Filmoz's NCAA BB 2011-2012

Capybara · 11-11-11, 11:58 PM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Ok, an update. In order to accurately reflect juice, my 11/9/11 plays yielded a profit of +2.55 units, not +3 as previously posted. That means my YTD before todays plays was 7-2-0, +11.55x. Today's plays bring us to:

YTD 13-5-0, +19.15x

Fantastic work tonight, Bro!

Can't wait for your picks tomorrow, you're my new NCAA Hoops hero!

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 08:30 AM

Morning peeps!

Hope everyone had a good day in college hoops yesterday! I know I did! A brief prayer to the gambling gods, thanking them for another profitable day yesterday and respectfully asking that the success may continue

. And we're off! Early play today:

YTD 13-5-0, +19.15x

11/12/11

Syracuse -26 1x (will press if line stays the same or gets better)

More to come!

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 08:44 AM

Syracuse play is the full 3 units now, plus another play, giving us:

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 09:34 AM

Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 09:44 AM

Miss St. -17 -102 3x

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 09:49 AM

See above to see that plays have been updated to include juice I'm laying. Didn't include on previous plays, but all of those were -105. Got some quirky numbers like -102 and -103 on some of my plays today, so had to be specific. Gonna start listing juice in all my plays for ease of keeping track of units later.

Credit to Capybara for keeping me honest

re juice. It'll be a bit more of a pain to keep track of, but I think it will be cool to have a completely accurate record down to the fractions of a unit. That way, at the end of the season if we are in the green (gambling gods willing

) you can look at the record and say "wow, if my betting unit is x amount, I would have made exactly +y amount this season."

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 09:58 AM

What I'm on so far today:

11/12/11

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x

Let's get it!

and BOL everyone!

Capybara · 11-12-11, 10:14 AM

Originally posted by Filmoz

What I'm on so far today:

11/12/11

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x

Let's get it!

and BOL everyone!

I'm tailing the fukk out of you today, Filmoz, let's get it!

By the way, the copy editor in me feels the need to ask: What is "Filmoz" and how does one pronounce it? Is it a shortened nickname of your name, like you're Phil Mozzarelli or something? Something to do with celluloid maybe? A reference to the land of Oz? To the TV show Oz? Perhaps you want to see a major motion picture made of that show? (That'd be cool, by the way, I'd see that.)

allidoiswin89 · 11-12-11, 10:14 AM

Good luck bud

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 10:28 AM

Originally posted by Capybara

I'm tailing the fukk out of you today, Filmoz, let's get it!

By the way, the copy editor in me feels the need to ask: What is "Filmoz" and how does one pronounce it? Is it a shortened nickname of your name, like you're Phil Mozzarelli or something? Something to do with celluloid maybe? A reference to the land of Oz? To the TV show Oz? Perhaps you want to see a major motion picture made of that show? (That'd be cool, by the way, I'd see that.)

Pronounced like "Fil-moze." Just a nonsense word that's become sort of an inside thing amongst my friends and I, based on a story that wouldn't make much sense to anyone else if I wrote it all out.

Capybara · 11-12-11, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Pronounced like "Fil-moze." Just a nonsense word that's become sort of an inside thing amongst my friends and I, based on a story that wouldn't make much sense to anyone else if I wrote it all out.

Thanks.

I know I'm a tool, but I feel so much better now knowing that.

Oh and who's in your avatar? It looks like a young Leonard Nimoy but I don't think it's him.

mrtsummit · 11-12-11, 10:34 AM

Is that your real picture?

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 10:47 AM

Originally posted by Capybara

Thanks.

I know I'm a tool, but I feel so much better now knowing that.

Oh and who's in your avatar? It looks like a young Leonard Nimoy but I don't think it's him.

Originally posted by mrtsummit

Is that your real picture?

Nope. It's a pic of Meyer Lansky.

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 11:21 AM

Any of my small but loyal crew have any college fb picks for the early games? I'm bored and want some action before the bball games start later. Right now I like Iowa +2.5.

swavings · 11-12-11, 11:24 AM

Filmoz, awesome stuff, i was on board for all games yesterday!! Started today with the prayer, love your style.

I like iowa and texas today in foots

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 11:29 AM

Originally posted by swavings

Filmoz, awesome stuff, i was on board for all games yesterday!! Started today with the prayer, love your style.

I like iowa and texas today in foots

Capybara · 11-12-11, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Any of my small but loyal crew have any college fb picks for the early games? I'm bored and want some action before the bball games start later. Right now I like Iowa +2.5.

I third Iowa, definitely the play in that game.

Man, I liked Illinois but the line just went flying the other way, something funny up there.

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 11:45 AM

Cool thanks guys. College football has been an absolute rollercoaster for me this season

. Night and day from my nfl results. Sometimes I think there are way more intangible factors at play in college football that cause more volatility, i.e. players going out and partying too hard the night before at a frat house, stupid stuff like that.

Capybara · 11-12-11, 11:52 AM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Cool thanks guys. College football has been an absolute rollercoaster for me this season

. Night and day from my nfl results. Sometimes I think there are way more intangible factors at play in college football that cause more volatility, i.e. players going out and partying too hard the night before at a frat house, stupid stuff like that.

Funny, I've always done best in NFL and struggled in College, but this season's been the exact opposite over the last month or so... flummoxed completely by the NFL but getting great results by watching the line movement in College.

rcjiii · 11-12-11, 01:41 PM

Filmoz, you taking more Syracuse at 24 1/2

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 01:52 PM

Originally posted by rcjiii

Filmoz, you taking more Syracuse at 24 1/2

Adding Syracuse -24 -108 3x

shocktopme · 11-12-11, 02:01 PM

.

You the man Film!!!!!!!!!!!

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 02:01 PM

11/12/11

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Syracuse -24 -108 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x
Evansville +3.5 -108 2x
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x
Miss St -15 -105 2x

shocktopme · 11-12-11, 02:03 PM

.

Film.....Kansas St. +5.5..........Lock it in!!!

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 02:04 PM

Added Miss St -15 2x, last second though, might be too late for anyone looking to tail that one.

trc · 11-12-11, 02:53 PM

Film, what do you like about E-ville over Butler?

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 02:56 PM

Originally posted by trc

Film, what do you like about E-ville over Butler?

Departure of Howard and Mack. Evansville a decent team returning some experienced players, playing at home, and beat a better Butler team last year.

trc · 11-12-11, 03:09 PM

Thanks, should be a good game

Capybara · 11-12-11, 03:52 PM

Damn, we couldn't quite pull out the Miss St. cover... ah well.

What do you think about Duke laying the lumber to Presbyterian at -29 after the wake-up call last night?

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 04:41 PM

Adding 3x of Long Beach State -13

So far we've got:

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Syracuse -24 -108 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x
Evansville +3.5 -108 2x
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Long Beach State -13 -107 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x L
Miss St -15 -105 2x P

Miss St game was rough. Felt pretty good about a cover after Miss St ended 1st half up by 15. Had the cover too but lost it on the final shot. We went from pushing on one and winning the other to pushing on one and losing the other. Ouch. Oh well, we soldier on, still lots of basketball left today.

Capybara · 11-12-11, 04:58 PM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Adding 3x of Long Beach State -13

So far we've got:

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Syracuse -24 -108 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x
Evansville +3.5 -108 2x
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Long Beach State -13 -107 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x L
Miss St -15 -105 2x P

Miss St game was rough. Felt pretty good about a cover after Miss St ended 1st half up by 15. Had the cover too but lost it on the final shot. We went from pushing on one and winning the other to pushing on one and losing the other. Ouch. Oh well, we soldier on, still lots of basketball left today.

Just curious, why the doubling up of units so often... new data, new calculations, or just chasing after tough losses? It's all good, but just curious. Also, what did u think of Duke -29? I played it.

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 05:46 PM

Originally posted by Filmoz

Syracuse -26 -105 3x
Syracuse -24 -108 3x
Evansville +3 -103 3x W
Evansville +3.5 -108 2x W
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Long Beach State -13 -107 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x L
Miss St -15 -105 2x P

Good to get the Wins on the Evansville plays, they ended up winning straight up in overtime.

shocktopme · 11-12-11, 05:51 PM

.

Nice my friend!!!!You rock!!

Filmoz · 11-12-11, 06:01 PM

[QUOTE=Filmoz;12321955]

Syracuse -26 -105 3x L
Syracuse -24 -108 3x W
Evansville +3 -103 3x W
Evansville +3.5 -108 2x W
Long Beach State -12.5 -103 3x
Long Beach State -13 -107 3x
Miss St -17 -102 3x L
Miss St -15 -105 2x P

Wow, just wow, on the end of the Syracuse game. Had both bets covered and then pointless fouls by Syracuse when they are up by 30 to give us a push. Disappointing.

shocktopme · 11-12-11, 06:06 PM

.

Your a Beast at hoops!!!