ten-a-key???

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  • 2daBank
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-26-09
    • 88966

    #1
    ten-a-key???
    thought it was a fitting name seeing how they all have drug charges...the question is should the vols be on auto-fade right now? i didnt like this team b4 they got 4 key contributors kicked off the team...always have talent never a good team....char is nothing special but they can score points and have played a few good teams well this year...char is +10.5 seems like a lot of points for ten to be laying with all these problems but the books are just as aware of this as we are.....what does every1 think as im a little gun-shy .....
  • SamsonSharp
    SBR Hustler
    • 01-01-10
    • 84

    #2
    I live in Knoxville, so I am pretty up to date on everything going on. I think char +12 (where its at now) is a great play. UT is known for playing up or down to it opponents level and with the suspensions they will be missing a lot of talent. With Tyler Smith and Brian Williams gone UT has no post presents. This game will come down to two thing, how Scotty Hopson steps up and how UT shoots the outside shot. Also they are now working with a 6-7 man rotation when they had been using a 9-10 man all year which will effect their press and conditioning. The 4 players who were suspended are big time contributors and with there futures still uncertain I expect the Vols minds not to be in the right place tonight. They will really have to step up tonight if they are gonna cover the spread, people around here are thinking they might actually lose.
    Char has a great PG which give UT problems. Look at the USC game. USC PG transfered from Char because he could not beat out there starter. Char also beat louisville so they are not a bad team at all
    Comment
    • SamsonSharp
      SBR Hustler
      • 01-01-10
      • 84

      #3
      The line is still moving which worries me a bit though, why are people so heavy on Tennessee
      Comment
      • sportsfan2009
        SBR MVP
        • 11-19-09
        • 2063

        #4
        charlotte is the play or no play
        Comment
        • 2daBank
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-26-09
          • 88966

          #5
          i appreciate your thoughts on this samson
          for some reason unknown to me though the line i shooting up with the majority of bettors on char side...not the kind of thing i look for when backing a team as i said i didnt really expect this and if any1 knows why the line is still going up please way in....as of right now its a no play for me
          Comment
          • sportsfan2009
            SBR MVP
            • 11-19-09
            • 2063

            #6
            wtf its at 13.5

            whats going on !!! me like alots now
            Comment
            • sportsfan2009
              SBR MVP
              • 11-19-09
              • 2063

              #7
              the line moved 3 pts in 30 mins

              Comment
              • 2daBank
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 01-26-09
                • 88966

                #8
                with 60+% on char side sportsguy honestly have no clue whats going on but with all the question marks in this game think it may be just a better move to pass on this 1....
                Comment
                • sportsfan2009
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-19-09
                  • 2063

                  #9
                  so you would not play charlotte +13.5 that was going to be my play
                  Comment
                  • 2daBank
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 01-26-09
                    • 88966

                    #10
                    sportsguy when i made this thread i came in fully intending to bet char but i do not like what is going on with the line...im still looking into why it jumped like this....maybe im over thinking it as it seemed like a great situational spot to me (if there ever was 1)
                    Comment
                    • sportsfan2009
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-19-09
                      • 2063

                      #11
                      yeah i just checkout the newspapers in both cities do not see the tenn players coming back to player and any injures to any of the teams i do not know what is going on but i am still taking charlotte +13.5 small bet but i still like them
                      Comment
                      • SamsonSharp
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 01-01-10
                        • 84

                        #12
                        Ive been listening to sports radio all day. They have NO IDEA why the line is moving in Tennessees favor. They said if Bobby Maze does not have the game of his life they except Charlottes PG to light us up and win the game
                        Comment
                        • sportsfan2009
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-19-09
                          • 2063

                          #13
                          110 to win 100 Charlotte plus 13
                          Comment
                          • 2daBank
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 01-26-09
                            • 88966

                            #14
                            im with you sportsguy hard to pass this number up as 13 is about where i though it should be w/o all the players gone so when it opened at 10.5 figured it was a adjustment to the problems now it seems that we getting a really good number if it loses screw it i cant resist
                            Comment
                            • sportsfan2009
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-19-09
                              • 2063

                              #15
                              Originally posted by 2daBank
                              im with you sportsguy hard to pass this number up as 13 is about where i though it should be w/o all the players gone so when it opened at 10.5 figured it was a adjustment to the problems now it seems that we getting a really good number if it loses screw it i cant resist


                              like you said if they lose screw it
                              Comment
                              • balls2wall
                                SBR MVP
                                • 12-20-09
                                • 2642

                                #16
                                I am a UT fan. Without looking too much into the numbers, if I had to bet on this game I would probably have to go with CHARLOTTE.


                                Smith is (was) the leader of the team. The other three were good contributors. I just don't know what the psyche of the team will be with all of this mess going on, not to mention the bodies they will be missing on the court.


                                They will be dressing 6 scholly players and 3 walkons tonight.


                                It seems like the value is with CHA +13.5 or more
                                Comment
                                • sportsfan2009
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-19-09
                                  • 2063

                                  #17
                                  good
                                  Comment
                                  • gmcarroll33
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 03-18-09
                                    • 122

                                    #18
                                    +13.5 is ridiculous. Tenn is without 39% of their scoring, and their leader in Tyler Smith as one other poster mentioned. They're left with basically Hopson, Chism, and Maze to do everything out there. JP Prince basically turned out to be a scrub more than anything so if he steps up to be the 4th man to push it passed this number I would be absolutely flabbergasted. That and this team loves to get up and down and press press press after a made basket, which is where a lot of their cheap points come from (4th in TO% on kenpom). Now they're basically going to be 6-7 deep compared to 10. Either they won't be expected to make enough baskets to keep pressing without 39% of their offense, or their legs will be gone late in the 2nd half. I don't know how Bruce Pearl can expect to just keep playing and coaching the way they do with this being the scenario. Surely something has got to give with what little they're walking out there tonight. Add to the fact that not a damn soul on UT can make their FT's to help easily push it past this number if it approaches it late in the game if UT happens to stun us all is more than enough reason to take the +13.5 and a shot at the +750 ML

                                    EDIT: Christ I'm even seeing some +14 out there
                                    Comment
                                    • NYsportsfreak
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 04-06-09
                                      • 510

                                      #19
                                      UT is also losing a 40% three point shooter in cameron tatum. also SBR odds have 58% of the bets on UT I'm thinking bet against america here
                                      Comment
                                      • 2daBank
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-26-09
                                        • 88966

                                        #20
                                        nysportsfreak...i love sbr dont get me wrong but i do not like there percentages i think its becasue they use just 1 book..try sportsinsights.com and pregame.com...these both get numbers from several books
                                        Comment
                                        • Rick22
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-29-09
                                          • 2200

                                          #21
                                          LOL - you guys got me to take the 13 1/2 - just to see what happens !
                                          Comment
                                          • 2daBank
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 01-26-09
                                            • 88966

                                            #22
                                            i liked them at +10.5 rick....dont get me wrong though the line movement worries me a little but i cant help myself
                                            Comment
                                            • TNT17
                                              SBR Hustler
                                              • 01-04-10
                                              • 57

                                              #23
                                              The 13.5 is nice, i'd take it. The Charlotte sports station was just talking regarding the 49'ers not only covering but winning and comparing this game to the win they got @ Louisville (won by 22).
                                              In one traffic stop #16 Tennessee lost: 4 Players; 31.9 Average PPG; 12.5 Average RPG; as well as their team leader in assists....... time to do work charlotte!
                                              Comment
                                              • southpaw74
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 12-21-09
                                                • 7104

                                                #24
                                                I'm taking +13.5 all day against a dumb and streetballer type tennessee team! They are a little less dumb with the suspensions but they are ALOT less talented...let's cash while their guns and drugs are still confiscated
                                                Comment
                                                • Hammew
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 10-27-09
                                                  • 2882

                                                  #25
                                                  If all the money is on Charlotte and the line is still moving in Charlottes favor, then Charlotte backers beware. That being said I haven't looked at anything and I am basing this off what I read in here. GL
                                                  Comment
                                                  • southpaw74
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 12-21-09
                                                    • 7104

                                                    #26
                                                    I understand hamm...I'm not betting the mortgage payment because it doesn't make sense but it's still alot of points for a tennessee team that I wasn't confident in even with a full roster of criminals
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CappinTerp
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 9650

                                                      #27
                                                      Good day 2da,hammew and fellow sportsfans. I just walked in and saw this so Iam behind the curve in my capping today. In the past when a player or players are out (for whatever reason) and there is still a line on the game, I would bet on the team with the players out.!! The books are sharp and GIVE AWAY NOTHING, no free pass or lunch. What I CANNOT FIGURE OUT IS why is the line moving up.? Saw a 14. If I do bet this game it would be a small play on the VOLS. GL
                                                      Comment
                                                      • sportsfan2009
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-19-09
                                                        • 2063

                                                        #28
                                                        Can it be 7 oclock yet shit its only 5 eastern fuk
                                                        Comment
                                                        • southpaw74
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 12-21-09
                                                          • 7104

                                                          #29
                                                          Hey 2da...how many picks do we need in today for the eaglefan tourney??
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 2daBank
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 01-26-09
                                                            • 88966

                                                            #30
                                                            southpaw the way i understand it doesnt matter as long as you meet the required amount within the 5 days
                                                            Comment
                                                            • CrimsonQueen
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 08-12-09
                                                              • 1068

                                                              #31
                                                              I had to take this line at +13.5 myself... the movement is just ridiculous, how can you pass this up??
                                                              Comment
                                                              • southpaw74
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 12-21-09
                                                                • 7104

                                                                #32
                                                                Ok. It says 15 plays...so we just need to make 15 picks in by Sunday? I asked eaglefan to but haven't heard back yet
                                                                Comment
                                                                • southpaw74
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-21-09
                                                                  • 7104

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by 2daBank
                                                                  southpaw the way i understand it doesnt matter as long as you meet the required amount within the 5 days
                                                                  I got it figured out. it's 15-25 games per round and each round is 5 days. GL buddy...hope to see you in the finals
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • SamsonSharp
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 01-01-10
                                                                    • 84

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Unless Vegas knows more than everyone in Knoxville (which is possible). UT will have to play there best ball of the season to cover this spread. On sports radio most people are saying they think the vols will lose because they will not be able to handle Charlottes guard play (ie USC). They books have been wrong before people!

                                                                    Ive got a big play on Char +13.5
                                                                    small play on ML
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ebbearsfb1
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 12-07-08
                                                                      • 18815

                                                                      #35
                                                                      everyone must like the first half of plus 7.5 then right?
                                                                      Comment
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