NCAAB "Best Bet" Plays

[MidgetTossers]

Originally Posted by snapstick
I played the saints as a big play today. I just received late news on the game and i will go over the top with my Saints play with this:

Cards ML (wager 2,000 to win 7,200) GET ON IT
This WILL cash and when it does you will thanks me later..........was this not a best bet?

[bodio]

Snap...good luck going forward...Going to start checking your thread...

[ol'Tex]

what book do you use snapstick?

[UMAGA]

How did it do last year?

[snapstick]

01/21/2010

NBA "Best Bet" Play


L A Lakers +3.5

[snapstick]

what book do you use snapstick?

Local book. Are you looking for a good book?

[snapstick]

01/21/2010

NBA "Best Bet" Play


L A Lakers +3.5

The Lakers have won the last 5 games revenging a loss.
The Lakers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 non conference games.
The Lakers are playing their 2nd game in 5 days and in that situation they are 12-2.
The Lakers are 5-0 in their last 5 games in Cleveland.

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win.

[snapstick]

How did it do last year?

I didnt have a thread like this one last year. Last year i had a NCAAB line movement thread for a couple months which hit at a rate of close to 70% win rate through about 150 games.

[GGPLAYER]

The Lakers have won the last 5 games revenging a loss.
The Lakers are 12-1 SU in their last 13 non conference games.
The Lakers are playing their 2nd game in 5 days and in that situation they are 12-2.
The Lakers are 5-0 in their last 5 games in Cleveland.

Cleveland is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 home games.
Cleveland is 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a SU win.

Snap, I was all about LAL even before I saw this but the heavy action on LAL has me concerned. Do you take that into consideration? According to this site http://www.scoresandodds.com/topten.html LAL has the top two bets (spread/ML). As you know the Books don't lose money. Many factors could be behind this. There are only 2 NBA games for one. But also it is a A bet in JM's chase system. The Clippers too for that matter. Also Mo Williams not playing seemed to spike activity to the Lakers. Hope you have some feed back on this. Thanks.

[kgindy]

Cleveland last 3 losses have been by a combined 6 pts. I they lose it won't be by more than 3 or 4 pts. Plus they don't lose much @ home.

[snapstick]

Snap, I was all about LAL even before I saw this but the heavy action on LAL has me concerned. Do you take that into consideration? According to this site http://www.scoresandodds.com/topten.html LAL has the top two bets (spread/ML). As you know the Books don't lose money. Many factors could be behind this. There are only 2 NBA games for one. But also it is a A bet in JM's chase system. The Clippers too for that matter. Also Mo Williams not playing seemed to spike activity to the Lakers. Hope you have some feed back on this. Thanks.

At this point 67% of the action is on the Lakers. Thats not suprising to me and its not enough action due to the line only moving from +3.5 to +3 to have me worried.

The JM system also has a big dictation as far as line moves also. As i said i wouldnt be worried at all at this point.

[snapstick]

Cleveland last 3 losses have been by a combined 6 pts. I they lose it won't be by more than 3 or 4 pts. Plus they don't lose much @ home.

A loss is a loss especially if they are a favorite like they are today.

[GGPLAYER]

At this point 67% of the action is on the Lakers. Thats not suprising to me and its not enough action due to the line only moving from +3.5 to +3 to have me worried.

The JM system also has a big dictation as far as line moves also. As i said i wouldnt be worried at all at this point.

Not sure if you looked at the link I provided but it shows that 2 of the top 5 bets being place today are on LAL point spread and ML. That alone is enough for me not to bet this game. In fact it's what I used this weekend to bet winners like Minny and NYJ. Lou is on there too so I am going to bet SH. GL and we'll see how this all plays out.

[snapstick]

GL GG. I have 5 units on the play with the Lakers. I looked at your site but i have 2 sites i pay for and use and looking at those the line movement is no where close to getting me off of the lakers tonight. You have to realize also that Mo Williams was listed at being OUT for the game at 6:02 EST and after i researched the line movement in this matchup alot of wagers/bettors played the Lakers at that point. I know alot about 'Line Movement' and i started a thread today with just that in mind and i am telling you, of course the lakers may not cover, but if you are not playing the game due to some minor line movement i think you are wrong in that judgement. GL to you.

[GGPLAYER]

Thanks for all your time and responding to my questions/comments, etc.. I'm trying to learn as much as I can and you have shown me a lot. I hope you don't take it the wrong way if and when I question your bets. I just am always tyring to keep an open mind on things and consently hunting for the best system or way to bet. I ended up not betting at all on the game so I will be pulling for the Lakers (to boot they are my favorite NBA team). Till next time

[snapstick]

Gl gg