NCAAB Martingale Consensus Thread

[Cheese1976]

If you have a documented winning record in NCAAB post your best play of the day here (full game - points only - no ML) at least one hour before betting closes on the first game of the day.

I will tally and and feed the top selection(s) into a four game martingale system. We should get at least one or two selections per day, if not more on the weekends.

Personally, I will be starting with a $500 bankroll to test this out.

It will look something like this:

1st bet - $18/$16 or [to win starting bankroll x .032]

2nd bet - $55/$50 or [to win (starting bankroll x .032) + (1st bet risk) + (1st bet return)]

3rd bet - $132/$120 or [to win (starting bankroll x .032) + (2nd bet risk) + (2nd bet return)]

4th bet - $295/$268 or [to win (starting bankroll x .032) + (3rd bet risk) + (3rd bet return)]


If "1st bet" loses, then place "2nd bet" on the next consensus selection etc...just can't lose four in a row.

After a win we will recalculate the bankroll and play the relative amounts.

If enough people get on board this could be a fun, and perhaps profitable experiment.

To make it easier for me to tally please post your selection like this:

Date: 12/21/09
Selection: San Jose St @ Northern Colorado - over 151.5
Record: 79-58 (58%)

[Cheese1976]

12/21/09
San Jose St @ Northern Colorado - over 151.5
79-58 (58%)

[hoop guru]

North Florida +4.5 1st half

[Cheese1976]

Don't be shy...

[Jasonal_98]

Good luck with this. May tail.

[TobiasFunke]

12/21/09
St. Johns -3 vs. Cornell (betphoenix)
0-0 (0%)

[paste_me]

i like the idea, but i fear that it might be a gamblers fallacy - assuming that not all of the plays will result in a lose especially if you have a long negative streak.

[HittingGuru]

Been on a sweet roll lately - hit 9 out of my last 12 bets (all sports). Let's see if I can keep it going. My NCAAB Play of the Day:

CA IRVINE -4 (-125) over Pepperdine

[rojeroni]

12/21/09 Pick of the Day
Pacific -5 @ Santa Clara

NCAAB 83-60-2 (58%)
NCAAF 6-4 (60%)

[paste_me]

i like Yale +18

[cappinthepigs]

Appalacian State Mountaineers +13
26-24 52.27% +0.70 Units

[Ernie]

12/21/09
St John's -3.5
0-0 (0%)

[Cheese1976]

Okay...looks like St John's is the front runner, not much interest so far but hopefully this will pick up a little steam!

1st bet: St John's @ Cornell - St John's -3.5

[BiffTFinancial]

North Florida +4.5 1st half

i didn't post but i did tail. thanks for the winner, hoop!

[Cheese1976]

Okay...St John's was a 'no cover'. 2nd bet goes today, lets get a solid consensus pick!!

[Cheese1976]

12/22/09
St Mary's -5
82-61 (57%)

[rojeroni]

12/22/09
St. Marys -4.5
NCAAB 88-65-2 (57.5%)
5-5 yesterday.
Let's do better today.

[Cheese1976]

Alright - looks like its me and rojeroni this morning for St Marys - we'll play this and grab another consensus for the late games so keep posting!!!

2nd bet: Northeastern @ St Mary's - St Mary's -4.5

[Cheese1976]

Winner. Recalculate and back to 1st bet...throw up your picks for the consensus on the next game!

[2daBank]

been doing pretty well with col hoops not sure what my posted rec is but its easily above 50% lets hope this doesnt jinx it....
austin peay -4

[HedgeHog]

Martingale is for losers--seriously! Shoot for a decent win % and bet accordingly. Doubling or tripling up simply because you lost your last bet doesn't make any sense.

[uwfargo]

South Alabama +19

[rojeroni]

Way to go Cheese. We hit one. Picked up a nice two units.

[Cheese1976]

Martingale is for losers--seriously! Shoot for a decent win % and bet accordingly. Doubling or tripling up simply because you lost your last bet doesn't make any sense.

Hey man I know how to make money betting sports an I do...if you read above this is just for fun and to see if a good consensus here can make some money. If you aren't down with it - fine...but try not to be such a hater by calling people out as losers for enjoying something fun on the side.

[Cheese1976]

Anyway, for the rest of us...if this strikes you as something fun then keep posting your picks. Let's get a really solid consensus pick for tonight - i'll be back later w/my pick - so many games on the board to handicap its making my head spin (like on Saturdays!)

[dbldown]

Nice record... Good luck with your experiment

My vote for tonight
12/22 Indiana -7.5

[HedgeHog]

Hey man I know how to make money betting sports an I do...if you read above this is just for fun and to see if a good consensus here can make some money. If you aren't down with it - fine...but try not to be such a hater by calling people out as losers for enjoying something fun on the side.

Not a hater, just saying that martingale is a poor money management system. Don't understand why anyone would encourage people to use it.

PS FWIW I like UAB-1 today

[southpaw74]

texas tech -7
UAB -1.5
colorado state +10

[palmer2712]

Colorado St, Texas, Missouri St, cal, St Peters, So MIss all cover

[Cheese1976]

so far UAB is leading w/2 picks...we'll wait a bit to pull the trigger though - keep posting

[Cheese1976]

just post 1 pick each (strongest play)

[Cheese1976]

12/22/09 (late game)
Loyola Maryland @ Indiana under 139.5
85-62 (58%)

[mncosoldier]

Im going colorado st +9.5 and g.washington -4 .

[Cheese1976]

Colorado St w/3 votes is the front runner - late game so we can hold for more picks

[Cheese1976]

1st Bet: Colorado St @ UCLA - Colorado St +10