RG3ING/MURRAY System n Picks

[sigtauslimer]

Dam! If you keep that percentage up, I will fly you to Nevada where we will set-up our gambling business. LOL

I'll be automatic fridge stocker if you need a roomie

[Murray Rothbard]

Dam! If you keep that percentage up, I will fly you to Nevada where we will set-up our gambling business. LOL

LOL, you heard it here first folks. No reneging!

[maxim79]

hahaha i think it has more to do with the beginning of the college bb season... everybody is betting the public teams nobody knows whats what yet... itll sort itself out as the season goes along.

but as far as now..... lets get this paper!

[Murray Rothbard]

Alright boys here is the update for now.

Arkansas LR +3 -WIN

Chaminade +17.5 -WIN

James Madison +5.5 -WIN

Rider +7 -LOSS

Jacksonville St +12 -LOSS

Mercer PK -LOSS

Sam Houston St +4 -LOSS

Sam Houston St +4 -LOSS

Monmouth +9 -LOSS

Illinois Chicago+7.5 -WIN

Tennessee St +2.5 -WIN

Fairfield +6.5 -LOSS

Bowling Green +7.5 -LOSS

Fordham +5 -WIN

1H Arkansas LR +2 -WIN

1H Chaminade +9.5 -WIN

1H James Madison +3 -LOSS

1H Rider +4 -LOSS

1H Jacksonville St +7.5 -LOSS

1H Mercer PK -WIN

1H Monmouth +5 -LOSS

1H Illinois Chicago +4 -LOSS

1H Tennessee St +1.5 -WIN

1H Fairfield +3.5 -LOSS

1H Bowling Green +4 -WIN

1H Fordham +3 -WIN

So far: 11-14 - $96
YTD: 41-38-2 ~50% - $360

======================================== ==============

Because of the late Jacksonville St game I will not be able to fully update the stats until tomorrow however here is where I am at as of now. Clearly a disappointing day given the fact that I started out 5-2. Since then I'm 11-12 and down $35 bucks.

In case people are wondering, the reason why I have Sam Houston St twice up there is because I meant to take Sam Houston St for the game and in the 1H like usual but instead I ended up putting in Sam Houston St for the game twice (dummy). The reason why I will count this duplicate game is because they didn't cover 1H either and it would of been a loss anyways.

Another note: The Chaminade game isn't quite over yet (still 3 min to go) but seeing as Chaminade has a 12 pt lead and are +17.5 for the game so I feel confident enough that I can declare Chaminade a winner.

================================

EDIT: Fully Updated

[A4K]

Get 'em tomorrow. Were any of the losses close?

[Murray Rothbard]

Get 'em tomorrow. Were any of the losses close?

Define "close." But yeah, a few of them were within 5pts I believe.

[A4K]

Define "close." But yeah, a few of them were within 5pts I believe.

Those are always tough. If I have to lose, blow me out, don't let me lose by a bucket or a free-throw. Get 'em tomorrow Murray.

[Murray Rothbard]

Those are always tough. If I have to lose, blow me out, don't let me lose by a bucket or a free-throw. Get 'em tomorrow Murray.

Yes sir.

[16johnnymac]

Why waste ur money on all these plays you seem like your a pretty knowledgeable guy why not strive for profection rather than this almost 50% and below losing day



UOTE=Murray Rothbard;16839548]Alright boys here is the update for now.

Arkansas LR +3 -WIN

Chaminade +17.5 -WIN

James Madison +5.5 -WIN

Rider +7 -LOSS

Jacksonville St +12 -LOSS

Mercer PK -LOSS

Sam Houston St +4 -LOSS

Sam Houston St +4 -LOSS

Monmouth +9 -LOSS

Illinois Chicago+7.5 -WIN

Tennessee St +2.5 -WIN

Fairfield +6.5 -LOSS

Bowling Green +7.5 -LOSS

Fordham +5 -WIN

1H Arkansas LR +2 -WIN

1H Chaminade +9.5 -WIN

1H James Madison +3 -LOSS

1H Rider +4 -LOSS

1H Jacksonville St +7.5 -LOSS

1H Mercer PK -WIN

1H Monmouth +5 -LOSS

1H Illinois Chicago +4 -LOSS

1H Tennessee St +1.5 -WIN

1H Fairfield +3.5 -LOSS

1H Bowling Green +4 -WIN

1H Fordham +3 -WIN

So far: 11-14 - $96
YTD: 41-38-2 ~50% - $360

======================================== ==============

Because of the late Jacksonville St game I will not be able to fully update the stats until tomorrow however here is where I am at as of now. Clearly a disappointing day given the fact that I started out 5-2. Since then I'm 11-12 and down $35 bucks.

In case people are wondering, the reason why I have Sam Houston St twice up there is because I meant to take Sam Houston St for the game and in the 1H like usual but instead I ended up putting in Sam Houston St for the game twice (dummy). The reason why I will count this duplicate game is because they didn't cover 1H either and it would of been a loss anyways.

Another note: The Chaminade game isn't quite over yet (still 3 min to go) but seeing as Chaminade has a 12 pt lead and are +17.5 for the game so I feel confident enough that I can declare Chaminade a winner.

================================

EDIT: Fully Updated[/QUOTE]

[16johnnymac]

Shut her down close up shop

[Murray Rothbard]

Why waste ur money on all these plays you seem like your a pretty knowledgeable guy why not strive for profection rather than this almost 50% and below losing day

Trust me I'd like to win a lot more often but this is a theory I've been testing and the only way to test it is to take a lot of games and see how it plays out over the course of time. I had a bad day yesterday and it really brought down my win% but I've had two bad days out of like 5 so that's not too bad. If I continue to have days like yesterday then I will def shut it down but I think it's still too early to tell. Maybe after this week we'll have a better idea.

[A4K]

Trust me I'd like to win a lot more often but this is a theory I've been testing and the only way to test it is to take a lot of games and see how it plays out over the course of time. I had a bad day yesterday and it really brought down my win% but I've had two bad days out of like 5 so that's not too bad. If I continue to have days like yesterday then I will def shut it down but I think it's still too early to tell. Maybe after this week we'll have a better idea.

I like your approach. Test her out until you have at least 1000 plays under your belt. Should be a fun ride.

[whtsox13]

I like your approach. Test her out until you have at least 1000 plays under your belt. Should be a fun ride.

Yes keep it up Mr. R I'm sure this has never been tried before, you are a true pioneer.

[A4K]

Yes keep it up Mr. R I'm sure this has never been tried before, you are a true pioneer.

Lol, I'm always a fan of sarcasm.

[Murray Rothbard]

I like your approach. Test her out until you have at least 1000 plays under your belt. Should be a fun ride.

Yeah either that or until my profit hits zero lol.

[BRed325]

You are probably straying too far away from your original theory maybe that's why? And you don't have to take all these bets, you could always just keep track of games that "fit" and see what happens. No money necessary.

[Murray Rothbard]

You are probably straying too far away from your original theory maybe that's why? And you don't have to take all these bets, you could always just keep track of games that "fit" and see what happens. No money necessary.

Thanks for your input my friend.

[BRed325]

Friend, you know you don't have to take 20+ a day. Take half and ghost ride the other half. Then maybe if you figure it out you'll be ghost riding the whip to the pay window son.

[Murray Rothbard]

Friend, you know you don't have to take 20+ a day. Take half and ghost ride the other half. Then maybe if you figure it out you'll be ghost riding the whip to the pay window son.

lol

[RG3ING]

Yes keep it up Mr. R I'm sure this has never been tried before, you are a true pioneer.

Go jump off a bridge I'll sleep better tonight!!!

[BRed325]

Then maybe you'll be able to afford to get that frail ass cut fixed so your dome piece doesn't feel so fragile!

[Murray Rothbard]

Then maybe you'll be able to afford to get that frail ass cut fixed so your dome piece doesn't feel so fragile!

lol ok bred. hit me up later scrub.

[A4K]

Then maybe you'll be able to afford to get that frail ass cut fixed so your dome piece doesn't feel so fragile!

WTF?!

[BRed325]

Murray and myself are on that personal level yanno

[Murray Rothbard]

WTF?!

Don't mind him, bred is my boy in real life and he's just talking ish lol.

[A4K]

Don't mind him, bred is my boy in real life and he's just talking ish lol.

Sounds legit.

[maxim79]

ok fellas just got home.... havent got a chance to look at the lines yet. whats on tap so far? has anybody won anything yet today?

[Murray Rothbard]

ok fellas just got home.... havent got a chance to look at the lines yet. whats on tap so far? has anybody won anything yet today?

Idk about RG3 but I haven't touched any games today. I looked at the lines but nothing stood out and I wasn't in the mood to dig any deeper. I was pretty swamped at work today and between that, my mid-term coming up this weekend, and all the research ive been doing this past week I'm mentally fatigued so I'll probably just bounce back tomorrow. GL to you if you decide to take anything.

[RG3ING]

Butler bulldogs 1h +5
California Davis aggies 1h +3
I'm gonna take bets with a couple added factors along with fading public when over 75% instead of the 70% we were looking for previously along with RLM or a non moving spread along with a couple other factors this will limit my plays per night as you can see tonight I only have 2 plays

[maxim79]

i have a similar system rg3.

i fade the public when over 75% if the line moves more then 2 pts from the original line thats a no play for me from 1-1.5 thats 1 unit. from 0-.5 thats 2 units and if the line moves towards the fav thats 3 units

i had
columbia 1h - 2u
wash st 1h - 3u
ten chat 1h - 2u
georgia 1h - 2u

lost the ten chat game but everything else hit.... im calling it a night not gonna get too greedy but following the rest of the games in my system.

[RG3ING]

1-1 last night stopped the bleeding cal state won game but there run came in the 2h tough beat Yeah maxim sounds good I like moving the public from 70-75 it's honna limit plays plus my 3 factors narrows the games to! BOL

[wizcodlifa]

anyone want to explain to me this LM system n full detail please?

[Murray Rothbard]

SYSTEM PLAYS FOR 11/21/12

San Diego +2.5

Central Michigan +6

Samford +5.5

Princeton +14

Tulane +2

[Murray Rothbard]

anyone want to explain to me this LM system n full detail please?

We are working with a RLM system. In this system we take games in where there is RLM as well 70%+ public action on the favorite of that game. We may stray away from this criteria every once in a while but for the majority of our plays this criteria is met.

[spargament]

Unfavorable movement on all games besides Tulane and Princeton which display favorable movement for a system like the one you guys appear to be running.