C-Batch Brackets NCAAB 2014-15 Plays (53.1% in 2013-14)

[CGBatch]

Last year was my first year posting my plays to SBR and I did pretty well I'd have to say. All my plays are documented in this thread http://www.sportsbookreview.com/forum/ncaa-baske...013-picks.html. As you can see I hit 53.1% overall and an impressive 54.5% on totals where the majority of my focus is. In short, I created a model for NCAA Basketball last year that I've backtested to hit about 54-56% and applies to about 6 games per day during non-conference (much more selective during conference play). It focuses primarily on totals, but a smaller quantity of sides will also be released. Starting today I'll be posting my plays daily here, I can't guarantee a specific time as my work schedule varries, but my goal is by around 5pm. Because my model incorporates new information as earlier games finish, I reserve the right to add plays until about an hour before their respective tip.

Right now I'm off to an amazing 46-33 (58.23%) start on the season. This breaks down to 14-12 (53.85%) on sides and 32-21 (60.38%) on totals. Everything is documented if anyone really wants me to post results, but I'll prove going forward that these figures are legit, however expect some regression to the mean.

Thanks everyone and here's to a good season!

I know alot of these games have started, but today's plays are:

23 November Results

Sides 0-0 (14-12 ytd)
Totals 5-1 (32-21 ytd)
Overall 5-1 (46-33 ytd)

24 November Plays:

779 Rider +18.0	at Kansas
721 Brown +20.0	at Illinois
737 Gard-Webb +7.0	vs Old Dominion

741 Under 137.5	Purdue vs Kansas St
737 Over 133.5	Gard-Webb vs Old Dominion
743 Under 129.5	Missouri vs Arizona
715 Under 136.5	Santa Clara at Michigan St
739 Over 133.5	Seton Hall vs Illinois St
765 Under 125.5	Arizona St vs Maryland
775 Under 147.0	Murray St at Xavier
768 Under 147.0	Iowa State vs Alabama

[CGBatch]

Rough day yesterday

24 November Results

Sides 0-2 (14-14 ytd)
Totals 3-5 (35-26 ytd)
Overall 3-7 (49-40 ytd)

25 November Plays:

529 Air Force +14.5	at Colorado
519 U Penn +13.5	at Temple
534 Stanford -24.5	vs Delaware

568 Under 152.0	VCU vs Oregon
583 Under 133.0	E Illinois at Creighton
547 Under 135.5	Kansas St vs Arizona
513 Under 143.0	TX-Arlington at Kentucky

edit add:

560 Under 126.0

N Iowa vs VA Tech

[CGBatch]

Recovered with a decent day

25 November Results

Sides 2-1 (16-15 ytd)
Totals 3-2 (38-28 ytd)
Overall 5-3 (54-43 ytd)

26 November Plays:

751 Butler +10.5	vs N Carolina
801 Morehead St -1.5	at Marshall
735 UC Riverside +7.5	at Loyola Mymt

799 Under 136.5	Furman at Duke
752 Under 137.0	N Carolina vs Butler
741 Under 126.0	Cal Poly at California

add:

786 Georgia +13.5	vs Gonzaga
779 W Carolina -10.5	vs Chicago St
789 Northwestern +8.0	vs N Iowa

767 Under 127.5	Pittsburgh vs Kansas St
797 Under 138.5	Missouri St vs Colorado St
765 Under 157.5	Purdue vs BYU

[CGBatch]

25 November Results

Sides 4-0 (20-15 ytd)
Totals 3-3 (41-31 ytd)
Overall 7-3 (61-46 ytd)

26 November Plays:

506 Under 135.0	Rider vs Michigan St
523 Under 143.0	San Diego vs Xavier
515 Under 133.5	Georgetown vs Wisconsin
535 Over 128.5	Baylor vs Memphis

[CGBatch]

26 November Results

Sides 0-0 (20-15 ytd)
Totals 1-3 (42-34 ytd)
Overall 1-3 (62-49 ytd)

27 November Plays:

737 E Illinois +7.0	vs NC Central
733 Cleveland St -1.5	at Marshall
770 Florida Intl +7.0	vs Wright State

773 Under 140.0	TX El Paso vs Xavier
725 Under 143.0	James Mad at Ohio State
749 Under 131.0	Rider vs GA Tech
798 Over 125.5	Vanderbilt vs Rutgers
802 Under 126.0	TX Christian vs Bradley
800 Over 116.5	Virginia vs La Salle
759 Under 132.0	N Carolina vs Florida

[CGBatch]

Excellent day yesterday, only a few for today right now possibly adding a few later

28 November Results

Sides 2-1 (22-16 ytd)
Totals 5-2 (47-36 ytd)
Overall 7-3 (69-52 ytd)

29 November Plays:

529 VCU -5.5	at Old Dominion
535 UC Irvine -8.0	at Loyola Mymt

Adding totals:

571 Under 137.0	Alabama St at Utah
567 Under 129.5	TX Christian vs Miss State

[CGBatch]

29 November Results

Sides 1-1 (23-17 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (48-37 ytd)
Overall 2-2 (71-54 ytd)

30 November Plays:

819 Air Force +10.0	at Texas Tech
832 Villanova -29.5	vs Delaware
867 Montana +9.0	at San Fransco

853 Under 146.0	Lg Beach St vs Xavier
843 Under 132.0	Tennessee vs Marquette
851 Under 141.0	W Michigan vs San Diego
821 Under 133.5	Providence at Kentucky
825 Over 131.0	Bowling Grn at Detroit
817 Over 127.5	Texas at Connecticut

[CGBatch]

30 November Results

Sides 2-1 (25-18 ytd)
Totals 4-2 (52-39 ytd)
Overall 6-3 (77-57 ytd)

1 December Plays:

711 Over 124.0

Rutgers at Clemson

[CGBatch]

1 December Results

Sides 0-0 (25-18 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (53-39 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (78-57 ytd)

2 December Plays:

557 Middle Tenn +8.0	at Belmont
562 Kansas St -14.0	vs Neb Omaha

555 Under 134.5	Niagara at St Johns
523 Under 137.0	Pittsburgh at Indiana
543 Under 140.5	Illinois at Miami (FL)
521 Over 135.0	Minnesota at Wake Forest

[CGBatch]

2 December Results

Sides 2-0 (27-18 ytd)
Totals 3-1 (56-40 ytd)
Overall 5-1 (83-58 ytd)

3 December Plays:

799 Montana +12.5	at California
775 Nevada +10.5	at Lg Beach St
777 UC Irvine -6.5	at Fresno St

743 Under 137.0	Michigan St at Notre Dame
797 Under 147.0	Idaho at Wash State
721 Over 123.5	Temple at St Josephs

[CGBatch]

First really bad day, bounce back with a few winners today

3 December Results

Sides 1-2 (28-20 ytd)
Totals 0-3 (56-43 ytd)
Overall 1-5 (84-63 ytd)

4 December Plays:

519 Cal St Nrdge +7.5	at Pepperdine
525 Monmouth -4.5	at Marist

517 Under 159.5

Arkansas at Iowa State

[CGBatch]

4 December Results

Sides 1-1 (29-21 ytd)
Totals 0-1 (56-44 ytd)
Overall 1-2 (85-65 ytd)

5 December Plays:

841 Manhattan -5.0	at Fairfield
837 Florida +7.5	at Kansas

833 Under 119.5	Wyoming at S Methodist
837 Over 125.0	Florida at Kansas

[CGBatch]

Huge backdoor cover on Florida saved our night! Big day today as Saturdays always are

5 December Results

Sides 1-1 (30-22 ytd)
Totals 2-0 (58-44 ytd)
Overall 3-1 (88-66 ytd)

6 December Plays:

597 Miami (OH) +8.0	at IPFW
571 Pepperdine -1.5	at CS Fullerton
551 E Michigan +11.0	at Dayton
555 Middle Tenn -2.5	at S Alabama
573 Bradley +11.5	at Memphis
543 Northwestern +11.5	at Butler
517 Rutgers +10.0	at Seton Hall

523 Under 132.5	Wisconsin at Marquette
621 Under 134.5	NJIT at Michigan
541 Under 133.0	Kansas St at Tennessee
545 Under 138.0	Gonzaga at Arizona
625 Under 133.5	Colgate at Ohio State

[CGBatch]

6 December Results

Sides 2-4 (32-26 ytd)
Totals 4-1 (62-45 ytd)
Overall 6-5 (94-71 ytd)

7 December Plays:

839 San Diego +9.5	at UCLA
827 E Carolina +22.5	at N Carolina
825 Hofstra -6.5	at App State

835 Over 125.0	California at Nevada
837 Over 127.5	Utah State at USC
827 Under 142.0	E Carolina at N Carolina

[CGBatch]

7 December Results

Sides 2-1 (34-27 ytd)
Totals 1-2 (63-47 ytd)
Overall 3-3 (97-74 ytd)

8 December Plays:

519 Brown +16.5

at Providence

519 Under 137.5

Brown at Providence

[CGBatch]

Got really screwed on the Under last night. 15 FTM in the final 52sec and 24 points in the final 1:38.

8 December Results

Sides 1-0 (35-27 ytd)
Totals 0-1 (63-48 ytd)
Overall 1-1 (98-75 ytd)

9 December Plays:

743 E Illinois +7.5

at UC Davis

751 Under 150.5	UMKC at Iowa State
721 Under 129.5	E Michigan at Michigan

[CGBatch]

9 December Results

Sides 0-1 (35-27 ytd)
Totals 2-0 (65-48 ytd)
Overall 2-1 (100-75 ytd)

10 December Plays:

555 Princeton -2.5	at St Peters
559 N Iowa -3.0	at Denver
547 UC Riverside +17.0	at UCLA
531 Towson +9.5	at Temple

537 Under 146.5	Utah at BYU
539 Under 124.5	Wisconsin at WI-Milwkee
549 Under 140.5	Wash State vs Gonzaga
545 Under 121.0	Wyoming at California
527 Under 114.5	Columbia at Kentucky

[CGBatch]

10 December Results:

Sides 2-2 (37-29 ytd)
Totals 3-2 (68-50 ytd)
Overall 5-4 (105-79 ytd)

11 December Plays:

709 Central FL +1.5	at IL-Chicago
717 Idaho +2.0	at W Illinois
711 San Diego +7.5	at UCSB

[CGBatch]

11 December Results:

Sides 1-2 (38-31 ytd)
Totals 0-0 (68-50 ytd)
Overall 1-2 (106-81 ytd)

12 December Plays:

831 Under 126.5

TX Southern at Florida

[CGBatch]

12 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (38-31 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (69-50 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (107-81 ytd)

13 December Plays:

571 Princeton +11.5	at California
523 Drake +17.0	at WI-Grn Bay
585 TX-Arlington +12.0	at UC Irvine
645 Nicholls St +36.5	at Wisconsin
601 Denver +14.0	at Stanford

601 Under 131.0	Denver at Stanford
553 Under 134.0	N Iowa at VCU
645 Under 133.5	Nicholls St at Wisconsin
575 Under 127.5	Purdue at Vanderbilt
547 Under 129.0	Michigan at Arizona
519 Under 133.0	N Carolina at Kentucky
643 Under 132.5	Radford at Georgetown
647 Under 145.5	Grand Canyon at Indiana

[CGBatch]

adding:

651 N Mex State +1.0	at Oral Roberts
521 La Salle -3.0	at Drexel

567 Under 140.0

Florida St at Notre Dame

and don't play Drake unless you can get at least +16 as they're down to +15.5 at most books.

[CGBatch]

Up and down day results in some lost juice.

13 December Results:

Sides 4-1 (42-32 ytd)
Totals 3-6 (72-56 ytd)
Overall 7-7 (114-88 ytd)

14 December Plays:

845 Dartmouth -3.0	at Jksnville St
827 LA Tech +9.0	at Syracuse
859 Montana +2.5	at WI-Milwkee

837 Under 143.5	Oakland at Michigan St
821 Under 123.0	Butler at Tennessee
841 Under 125.0	St Peters at Seton Hall

[CGBatch]

14 December Results:

Sides 1-2 (43-34 ytd)
Totals 2-1 (74-57 ytd)
Overall 3-3 (117-91 ytd)

15 December Plays:

717 Under 148.5

Elon at Duke

[CGBatch]

15 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (43-34 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (75-57 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (118-91 ytd)

16 December Plays:

515 Col Charlestn +8.0	at Charlotte
517 Middle Tenn +13.0	at Oklahoma St
513 Drexel +8.0	at Buffalo
533 Oral Roberts +17.5	at Oklahoma

523 Under 146.0	Oakland at Arizona
519 Under 130.5	Arizona St at Marquette
539 Under 132.0	W Carolina at Vanderbilt

[CGBatch]

First real rough day yesterday, we bounce back today with some winners

16 December Results:

Sides 1-3 (44-37 ytd)
Totals 0-3 (75-60 ytd)
Overall 1-6 (119-97 ytd)

17 December Plays:

721 James Mad +1.5

at Ball State

765 Under 133.5	N Mex State at Baylor
769 Under 128.0	Grambling St at Washington
739 Under 130.5	E Michigan at Michigan St
733 Under 133.0	IL-Chicago at S Methodist

[CGBatch]

A 5-0 bounce back day, that is how it's done!

17 December Results:

Sides 1-0 (45-37 ytd)
Totals 4-0 (79-60 ytd)
Overall 5-0 (124-97 ytd)

18 December Plays:

509 Cleveland St +17.0	at Virginia
551 Coastal Car +8.0	at Mississippi
531 CS Bakersfld +11.0	at Utah State

[CGBatch]

A 3-0 day puts us on an 8-0 run!

18 December Results:

Sides 3-0 (48-37 ytd)
Totals 0-0 (79-60 ytd)
Overall 3-0 (127-97 ytd)

19 December Plays:

827 Under 133.0

Arizona at TX El Paso

[CGBatch]

A 1-0 day last night puts us on a 9-0 run, that undefeated nature probably comes to an end today with so many plays, but we're certainly looking to continue the 58% clip we're hitting on the season!

19 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (48-37 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (80-60 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (128-97 ytd)

20 December Plays:

617 St Josephs -8.5	at Marist
571 Hofstra +2.5	at Columbia
565 La Salle -3.0	at Towson
589 Fresno St -1.0	at Pacific
609 Oral Roberts +9.5	at Memphis
587 Ball State +19.0	at San Diego St

543 Under 138.5	UCLA vs Kentucky
559 Under 141.0	Purdue vs Notre Dame
555 Under 126.5	Wake Forest vs Florida
643 Under 134.5	TX Southern at Michigan St
517 Over 129.0	VCU at Cincinnati
541 Under 132.0	W Michigan at Northwestern

[CGBatch]

20 December Results:

Sides 3-3 (51-40 ytd)
Totals 3-2-1 (83-62 ytd)
Overall 6-5-1 (134-102 ytd)

21 December Plays:

745 Oregon St +2.5	at Quinnipiac
725 Creighton -9.5	at North Texas
751 LA Monroe -4.5	at Samford

729 Over 132.0	USC at Boston Col
731 Under 139.0	Seton Hall at Georgia
735 Under 124.5	San Jose St at Wash State

[CGBatch]

21 December Results:

Sides 0-3 (51-43 ytd)
Totals 2-1 (85-63 ytd)
Overall 2-4 (136-106 ytd)

22 December Plays:

575 Citadel +24.0	at Michigan St
561 N Dakota St -16.0	vs Alcorn State
545 Wisconsin -9.5	at California
515 IL-Chicago +10.0	at Northwestern
517 Dartmouth +8.5	at Penn State
563 Kent State +10.0	at TX El Paso

525 Under 145.5	WI-Milwkee at Arkansas
607 Under 138.0	North Dakota at Marquette
587 Under 130.5	TN Martin at Butler
558 Under 132.5	Loyola Mymt vs Wichita St
542 Over 130.5	Miami (FL) vs Providence
537 Over 131.5	Col Charlestn at LSU

[CGBatch]

add:

551 UC Riverside +16.5

at San Diego St

[CGBatch]

22 December Results:

Sides 2-5 (53-47 ytd)
Totals 4-2 (89-65 ytd)
Overall 6-7 (142-112 ytd)

23 December Plays:

765 Wyoming -12.5	at Montana St
767 S Dakota St +17.5	at Utah
731 Cal St Nrdge +26.0	at Louisville

747 Under 132.5

Wichita St at Hawaii

[CGBatch]

add:

753 Under 126.0

Loyola-Chi vs Boise State

[CGBatch]

23 December Results:

Sides 1-2 (54-49 ytd)
Totals 1-1 (90-66 ytd)
Overall 2-3 (144-115 ytd)

25 December Plays:

513 Over 125.5

Ohio vs Nebraska

[CGBatch]

25 December Results:

Sides 0-0 (54-49 ytd)
Totals 1-0 (91-66 ytd)
Overall 1-0 (145-115 ytd)

27 December Plays:

543 IUPUI +12.5	at Pepperdine
531 Santa Clara +10.0	at St Marys
545 Mercer +16.0	at Georgia

533 Under 146.5	Oakland at Maryland
523 Under 140.5	Wright State at Ohio State
563 Under 150.5	Colorado St at N Mex State