This System Picks Favorites!!!

jnsbanman · 02-25-11, 07:57 AM

I know how u feel about the tailing and soccer... 3 days down 30% of bankroll.

Romanov · 02-25-11, 09:20 AM

USC (-105) 1.05 to win 1

Oregon St (-120) 1.2 to win 1

Cash em. I might have some plays when pinny lines come out

Romanov · 02-25-11, 09:34 AM

No plays today. The closest thing to a play is Harvard but its still a long way off. No plays

Romanov · 02-26-11, 09:49 AM

Nice sized Saturday System Plays:

Virginia (-130) 1.3 to win 1
Kansas State (-170) 1.7 to win 1
Iowa State (-120) 1.2 to win 1
UCLA (-120) 1.2 to win 1
Baylor (-150) 1.5 to win 1

Cash money. 6.9 units out there to win 5

Romanov · 02-26-11, 10:17 AM

^^^
those were played at 5dimes

BigOrangeBrother · 02-26-11, 10:18 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

^^^
those were played at 5dimes

I'm with ya Romanov.....good luck today!!

ShivaBowl · 02-26-11, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

Nice sized Saturday System Plays: Virginia (-130) 1.3 to win 1 Kansas State (-170) 1.7 to win 1 Iowa State (-120) 1.2 to win 1 UCLA (-120) 1.2 to win 1 Baylor (-150) 1.5 to win 1 Cash money. 6.9 units out there to win 5

GOOD LUCK TODAY Romanov
I have my eye on you

Romanov · 02-26-11, 10:21 AM

Originally posted by BigOrangeBrother

I'm with ya Romanov.....good luck today!!

Thanks man. U too. Any thoughts on the byu sdsu game. Im leaning sdsu

Romanov · 02-26-11, 10:23 AM

Originally posted by ShivaBowl

GOOD LUCK TODAY Romanov
I have my eye on you

Shiva!! Im fxckin pumped to tail u in mlb. Will u b posting this year? Good to c u in ncaab forum

BigOrangeBrother · 02-26-11, 10:27 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

Thanks man. U too. Any thoughts on the byu sdsu game. Im leaning sdsu

SDSU has definitely been my surprise team this year. I think they will put the clamps on Jimmer and control the middle of the floor with their size. Gotta like SDSU at home....just my opinion of course.

Romanov · 02-26-11, 10:33 AM

Originally posted by BigOrangeBrother

SDSU has definitely been my surprise team this year. I think they will put the clamps on Jimmer and control the middle of the floor with their size. Gotta like SDSU at home....just my opinion of course.

Are u betting on them then?

BigOrangeBrother · 02-26-11, 10:36 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

Are u betting on them then?

Sure......why not? I'll throw a unit on them

Romanov · 02-26-11, 10:54 AM

Well if the sdsu ml gets a little higher ill have to play it. Ill wait till gametime to decide tho. Stickin with my original 5 for now

BigOrangeBrother · 02-26-11, 11:55 AM

Saw the SDSU line jump to -190

Romanov · 02-26-11, 04:55 PM

Virginia (-130) 1.3 to win 1

Kansas State (-170) 1.7 to win 1

Iowa State (-120) 1.2 to win 1

UCLA (-120) 1.2 to win 1
Baylor (-150) 1.5 to win 1

Things looking okay today. I don't know where the hell Boston College came from. Jesus Christ. Also, UCLA up by 9 last I checked. The Baylor pick still looks strong and if you are looking to make a play, the Baylor ML still has good value in my opinion.

Romanov · 02-26-11, 06:07 PM

Cash UCLA bitchez. Cash Money

Romanov · 02-26-11, 07:58 PM

I am in love with this little line movement in the Baylor game. Went from 2.5 to 3 and the moneyline has stayed steady all day despite a minority of bets on Baylor in both categories. I see this line being pretty accurate. Baylor wins by 3 or maybe a little more or less depending on late in the game free throws.

BigOrangeBrother · 02-27-11, 05:51 AM

Another nice day of picks Rommy.....keep up the good work. Glad I had Baylor as a bail out game last night. I played way too many games yesterday!!

BigMama · 02-27-11, 06:12 AM

great day for all

Romanov · 02-27-11, 09:58 AM

Originally posted by BigOrangeBrother

Another nice day of picks Rommy.....keep up the good work. Glad I had Baylor as a bail out game last night. I played way too many games yesterday!!

I know what you mean. I played 16 games on wednesday and my ass was bleeding by midnight

Originally posted by BigMama

great day for all

yep. positive units.

Romanov · 02-27-11, 10:06 AM

Virginia (-130) 1.3 to win 1

Kansas State (-170) 1.7 to win 1

Iowa State (-120) 1.2 to win 1

UCLA (-120) 1.2 to win 1

Baylor (-150) 1.5 to win 1

Won 2.7 units yesterday. This system is positive 16.75 units.

*I started keeping track of my picks in the spreadsheet yesterday. If you want to know the overall record of the system with the spreadsheet, take 14.05*$100 and add it to whatever the current balance is in the spreadsheet. The 14.05*$100 is the sum of all the plays for the system pre-spreadsheet. I played saturdays 5 plays in the spreadsheet so that is why it is 14.05 and not 16.75. I will be back later with plays

Romanov · 02-27-11, 10:27 AM

Gather round gather round I got a couple picks for ya'll:

Louisville (-120) 1.2 to win 1
Michigan State (-115) 1.15 to win 1

Risky, I'd play these small if you play them at all. Tom Izzo better get his shit together

Romanov · 02-28-11, 08:47 AM

Louisville (-120) 1.2 to win 1

Michigan State (-115) 1.15 to win 1

And... tom izzo did not get his shit together. Lost .15 units on the day so I am sitting at +16.6 units overall. Not bad. I hope to have a play for today

Romanov · 02-28-11, 10:29 AM

1 possible play thus far:

Northern Colorado

Romanov · 02-28-11, 10:32 AM

Notre Dame will become a play if the moneyline at pinnacle hits somewhere in the neighborhood of -222 but as of now it isn't.

-222 or 1.45

Romanov · 02-28-11, 04:06 PM

AND WE HAVE A PLAY FOR TODAY!!!

Notre Dame (-220) 4.4 to win 2

Romanov · 02-28-11, 06:49 PM

With over 20 cents of money line movement in ND's favor, I am loving this pick. Get on it if you are looking to make some green

Romanov · 03-01-11, 09:19 AM

Notre Dame (-220) 4.4 to win 2

Fukk yea. Tack those 2 units on to our overall +/- and we are sitting at +18.6 units!

Romanov · 03-01-11, 12:49 PM

A ton a plays tuesday!!!:

Oklahoma St (-135) 1.35 to win 1
Virginia (-122) 1.22 to win 1
Nebraska (-120) 1.2 to win 1
Kentucky (-380) 3.8 to win 1

Romanov · 03-01-11, 06:45 PM

Loving these picks and line mvmt. Just checkin in and these picks are still system plays in case some of u are tailing or thinking about it

Romanov · 03-01-11, 09:17 PM

Cash Oklahoma St and Virginia

Romanov · 03-01-11, 10:01 PM

Cash Nebraska! All that is left is Kentucky and they are kickin ass

shaggy3000 · 03-01-11, 10:08 PM

what are your requirements for your system? because im picking ML as well but i really dont have a system but more of such stats i like to see.

Romanov · 03-01-11, 10:29 PM

Originally posted by shaggy3000

what are your requirements for your system? because im picking ML as well but i really dont have a system but more of such stats i like to see.

I scrape certain stats from websites. Assign normalized values to them. I use a power rankings thing online (pm me if you want the name). I attribute certain values to that information. I use KenPom numbers as well. All the numbers are normalized in a sense.

I scrape pinnacle for their moneylines, as well as matchbook and the greek and do some calculations. Excel runs some implied win% probabilities for me as well as red flags some large line movement changes. I have a spreadsheet run all these numbers automatically whenever I open it (it scrapes everything for me) and whatever it spits out, I play. I have set a criteria for plays above a certain edge %.

On most days I wake up, open the spreadsheet and bam, my picks are made for me. It is a very simple model (I wouldn't even call it modeling) but it is working as it should. I am basically a hack and not very good. The time I run the picks is arbitrary and I have been doing my best to account for that

shaggy3000 · 03-01-11, 10:35 PM

o ok. damn i really wish sometimes that i knew more about spreadsheets because it seems like a lot of good cappers use them in college ball. o well ill just have to keep picking and hoping like im doing now.

wish i would have followed your ND play last night. instead i took Texas and lost $900 on that game.