EP36's 2nd Half Possession Formula Picks

[EaglesPhan36]

12.29.11

Spurs-Rockets Under 97.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

See this is how ATL-WAS was going last night, could not be stopped in the 3rd and 4th Q went to shit. Guarantee Spurs-Rockets just keep scoring here now. Sheesh.

[EaglesPhan36]

Bulls-Kings Over 93.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Nuggets-Blazers Over 101 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

I have no idea how the Bulls-Kings game ended at 93. Just terrible. 1-2 on the night. Two more close, shit bag losses.

[southpaw74]

They missed 2 free throws in the final minute

[EaglesPhan36]

Regular Season Record: 6-7 [-1.70]

[rdkjglsk]

They missed 2 free throws in the final minute

those free throws cost me the spread and the 2H over

same thing happened when durant missed 2 free throws near the end of the game on christmas. ugh

[EaglesPhan36]

12.30.11

Suns-Hornets Over 90 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Rockets-Grizzlies Over 98 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Wizards-Bucks Over 92.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Well these aren't working for shit so far. College works well, NBA sucko so far.

[EaglesPhan36]

Okay adding in some extra scrutiny to these to try and get 'em right.

Bulls-Clippers Under 94.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

If nothing else, great fade material.

[No coincidences]

Trotting these dipshits to the line nearly every time down the court.

[EaglesPhan36]

Regular Season Record: 6-10-1 [-5.00]

Going to keep tracking these for at least another week. One week doesn't make or break the theory, so we'll see what it looks like this time next week.

[EaglesPhan36]

1.1.12

Boston-Washington Under 93.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Another miss. Scored in the last :06 kills it ending at 95.

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm going to outsmart myself.

[2nd Half] Lakers-Nuggets Over 98 [-110]

[lcf]

You should call it "PLAYS" and not "POSSESSION". Try to use the formula below and let me know which results do you get.

--
PLAYS = FGA + 0.44*FTA + TO
--

[EaglesPhan36]

I'm not really sure I know what that one would be good in determining and I don't know if that is an accurate count of plays or what you are calling a "play" per say with that formula.

[lcf]

Also, you have to consider that the pace of the game may change and/or a team may improve shooting percentage.

[EaglesPhan36]

Blazers-Clippers Over 97 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Regular Season Record: 8-11-1 [-4.10]

Finally, a winning day!

[EaglesPhan36]

1.2.12

Wizards-Celtics Over 93.5 [-110]

[demens]

Problem is see is that the pace of the game can easily change from half to half. And in a lot of cases the game slows down in the 4th.

[EaglesPhan36]

Bucks-Nuggets Over 97 [-110]

[EvilBettor]

Bucks-Nuggets Over 97 [-110]

I'm with you on this one. Totals have been rough, though so far. GL!

[inn_keeper]

EP36, I was with you on the Celts/Wiz O 93.5 so I'm with you on Bucks/Nugs O 97!

[EvilBettor]

I'm with you on this one. Totals have been rough, though so far. GL!

What a pathetic ending! I thought Bucks was locked up, until the last seconds of the game! I'm done with overs in NBA for awhile. 2H Unders have been hitting like madness!

[EasyPicks]

Problem is see is that the pace of the game can easily change from half to half. And in a lot of cases the game slows down in the 4th.

2011/12: 60-70% of the games slow down at a shameful pace (30'ish points average)

[EaglesPhan36]

1.3.12

Kings-Grizzlies Over 92.5 [-110]

[EaglesPhan36]

Bucks-Jazz points to an over, but after last night and what the Bucks have done tonight ... I'll pass. At least the 1st one hit tonight.

[jimmy007oc]

agree

[EaglesPhan36]

Rockets-Lakers Over 93.5 [-110]