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[Romanov]

Romanov do u have a system u use for baseball? I tailed g's picks and used baseball crusher last year and made a ton. I would recommend checking out g's thread. He does a modified chase with excellent results. Interested to hear your baseball plans romanov.

Who is g? I'll probably be tailing shivabowl/paco/lakerboy. I'll be tailing all of shivas plays if i can and I will pick pacos/lakerboys that I like when i can. I'm not good at baseball myself.


On another note, COME ON COLORADO!

[Romanov]

Straight cash today!

UCONN (-140) 2.8 to win 2
Colorado (-200) 4 to win 2

+4 units on the day
+33 units overall



got another play coming...

[Romanov]

Tread lightly. Note the smaller to win amounts than the plays from earlier:

West Virginia (-140) 1.4 to win 1

5dimes

BOL

http://romanov.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[Romanov]

Hey guys. If any of you got on WVU at -140, we are looking great. Pinnacle has it at -150 now and its only trending upwards.

A line of -150 implies a win% of 58.6092715%

If we bet this 1,000,000 times ($1.40 to win $1) at our -140 odds, we would win $586092.72 (1,000,000*.586092715)

We would also lose $579470.20 ($1.40*1,000,000*(1-.586092715))

$586092.72 - $579470.20 = $6622.52

The probabilities actually favor us in this case (unlike when you bet a line at -110). Our expected winnings over 1,000,000 bets placed would be $6622.52. In contrast, you can expect to lose $45,454.55 for every 1,000,000 $1 bets placed on a regular -110 side.

Basically, our expected win for WVU -140 is $0.006623, or less than a cent. But that is still considered a smart bet

[shaggy3000]

i did well in math. like real well. but Roman sir you confuse me sometimes

[Romanov]

i did well in math. like real well. but Roman sir you confuse me sometimes

I could easily be wrong.

Also:

GO MOUNTAINEERS! UP 7 at half!!

[BigOrangeBrother]

Two nice wins yesterday.....screw WVU!!!

[Romanov]

Two nice wins yesterday.....screw WVU!!!

got greedy, but the wvu play was with money i had just won so w/e. bol today

[Romanov]

Plays Plays Plays Today! I haven't done the Big East or Big 12 games yet because the moneylines are not out yet but here is what I have played so far:

Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1
Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1
Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1
USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1

5dimes

I expect more plays when the Big East and Big 12 (and now I see that only some of the Pac10 have been released) come out. I'll be in class so I might not make it for the early round of games.

BOL

[ShivaBowl]

Plays Plays Plays Today! I haven't done the Big East or Big 12 games yet because the moneylines are not out yet but here is what I have played so far: Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1 Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1 Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1 USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1 5dimes I expect more plays when the Big East and Big 12 (and now I see that only some of the Pac10 have been released) come out. I'll be in class so I might not make it for the early round of games. BOL

Looks good Romanov, BOL today.
FYI; I’m on the Huskies, Marquette, Orange and the Rams yet again.

[ShivaBowl]

Romanov, do you have any # on SJU @ SYR or CIN @ ND?
Thanks

[willij97]

idk man some of those teams might pull of the upset

[Romanov]

Additional plays:

Syracuse (-145) 1.45 to win 1
Notre Dame (-125) 1.25 to win 1
Louisville (-175) 1.75 to win 1

All at 5dimes

[Romanov]

Another Play!!! 5dimes

K-State (-325) 3.25 to win 1

That should be it for the day

Check this the link below to see all 8 plays I have today:

http://romanov.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/

[ShivaBowl]

Connecticut's Kemba Walker

[Romanov]

K-State (-325) 3.25 to win 1
Syracuse (-145) 1.45 to win 1
Notre Dame (-125) 1.25 to win 1
Louisville (-175) 1.75 to win 1
Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1
Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1
Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1
USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1

Plus .75 units on the day thus far with 3 plays remaining. Really regretting K-State

[Romanov]

props moved to prop thread

[Romanov]

http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-basketball-handicapping/979999-my-poisson-props.html

starting a prop thread ^^^

check it out

[ShivaBowl]

K-State (-325) 3.25 to win 1 Syracuse (-145) 1.45 to win 1 Notre Dame (-125) 1.25 to win 1 Louisville (-175) 1.75 to win 1 Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1 Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1 Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1 USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1 Plus .75 units on the day thus far with 3 plays remaining. Really regretting K-State

To-bad about K-St, but I think were going too be OK!
GL

[Romanov]

To-bad about K-St, but I think were going too be OK! GL

did you tail? maryland is kicking ass right now and so is ND

[Small Timer]

Let's go Cards!

[spippen]

Good job, Romanov.

[Romanov]

K-State (-325) 3.25 to win 1
Syracuse (-145) 1.45 to win 1
Notre Dame (-125) 1.25 to win 1
Louisville (-175) 1.75 to win 1
Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1
Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1
Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1
USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1

+3.75 units on the day. +35.35 units overall. Yesterday would have been amazing had K-State not shit the bed

(33 units before the WVU play wednesday. Lost the WVU play so -1.4 units, then add 3.75 units which = 35.35 units)

Will have plays for today and thanks for the good luck. Looks like I have a little!

[ShivaBowl]

K-State (-325) 3.25 to win 1 Syracuse (-145) 1.45 to win 1 Notre Dame (-125) 1.25 to win 1 Louisville (-175) 1.75 to win 1 Maryland (-250) 2.5 to win 1 Northwestern (-111) 1.1 to win 1 Michigan St (-290) 2.9 to win 1 USC (-160) 1.6 to win 1 +3.75 units on the day. +35.35 units overall. Yesterday would have been amazing had K-State not shit the bed (33 units before the WVU play wednesday. Lost the WVU play so -1.4 units, then add 3.75 units which = 35.35 units) Will have plays for today and thanks for the good luck. Looks like I have a little!

NICE WORK Romanov

[blackbeSSt]

chalky! but i like it! will keep an eye on this thread

[ShivaBowl]

did you tail? maryland is kicking ass right now and so is ND

Thanks Romanov, I cashed in on both of them and I got off of Marquette.
NICE DAY $$$$$$$
THANKS

I`m leaning on the Huskies again and the Cardinals tonight.

[Small Timer]

Had Maryland, and seeing you one the Cards convinced me to play them too

[Romanov]

chalky! but i like it! will keep an eye on this thread

Thanks for stopping by

Thanks Romanov, I cashed in on both of them and I got off of Marquette. NICE DAY $$$$$$$ THANKS I`m leaning on the Huskies again and the Cardinals tonight.

I have a couple borderline plays but IDK if I will play em. I gotta watch some line movement. I'm glad you got off Marquette lol

Had Maryland, and seeing you one the Cards convinced me to play them too

Nice

[Romanov]

As of now, there aren't any plays on the board for the system. A couple are close and with some line movement they could become plays. I'll try to post as soon as I see something. Best of luck today whatever you bet. I might just do props and root for some upsets

[EasyHustlin]

Who is g? I'll probably be tailing shivabowl/paco/lakerboy. I'll be tailing all of shivas plays if i can and I will pick pacos/lakerboys that I like when i can. I'm not good at baseball myself. On another note, COME ON COLORADO!

He's probably talking about g's pks, he had a martingale "system" that did ok last season.

[Romanov]

Martingale... no thanks lol

I have a couple leans, Louisville and Clemson. They aren't official plays yet but I will decide with time before the tipoff.

[Romanov]

I know I am going against the Kemba but...

Syracuse (-165) 1.65 to win 1

Official play at 5dimes

[ShivaBowl]

Romanov, Ct and Walker have trouble with Syracuse’s zone defensive.
Its not going to be easy for CT tonight, but there’s just something not right with SYR this year,
I just don’t trust them and I wasn’t impressed with their win against SJU.

Louisville may be a fav by tip-off? Clemson looks good.

[Romanov]

Romanov, Ct and Walker have trouble with Syracuse’s zone defensive. Its not going to be easy for CT tonight, but there’s just something not right with SYR this year, I just don’t trust them and I wasn’t impressed with their win against SJU. Louisville may be a fav by tip-off? Clemson looks good.

Agreed. If Louisville is favored then I am playing them

[ShivaBowl]

Agreed. If Louisville is favored then I am playing them

Hey Romanov, Joe Public is getting killed today, in the tune of 1-5..
Also 69% on ND tonight, Louisville +1 >
Cashed in on Clemson,$$$