Goallines Streak breaker thread,,,>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

[goallinebob]

i have it for all NCAAB from 2009 and it is an insight into how these play out,,,,,,,

as said tenn martin went 14 losses in a row last year and finished season at 3-19-1 and yesterday they played their game against LSU and i immediately played LSU and if check it was an easy win ,,loosing streaks gives you this insight and not always about a streak breaker but what team to play

[goallinebob]

last year,,after Tenn martin,,0-14

0-9,,,,Memphis,,,Rutgers,,,

0-8 texas,, and they skewed my pick yesterday as i went with ILL and lost,,, sometimes it works in reverse.. they were the only team that had a 0-8 losing streak

0-7 Stanford before it was broken

0-6 ,,Elon,,,S fran,,,SMU,,,Ohio St,,,Penn,,,ALR,,,,UTEP,,,,Ohio,,,Boise, ,,
[COLOR="red"]

0-5,,,too many to list but there were 27 teams that finally won after loss #5[/COLOR]

0-4,,,,,there were 52 teams that broke their losing streaks at 0-4,, thats why i like the chase to start at #5 thru #6

as you can see there were 14 losing streaks that went beyond #5,, and if you chase one more on losing streaks ,, your win % adds,,,9 more wins and only 5 teams that beat you

[goallinebob]

understand those 5 teams cost you 3 times ,, #1wager,,#2 double wager,, double/double wager,,Quit = 7 wager losses x 5 teams = 35 wager losses that are lost,,,,,

[goallinebob]

thats why i place the win/ loss streak plays at #5,and #6,,,,and believe me there will be plenty of plays this season on both win and loss streaks

[goallinebob]

win streak plays,,,,,before the finally lost,, and i have all the dates they lost

9-0 N Iowa,, finally lost on 01/12/10
8-0 St Marys,,,,,Charlston,, ( St Marys actually had two long win streaks last year)
7-0,,,N Mex,,,Miss St,,,W&M,,,Northeastern,,Ark St,,
6-0,,,there were 18 teams that had 6 wins prior to losing
5-0,,,there were 28 teams that finally lost after a win streak of 5
4-0,, there were 51 teams that finally lost after a streak of 4-0

[goallinebob]

we have our first 0-4 losing streak,,,,,,DENVER,, odds makers job to adjust the point spread so Denver covers and breaks its losing streak,,,,,will this happen,,,??????

Loy Chi had a 3-0 streak and just lost so that streak ended at 3,,, one short of play after 4 wins,,,

[goallinebob]

understand these streak plays are all ATS,,,,,,,just as we wager for the most

[goallinebob]

Denver next play is 11/24 against Alcorn st,, this will prob not be wagerable so we will need to await 11/27 vs Boise

streaks do not stop with odd ball games not wagerable on or pushes ,,,,,,streak rules

[jolmscheid]

Alright yea that makes sense for sure Bob...Alright then I will stick to doing 4 Game Wins / Loss streaks and plays games 5 and 6 as needed...

[jolmscheid]

Ok...the final card for today is:

(A) Minnesota Wild
(A) Edmonton Oilers
(A) Memphis Grizzlies ATS
(A) UL Lafayette ATS (They are playing Cleveland State who is on a 4-Game Win Streak)

[goallinebob]

damnnn first loss,,, WVU wins but does not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

2nd loss O'Dom gonna win but not cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

should played them both on ML,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

(A) UL Lafayette ATS (They are playing Cleveland State who is on a 4-Game Win Streak),, i do not see this ?????

[goallinebob]

they have 4 wins but you do not count games you can't wager on and all wins must be ATS wins

11/15/10 URB W 83-49 - - - -VOID
11/14/10 KST W 69-66 L -4 U 140.5 no cover
11/13/10 IONA W 78-68 W -4 O 136
11/12/10 BRYT W 71-57 L -23 - -No Cover

if you check covers Ncaab stats they are #203 and 1-2-0 ATS

[jolmscheid]

Gotcha...But I thought you said that you fade 4 straight up wins OR 4 ATS wins...correct???

[mrkron]

Any nite picks????

[goallinebob]

in college hoops i was more involved in ATS wins/ Losses,,,not SU



yeaaa i have quite a few,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
WKU
N/C
Xavier
texas
Cal Irvine
Applic St
G/tech
Penn St
Auburn

[goallinebob]

if they fit your plays then play them,, do not tail as its way too early in season to be accurate on all plays,,I lost the frist two so play as you see them,, i use last years records and current 2/3 games currently played,,,,to make my decisions,,and a gutt approach,,,,,i

[goallinebob]

early plays today,,I'M on,,,,,,,,,,2-2 so far

WV,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,won but no cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,should played on ML
Davidson,,,,,,,,,,Winner,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
O'Dom,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,won but no cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,should played on ML
Clem,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Winner,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
RI,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
ILL,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Port St,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

early plays today,,I'M on,,,,,,,,,,2-2 so far

WV,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,won but no cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,should played on ML
Davidson,,,,,,,,,,Winner,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
O'Dom,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,won but no cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,should played on ML
Clem,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Winner,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
RI,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
ILL,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, Misses the cover by .5,,,,,, this is bull Shit,,
Port St,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Loss ,, rather lose like this than that .5 loss,,,
________________________________________ __________________
On to evening games,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

need to turn this boat around,,,,,,3-5

[goallinebob]

correction 3-4,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

texas loses but covers,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, what a game,,,

[goallinebob]

results later games

yeaaa i have quite a few,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
WKU,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,won but no cover,,,,,,
N/C,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Lost SU
Xavier,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,winner easy
texas,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,,,,,,,,missed winning SU but Covered,,,Great game to watch,,,,
Cal Irvine,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Knew they would cover against Navy,,,
Applic St,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,winner with PS
G/tech,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Easy Winner,,,,,,,,,,,
Penn St,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,Easy Winner,,,,,,,,,
Auburn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,was leery on this play,, i will not be fooled in the future,,fade Auburn,,

On to saturday,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

had a rough Morning (3-4) but turned it around in evening for a total 9-7 day,,,,,,,ncaab

jolmscheid,,,,Streak Plays ( 1-2-1),,,,,need to chase those 2 losses one more time

Ok...the final card for today is:

(A) Minnesota Wild,,,,,,,,,,,,winner
(A) Edmonton Oilers,,,,,,,,,,,Loss
(A) Memphis Grizzlies ATS,,,,Loss
(A) UL Lafayette ATS (They are playing Cleveland State who is on a 4-Game Win Streak),, PUSH

[goallinebob]

Early plays that look good

Ball St +13.5
UAB +8
Loy Mrymt
Samford with win over Auburn
Campbell,,played well against MTS
Lamar and that 90 points over Cal Riv and add port St Dismal 53 points vs SMU
St Pete and LBSt i need to see the point spread
SMU will cover against Cal Riv but need PS to decide first
Co Charlston,, looks like the play for me but need P/S

working on later games and will be back when i have some thing FINALIZED


unlv -3.5

[goallinebob]

could not play Loy Mrymt after i saw that stupid Spread -33,,,,,,,,,,will accept the loss as posted but no way was a -33 legitimat spread,, and after the fact to see a 7 point win,, that was absurb to lay -33 on that game,, there not Mich St cm on,,,

[goallinebob]

have a ton of games later today,,,,,,,,,,,,

don't know where to start,,,,,,,,,

[jolmscheid]

Today for the streak breakers I have:

(B) Grizzlies ATS for 2 Units
(A) Cavs ATS for 1 Unit

[goallinebob]

sorry,,,never got back to plays on Saturday,, went 15-8 overall so not good,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Teams i lost on,,, most couldn't cover their spreads,,,,,,,,,RI,,SMU,,Cal Irv,,,Colorado,,,WMU,,,ETC,,,,


Early plays that look good,, that i did post early,,,,went,,,,

Ball St +13.5,,,,,,,,,Loss,,,
UAB +8,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Loy Mrymt ,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,that -33 was a joke i could not play it but posted so,,,LOSS,,,
Samford with win over Auburn,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,LOSS
Campbell,,played well against MTS,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
Lamar and that 90 points over Cal Riv and add port St Dismal 53 points vs SMU,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,
St Pete and LBSt i need to see the point spread,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, ,pass
SMU will cover against Cal Riv but need PS to decide first,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,LOSS... read that wrong
Co Charlston,, looks like the play for me but need P/S,,,,,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

haven't had any time to do my work on ncaab today,, hate weekends as just too much sports going on to concentrate properly,, ncaab,,, ncaaf,,,nhl,,,NBA,,,NFL,,,,,

[goallinebob]

streak Plays coming up soon

Texas has 4 ATS wins
Denver has 4 ATS losses,,( Must admit don't know if can wager on this that their loss streak stops,,),,maybe small

[jolmscheid]

For some streak breakers today I have:

NHL: Ducks to win 1 Unit
NHL: Canucks to win 2 Units
CBB: West Virginia ATS to win 1 Unit
CBB: NCSPAR ATS to win 1 Unit
CBB: NC State ATS to win 1 Unit

The record I show for playing only against 4 wins / losses and chasing for two games is 3-3 for +2.35 Units

[goallinebob]

Plays that look good to me,,primarily following how they scored in past games in tournament

534
537
553
557
559
561
564
568
addit plays i like slightly less
512
522
572
551
555
548,, but can they cover the Spread,,,???

________________________________________ _______________--
some notes on streak plays,, nothing pending yet,,,but,,,,

awaiting Texas (4-0) and Denver(0-4) next starts,, first ATS streak busters for 2010

Loy Chi got to 3 w's in a row and did not cover on 11/18
Portland got to 3 W's in a row and did not cover 11/19
Oregon had two losses in a row and then won and now are 0-2 again for the 2nd time in 5 games,,,,maybe fade material down the line,,,,,