Live Betting Value

[Dirty D]

Omfg!!!!

[Dirty D]

That was a damn sweater for sure!!! I just knew we were headed to OT

[Dirty D]

Now back to the live betting. They are not giving up very much on Miami but Duke is -4 at the moment

[fifacor7]

Our over on the Miami game is pretty much a dead duck. MY in game o/u is 114 right now. What are your thoughts?

[Dirty D]

I am not playing that but I would take the over. That is 3.4 pts per minute needed. When you factor in that its close so OT or late fouling could be in the picture, I would take it for a mild amount. My book doesnt offer it or i would take it

[Dirty D]

I am trying to find a spot with duke or miami under 3 pts live betting... They just wont give up the value on miami yet even though i would think it should be down to 3 by now, Actually mine just hit -3.5

[Dirty D]

we had an illini fan in this thread earlier. I would like to hear his take after seeing 3/4 of the game.

[Dirty D]

Duke and creighton is sitting at 128. Trying to figure that one out. THinking about dropping a little on that under. That would require 4 points per minute to make that work out and that is usually the line I use to draw my own totals. These games will be scrappy so I think anything over 3.75 pts/minute would be value on the under

[fifacor7]

Buzzer beater lets go Duke -3 FH

[Dirty D]

I decided to wait for the halftime line on the duke game. Quite frankly, I was too much into that Ole Piss finish to have a good read on these two games. I am tempted as hell to take Miami -2.5 -125 right now

[Dirty D]

Anyone been watching the whole Miami game to have a good read on if miami is going to turn it on?

[Dirty D]

Well, thats what indecisivness gets you. Let them go at -2.5 and their at -7.5 now

[Tower]

I started watching to Duke game. Don't know much about the feel of the Miami game

[Dirty D]

Gotta get on the under 75 for duke second half. Minus that last prayer buzzer beater, they combined for 49 pts. Its rare to see teams come out and combine for 50% more points than they did in the first half. Especially in scrappy tourney games. Anyone have a different read?

[Dirty D]

Here we go!

138432428 CBB[2718] 2H CREIGHTON v 2H DUKE u74½-110 $700.00 $636.36

[Rmac15]

Gotta get on the under 75 for duke second half. Minus that last prayer buzzer beater, they combined for 49 pts. Its rare to see teams come out and combine for 50% more points than they did in the first half. Especially in scrappy tourney games. Anyone have a different read?

happens a lot more than what you think, look at the KU vs NC game today...

[Tower]

Here's my crazy logic. I was thinking over and since I'm usually wrong, you'll probably be right. My reasoning, they're missing shots, a lot of fouls so far, so I think people will lay off a bit on defense to stay out of foul trouble and Curry can't miss 'em all. But again, I've been ice cold lately so under is probably the play here.. hahaha as weird as that sounds!

[Dirty D]

happens a lot more than what you think, look at the KU vs NC game today...

That game stayed under in the second half.

[Rmac15]

That game stayed under in the second half.

they put up 77 what was the O/U?

[Dirty D]

Here's my crazy logic. I was thinking over and since I'm usually wrong, you'll probably be right. My reasoning, they're missing shots, a lot of fouls so far, so I think people will lay off a bit on defense to stay out of foul trouble and Curry can't miss 'em all. But again, I've been ice cold lately so under is probably the play here.. hahaha as weird as that sounds!

And that is very good logic.. I just hope its wrong. I just think that it is a March madness anomoly where teams come out in the second half a little nervous. I have seen a lot of games today where teams start walking it up the floor and running clock down even when its a one possession game. Kindof like that scared of screwing up mentality

[Dirty D]

Damn. surly my book will get Miami even money at some point! They still have them at -3.5.

[Tower]

I hear ya.

[Ron29301]

Ill about to close this out. Brought them at Pk. Gl.

[Dirty D]

Got it

GO CANES!


Game WinnerMiami Florida PK 3/24/2013 8:02:01 PM +120 $407.27 $488.72 Pending

[Dirty D]

Unbelievable 3

[Dirty D]

unbelieveably terrible call in Canes favor

[Dirty D]

Now that was a rare occurrence to grab the winner at the highest odds that ever hit the board!

Game WinnerMiami Florida PK 3/24/2013 8:02:01 PM +120 $407.27 $488.72 WON

[Ron29301]

Got it

GO CANES!


Game WinnerMiami Florida PK 3/24/2013 8:02:01 PM +120 $407.27 $488.72 Pending

Good hit. Illi couldn't close it out.

[Tower]

Now that was a rare occurrence to grab the winner at the highest odds that ever hit the board!

Game WinnerMiami Florida PK 3/24/2013 8:02:01 PM +120 $407.27 $488.72 WON

Nice work!

[Dirty D]

Now shopping for value on Duke spread. Their on pace for 50 this half so under 74.5 is looking fairly good if we avoid any crazy streaks.

[Dirty D]

Got Duke -11 on the board. They are in double bonus with momentum. Hard to see them not running them out of the gym. Thinkin on this

[Dirty D]

Well, everyone on dukes team is in foul trouble. Creighton might tighten it up

[Tower]

Under is looking good. Duke as long as they are ahead and in foul trouble are going to slow it waaayyy down!

[Dirty D]

What do you guys think. Duke -10.5 to round out the night?

[Dirty D]

Its been a good day. Now I have to go back and study to see how much was luck and how much was the new strategy! Sure felt nice to grab up Miami at PK +115 vs the original spread of -8 -110. My philosophy is that more times than not, the bigger, faster, stronger team will finish it out.