OVER 178 in ORL/ATL

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  • mncosoldier
    SBR MVP
    • 11-26-09
    • 3215

    #1
    OVER 178 in ORL/ATL
    This is too good of a play. I know there has been to many unders in the NBA but this is bookies trying to ver compensate for it. I will make this one of my bigger plays of the year
  • mncosoldier
    SBR MVP
    • 11-26-09
    • 3215

    #2
    Dime will go down on this play!!!!!
    Comment
    • Love The Action
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 11-08-10
      • 10952

      #3
      Be careful.

      Take a look at the pace history and recent trends between these two teams. This game will be decided by first to score 90.

      I think you see a defensive battle in this one. I understand the overcompensation angle based on all the recent unders, however, in this case, I think the under is the play. I don't see either team shooting over 42%. Based on previous paced games, I think this one ends 88-84.

      Good luck whichever way you go!
      Comment
      • mncosoldier
        SBR MVP
        • 11-26-09
        • 3215

        #4
        I think that it will be one sided with another team shooting mad 3's
        Comment
        • mncosoldier
          SBR MVP
          • 11-26-09
          • 3215

          #5
          Turkogly,Redick,Nelson will be on fire from the outside I think Crawford will be hitting 3's and Atl coach will have his playes driving in and catching fouls for a long game
          Comment
          • Speedy88
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 03-19-11
            • 11717

            #6
            My rule of thumb is always take the under in Magic playoff games as long as the line is set at 178 or above. They just suck as scoring and play pretty good defense.
            Comment
            • mncosoldier
              SBR MVP
              • 11-26-09
              • 3215

              #7
              This is due time for this game the Luck of the Irish is on it Im going big on this
              Comment
              • mncosoldier
                SBR MVP
                • 11-26-09
                • 3215

                #8
                The point spread is way of at 7 1/2 on orl my only thought is this game is going way over Atl is too hot on the shoot and orl WILL HAVE THERE HOME COURT WILL HEAT UP THE SHOT I FEEL FOUL TROUBLE FOR aATL CAUSING A GAP IN SCORE AND ATL WILL COMPENSATE WITH THE 3..... 35 PLUS POINTS FOR HOWARD
                Comment
                • NBA_Brosuf
                  Restricted User
                  • 02-14-11
                  • 2489

                  #9
                  The total spread is probably factoring the injury on Rose?

                  I mean even with a healthy Rose, they still go under. An injured Rose? Under times 2?

                  they probably gonna play rose with less minutes just to secure their 10 points lead and rest the guy for the under to develop.

                  Are you an over chaser because the over is for a due? The play here is Indy plus points but I don't know. The public is getting smarter with riding trends and as of right now, all over the board with dogs about 75% of the public on it. I need to see about this before I place my picks. If Indy is not getting anything closer to double figure for spread, I wouldn't feel comfortable in taking them.

                  Edit: Oh snaps and crap. I just capped the wrong game. LOL
                  Comment
                  • mncosoldier
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-26-09
                    • 3215

                    #10
                    I agree on the indy pick with points same as no with points
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      no.
                      Comment
                      • mncosoldier
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-26-09
                        • 3215

                        #12
                        Originally posted by No coincidences
                        no.
                        NO!!!! this play is locked and loaded
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by mncosoldier
                          NO!!!! this play is locked and loaded
                          Good luck.
                          Comment
                          • stakagrp
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 01-05-09
                            • 237

                            #14
                            This play might be a good one because Orlando will be in desperation mode. They will do everything in their power to score and not let the playoff end for their team. Orlando's offense has been terrible relying too much on Howard to do all the scoring and so the rest of the team will have to contribute. Watch to see if there are any big line movement before the game.
                            Comment
                            • romaldinho88
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 04-25-11
                              • 112

                              #15
                              Atlanta really kills the pace of any game with their tempo,Magic in transition is hit and miss,but im inclined to take the over as i really didnt expect it to be that low
                              Comment
                              • NBA_Brosuf
                                Restricted User
                                • 02-14-11
                                • 2489

                                #16
                                This is an elimination game and atl knows it that they need to win this one to kick orlando out. Give Orlando another game and you better watch out.

                                To win Orlando, stop them from scoring. When you play good Defense and go on a x-0 runs, welcome to the Under world.
                                Comment
                                • No coincidences
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 01-18-10
                                  • 76300

                                  #17
                                  Magic 93, Hawks 82
                                  Comment
                                  • hawley
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 05-10-10
                                    • 14270

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by No coincidences
                                    Magic 93, Hawks 82
                                    I was thinking Magic 100, Hawks 70 but same outcome
                                    Comment
                                    • Love The Action
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-08-10
                                      • 10952

                                      #19
                                      I agree with both NoCoin and Hawley...and I will be on the under once the ref assignments come out.
                                      Comment
                                      • riskyProps
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-11-10
                                        • 2201

                                        #20
                                        This is a toss up play. But last game I took the under 178 and won LOL!
                                        Comment
                                        • mp5070
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 09-13-08
                                          • 5446

                                          #21
                                          Elimination Games this year are UNDER 3-0-1.....

                                          Take Under
                                          Comment
                                          • blinky88
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 12-20-10
                                            • 471

                                            #22
                                            Good luck on the under
                                            Comment
                                            • PorkyPig
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 08-05-09
                                              • 257

                                              #23
                                              the line for the total is pretty sharp, last time it went under for 5 points, with orl shooting 2-23 or sth from the 3pt line, AND if hedo makes that 3 at the end the game goes to ot, which means bye bye under
                                              but as we all have seen unders are dominating this years playoffs, and its an elimination game
                                              methinks its better to take atlanta with the points, since orlando showed nothing to prove they can win with 8+ difference
                                              Comment
                                              • mncosoldier
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-26-09
                                                • 3215

                                                #24
                                                Everyone and there mama's baker is on the under I love this play even more now!!!!!! Way to easy of a call evreyone is forgeting there fundamentals and are playing the under because there has been so many unders all ready this year that means $hit
                                                Comment
                                                • Love The Action
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 11-08-10
                                                  • 10952

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by mncosoldier
                                                  Everyone and there mama's baker is on the under I love this play even more now!!!!!! Way to easy of a call evreyone is forgeting there fundamentals and are playing the under because there has been so many unders all ready this year that means $hit
                                                  Wrong...70% of all bets are on the over, yet the price has gone down to 177.5...alarm bells should be going off for you. At least the refs are in your
                                                  favor though. Bol...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • BigBoi
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 04-01-11
                                                    • 1084

                                                    #26
                                                    I still like the over. theyve played 8 times this year and gone over once and that was game 1. Until the Magic show me they can score consistently outside of Howard I will take the points and the under til the cows come home.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mncosoldier
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-26-09
                                                      • 3215

                                                      #27
                                                      Well here we go lets see almost everyone on this site put down on the under
                                                      Comment
                                                      • brahmabull117
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 11-08-10
                                                        • 8622

                                                        #28
                                                        this is why I say people who play NBA totals are idiots



                                                        Atlanta is 8-0 ATS this year vs Orlando...why in the world would you play the unpredictable total instead of the spread??
                                                        Comment
                                                        • vincanity15
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-31-11
                                                          • 762

                                                          #29
                                                          Ive been on the under for almost every game so far in the playoffs, but this time im gonna go with the over although it looks like it will be a coinflip.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • mncosoldier
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-26-09
                                                            • 3215

                                                            #30
                                                            Nice 2nd quarter Orlando is playing ball tonight. I think if Atl is still down this much late in the 4th they will start throwing 3 pointers and hitting them. You know what they say 3rd and 4th quarters are the highest scoring !!!!!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bh9889
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-29-10
                                                              • 444

                                                              #31
                                                              yea i wouldnt worry too much this game will go over
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Love The Action
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 11-08-10
                                                                • 10952

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by mncosoldier
                                                                Nice 2nd quarter Orlando is playing ball tonight. I think if Atl is still down this much late in the 4th they will start throwing 3 pointers and hitting them. You know what they say 3rd and 4th quarters are the highest scoring !!!!!
                                                                Actually, as you can tell from the difference between how 1h and 2h totals are set, NBA games are generally higher scoring in the 1h and lower scoring in the 2h because the pace slows down as defense intensifies.

                                                                I'm not saying you won't hit the over, but you may want to think of taking a shot at the middle by playing the 2h under. I guess it depends on how much you put on your initial play. Bol...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • JOHON8
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-28-10
                                                                  • 7712

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by mncosoldier
                                                                  Nice 2nd quarter Orlando is playing ball tonight. I think if Atl is still down this much late in the 4th they will start throwing 3 pointers and hitting them. You know what they say 3rd and 4th quarters are the highest scoring !!!!!
                                                                  Who says that?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Elevated
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 02-16-11
                                                                    • 453

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Looks like it's going low... I wish I would have saw this thread way earlier! Would of helped me out a lot!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • hawley
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 05-10-10
                                                                      • 14270

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by hawley

                                                                      I was thinking Magic 100, Hawks 70 but same outcome
                                                                      Comment
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