HG's 2017-18 College Basketball Thread

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-17-18, 03:43 PM

8:00 S Illinois/Loyola u136
I get 64/65 possessions here and a total of 128. Last year both games only had 61 possessions, but one game did finish at 142.

ETA: they also played in th conference tourney. Score was 55-50 on 70 possessions.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-17-18, 05:52 PM

Running low on time. Two more:

7:00 Fordham/La Salle o127
I have this one at 133 on 66 possessions.

7:00 Auburn/Alabama u154.5
Scary play, but I get 147.

**Lucky1g** · 01-17-18, 05:57 PM

Nice job in here. Lots of time to get hot and go on run. Goodluck!

**sagorjanski** · 01-17-18, 06:08 PM

Let's get it.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-17-18, 06:20 PM

Thanks gents. Wish I had more time today. Very surprised that I came up with this volume on this card. Hope that’s a good thing...

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-17-18, 10:05 PM

3-2. Thought we were going to get the later game at half, but after scoring just 58 in the first they put up 86 in the second.

Thread: 77-73 (+1.49u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-17-18, 11:24 PM

For Thursday:

8:00 Wright St/Green Bay o142 2 Units
I get 74+ possessions for this one, and it could get higher.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-18-18, 11:33 AM

Just a quick heads up ... I am not going to have a ton of time for today’s slate or for Saturday. I’ll do what I can and will post what I find, but volume will likely be low because I will not get to every game.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-18-18, 04:19 PM

7:00 Marist/Siena u145
I get 135 on 67 possessions. They played to a 121 point total already this year.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-18-18, 06:24 PM

Looks like just the two tonight unless I get some time to work through the 9:00 games. BOL!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-18-18, 09:50 PM

2-0 night with a 2u winner. Looked bleak at halftime of each, but things averaged out in the second.

Thread: 79-73 (+4.49u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-19-18, 11:31 AM

Friday:

7:00 St Bonaventure/Davidson u145
I get 66 possessions and 139 points for this one.

7:00 Indiana/Michigan St u144
For this one I have 68 possessions and 138 total points.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-19-18, 11:50 AM

One more:

9:00 Canisius/Manhattan o137.5
I get 69 possessions and 144 points here.

**sagorjanski** · 01-19-18, 01:06 PM

Back on track. Best of luck today!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 07:53 AM

1-2 last night. The shooting in the Davidson game kept us from a winning night.

Thread: 80-75 (+3.29u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 09:30 AM

As I mentioned, I don't have time to get through the whole slate today, but I'll post what I find:

12:00 St John's/Georgetown o145.5
My low estimate on this one is 151 with 72 possessions.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 10:37 AM

EDIT:

I AM DELETING THIS PLAY. I MADE SOME ERRORS IN THIS ONE. NOT A PLAY.

1:00 Niagara/Fairfield u159
I have a pretty wide range on this one. My high is 151, and my low is 140. My possession range is 72-77, so there's definitely some uncertainty as to how this one plays out, but even my most conservative estimate has this one well below the number.

**DOM_Toretto** · 01-20-18, 10:43 AM

Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 10:43 AM

Sorry about the confusion on the Niagara game. I wanted to edit the post as quickly as possible to prevent anyone from playing based on that post. I just fixed the error and this is still not a bad play, but I am not going to count it for thread purposes. As it turns out, by range is 150-161. Again, my play is locked in, but that game will not count towards my thread tracking.

Sorry about all that.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 10:46 AM

Originally posted by DOM_Toretto

Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.

I’ll do that one next and let you know.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 10:54 AM

Originally posted by DOM_Toretto

Thoughts on Miss St @ Bama o/u?

I could see both teams in the 70s in this one, looks like an over to me.

My range on that one is 137-145, so it's a pass for me at 139.5.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-20-18, 11:28 AM

Don't think I'll have time for much more:

2:00 St Louis/UMass o129.5
My best estimate on this one is 139 on 67 possessions. With that efficiency, we could survive with a few less possessions as well.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-21-18, 09:22 PM

1-1 on Saturday and no plays on Sunday.

Thread: 81-76 (+3.19u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-21-18, 09:23 PM

For Monday:

7:00 Iowa St/Texas o137
I get 145 on 67/68 possessions.

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-21-18, 09:52 PM

8:15 Appalachian St/Troy u153.5
I get 141 on 69 possessions, so there is some cushion if someone gets hot from three. In six meetings these two have never gone over this number.

**Louisvillekid1** · 01-22-18, 05:58 PM

Get ‘em! HG!

**HeeluvaGuy** · 01-24-18, 05:50 PM

Hey guys. I’m still here. Things have just been a little hectic. And I’m trying to figure out a way to avoid some of the variance we’ve seen in several plays. I’ll update the record and all as soon as I get a chance. I tweaked my focus a little bit and am testing something out. Not a wholesale change in how I do things, just a shift in focus. I won’t track these because I think they are stale lines, but for tonight I’m playing:

Evansville/Valpo u133.5
Riverside/Irvine o131

I have others that didn’t make the cut but that I’m tracking. Hope to be back posting very soon.

**Brutus84** · 01-24-18, 06:08 PM

Just post winners and you will be fine. Niagara ml, Georgetown ml, Duquesne ml, Rutgers ov 128

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-15-18, 05:09 PM

Hey guys. Sorry for flaking. I didn’t want to post losers, so I dropped off but didn’t stop grinding. Not that it matters, but February has been pretty good (21-13). Keeping up a thread can be a little stressful, but I think I’m ready to dip my toe back in. Tonight I have:

MTSU/Southern Miss u141.5
Marist/Fairfield o151.5
Southern Utah/North Dakota o160

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-15-18, 05:11 PM

Updated record:

Thread: 81-78 (+.99u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-15-18, 10:57 PM

2-1 night

Thread: 83-79 (+1.89u)

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-17-18, 10:01 AM

Gonna roll out plays as I get to them working by tip time. No plays up through the 1 p.m. starts.

2:00 FIU/FAU u133.5

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-17-18, 10:12 AM

2:00 Alabama/Kentucky o139.5

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-17-18, 10:37 AM

3:00 IPFW/NDSU o149

**HeeluvaGuy** · 02-17-18, 10:49 AM

3:30 Troy/Appalachian St o151