PR9's Plays of the day.. Sat Jan 7, 2012

[PR9]

Going to post my plays today as the day rolls along. Went 10-6 yesterday on my plays for +6.5u. Let's see what we have today.

First up,

DAL -10.5 , 3u
DAL -11.5, 2u (bought again despite the line move)
DEN +4.5, 2u
Cats TT UNDER, 2u
NYK/DET u193, 2u
Ind/Cha u188, 2u
DEN/SAS o197, 2u

DEN ML, 1u


leaning GSW -3.5, Hawks +6, and leaning DAL/NO u180 ,, and about 4 or 5 other leans that I'll sift through and look into further before locking up.

will post more later.

[PR9]

What really sucks is I had 5 medium level to strong leans yesterday that I didn't play. They ended up going 4-1

[NoHero]

Seems like a lot of plays. You must really like the card tonight?

[monologue]

dont u feel something is fishy about uta+3.5? im for uta and its my major play, i like your denver and atlanta though..

[PR9]

Seems like a lot of plays. You must really like the card tonight?

Not really. The 2 sides are just 2 bets X 2 on the same team equaling 4 bets (on the same 2 games).. may add a 1H bet on one of them however.,

[PR9]

ADDED:

PHI/TOR u187, 1.5u

[dtrukk]

dont bet against the bulls bro

[PR9]

Added:

Bucks +10, 2u

[PR9]

Added:

4 additional u on Bucks +10

Making it a grand total of 6 units on "Mill-oooh-walk-eee" !

[Future24]

Added:

Bucks +10, 2u

Any reason?

[PR9]

Will add:

4u to 6u for Rox +4.5 if Lowry is in.

making smaller wager on Rox if he's out.

[PR9]

Added:

DET +5, 2u

[B1AZE]

U like Toronto?

Philly blowing DET out and Toronto losing to the lowly Nets. Toronto's loss last night was a bit of an anomaly allowing 15 three pointers on like 30 attempts. NJ also had more FT's.

The Raptors had a nice competitive fire there for a minute and it wont take much to get back on the fade list. Last night might have done that. = Value.

[B1AZE]

But i do like the other side of alot of these inflated lines. Books know squares will parlay and tease teams like LAC all day long this weekend while they're betting their playoff teams.

[Speedy88]

Lot of money coming in on LAC but line won't budge, sounds like books want people to load up on LAC -10. I'm still having a hard time imagining the Bucks keeping up with the Clips in this one.

[PR9]

It's a "no go" on rockets. I'm laying off on that one..

@RocketsJCF
Jason Friedman
Courtney Lee (calf) and Kyle Lowry (foot) both ruled out for tonight's game.

Also hearing Jason Kidd is out tonight. May buy some back and hedge some. still making a play for dallas but not as big.

[PR9]

Lot of money coming in on LAC but line won't budge, sounds like books want people to load up on LAC -10. I'm still having a hard time imagining the Bucks keeping up with the Clips in this one.

Line budged.

LAC at -9.5 now

[monologue]

im for hou+4.5 +103 lol

[PR9]

Added:

Chi/ATL o175, 2u

[PR9]

couldn't help myself and added:

Houston +5.5, 2u

also

Detroit +4, 2u (total of 4u)

I'm kicking myself because I was heavily leaning ATL and Cats before game time, and didn't bet on them. Of course, both of them are up hy dpuble digits early here. lol

[takzilla]

what's your reasoning behind houston PR9? just curious.

[PR9]

they're juicing the spurs before the game. It doesn't look like it's going to be a very good night here.

[PR9]

So, it turned out to be another good night after all.


Now, if the Bucks can continue this play the rest of the way and cover the 10 pts, it will be a "VERY" good night.

[migz]

Wow, good picks PR9. What's your record? Leans for tomorrow?

[Speedy88]

PR9 may be one of the sharpest guys on here. And because of him I'm a much better capper. I've paid close attention to what he has had to say, and I focus much more on line movement/public money than the actual matchups/trends of the games.

Glad to see your killin it PR, keep up the good work.

PR what do you think about the Wiz +2 tomorrow at home against the Wolves? I know you liked them yesterday because of that players meeting, I think they will be hungry for a win tomorrow against a fading Wolves team.
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[PR9]

Haha the fukkin Bucks cover. Even though I only won 2.5 units on the full game instead of 6 as I hedged at the halftime, they did win me a 1H 2u bet with the data I gave in the "Bucks +10" thread. Total units with Bucks = 4.5. Not bad for a team vegas didn't give enough credit to by giving a 10 point spread when they didn't deserve that (shows how people overvalue the clips as well).

What a GREAT night with a nice winning percentage, and $$$$$

PR9 may be one of the sharpest guys on here. And because of him I'm a much better capper. I've paid close attention to what he has had to say, and I focus much more on line movement/public money than the actual matchups/trends of the games.

Glad to see your killin it PR, keep up the good work.

PR what do you think about the Wiz +2 tomorrow at home against the Wolves? I know you liked them yesterday because of that players meeting, I think they will be hungry for a win tomorrow against a fading Wolves team.

Wow, thanks for the kind words..

I'll have to look into that game further. However, the Kings had a players-only meeting a couple days ago and I hear some very productive practices - the Kings look to be trending upward. They've had 2 days off and are hosting the reeling Magic who seem to be doubting themselves lately.

So with that said, I'm really leaning Kings tomorrow and will look at the Wiz situation on that game further tomorrow.

Again, thanks for the kind words.

[CheeseHead]

Nice job in here...got my attention. Hopefully you can stay focused & keep noticing some trends/info that most others don't, it seems to be paying off so far. Good luck the rest of the season!

[YOUSENKO]

Lopsided bets almost always lose more than 70% of the time. Bet against them and u risk 30% but get paid at 1 for 1. PR9 identified those lopsided games like houston, hawk, bucks today. Good job.

[PR9]

Holy crap I just realized at my book that I won the Clips 2H bet at half time as it was -7.5 and the 2nd half score was 54-46 ..


so I hit the middle on this game !!

[Future24]

Good job man. I try to do alot of my own picks and research but you're threads deliver really well

[petermans23]

Hi PR9!

When will you post your pics for today?

What is your lean on the washington wizard-minnesota game? Specially interested in that game. But I want to wait deciding on that game before I hear your view.

Great night for you last night! Congratulation.

I followed your dallas pic and that one saved me from losing to much on other less good choices I unfortunatly made. I should have followed your other pics as well but didn´t.

Good luck today!

[PR9]

I'll have to look into that game further. However, the Kings had a players-only meeting a couple days ago and I hear some very productive practices - the Kings look to be trending upward. They've had 2 days off and are hosting the reeling Magic who seem to be doubting themselves lately.

So with that said, I'm really leaning Kings tomorrow and will look at the Wiz situation on that game further tomorrow.

Again, thanks for the kind words.

Folks. We have a RLM (reverse line movement) on this game already. Vegas moved it from Orl -6.5 to -6, and this is despite Orlando getting most of the bets all night and morning already

Vegas feels Sac will cover this one, that's why I think they moved the line making orlando a better bargain for people to continue betting more on Orl's side. Wizards had a players only meeting and they covered the same spread of being 6-point underdogs against the knicks playing with high energy and emotion.

Sacramento is feeling very good about themselves, and as mentioned, they had some very productive practices. They will come out with high emotion and energy for this game, and we all know what effect that can have in a game at home.

Moreover, right after the coaching change they had a 21 point comeback in their last game with 3 player season highs to boot. Thorton 27 points, Evans 10 boards and CRY BABY COUSINS also had a season high with 15 rebounds.

Westphal benched Demarcus on 2 occasions and after Keith Smarts first game as the Kings coach. I can quote Cousins as saying """I FELT FREE OUT THERE, IT JUST FELT GOOD TO BE ON THE COURT"

[PR9]

Holy cripes the line just moved from 6 to 7 right after my previous post. This is like the 3rd time in a row Vegas moved a line by a full point right after I talk about a RLM. lol

[Love The Action]

Folks. We have a RLM (reverse line movement) on this game already. Vegas moved it from Orl -6.5 to -6, and this is despite Orlando getting most of the bets all night and morning already

Vegas feels Sac will cover this one, that's why I think they moved the line making orlando a better bargain for people to continue betting more on Orl's side. Wizards had a players only meeting and they covered the same spread of being 6-point underdogs against the knicks playing with high energy and emotion.

Sacramento is feeling very good about themselves, and as mentioned, they had some very productive practices. They will come out with high emotion and energy for this game, and we all know what effect that can have in a game at home.

Moreover, right after the coaching change they had a 21 point comeback in their last game with 3 player season highs to boot. Thorton 27 points, Evans 10 boards and CRY BABY COUSINS also had a season high with 15 rebounds.

Westphal benched Demarcus on 2 occasions and after Keith Smarts first game as the Kings coach. I can quote Cousins as saying """I FELT FREE OUT THERE, IT JUST FELT GOOD TO BE ON THE COURT"

Holy cripes the line just moved from 6 to 7 right after my previous post. This is like the 3rd time in a row Vegas moved a line by a full point right after I talk about a RLM. lol

A half point is not generally considered RLM in NBA sides. Generally, professional consensus of the definition of RLM, says that you need a volume of 5k-10k in wagers and a full point move against the side with 65% or more of the wagers.

At Pinny (the only book that truly matters), this game opened at -6.5, dropped to -6 briefly and is now back at a juiced up -6.5 at -109. At Pinny, -109 is like -118 anywhere else.

I hope you didn't make a wager on Sac town on this line movement alone.

I personally think the over is the better play in this game because I agree that Sac should be an active dog. I just don't know if they will play enough D to cover. Plus, Orlando has motivation in this game as well coming off that beat down by the Bulls.

Good luck bud, hope you cash

[Speedy88]

I don't know the exact definition of RLM, but I'm seeing that about 65% of the public is on Orlando and yet the line is moving the wrong direction, telling me one thing.....I know it is only a half-point, but that is a big enough indicator for me to make a play on Sac. Already like the fact that they had a "meeting," and are playing with a new fire under a new head coach.
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