EP36's 2nd Half Formula Plays

[tg09]

Have to check to see if blowouts effect this ... so here we go.

Indiana-Ball State Over 73 [-110]

I could see overs in blowouts being killed by a lack of fouls/possession changes in the final minutes.

although i hope i'm wrong since i tailed you on this.

[EaglesPhan36]

I tried it in this one because the foul rates were both high for both teams. Definitely think it makes sense if there are not many fouls to pass for the reasons you stated. IU was pretty sloppy in that manner in a game they were/are in control of, so hoping that continues. So far, they are still fouling - hopefully at least one team gets in the bonus shortly.

[dk70]

Of course I miss these. get em EP

[EaglesPhan36]

I don't think I'll be taking an under for a long time. I don't care what the f-ing numbers say any more. It's just too ridiculous at this point. 9 point game with 26 seconds left and still fouling. 16 points plus whatever else in the last 1:00.

[tg09]

wow, 22 points in the final 1:40 of the st mary's-ga tech game that looked like an easy under.

[BB_Mariners]

I was always wondering why college team keep fouling even when it is obvious that the game is lost? What is the largest lead that was overcame in last 30 sec?

[dk70]

Is there a place to check the over/under #s that have played so far this season? Can it be exploited if the strategy is to foul and jack threes to get close at the end?

[southpaw74]

They hit a 3 with about a minute left. When they do that and they are within double digits they feel like they have a shot so they start the foul fest. If they miss that 3 then it probably saves the next 15 points.

[EaglesPhan36]

Exactly. You can't really cap those things. In any case, me and unders are on a break.

[EaglesPhan36]

California-Pacific Over 70 [-110]

[TheeArchBishop]

On it. Pacifica ain't stopping anyone and they have to shoot better in 2nd half. Also took CAL +1 .

[Dmoneytx]

California-Pacific Over 70 [-110]

On it. Pacifica ain't stopping anyone and they have to shoot better in 2nd half. Also took CAL +1 .

Really like BOTH of those plays. BOL!!!

[EaglesPhan36]

USC-San Diego State Over 65.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Tonight really is pissing me off. 68 pts in the Cal game. The under gets almost 20 pts in a minute and this one can't get 12 pts in three minutes.

[BB_Mariners]

If Pacific scored in last 3 min it would hit it.

[southpaw74]

Exact scenario that i descibed for the last game. Happened the opposite this time and screws us by a bucket! Pacific cant hit a shot in the last 2 minutes so no fouls plus they can't score and we lose by a hair...rediculous

[dsaewra]

Cal running away with it the last few minutes did it in.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well at least weeding the unders out for a while from this point forward I think will help my sanity, but GD I hate when they miss by a pube. Three missed shots and two turnovers by Pacific in the last 3, that is the killer. Even keel, even keel. Woooo-saaah.

[ebbearsfb1]

Feel for ya.... still can't figure out how it went over first half usc.. 57.5... with 3 left its at 41....

[EaglesPhan36]

1st halves to me seem very tough to beat. That's why I like 2nd halves better with the chance to see how the teams are playing, how the game is being called, etc.

[No coincidences]

Feel for ya.... still can't figure out how it went over first half usc.. 57.5... with 3 left its at 41....

Now the over 2H looked great and then all of a sudden, breaks put on, no scoring, no fouls being called. Unreal.

[No coincidences]

6 points in the last 4 minutes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Just keep fouling pricks, do a solid for us.

[EaglesPhan36]

Hoo-ray for fouling. Finished with a winner.

[sigtauslimer]

Nice call EP!

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 31-22-2 [+3.78]

[dsaewra]

Just keep fouling pricks, do a solid for us.

Generally, I would find that disdainful. In this instance, I approve.

[EaglesPhan36]

11.26.12

Kansas-San Jose State Over 73 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Absolutely brutal 2nd half by San Jose State. 2 pts after 7 minutes. If they hit anything, this is in order still with KU doing plenty still. Gonna need a lot of stupid fouling and San Jose to make some friggin shots.

[EaglesPhan36]

Pretty shitty half. Both teams played about 10 minutes worth of basketball.

[EaglesPhan36]

Updated Record: 31-23-2 [+2.68]

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm skipping UNDERs, but going to track them - Minnesota-FSU Under 73.5 would normally be a play.

[zoo youk]

anything?

[sigtauslimer]

EPhan, surprised you didn't devour the O67 2H between Vermont/Harvard. That was EASY $$$

[EaglesPhan36]

I wasn't around for that one. More reasons to skip unders. Minny game goes over.