Gwills 12-13 college hoops

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  • CollegeOverUnder
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 10-20-10
    • 5520

    #141
    Canisius: B. Baron 18 Pts, 3 Reb, 5 Ast, 4 Stl
    Comment
    • gwills
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 10-22-11
      • 948

      #142
      MISS ST / MARQUETTE UNDER 137
      CANISIUS -1 (4 Units)

      14-12
      overall so far this season. I am picking at 54% right now, and am up 3.4 Units so far (bankroll update).

      Here's what I like for tomorrow:

      Nebraska +1 (2 units)
      Michigan -2 (2 units)

      Nebraska faces a Tulane team that is 3-1 so far this season. That one loss came on the road (their only road game so far) against a Georgia Tech team that is just...eh. Tulane will be in for a rude awakening when they play at Nebraska in the form of defense and a formidable inside game. It seems the Cornhuskers have continued to take after their old coach, Doc Sadler, still playing stellar defense. They are giving up points in the 50's per game, and only surrendered 48 against Valpo at home. For those who don't know Valpo can really score and have a couple of guys who can really shoot it. The Huskers shut them down. If you look at these prospective rosters as well, you will notice two big guys inside for Nebraska in Ubel and Almeida. They are both 6-10+ and are dominant on defense and on the glass. Ubel is also 235, and Almeida is a bruising 300+ pounds at 6-11. Tulane has two forwards getting the majority of their minutes who are 6-6 and 6-8. As long as the Nebraska big men can stay out of foul trouble, they should be fine and should anchor the defense. Tulane will score no more than 60, and I like Nebraska a lot here. Dylan Talley seems as though he can score as well for the Huskers...

      I like Michigan a lot as well on a neutral floor. Burke, Hardaway and Morgan will be formidable all year long, but we all know John Bielen's system is what makes this team click. They are tough on defense and always seem to get good shots. They're 3-0 and have blown out all their opponents thus far. To be honest, I like Pitt, they have a lot of good players (Woodall, Zanna, Taylor...) but I just don't know that they're ready to bounce back and contend with Michigan yet. Keep on eye Nik Stauskas who can make shots for Michigan and take a little pressure off of their hot-shot players. They also have this freshman McCray who comes in and is a beast on the glass. I think -2 is easily achieved here. Good luck.

      - GWills


      Comment
      • gwills
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 10-22-11
        • 948

        #143
        Originally posted by CollegeOverUnder
        Canisius: B. Baron 18 Pts, 3 Reb, 5 Ast, 4 Stl
        Amazing....
        Comment
        • wizcodlifa
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-10-12
          • 921

          #144
          gwills whats up my friend??

          you been using my JM nba system?
          Comment
          • bald_guy
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 11-02-12
            • 990

            #145
            I got in at: Nebraska -1.5
            Michigan -2.5

            So Nebraska odds really changed to say the least. I also did a parlay teaser adding 5 points to each.
            Comment
            • gwills
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-22-11
              • 948

              #146
              What up wiz, I like the system I just don't like betting on nba. Dunno why it's just not my thing ya know? I like to stick with what works.

              Also, I'm adding in two plays guys:

              Marquette -4
              Butler +2.5
              To be honest I am very shocked that Marquette is this small of a favorite, USC has not looked very good at Maui and barely beat a depleted Texas team missing their best player and another starter. If they couldn't stop Illinois scoring, how are they gonna stop Marquette's up-tempo offense?

              Butler has intangibles, a gritty nature and Brad Stevens. They are my favorite team to watch so far this year. I'm surprised they are underdogs after knocking off UNC. When Rotnei Clarke handles the ball be sure to notice how much the floor spreads and all the space they have to operate. He is this years Jimmer Fredette, and makes room for everyone to have open shots because of his long-range and the attention he draws. That is deadly when everyone else on the team can shoot too.

              -GWills
              Comment
              • CollegeOverUnder
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 10-20-10
                • 5520

                #147
                we dont no the status on Rontei Clarks hand though......
                Comment
                • bald_guy
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 11-02-12
                  • 990

                  #148
                  I just locked in Marquette -5. Seems I never get as good as spread as the rest do.

                  Rontei Clarks hand injury got me worried on the Butler bet. I looked it up and seems he hurt it last game. Gwills, do you know about this, and would you still recommend this bet if he can't play? I noticed a lot of your write up was all bout how great this player is......
                  Comment
                  • gwills
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 10-22-11
                    • 948

                    #149
                    Originally posted by CollegeOverUnder
                    we dont no the status on Rontei Clarks hand though......
                    dang...only watched a little of the game last night and COMPLETELY missed that...really ROOKIE move by me. What happened?

                    I'm looking into it now..
                    Comment
                    • bald_guy
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 11-02-12
                      • 990

                      #150
                      Wednesday
                      11/21/2012
                      08:04 AM
                      Team: Butler
                      Name: Rotnei Clarke
                      Position: G
                      Type: hand
                      Status: Probable
                      Explanation: injured last game, is upgraded to probable Wednesday vs Illinois.
                      Comment
                      • gwills
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 10-22-11
                        • 948

                        #151
                        Yeah, i feel as though he'll play. If he's probably it should be fine. Man, rookie mistake by me though missing that. Thats a key piece of information. Thanks COU, Baldguy. Looks like I'll get bailed out, though.

                        Still like them at +2.5, with him listed as probable.
                        Comment
                        • CollegeOverUnder
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 10-20-10
                          • 5520

                          #152
                          lmao oh I new he was playing im just saying his hand is still hurt though. A shooters hand is the most important thing in basketball. Im just concerened about the fact that his hand isnt 100% even though he is playing
                          Comment
                          • gwills
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 10-22-11
                            • 948

                            #153
                            "Probable" in most sports 90% means they will play normally. It doesn't scare me much. He'll want to get out there and help his team win it all at Maui. If he is ruled out, I wouldn't take it, so maybe wait a little closer to game time, baldguy, if you're worried.
                            Comment
                            • gwills
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 10-22-11
                              • 948

                              #154
                              Originally posted by CollegeOverUnder
                              lmao oh I new he was playing im just saying his hand is still hurt though. A shooters hand is the most important thing in basketball. Im just concerened about the fact that his hand isnt 100% even though he is playing
                              I agree, but just still like Butler + points in this spot. That guy is competitive and will want to help his team win. He'll fight through it.
                              Comment
                              • haserfauld
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 12-12-08
                                • 957

                                #155
                                Michigan should be a much larger favorite, IMO. That scares me. It could just be a gift line, but I'm laying off. I actually just opened a 6-team open parlay with Pitt ML as the first play, for half a unit. It may very well lose, but I like to take a few shots at starting an open parlay with a +ML. I'm only 1 out of 6 with it, but the one I hit was ND over Oklahoma in NCAAF, and starting that parlay with a +350sih dawg made up for all the other loses.

                                Good luck tonight!
                                Comment
                                • CollegeOverUnder
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 10-20-10
                                  • 5520

                                  #156
                                  Originally posted by haserfauld
                                  Michigan should be a much larger favorite, IMO. That scares me. It could just be a gift line, but I'm laying off. I actually just opened a 6-team open parlay with Pitt ML as the first play, for half a unit. It may very well lose, but I like to take a few shots at starting an open parlay with a +ML. I'm only 1 out of 6 with it, but the one I hit was ND over Oklahoma in NCAAF, and starting that parlay with a +350sih dawg made up for all the other loses.

                                  Good luck tonight!
                                  that line is 100% correct you apparently dont no pittsburgh or are you saying you have Pittsburgh moneyline? If so then nvm
                                  Comment
                                  • haserfauld
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 12-12-08
                                    • 957

                                    #157
                                    Originally posted by CollegeOverUnder
                                    that line is 100% correct you apparently dont no pittsburgh or are you saying you have Pittsburgh moneyline? If so then nvm
                                    I have Pitt ML. I think Pitt should be 6-7pt dogs, so seeing Michigan open at -2.5, move to -4, and move back makes me think the books want more money on Michigan. I'm not a huge believer in RLM, but I like to take shots at times. :]
                                    Comment
                                    • 16johnnymac
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-27-10
                                      • 3499

                                      #158
                                      [Pitt is not bad this yeae remember they always play tough in preseason play before ncaa tournament so Pitt could measly win tonight they have a good young team
                                      QUOTE=CollegeOverUnd
                                      er;16857530]that line is 100% correct you apparently dont no pittsburgh or are you saying you have Pittsburgh moneyline? If so then nvm[/QUOTE]
                                      Comment
                                      • gwills
                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                        • 10-22-11
                                        • 948

                                        #159
                                        Pitt's a good team. Michigan is just better.
                                        Comment
                                        • bald_guy
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 11-02-12
                                          • 990

                                          #160
                                          I just locked Butler in for +2.5. I'm not really worried, just wanted to know if you knew, and if not, to re-evaluate if you still felt this was a pick for tonight. Will actually make the game more interesting. (to see if he plays and if so, if he seems hurt). My units are very small and I just play for fun.
                                          Comment
                                          • gwills
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 10-22-11
                                            • 948

                                            #161
                                            Hope its a winner for you Baldguy!
                                            Comment
                                            • CollegeOverUnder
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 10-20-10
                                              • 5520

                                              #162
                                              Originally posted by bald_guy
                                              I just locked Butler in for +2.5. I'm not really worried, just wanted to know if you knew, and if not, to re-evaluate if you still felt this was a pick for tonight. Will actually make the game more interesting. (to see if he plays and if so, if he seems hurt). My units are very small and I just play for fun.
                                              hes playing man dont worry
                                              Comment
                                              • gwills
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 10-22-11
                                                • 948

                                                #163
                                                Marquette -4
                                                Butler +2.5
                                                Nebraska +1
                                                Michigan -2

                                                Good start, just need to finish it off! I have some family stuff to go to for Tgiving guys, so I'll be back real late tonight. Probably gonna record these games and watch 'em later. GL to all who tail!
                                                Comment
                                                • bald_guy
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 11-02-12
                                                  • 990

                                                  #164
                                                  Thanks Gwills. 1 win down, 3 to go!! Wish you a great time with your family.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • wizcodlifa
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-10-12
                                                    • 921

                                                    #165
                                                    im on all you rplays. LETS GO!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • bald_guy
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 11-02-12
                                                      • 990

                                                      #166
                                                      2 wins!! 2 more to go!! Lets go Michigan!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • 16johnnymac
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 10-27-10
                                                        • 3499

                                                        #167
                                                        Pitt will win they are a good team good luck j Mac
                                                        Originally posted by gwills
                                                        Marquette -4
                                                        Butler +2.5
                                                        Nebraska +1
                                                        Michigan -2

                                                        Good start, just need to finish it off! I have some family stuff to go to for Tgiving guys, so I'll be back real late tonight. Probably gonna record these games and watch 'em later. GL to all who tail!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • bald_guy
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 11-02-12
                                                          • 990

                                                          #168
                                                          Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                                                          Pitt will win they are a good team good luck j Mac
                                                          You was wrong. Thank God. Well, we won 3 out of 4 so far. I won 4 with my 2 team teaser parlay. Sadly, the Butler game isn't looking too promising. Perhaps the injury had something to do with it, don't know. O well, I'm in the black for the night, so life isn't too bad. Plus the Butler game isn't over. So a miracle could happen.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • 16johnnymac
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 10-27-10
                                                            • 3499

                                                            #169
                                                            Nice win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • haserfauld
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 12-12-08
                                                              • 957

                                                              #170
                                                              Nice calls today, Gwills! My Pitt ML didn't pan out, but that's why they call it gambling! It looked very close for a while there
                                                              Comment
                                                              • gwills
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 10-22-11
                                                                • 948

                                                                #171
                                                                Marquette -4
                                                                Butler +2.5
                                                                Nebraska +1
                                                                Michigan -2

                                                                3-1, 17-13
                                                                overall. Good day today guys. I honestly still believe Butler was a good pick, Clarke was clearly fine after hurting his hand (had 27 points), they just didn't execute defensively. Really made some good runs to cut it close and even cut it to 5 at one point, but just didn't have enough gas. Oh well, still a good night / day of betting hoops!

                                                                I am gonna look at the games tomorrow and be back soon.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • gwills
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 10-22-11
                                                                  • 948

                                                                  #172
                                                                  Guys my plays tomorrow (not going to add anything new tomorrow btw, just gonna hang with family and watch / maybe bet some football) are as follows:

                                                                  Missouri -2 (-120)
                                                                  Gonzaga -12

                                                                  I know that Stanford is a good team, even though they just lost to Belmont at home (who is also a good team). They play good defense. Last year they were not a good offensive team away from home, and I expect that to continue this year. Missouri is a different breed. They run, run and run some more. I love taking these small spreads with teams that have high-octane offenses. The Tigers are also more solid inside this year than they were last year, with Bowers back and Alex Oriakhi. Pressey is a quick little boy and they always have guys who can shoot.

                                                                  I know -12 is a big spread...but I LOVE the Zags. They blow out everyone they play it seems, and I seriously think they will beat Clemson by 20+ points. They can go on runs where they score 10 points in a row without letting their opponent score. Opposing coaches blow through their timeouts against Gonzaga to stop all the runs they have. I like them to cover this...Clemson isn't that good I don't think.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • bald_guy
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 11-02-12
                                                                    • 990

                                                                    #173
                                                                    Originally posted by gwills

                                                                    Clarke was clearly fine after hurting his hand (had 27 points), they just didn't execute defensively. Really made some good runs to cut it close and even cut it to 5 at one point, but just didn't have enough gas.
                                                                    I was watching the exciting Michigan game (What a great comeback!!) and time it was over and I turned to the Butler game it was nearly over. I'm glad you watched it so you can study both teams performance for later picks.

                                                                    Thanks for today's picks, and hope you have a great Thanksgiving.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • gwills
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 10-22-11
                                                                      • 948

                                                                      #174
                                                                      Some may call it a "square" play, but I like it way too much to pass on. 1 unit play.

                                                                      Duke -4
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • 16johnnymac
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 10-27-10
                                                                        • 3499

                                                                        #175
                                                                        i think it will be close Miny has a good tesm they keep it close unless duke nails 3's QUOTE=gwills;16867312]Some may call it a "square" play, but I like it way too much to pass on. 1 unit play.

                                                                        Duke -4
                                                                        [/QUOTE]
                                                                        Comment
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