similar to schools like stony brook and niagra. A majority of the students and major baskeball fans are home already for break and those whom are not well they are studying for their finals. Iona is putting up just about more points then anyone in the country, and agaiant a quality non-conference schedule. Not to mention excellent wins at home and okay wins on the road. Meanwhile we are sending out to the court our worst starting line up in years, a mediocore team at best. I woke up this morning,saw the spread and immediately put down 14 units lost from cmu on top of my own 14 on Iona -1.5 (buying a point and half). 'Moz best of whishes my friend. Bol to all. And continue the great handicapping.
          Comment
          • Filmoz
            SBR MVP
            • 10-05-11
            • 3933

            #2455
            Originally posted by Luckotheirish
            Moz that Cleveland guy is whack, disregard him, arrogant narcissist. Moz I have never questioned any of your picks and nor am I doing so now. However, I am a student at Richmond as well as a die hard basketball fan. I've been capping for about a year and have now and have achieved somewhat exceptional success. I am no expert nor do I consider myself equally as knowledgable as the more known 'Cappy and Oz. With that being said, I simply can not with hold my judgement on your Richmond pick. 'Moz were not very good this, at all. At best the crowd tonight will provide a small town-like atmosphere similar to schools like stony brook and niagra. A majority of the students and major baskeball fans are home already for break and those whom are not well they are studying for their finals. Iona is putting up just about more points then anyone in the country, and agaiant a quality non-conference schedule. Not to mention excellent wins at home and okay wins on the road. Meanwhile we are sending out to the court our worst starting line up in years, a mediocore team at best. I woke up this morning,saw the spread and immediately put down 14 units lost from cmu on top of my own 14 on Iona -1.5 (buying a point and half). 'Moz best of whishes my friend. Bol to all. And continue the great handicapping.
            I do appreciate the input, I value the opinion of people that actually go to the schools that are playing especially. and BOL, let's hope Iona wins by 2 and we both cash!
            Comment
            • Luckotheirish
              SBR Sharp
              • 10-05-11
              • 469

              #2456
              Don't be fooled by Iona's last loss either, take into consideration the demographics of Marshall. Not to mention the fact that they are a solid team, a bracket buster- whom could make a serious run at a Cinderella story given favorable seeding. Keep in mind all early speculation, mis season injuries could easily bypass the talent between Marshall and say oh Hofstra or Cleveland State.
              Comment
              • BallDontLie
                SBR High Roller
                • 04-28-11
                • 157

                #2457
                Keep up the good work Moz. Here are a couple of trends Ive found that you might find interesting.

                RIDER is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in all home games (vs Princeton)
                CINCINNATI is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) off a road loss (vs Wright St)
                COLL OF CHARLESTON is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in home games after scoring 85 points or more (vs Tennessee)
                MARYLAND is 52-25 ATS (+24.5 Units) on Wednesday games (vs FLA International)
                DENVER is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game (vs N Colorado)

                BOL today fellas.
                Comment
                • Luckotheirish
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 10-05-11
                  • 469

                  #2458
                  Thanks moz , sorry that last post wasnt a shot at you just original add on towards my initial post. Let's go Iona -2 and Rchmond +2. Bol
                  Comment
                  • Pair of 5s Sir
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-20-08
                    • 4960

                    #2459
                    Our contest is tightening up a bit. Should be fun. Lots of SBR points on the line. Any side action fellas.
                    Comment
                    • Filmoz
                      SBR MVP
                      • 10-05-11
                      • 3933

                      #2460
                      Tennessee +2.5 -109 5x
                      Comment
                      • blackout31
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 05-19-11
                        • 180

                        #2461
                        I'm thinking of doing a six team boredom parlay. $2 to win $94. I find them to be a fun, relaxing way to deal with quiet cards.
                        Comment
                        • Filmoz
                          SBR MVP
                          • 10-05-11
                          • 3933

                          #2462
                          Maryland -11 -105 5x
                          Comment
                          • Gooooducks
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 11-22-11
                            • 104

                            #2463
                            Filmoz are you still positive giving that you have to give juice?
                            Comment
                            • Gooooducks
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 11-22-11
                              • 104

                              #2464
                              The only pick I like is Princeton. I feel like thats a lock. They should win by 15.
                              Comment
                              • Filmoz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 10-05-11
                                • 3933

                                #2465
                                Originally posted by Gooooducks
                                Filmoz are you still positive giving that you have to give juice?
                                Yes. The number below

                                Originally posted by Filmoz
                                YTD 136-110-4, +58.07x
                                takes into account juice. That is a net profit number.

                                When I post plays, the numbers are always referring to the "To Win" amount when I am laying juice (or the "Risk" amount when betting ML underdogs). So a 3x -110 play would result in a net gain of 3x if it was a win, or a net loss of 3.30x if it was a loss, because I am laying 3.30x to win 3x. I then take this into account when figuring out my results.
                                Comment
                                • Filmoz
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 10-05-11
                                  • 3933

                                  #2466
                                  Today so far:

                                  Richmond +3 -102 5x L
                                  Princeton -5.5 -105 5x
                                  Tennessee +2.5 -109 5x
                                  Maryland -11 -105 5x


                                  Princeton is now 5x
                                  Comment
                                  • LSUtiger
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-07-11
                                    • 111

                                    #2467
                                    I'm going to the Princeton game, I'll keep yall somewhat updated
                                    Comment
                                    • Capybara
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-17-08
                                      • 11803

                                      #2468
                                      So how do you guys think Thug-gate is going to affect the Cincy game tonight?

                                      I'm wondering if the guys playing extra minutes now might run down toward the end? Or do they just come out and own after hearing what douches they are for the past week?
                                      Comment
                                      • Gooooducks
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-22-11
                                        • 104

                                        #2469
                                        I can't stop thinking about the wright state ml but Im waiting for it to go up and the spread. Cincy missing 4 players on the road and having to deal with all that bs from their fight.
                                        Comment
                                        • Capybara
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-17-08
                                          • 11803

                                          #2470
                                          Originally posted by Gooooducks
                                          I can't stop thinking about the wright state ml but Im waiting for it to go up and the spread. Cincy missing 4 players on the road and having to deal with all that bs from their fight.
                                          Yeah but could have opposite effect too. Game's basically a no-play
                                          Comment
                                          • Filmoz
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 10-05-11
                                            • 3933

                                            #2471
                                            Originally posted by Capybara

                                            Yeah but could have opposite effect too. Game's basically a no-play
                                            This.
                                            Comment
                                            • allidoiswin89
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 03-22-11
                                              • 915

                                              #2472
                                              Mozilla, what are you seeing in that TENN game?
                                              Comment
                                              • allidoiswin89
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-22-11
                                                • 915

                                                #2473
                                                Under 142 depaul/n. Illinois.
                                                Comment
                                                • SimonSayz
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 10-17-09
                                                  • 859

                                                  #2474
                                                  Originally posted by Capybara
                                                  So how do you guys think Thug-gate is going to affect the Cincy game tonight?

                                                  I'm wondering if the guys playing extra minutes now might run down toward the end? Or do they just come out and own after hearing what douches they are for the past week?
                                                  I am pounding the 1h and game over....GL!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LSUtiger
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 09-07-11
                                                    • 111

                                                    #2475
                                                    Rider's full court press is killing princeton. I would say 20 of Riders points came from turnovers. They'lll make adjustments at half. I would advise a 2H play on the tigers.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Mriceyman
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-06-11
                                                      • 478

                                                      #2476
                                                      Well Princeton looks awful at the moment
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Mriceyman
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-06-11
                                                        • 478

                                                        #2477
                                                        Nice run to come back
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mriceyman
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 11-06-11
                                                          • 478

                                                          #2478
                                                          Princeton-5 2h?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • gba
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 06-06-10
                                                            • 417

                                                            #2479
                                                            hope u didnt take it
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Filmoz
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 10-05-11
                                                              • 3933

                                                              #2480
                                                              UTEP +17 -105 5x
                                                              Comment
                                                              • allidoiswin89
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-22-11
                                                                • 915

                                                                #2481
                                                                Originally posted by Filmoz
                                                                UTEP +17 -105 5x
                                                                i hope none of these people are getting in you head? you've been chasing a lot these last couple of days
                                                                Comment
                                                                • LSUtiger
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 09-07-11
                                                                  • 111

                                                                  #2482
                                                                  worst refs I've ever seen...just called a charge when it was Clearly a blocking foul. tiger's should have been up by two after that instead down by 1 and rider ball.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SimonSayz
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 10-17-09
                                                                    • 859

                                                                    #2483
                                                                    Fellas...I believe that Tim Tebow is with us on the Princeton play....we got the game to OT and I believe they pull away here....let's do it.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mriceyman
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-06-11
                                                                      • 478

                                                                      #2484
                                                                      Wow... 2h saved the nite.. close one
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Bondite
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 12-21-09
                                                                        • 164

                                                                        #2485
                                                                        Well Wasn't going to mention anything but 2 ridiculous jinx posts on this game, the last one being absurd. On to the next one, Cleveland should be here pretty soon hope he knows what a fukkin dousche he is....
                                                                        Comment
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