Big Ten Season Long Thread- Juanitodelfuego

juanitodelfuego · 02-24-11, 04:27 PM

Tonight, i am going to break this slump.
NW hosting PS.

PS beat them soundly on their home court and can play on the road covering 4 of 7. I am taking PS +4.5 over 132. Penn State loses by 2 70-68. PS 1X Over 132 2X

BiffTFinancial · 02-24-11, 04:47 PM

Originally posted by juanitodelfuego

I have that game coming in at IU 65 PU 69, so a little too close for me to the total. Now if i look at IU and PU play as of late - PU 76 v. OS (big game factor) PS 70 v. UW (again, kind of big game factor for them) IL v PU 81 pts, this was out of nowhere.

Flip side is IU at home is Nucking Futs. Its crazy, loud and I will be there tonight myself. I am leaning a lot on their last game vs. NW that they got drunk the night before, or someone had a bad day they should have one that day.

Knowing how much IU hates PU and the feeling is mutual, I would lean to the OVER and will do so 2x to back up my write up.

thank you for your time and thoughts. my apologies for nudging you towards a losing play. for what it's worth, i lost 4* on it. 9 missed FTs in final 7 minutes, bah.

juanitodelfuego · 02-25-11, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

thank you for your time and thoughts. my apologies for nudging you towards a losing play. for what it's worth, i lost 4* on it. 9 missed FTs in final 7 minutes, bah.

I am big boy, I just always back up my write ups with my dough.

juanitodelfuego · 02-25-11, 12:51 PM

Big 10 Season Record 52-52-1 -5.5 units

juanitodelfuego · 02-26-11, 10:31 AM

First game MN is hosting Big Blue. I like Michigan in this game.

They have been playing better ball, lost a tight game to IL, they have also had a week of rest before heading over into the tundra. M is getting 5.5 on the road with a total of 129. I like the momentum and the fact that they have covered their last 3 of 4 vs, MN 1-3 against the spread as of late.

I am rolling with The Wolverines +5.5, over 129.

Second game, The fighting Illinis is bringing in the Hawkeyes of Iowa for this Saturday's contest. Iowa is bringing 12 points with them, but I feel its not going to be enough.

Two tough road losses for the illinois team should have them ready to taste blood today. i have the Hawks dropping this by 13, but their road performance allows me to take the step to back Illinois.

I am on IL -12 and also like the under here of 133.5.

i am going 2x on everything today.

juanitodelfuego · 02-27-11, 12:26 PM

Over unders are messing me up

juanitodelfuego · 02-27-11, 12:31 PM

First game, MS is bringing in those bastards from West Lafayette (I can say that, I went to IU, I have season tix etc.) and they are getting a little bump of 1.5 and a total of 133.5

Boilers are hot, they played their last game in a very hostile environment and are on a mission. Ms has been one of the biggest let downs this year in the Big Ten. i have this game with a 1/2 point edge to MS BUT Moore and Johnson for PU are too tough.

I am taking PU 4X and the over 2X.

juanitodelfuego · 02-27-11, 12:44 PM

Next up IU heading to Columbus to take on OSU. They are getting 17.5 with a posted total of 137. IU lost at home by 15 and OSU has a 2.5 home court advantage so I get the spread. OSU only had one real blowout recently and that was Jan 19th vs Iowa.

I have IU dropping this 75-65, so I am taking IU 2X and the over 2x.

If I am Tom Crean I would have come up with some backwoods ass plan to keep this interesting. Kill a chicken in the locker room, have the chemistry nerds make some kick ass LSD and spike OSU's gatorade, I don't know, be creative.

I am going all out, wearing the gorilla suit with IU basketball uniform on top into OSU arena and talk smack all day long. I brought my buddy who is 6-5 and 240 to keep me out of trouble. i may storm the court to draw OSU out of run.

GO IU!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

juanitodelfuego · 02-27-11, 05:38 PM

Last game, I am taking UW -11 and the under127 2x each. mobile so no big write up

juanitodelfuego · 03-01-11, 06:01 PM

Game one tonight Purdue is hosting Illinois +9.5, 135.

Purdue beat these guys on the road by 11 and went over and I look for a replay tonight, easy play 3 x each way PU/ Over

I bought .5 pt to get it to PU -9.

juanitodelfuego · 03-01-11, 06:04 PM

Game two, Penn State bringing in OSU -7, 129.

I am on PS and the over, I love Penn State at home 2x each way. PS +7 / Over 129.

juanitodelfuego · 03-02-11, 03:15 PM

Big 10 Season Record 59-59-1 -3.5 units

juanitodelfuego · 03-02-11, 03:54 PM

First up, the Spartans are hosting the Iowa Hawkeyes +10.5, 131.

The last team for MS to beat by double digits was Penn State on 2/10, they won by 18 and went over the posted total of 128 by 4 pts. MS has only covered 3 of 8 at home while staying under 5 of thsee times as well. MS has covered 6 of 16 and stayed under 11 of those.

UI has covered 2 of 8 on the road, staying under 5 times. They are 6-16 against the spread and are split 8-8 O/U.

MS just got hammered at home by Purdue three days ago and Iowa missed covering by 1 pt. against IL on the 26th. What to do?

I have this MS 69 UI 62. MS and UI have not been living up to expectations, so I am going in with UI +11 and also taking the under 2x each

juanitodelfuego · 03-02-11, 04:06 PM

Next up, Minney +4, 136 is heading to Chicago to take on Northwestern.

Minnesota has not won since 2/13 in a road game against Iowa where they were 1 pt favs. MN has covered 3 of 8 on the road staying under 5 times. they are 5-16 against the spread overall and 8-9 O/U.

NW is on a big slide as well. The last win they scared up was on 2/19 on the road against IU as dogs. They are 4-4 against the spread at home, splitting the O/U as well. they are 7 of 17 against the spread overall and 11 overs in those 17 games.

I like NW chances to cover here and I am also taking the under for a defensive night. 2x each

juanitodelfuego · 03-02-11, 05:09 PM

Originally posted by juanitodelfuego

First up, the Spartans are hosting the Iowa Hawkeyes +10.5, 131.

The last team for MS to beat by double digits was Penn State on 2/10, they won by 18 and went over the posted total of 128 by 4 pts. MS has only covered 3 of 8 at home while staying under 5 of thsee times as well. MS has covered 6 of 16 and stayed under 11 of those.

UI has covered 2 of 8 on the road, staying under 5 times. They are 6-16 against the spread and are split 8-8 O/U.

MS just got hammered at home by Purdue three days ago and Iowa missed covering by 1 pt. against IL on the 26th. What to do?

I have this MS 69 UI 62. MS and UI have not been living up to expectations, so I am going in with UI +11 and also taking the under 2x each

Hawks are now up to 11.5

juanitodelfuego · 03-03-11, 02:00 PM

Big 10 Season Record 61-61-1 -3.5 units

juanitodelfuego · 03-03-11, 02:04 PM

Tonight, my Indiana Hoosiers last home game and senior night.

IU +6.5, 127.

I will take IU at 25 SBR point increments until I am out.

I have IU dropping this 63-61, so I am on IU and the under. Remember, bet against me when I take IU, especially when you hear this.

I am down 3.5 units, so I am on IU 7x. I am counting on UW looking to OSU this weekend, and IU playing in front of their moms.

Under is a 2x play for me, this mirrors the Purdue game that totaled out at 133, Uw defense should keep it lower.

juanitodelfuego · 03-03-11, 02:09 PM

okay just locked it in IU 6.5 for 7x.

juanitodelfuego · 03-04-11, 02:19 PM

Big 10 Season Record 61-63-1 -12.5 units

juanitodelfuego · 03-04-11, 02:19 PM

Last games of the regular season:

Indiana @ Illinois

Michigan State @ Michigan

Purdue @ Iowa

Penn State @ Minnesota

Wisconsin @ Ohio State

juanitodelfuego · 03-05-11, 09:36 AM

Today, for the record - IU + 10.5 / O139, UM -1,O126, PU -9, O133
3x across the board

BiffTFinancial · 03-05-11, 09:46 AM

BOL with your plays today.

juanitodelfuego · 03-06-11, 08:54 AM

Today i have to go with Minney early, they did this last time they had lost 4 in a row and then finally won. They are -4 at home, 127.

I have it MN 66, PS 64, with only 2 pts I have to go with their trend and home team here.

3X MN, 2X Over

BigMama · 03-06-11, 10:02 AM

great day for all

BiffTFinancial · 03-06-11, 11:14 AM

like the Gophers, like the over a lot. BOL to you today.

juanitodelfuego · 03-06-11, 12:35 PM

Originally posted by BiffTFinancial

like the Gophers, like the over a lot. BOL to you today.

Glad we agree. i have been gettign my ass kicked lately. Not a good sign when I am heading to Vegas for the 1st round.

By the way, this may make me sound like an idot, but what does BOL stand for?

I have seen it a lot, but never asked.

juanitodelfuego · 03-06-11, 03:06 PM

My score was right, just the wrong way

juanitodelfuego · 03-06-11, 03:13 PM

Next game up, OSU bringing in UW.

Now, Wiskey beat them at home 71-67, covering and going over where they were 2 pt favs.... that was 20 days ago or so.

A win for UW on the road puts them in a tie for 2nd place in the Big 10.

I have this game coming in 67-61 OSU, so I am going to play the trend here to, that is for OS to keep it hard core today at 4 at put away UW by 12 points.

I am on OSU and the Over again, 3x each way

juanitodelfuego · 03-06-11, 06:34 PM

Big 10 Season Record 67-68-1 -7.5 units

juanitodelfuego · 03-09-11, 06:18 PM

Early indicators for Day 1 of the B10T are:

MN +1 Over 132 vs.NW
UI +7 Over 130 vs. MS
IU +5 Over 128.5 vs. PS

I am going to run down these six teams tonight and get my tourney picks on the board early.

juanitodelfuego · 03-09-11, 06:20 PM

Big Ten tourney 2009

First Round (3/12)
#8 Minnesota def. #9 Northwestern, 66-53
#7 Michigan def. #10 Iowa, 73-45
#6 Penn State def. #11 Indiana, 66-51

Quarter (3/13)
#1 Michigan State def. #8 Minnesota, 64-56
#5 Ohio State def. #4 Wisconsin, 61-57
#2 Illinois def. #7 Michigan, 60-50
#3 Purdue def. #6 Penn State, 79-65

Semi(3/14)
#5 Ohio State def. #1 Michigan State, 82-70
#3 Purdue def. #2 Illinois, 66-56

Finals (3/15)
#3 Purdue def. #5 Ohio State, 65-61

juanitodelfuego · 03-09-11, 06:21 PM

2008 - Indianapolis, Ind.

First Round (3/13)
#9 Michigan def. #8 Iowa, 55-47
#10 Illinois def. #7 Penn State, 64-63
#6 Minnesota def. #11 Northwestern, 55-52

Quarter(3/14)
#1 Wisconsin def. #9 Michigan, 51-34
#4 Michigan State def. #5 Ohio State, 67-60
#10 Illinois def. #2 Purdue, 74-67 (OT)
#6 Minnesota def. #3 Indiana, 59-58

Semi(3/15)
#1 Wisconsin def. #4 Michigan State, 65-63
#10 Illinois def. #6 Minnesota, 54-40

Finals (3/16)
#1 Wisconsin def. #10 Illinois, 61-48

juanitodelfuego · 03-10-11, 11:15 AM

After further consideration, here are my first round B10T picks.

Minnesota has beaten NW two years in a row at the B10T. NW just beat and covered against them last week. This is going to be a coaches game, so I have to go with Tubby Smith and the better team.

MN +1 Over 133 2x each

juanitodelfuego · 03-10-11, 11:17 AM

Second game, MSU vs. Iowa.

Clear and simple, Iowa plays like ass on the road, the last two years do not really count as their coach was an idiot whose style did not work in the B10.

Again, this is a coaching day here in Indianapolis, I am comfortable with Izzo and the Spartans -7, staying under 131. 2x each way

juanitodelfuego · 03-10-11, 11:18 AM

Lastly, my boys the Hoosiers will beat Penn State.

IU is getting 4 and will go over the total of 129, 3x each way