Risking $1050 on Miami -105 to win the series (Down 3-2)

[MadMajor]

Keep changing the subject pussy...too scared to accept the wager...have fun with your fake air bet...everyone knows you don't bet real money sissy...You're a bigger joke than your father who was arrested for molesting you when you were a kid

i feel sorry for you

[bigp69]

GL goatmilk u got this!

HEAT WIN

[alamo]

Great write up. Thanks for all your picks throughout the season

[chargers4222]

G.O.A.T. M.I.L.K.- Gay On A Totally Meteoric Indescribable Level, Killyourself

[7secondsOrLess]

all i need is one mic one mic

[sweethook]

Man up and stop being a bitch. If you're so confident in -4.5 you must be confident in them taking the ML right? If you don't accept this bet everyone will know you're just a bitch who runs his mouth and makes fake air bets like Lakerboy. Don't be a bitch...be confident in your team. But no I am 100% sure you're a fa\*\*ot sissy who will never take this bet

win or lose goat knows more about this than 98% on here and as much as the other 2%, and who there are i dont no, and i wish you would stop acting like a kid , dont piss him off , cas i like readin his shit. now gl to you

[csknight3]

HAHAHAHHAHA

[MidgetTossers]

this thread is hilarious...nice call goat......this is what happens on a TEAM...thats why dallas is champions bro

[djpremier36]

Your crystal ball needs a polishing. I'll give you credit for your time and effort. GL next year!

[Pauulzcappin]

Sorry for ur loss goat. Been saying since February its Mavs' year.

[DigBick86]

In my series writeup, I put $875 on the Heat at -175 to win the series. I was content with this bet because as I said "I know how good Dallas is" and I didn't want to overdue it.

Having watched these past 5 games, I am fully convinced that Miami will win both games 6 and 7 at home. My series writeup has been accurate thus far and I expected this series to go 6 or 7 from the beginning, though I thought Miami would close it in 6. They let a few games slip away, and this series really should be 3-2 going Miami's way right now, but you have to give Dirk credit. This is what he's been waiting for, and he's the only reason why you don't underestimate the Mavs. His will to win is probably greater than anyone else's on the court.

I am not going to get into the Xs and Os because these next two games will play out just like I predicted in the initial writeup. After games 1 and 2, I kept comparing this series to the Boston LA series last year and people kept asking me why. Now you guys can see it is playing out that same exact way.

The Mavs seem very focused right now. Dirk has the focus Bryant did last year and Jordan did for many years. It's a killer instinct. No one else on the Mavs has this instinct. I expect Dirk to do his thing, but when it comes down to it, I just can't see the Mavs winning a game 7 in Miami because of Dallas's role players. I am giving them a good shot to win game 6, but I will take my chances with Miami in game 6, and if they win, I have a -105 ML for game 7 risking $1050.

Of course, I am a Wade fan since he came into the league and want him to win. But Dirk is also one of my favorite players and he definitely deserves a ring. I really do feel for Dirk though because I don't think he'll get one because his supporting cast I've determined after watching game 5 3 times is really not good at all.

I really see the Mavs guards (Barea, Terry, Kidd, and Stevenson) letting down Dirk in these next two games on the DEFENSIVE end. I don't think these guys have the athleticism, or talent to win a game 7 ALL OUT kind of game, which will be a strictly defensive game. The Mavs gave up over 100 points on their home floor and now they're going to go into Miami with them being desperate and hold them under 95? I highly doubt it.
Another adjustment is to make Dirk work more on the defensive end. He's the worst Mavs defender on the court. Move the ball around, make him get some switches on Bosh or James. He'll have trouble guarding any face up player.

The Heat will pick apart the Mavs zone in these next couple of games. We all know what we're going to get from Wade with the Heat. Carlisle has drawn up a pretty brilliant scheme to limit the paint activity of Lebron James. The reason why Wade is more effective against the zone is because he's more agile and crafty.[CODE]

However, Lebron is still the best athlete on the court, so it really comes down to what he wants to do. Like I mentioned I'm not gonna get into the Xs and Os of all the other players and what adjustments will be made because that will make for much too long and boring of a writeup lol, but as most know, if Lebron's jump shot starts falling, and Wade has it going as well, the game is over.

I would like to say that the Mavs +5.5 are a good play in game 6, but then again, I'm not willing to put my money on the fact that "Lebron will play average at home." I'm not buying into the ESPN bullshit. This is a world class athlete, he'll figure it out, and the rest will fall into place for the Heat once that happens. If the Mavs give Lebron confidence in game 6, that is gonna carry over to game 7. Giving a player like that any confidence is trouble, so Carlisle better have something new drawn up. Because the zone is not gonna work. I'm telling you right now. Watch game 5 again and look how vulnerable it is.

Even though Dallas might have all the coaching advantages, the right game plan, and efficient execution, I really don't see them being able to win this series for the mere reason that they are a jump shooting team. I've been watching this league for a long time and never once have I witnessed a team like the Dallas Mavs win an NBA championship. The fact is game 5 came down to the wire and the Mavs shot lights out. Literally. That will NEVER happen again. I have looked at this unbiasly in every way possible. In the end, defense wins championships, and i'm going to let my money ride here since its the last few games of the year. In this game or even game 7, I just don't see Dallas's guards being given any room to create any offense. They are really not that good as advertised off the dribble, and as I said imo that will be their downfall because jump shooting teams don't win rings.


JR I posted that last screen shot for game 5 (which I lost) just for you. I told you I don't fuk around. Good luck to everyone, if Dallas wins I think it's going to have to be game 6. Points will be at a premium for them just like they were for Boston in the last couple of games. The Mavs are not gonna go away in either game 6 or 7 but they just don't have the personel to win 1 out of these next 2 games. They really don't. They were never that close in game 1 and game 2 was as good as over before Dirk became Dirk. Mavs struggled to win 2 of 3 games at home, and I mean really struggled. Dirk had to bail them out in every single game. Last year in game 7, the Lakers shot 20 more FTs then Boston. WIth Dallas getting the majority of the calls for this series (somehow they are getting calls even though they are scoring way less points in the paint than the Heat), expect it to go the other way when Miami is at home.


Risking $1050 to win $1000 on Miami -105

put the penn in you pocket and stop writing and use the Head more,if you dident bet Dallas at halftime you dont know anything of basketball.It was a gift from Vegas Lebron was -15 in the first half and you know spolestra wont take him out it was easy +200 to the bank proffesor


NBA 2nd Halfs, Basketboll
Dallas Mavericks 12-juni-2011 5:00 PM PST
2:a halvlek pengarad för 2a halvan 2.880
Att chansa 2,414.00 Att vinna 4,538.32 SEK

[Mac4Lyfe]

Goat bet's with his heart not his head... Did he really say he took the Mav's in a game? The Guy is a good flip flopper. What's your winning record now Goat? 40-1

[DigBick86]

And BTW they won with Nowitsky shooting 9 for 27

[DigBick86]

win or lose goat knows more about this than 98% on here and as much as the other 2%, and who there are i dont no, and i wish you would stop acting like a kid , dont piss him off , cas i like readin his shit. now gl to you

Is ot true that the more you write XZY the moore you know? I dont think so this guy bets with his dick hes so into Miami that he dont look at the other team/s and what they can do good only what Miami will do to beat Dallas not the other way around

[ShogunRua]

Man, that's a tough way to lose $2500+ on a series play. Maybe instead of just taking Lakers/Miami every single game no matter what, you should do some unbiased capping/analyzing.

[boeing power]

goat fvcker will disappear for a while now

[t-wizzle]

Tough one. We both let the first 3 games cloud our perspective on this series. Dallas did the same thing against LA and OKC - as the series went on, they made adjustments and got into more of an offensive rhythm. Miami simply wasn't comfortable against the zone defense. They had plenty of good looks from the outside and didn't convert.

Don't come back later acting like it was a bad beat or anything like that. I have a feeling you might say something like "if Miami made their free throws, they would have won." Let's just accept the fact that Dallas outplayed them and deserves to be NBA champs.

[sweethook]

heat players realy try to show off to much, i didnt know there game plan was to show off , they dont play like a top team. its mostly hey look at me. . . hotdogs

[ShogunRua]

He's going to watch the game film 3 times then come back with an excuse of why Miami didn't win.

[oldscho0led]

He's going to watch the game film 3 times then come back with an excuse of why Miami didn't win.

[MidgetTossers]

goat likes the heat cause hes just like lebron...man up and own it..havent heard one word from either of them

[Pauulzcappin]

Tough one. We both let the first 3 games cloud our perspective on this series. Dallas did the same thing against LA and OKC - as the series went on, they made adjustments and got into more of an offensive rhythm.

Rick Carlisle is a TOP 3 coach in the nba

[t-wizzle]

Rick Carlisle is a TOP 3 coach in the nba

Guy deserves a ton of credit. I hate than an NBA team plays zone defense but it's allowed now so if a team wants to use it then so be it.

[ThaTopMoron]

what a dumbass bet... based on what LA did last year? based off of what? LeQuit is clutch? Bosh...? Better coaching? better bench?

you made this bet after what Dallas was able to do in game 5

[RudyRuetigger]

this guy is fukkin buried and i could not be happier about it

[phillybadboy]

this guy is fukkin buried and i could not be happier about it

why

[Wojo]

You have to remember that Jason Terry is an average-above average player in this league and you're asking him to be the 2nd major weapon on your team to close out this series?

I'm not falling for it.

Mr. Goat,
You should fall for it. Jet kicks ass.
Wojo

[chantrain]

god Goat, you suck. you're one of the worst cappers on this forum, all of your picks are just fade-a-licious.

I feel I have to ask you, how is it possible to suck so much as a bettor? How do you manage it? All your inclinations are wrong, you should just fade yourself

[Git Lo]

Sorry for your loss Goat. I lost 400 on the series and I am not that mad about it just a lesson learned not to bet when the media has convinced everyone to hate the team your about to bet on. I hope you come back next year I didn't follow your picks but it sounds like we are pretty similar betters. I too predicted sweeps in every series for Miami and the best they could do is 4-1, which was really good considering they played elite teams and completely shut them down. Im about to spend all summer watching regular season/playoff games so I hope you can collab on some picks next year

[JJJ]

You were a hero for picking game 3 with the heat now back to zero status

[hawley]

TOugh way to end the season Goat


I thought this was at least going to 7

[$Burm$]

Sorry for your loss Goat. I lost 400 on the series and I am not that mad about it just a lesson learned not to bet when the media has convinced everyone to hate the team your about to bet on. I hope you come back next year I didn't follow your picks but it sounds like we are pretty similar betters. I too predicted sweeps in every series for Miami and the best they could do is 4-1, which was really good considering they played elite teams and completely shut them down. Im about to spend all summer watching regular season/playoff games so I hope you can collab on some picks next year

Just curious...how is watching the past reg/post season games going to help you betting at all for next season??

[Git Lo]

Just curious...how is watching the past reg/post season games going to help you betting at all for next season??

A lot of players end up playing with the same team/same coach etc so I can really check out team chemistry especially for games I missed. I expect a lot of lower caliber teams like the Wizards, Cavs, Timberwolves, etc to have similar seasons.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Remember to make an exit speech. Win like a man and lose like a man. Don't be like them loser who runs off after they lose.

[lakerboy]

Goat you bet with your heart not your head. The heat werent ready this year