Live Betting Value

[Crate Mayne]

Live play's all I've done this tourney, and it's been fuggin golden. No sense in taking like -900 pre-game MLs when you can wait til they're down 2 points with 35 minutes to play and nab them at + odds. etc etc etc

Live Play > Pre-game lines

[Dirty D]

Figured this was the lowest I would get Duke so I decided to toss it in there since I have to watch it anyways for the under...

Creighton vs DukeGame WinnerDuke −9.0 3/24/2013 8:42:58 PM −115 $200.00 $173.91 Pending

[Dirty D]

I'm sure its a common strategy but its new to me. I generally parlay MLs because I like to pick winners and not deal with the BS spread trash crap at the end of games. But I feel like I am armed with much more informaiton when I bet in-game and the line-makers are under the gun to make quick decisions

[Tower]

Lets do this again Thursday!

[Dirty D]

Hey Tower, did you make any money today?

[Crate Mayne]

I'm sure its a common strategy but its new to me. I generally parlay MLs because I like to pick winners and not deal with the BS spread trash crap at the end of games. But I feel like I am armed with much more informaiton when I bet in-game and the line-makers are under the gun to make quick decisions

Yup, exactly for all those reasons you just said! You get to see how the game is actually playing out, then pound the best lines, and also take advantage of lines that are too good to pass up.

[Dirty D]

I would have shredded it today if I Iowa state hadn't pulled off a 15-2 run towards the end of that game.

[Ringo]

Here's my live play of the day. I dont usually make these type of plays but it was just one of those gut feelings that I couldnt resist. +450

ONLINE
03/24/2013
10:53 PM

[ # 138432569 ] Creighton vs Duke( Risking: 23.00 - To Win: 103.50 )

WIN

03/24/2013 10:53 PM

RBL

1st shot made - 2nd half a free throwScore: () - ()

WIN

[Dirty D]

I will definitely be continuing this strategy. Deposited 300 in Bookmaker yesterday for the better in-game betting and closed out with 2406 tonight. That counts about 1500 lost between two crazy runs in games that i really didn't study as hard as the others.

However, the early lines for thursday makes me want to put it all down on a two team parlay with Oregon +10 and KSU -2.

I enjoyed it tonight fellas!

Dirty D

[Dirty D]

Here's my live play of the day. I dont usually make these type of plays but it was just one of those gut feelings that I couldnt resist. +450

ONLINE
03/24/2013
10:53 PM

[ # 138432569 ] Creighton vs Duke( Risking: 23.00 - To Win: 103.50 )

WIN

03/24/2013 10:53 PM

RBL

1st shot made - 2nd half a free throwScore: () - ()

WIN

That was actually a very smart play considering the touch-call refs and the foul trouble...

[Dirty D]

Thinking about Lakers +6.5... Going to study game a bit and shop for some value in this one...

[Dirty D]

+11.5 +105 now. Getting nice

[Dirty D]

+12.5 +105

[Dirty D]

Los Angeles Lakers vs Golden State WarriorsGame WinnerLA Lakers +11.5 3/25/2013 8:11:57 PM +105 $500.00 $525.00 Pending WON

I took it a bit early since it got up to 13 for a second

[Dirty D]

Think I will grab another nickel if i can get -13 +105

[Dirty D]

damn... just watched them screw up and throw up GSW -1.5 insteal of 11.5. Couldn't get in there quick enough. I am sur eit would hav ebeen cancelled but you never know when something like that might slip through...

[Dirty D]

Taking one more shot!

138482101 NBA[2611] 2H LA LAKERS -5-115 $1042.20 $906.26 WON

[Dirty D]

Unbelievable Comeback! Was sweating 2nd half bet and had already written off the early in-game bet.

[Dirty D]

Here we go! Tonight I will be shopping for good spots in the Bama/Terps and the Mavs/Clips. The Clips have been screwing off for 3 quarters lately and then lighting it up in the 4th. The game is basically a pickem and the Mavs are still thinking playoffs. I see the Mavs coming out with intensity. My goal is to get one team or the other at +9 or greater. We will see but I suspect we can find some value somewhere tonight. A lot of this strategy depends on watching the games, watching for hustle and effort, and stabbing at momentum shifts. It has been working well so far...

Will be doing the same for the terps/bama. I think value will be harder to come by in this game.

Dirty D

[Dirty D]

hoping to grab bama pk -110 at some point.

[Dirty D]

1st Play


03/26/2013 @ 04:17 PM RBL Game Winner New York PK 500.00 650.00

[Dirty D]

Wow, if they put the total back up, i am on the under. These two teams are playing lazy as hell

[Dirty D]

Might get a good spot on some Alabama value here ...

[Dirty D]

Nicks are going to win this one. Doubt I will get them over pK+100 again. Just tried to drop 2000 on knicks pk+120. It rejected and changed to Nicks pk -115. Will be fun to watch where this on goes. I have nicks +130 for 500. If it gets up to Boston +130, I might just put 500 there and accept the 30% return...

[Dirty D]

missed my big chance to hedge on the nicks. Had celts +195. Could have locked in 200 in guarenteed money. But judging by the way their playing it will take a major shift in the second half to lose the initial bet.

[Dirty D]

Unbelievable Start

New York Knicks vs Boston CelticsGame WinnerNew York PK 3/26/2013 4:17:39 PM +130 $500.00 $650.00 WON
Maryland vs AlabamaGame WinnerAlabama +4.0 3/26/2013 5:46:37 PM −130 $250.00 $192.31 WON
Maryland vs AlabamaGame WinnerAlabama +3.0 3/26/2013 5:50:59 PM +115 $300.00 $345.00 WON

[Dirty D]

Doubt I will see it much lower than this. Still not seeing value on either side so I went over 200 for 2 units..

Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas MavericksGame TotalOver 200 3/26/2013 7:38:46 PM −110 $200.00 $181.82 Pending WON

[Dirty D]

Well, I was wrong. 2nd half bet is for 100. That makes a game total over 198. Might add a bit. Considering the pace, lack of defense, long dry spell from the clips in the 2nd quarter, I have to think that this clears 198. Going to put a little more down.

[Dirty D]

just dropped to 99.5, Spread also moved a bit in favor of Dallas... Not seeing any value in the spread but loving the total...

[Dirty D]

Went in for more

138536999 NBA[2655] 2H LA CLIPPERS v 2H DALLAS o99½-110 $440.00 $400.00 WON

[Dirty D]

Just a value shot.

Los Angeles Clippers vs Dallas MavericksGame WinnerDallas PK 3/26/2013 8:33:38 PM +255 $400.00 $1,020.00 WON

[Dirty D]

Wow, 4 minutes later the line is Dallas PK +110