Goallines Streak breaker thread,,,>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>>

[goallinebob]

madmiek

[goallinebob]

i made sooooo much money on Sunday at 10- 2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,I still can't believe it,,,,

[goallinebob]

Kent 80-63,,,,,,,,,

[goallinebob]

NIU 71-69,,,,,,,,,,,,

Its soooooooooooo easyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyy

[goallinebob]

[madmiek]

i made sooooo much money on Sunday at 10- 2,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,I still can't believe it,,,,

Im curious, How much? pm me if you dont want to say it here.

[Axis]

Ooooh yea.

[madmiek]

Whos streak are we breaking today?

[thedoctor33]

Bob don't central michigan who lost there last 5 ats and Kansas st who also has lost last 5 ats count?

I've been following you all year and just thought they might fit into your perameters.

Ok st might be a play to i'm not sure.

[goallinebob]

Yesterdays results,, 5-0,, not too bad

appears we have two 5-0 plays today,,if either go to 6-0 we will pound the hell out of them next play,

Eastern Mich at 5-0 to not cover,, play NIU
Bowl green at 5-0 to not cover play Kent St

liking a few better ATS teams,,,
#31 Texas( 7-3-0) vs # 285 T tech,,,( 2-9-0)
#54 Wisky ( 7-4-0) vs # 223 Mich St( 6-9-0)
# 20 Uconn ( 6-2-0) vs # 213 Rutg ( 4-6-1)

[goallinebob]

both CMU and KSU are streak teams at 0-5 and due to cover,, one problem the losing streaks continur further so we are hesitant on playing them strong so they are plays but we play them light

0-6 Memphis is an even stronger play to cover since at 0-6,,only 8 teams have had longer losing streaks so maybe odds makers will adjust the point spread accordingly

[goallinebob]

Okla St had a 5-0 streak running but no cover on 12/31 vs Gonzaga so they now are at 1-0 streak,so if your comfortable with their opposition then could be a play at 7-2-0 ATS ranking #8

There will be a lot of great ATS ranked teams playing today maybe we can pick out a few as did yesterday,,
I look for the largest disparity matchups for a possible play FYI

[goallinebob]

Joe Public will notice these long losing teams and favor their opposition and odds makers know that and bang memphis covers

[goallinebob]

ATS Streak Records thru 01/011/2011,,,,

7-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(3-0),,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,with 0 pending,
6-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(7-3),,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,with 3 pending,,,,,Depaul ,Semo,Tulane,large wager they all fail
5-0,,,,,,,,,,,,,(15-13),,,,,,to not cover,,,,,,with 7 pending,,,,(if chase 5-0 and 6-0 combined = (22-3) to not cover,,i if chase 6-0 and 7-0 = (10-0 to not cover),,
( 7 pending,,,, )A&M,Gonz,EMU,Charlotte,Purdue,Marquette ,Fairfield,

Odds makers doing a great job allowing points to Stop all WIN streaks

4-0,,,,,,,,,(44-35),,,to not cover,,,,,with approx 3 Pending

3-0,,,,,,,,(56-82),,,to not cover,,,,,,with approx 26 pending,,this is approximate,but dammnn close
________________________________________ _______________________

As noted the losing streaks are difficult to stop even for odds makers,,,,

0-10 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(1-0),,,,,with 0 pending,,thanks San Diego,for covering
0-9 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(0-1),,,,,with 0 pending
0-8 to Cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(3-1),,,,,,with 0 pending St louis ,,Young St,,,thanks for covering
0-7 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(4-4),,,,,with 0 pending ,Xavier thanks for covering
0-6 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(5-8),,,,,with 2 pending Minn,,,,,,Need Memph to cover today
0-5 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(16-15),,with 2 pending,,Samford 12/15 and [COLOR="rgb(46, 139, 87)"]today KSU to cover[/COLOR]
0-4,to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(37-33),,with 8 pending,,
0-3 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(49-78),,with approx 23 pending,,

this is pretty accurate as best i can find at moment,I will refine this accounting later today but the top Levels are correct
and they are the ones we FOCUS ON

[goallinebob]

0-5 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(16-15),,with 3 pending,,Samford 12/15 and today we have Kan St and CMU at 0-5 to cover

[goallinebob]

Todays streak Plays
6-0 Tulane to not cover
6-0 Depaul to not cover
these are the two top plays today Current record 7-3 they do not cover
______________________
0-6 Memphis to Cover,,,,,cur record (5-8) wager with caution
0-5 CMU to cover,,,,,,,,,,cur record ( 16-15) ditto
0-5 KSU to cover,,,,,,,,,,,cur record ( 16-15) ditto
_________________________________
lower level streaks play as you deem fit
0-4 georgetown
0-4 Smu,playing Memphis maybe we get that cover today
0-4 New Mexico
0-4 Davidson
0-4 records to cover at ( 37-33

[goallinebob]

both top plays are getting points,,,,, now tell me JP will not jump on both these to win and cover with their records,,,but i will be on other side with a heavy wager that they don't cover

[madmiek]

Tulane is the underdog in this one, they will not cover and if they do we will pound them on the next one just like you said.

[Bcatswin]

So you guys going against Tulane and Depaul?

[goallinebob]

slight math error in losing streaks

As noted the losing streaks are difficult to stop even for odds makers,,,,

0-10 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(1-0),,,,,with 0 pending,,thanks San Diego,for covering
0-9 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(0-1),,,,,with 0 pending
0-8 to Cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(3-1),,,,,,with 0 pending St louis ,,Young St,,,thanks for covering
0-7 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(4-6),,,,,with 0 pending ,Xavier thanks for covering
0-6 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(5-10),,,,,with 2 pending Minn,,,,,,Need Memph to cover today
0-5 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(16-19),,with 3 pending,,Samford 12/15 and ,KSU, CMU playing today
0-4,to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(37-38),,with 8 pending,,
0-3 to cover,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,,(49-83),,with approx 23 pending,,

appears the 0-3 would be good to play that they will not cover if want to mess with level 3 plays 83-49 they will move to 0-4

0-3 streak teams
Toledo that would help us with a win we need on CMU,,
Akron to continue to 0-4
Fordham,,must admit i think they cover over GW
TCU,, i do like Wyoming today,,
S Miss and i do like Rice today,,
UC Davis i do like LB St
G Tech both can't cover will pass

[goallinebob]

Bcatswin,,

[goallinebob]

top ATS plays,, will pick out the best IMO for a play

Louisville ( 8-3-1) vs Nova ( 6-5-1
Fordam (7-3-0 vs GW ( 4-8-0
Umass ( 5-2-0) vs Xavier ( 3-9-1)
Dayton ( 8-3-0) vs St Joes ( 6-6-0
Temple (10-4-0) vs St Bonny ( 5-1-1)
Ball (6-3-1) vs WMU ( 5-6-2)
Ind St ( 10-5-1 vs Bradly ( 4-10-0)
Mizz St ( 10-4-1) vs S ILL ( 5-9-0
Rice (8-4-0) vs S Miss ( 4-5-0
Vandy ( 7-3-0) vs Geo ( 4-6-0)
Tulsa (7-6-0) vs Ariz St ( 2-11-0)
SD St (10-5-0) vs unlv (7-8-0)
Furman (7-3-0) vs Davidson (5-8-0)

if anyone sees another post away,,

[khaden]

The only 2 "official" plays tonight system wise are Tulane and Depaul correct? (Betting against them)

[goallinebob]

khaden

[goallinebob]

am looking at Memphis for a cover at 0-6, but loss streaks tough to control but since SMU is also at 0-4 Memphis has an opportunity to cover

[goallinebob]

also running with following ATS better advantage plays 1 unit each

these teams almost all have a 200 point ATS ranking better than opposition

NC Wilm
Duquesne
Fordham
Mass
Temple
Mizz St
Vandy
Furman
__________________
others with strong ATS rankings,,,i will play small 1/2 unit

Louisville
Cinn
dayton
Ball
Ind St
Rice
Sd St

[duyp]

I will try this system, BOL goallinebob

[jolmscheid]

Hopefully you do well tonite Bob...

[goallinebob]

Duyp,, we only have 2 authorized plays t nite and both are plays against big win streaks

6-0 to not cover


going against Tulane and Depaul

[goallinebob]

thanks guys and remember if we lose t nite we will pound the hell out of these two 6-0's next start as no one has gone beyond 7-0,,,,,,,,,thats of all 291 teams we are able to wager on in all of the ncaab,,

[Axis]

Now...why would Texas A&M not be a play against? Did I misread something perhaps?

I swear they are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6...do you count a push as a non-cover?


Thanks for any help.

[khaden]

Now...why would Texas A&M not be a play against? Did I misread something perhaps?

I swear they are 5-0-1 ATS in the last 6...do you count a push as a non-cover?


Thanks for any help.

i didn't play it or ask for clarification-but when I went through the games I had this listed as a play as well--I think he said he doesn't count a push as a streak ending play and the stats I looked at had them as a push as well. I hope we didn't pass up a winning play.

[goallinebob]

Hi guys,, just jumped in to chk scores

Texas A&M i screwed up on as they were 5-0 and due to not cover

Okla St did not cover on 12/31 against Gonzaga so their streak ended
we will need to await final score to see what we do next start

[goallinebob]

Pushes do not stop streaks they just delay them,, Covers states a streak stops streaks but i do not agree as if you had wagered on them you could not be whole after a push as all a push does is delay a streak

[goallinebob]

score is very close so maybe its a good thing i missed it,,,