SolidAsStone Thread

[crbravens23]

i have a few lines that look off...

GS
nets + 6

Pacers
hawks + 4.5

Harvard + 4.5
Uconn

texas
ok st -12.5

milw
oakland -6.5

det
clev st -8

im going to follow these rest of day as i have been all morning/early afternoon.... i'll pick one and go with it... anyone have input?? I really hawks and nets.

[heavyc819]

when the spread looks too good, take the other side...

This ^^^^

See Baylor last night

[crbravens23]

thats exactly what i thought when the game was being played... i broke my own rule... I made a mistake

[SolidAsStone]

Sick as dog today

Official NBA Play

Hawks +4 -110

[SolidAsStone]

Official Record
NCAAB= 6-5
NBA= 6-1
NHL= 0-2
NCCAF= 1-3
SOCCER= 1-0

Overall Record = 14-11 (+3.54 units)

[SolidAsStone]

Raven I just notices your post up top saying you were watching the hawks line haha we really do think along the same lines

[crbravens23]

yeah... hawks, nets ended up winning SU... i got home, placed wager on hawks.... kicking myself for not placing one on nets but whatever..the key is to find the unusal lines, concentrate on those games ( watch lines throughout day ), see where public is betting, if it looks too good then it is too good.. use linemakers spreads ag them, use what they know is going to happen and place wager on right side.... easier said then done, right ? GL everyone ! i'll post something later on...

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCCAB Play

ULM +4 -110

Start in 5 minutes!

[SolidAsStone]

I think Arlington is going to have ball control issues and will turn the ball over too many times to dominate this game. I think it will stay close and then I am hoping things bounce my way at the end!

[SolidAsStone]

Another Official NCAAB Play

Arkansas Little Rock -3 -110

[SolidAsStone]

Wow what a shame on the ULM +4 game where we PUSHED. We were up 1 with second left and Arlington has the last shot and they take a 3 and we FOUL! But then the Arlington player goes to the line and makes 1 of 3 free throws to send the game into overtime. That's the way the ball bounce sometimes you got to be able to handle the bad bounces which is only do-able with proper unit management. Anyway we made the right play today but ending up Pushing.

Lets go Arkansas Little Rock -3 tonight!

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCAAB Play

La Salle -3 -110

Everyone loves George Washington + the points. I like La Salle though because they have a clear advantage on the boards with Zack grabbing almost 10 RPG. Also La Salle has tons of experience with mostly seniors and a few juniors who play most of the minutes

[SolidAsStone]

ULM +4 PUSH
Arkansas LR -3 WINNER + 1 unit
La Salle -3 + 1 unit

Counting lasts nights hawks win over the pacers looks like we are on another 3 game win streak! Congrats to all and yes this is what serious handicapping looks like.

[SolidAsStone]

Official Record
NCAAB= 8-5-1
NBA= 6-1
NHL= 0-2
NCAAF= 1-3
SOCCER= 1-0

Overall Record = 16-11-1 (+5.54 units)

[SolidAsStone]

Another good night last night! Spotted this gem early today

Official NCAAB Play

High Point -1 -110 for 1/2 unit

[crbravens23]

i think the line is off which I like....Rad should prob of opened as -1 favorite....line has moved from highpoint - 1, to pk, to now -1.5.... public on radford which i love.... this might be a good play... u got anything else to add stone?

[SolidAsStone]

I have the same thoughts as you Raven this game should have opened with Radford the favorite not High Point. Also, I like the High Point has played a way harder schedule than Radford so far which explains the gap in records.

[SolidAsStone]

I also see a TON of potential in the NBA tonight. I am looking at Atlanta and Washington hard as leans right now. I will post official plays around 6-630.

[crbravens23]

I love highpoint - 1, hawks + 3 and wiz + 9.... i dont like betting that many games though so I'm going to go highpoint - 1 and hawks + 3.. nets look like a decent play but i like hawks better. GL everyone. thanks for info stone.

[SolidAsStone]

A couple games that I was looking at for NBA, but I began to think about it and I was realized that last night a TON of underdogs covered and/or even won straight up. And I remember I had wrote down a couple of years ago that after big nights for underdogs that the next day tends to not be great for underdogs. And even though I haven't actually made an Excel and kept track of this "theory", I do know that I wouldn't have written it down for myself unless it had happened to me multiple times. So anyways long story short, even though there are some games I was looking hard at.... I am going to just watch the NBA tonight and see how things shake out. There are plenty of NBA games to be played so no reason for me to make plays when I do not feel 100% comfortable. BOL to everyone who is playing tonight!

Reminder: Only Official Play today is NCAAB High Point -1 -110 for HALF A UNIT

[SolidAsStone]

Raven specifically good luck to you too because the Hawks and the Wizards were the two games I was looking at earlier!

[crbravens23]

i was about to bet highpoint, hawks and wiz but a reliable source told me to stay away from hawks…. i didn't bet anything yet but I'm glad i held off so far bc highpoint getting smoked. ur theory just stay away from underdogs after extremely successful day of dogs winning? damn……..

[SolidAsStone]

Yeah I knew something was odd about the high point game. That's why I only went half a unit on it. There is still another half for high point backers to get lucky.

[SolidAsStone]

I wrote down all the opening lines too today for NBA and NCAAB so I will tally everything up at the end of the night and see how the dogs did tonight as a way to do a little test of the "theory." Obviously one nights data isn't enough to make a definite statement, but I am still curious how the dogs will do tonight.

[SolidAsStone]

I knew this game was almost TOO obvious that something was up with it and I KNEW something was odd about that, but yet I still went for High Point. Lesson learned.

High Point -1 -110 LOSS -1.1 unit

[SolidAsStone]

CORRECTION sorry I only bet 1/2 unit on High Point because I knew it seemed TOO odd.

High Point-1 -110 LOSS -.55 units (not -1.1 units like I stated by mistake in above post)

[SolidAsStone]

OFFICIAL RECORD

NCAAB= 8-6-1
NBA= 6-1
NHL= 0-2
NCAAF= 1-3
SOCCER= 1-0

Overall Record= 16-12-1 (+4.99 units)

[SolidAsStone]

BTW the underdog theory results were inconclusive (surprise surprise). The NBA underdogs went 4-8 last night while NCAAB dogs went 5-1. So either way I can't say we know for sure if the day after a big underdog day is a bad day for underdogs. Either way I will keep watching this throughout the season. Picks and analysis coming soon!

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCAAB Play

634 Arkansas State -4 -110 for 1 unit

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCAAB Play

St. Bonaventure +7.5 for 1 unit

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCAAB Play

563 Minnesota +11 -110 for 1 unit

Michigan State coming down after their huge OT win over Ohio State. Minnesota is the opposite and on the upswing playing the #5 Mich St and then next game the #3 Ohio State. Minnesota has 4 players who score for them and 4 players who can shoot the 3 and 3 of those 4 players can REALLY shoot the 3. Also, they have a good big man who is 6'11 240lbs. Jr Elliot Elliason who grabs boards and blocks/alters shots. They also have this kid Hollins who is 6'4 and a senior who can match up with Michigan States bigger guards like Harris and Valentine. Also, Michigan State forward Dawson has been playing better lately because he has been playing with tons of energy. Will he be full of energy today for a day game on a Saturday against a double digit underdog...I think not. My one worry is if Payne can make his jumpers today which will drag Eliason outside of the paint. I have not seen this Eliason kid play so I do not know if he can handle having to play near the perimeter against Payne.

[SolidAsStone]

Adding another 1 unit to the Minnesota play now that I see that Michigan States Payne is downgraded to doubtful because of a foot injury.

so

Minnesota +11 -110 1 unit
Minnesota +10.5 -110 1 unit

[SolidAsStone]

UPDATES FOR PLAY TODAY

St. Bonaventure +7.5 WINNER + 1 unit

They could've won straight up, but they collapsed at the end. Feel bad for St. Bonnies, but it worked out for us.

Minnesota is up 5 at halftime to Mich. St.

Ark St. plays tonight

[SolidAsStone]

Official NHL Play

Winnipeg Jets -125 for 1 unit

[SolidAsStone]

Official NCAAB Plays

Fordham +5.5 -110
South Dakota State +1.5 -110