$500 to $5000 in 6 Months - Part 3

[BL]

What are the odds of them scoring 4 goals in the 2H? +10000?

+500 at bet265 ingame betting

[RoagBettor]

+500 at bet265 ingame betting

LOL that's it? Not even worth it now!

How are you doing my German amigo? Are you still with the same girl?

[BL]

LOL that's it? Not even worth it now! How are you doing my German amigo? Are you still with the same girl?

yeah everything fine, starting to plan our marriage for september 2012 right now. couldnt be any better
how are things going in Texas? I bet your fine aswell and of course making money in here! keep it rollin

[RoagBettor]

yeah everything fine, starting to plan our marriage for september 2012 right now. couldnt be any better
how are things going in Texas? I bet your fine aswell and of course making money in here! keep it rollin

That's great! Where are y'all having the wedding, in Germany or Mexico? Texas sucks, I'm ready to move to a place where I can use Pinnacle!

[BL]

That's great! Where are y'all having the wedding, in Germany or Mexico? Texas sucks, I'm ready to move to a place where I can use Pinnacle!

we'll get married in a registry office in germany simply because we'll live over here together and travel to mexico few weeks after that for our church wedding. Mariachi, Tequila, fiesta ha

[RoagBettor]

we'll get married in a registry office in germany simply because we'll live over here together and travel to mexico few weeks after that for our church wedding. Mariachi, Tequila, fiesta ha

I wanna go! Maybe I'll get an invitation?

[Kivo35]

I'm betting this game big personally, much bigger than what I posted for the project. The under 181 is also the right play I believe, but I'm not messing with an under in the playoffs after what we saw yesterday.

Hey Roag,
if you don't mind - Why do you like Heat @ game 2 so much? I was all on them last night and, planning to martingale if they had lost, before the game... But now, I am not that sure anymore. (BTW - I am not questioning your pick, i just need more reasons, especially after last night)

[RoagBettor]

Hey Roag,
if you don't mind - Why do you like Heat @ game 2 so much? I was all on them last night and, planning to martingale if they had lost, before the game... But now, I am not that sure anymore. (BTW - I am not questioning your pick, i just need more reasons, especially after last night)

The Heat fit 2 strong systems I use, and I would have taken them if they had only fit 1 of them. Fitting 2 is even better.

By the way, we're staring at 0-2 today in soccer. We're treading water right now after that huge run, it's perfectly normal so we're not going heavy on anything.

[BL]

I wanna go! Maybe I'll get an invitation?

will be early in november in Mex as we want to wait till the rain is gone (heavy rains from september-octobre in mex). so mark november in ur calendar and bring me a BIG present

[RoagBettor]

will be early in november in Mex as we want to wait till the rain is gone (heavy rains from september-octobre in mex). so mark november in ur calendar and bring me a BIG present

LOL sounds good! I know exactly what to bring!

[BL]

projected date is 10.11.12

[danller]

Roag, do you know about anyone who has tried out Stoffos baseball underdog system?

[gushman]

Cash the swedish over!

[Supamanu]

5/16/2011 1:00 PM Sweden Soccer 594 Elfsborg (SWE-A)/Trelleborg FF (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -109 - $109 to win $100

Never in doubt...

Wow I had pretty much written this one off at halftime then boom 3 goals in 8 minutes for a 1-1 day, i'll take it after Rosenborg shit the bed.

[unclebuzz1]

Cash the swedish over!

[Beefcakes]

[Nova0387]

Got em!!!

[RoagBettor]

Yeah we'll stay away from Norway for awhile. Some of the better teams from last season are struggling.

Right now I feel pretty good about Japan, Poland, and Sweden. I capped the AIK match to go over and it hit in the 1H but didn't put it out, it was riskier than the Trelleborg/Elfsborg one. Still refining Denmark, Romania and Czech Republic but getting close to being where I want to be with those leagues. And of course WNBA coming up in 2 weeks!

[Nova0387]

Sounds good my man

[RoagBettor]

Roag, do you know about anyone who has tried out Stoffos baseball underdog system?

No, I don't know of anyone who has tried it. You should track it for a few days and see how it does if you have the time, I'd be interested.

[danller]

No, I don't know of anyone who has tried it. You should track it for a few days and see how it does if you have the time, I'd be interested.

Yeah Im going to track it, starting today.. I`ll let you know how its going

[twelvejewelz]

5/16/2011 1:00 PM Sweden Soccer 594 Elfsborg (SWE-A)/Trelleborg FF (SWE-A)* Over 2½ -109 - $109 to win $100

tailed you on this one , thanks for the win!

[Rick22]

Thanks again Roag - we'll get there slow but sure.................

[ManBearPig]

Roag, do you know about anyone who has tried out Stoffos baseball underdog system?

I started tracking it a couple weeks ago, but it became too cumbersome as I had enough plays already each day. I don't remember the record, but it was under 500 I'm sure. Being an underdog system you don't have to hit at >50 to win money. I actually was looking at it today and calculated the plays. The ones that qualified appeared to be SDG and TEX. I was already playing Texas, but I don't plan on playing SDG...I'll just make note.

[danller]

I started tracking it a couple weeks ago, but it became too cumbersome as I had enough plays already each day. I don't remember the record, but it was under 500 I'm sure. Being an underdog system you don't have to hit at >50 to win money. I actually was looking at it today and calculated the plays. The ones that qualified appeared to be SDG and TEX. I was already playing Texas, but I don't plan on playing SDG...I'll just make note.

I`m gonna give this a try. But I came up with three plays though.. The two you mention, and Royals.. New to this, and maybe I made a mistake with Royals?

[ManBearPig]

I`m gonna give this a try. But I came up with three plays though.. The two you mention, and Royals.. New to this, and maybe I made a mistake with Royals?

I guess it depends on what you use to determine a top-20 pitcher. I went with his recommendation to use the ratings defined by Sagrin ( ordered by Markov NPERA) His list is probably one of the best pitcher ranking you'll find so I just dump them into a spreadsheet that I can update each time and get what I need. He has Tomlin as A12 which is his A rating (>39 innings as of today) and Davies is A57...that made it a no play. (B pitchers would be innings 13-38 and C<13)

If you want a nice little way to make some additional money is to play the Under when you have two guys in the top-20 (A,B) I ignore C because their body of work is not large enough. These hit at a pretty good rate, but I don't have any record...I just play them as I see them.

[danller]

I guess it depends on what you use to determine a top-20 pitcher. I went with his recommendation to use the ratings defined by Sagrin ( ordered by Markov NPERA) His list is probably one of the best pitcher ranking you'll find so I just dump them into a spreadsheet that I can update each time and get what I need. He has Tomlin as A12 which is his A rating (>39 innings as of today) and Davies is A57...that made it a no play. (B pitchers would be innings 13-38 and C<13)

If you want a nice little way to make some additional money is to play the Under when you have two guys in the top-20 (A,B) I ignore C because their body of work is not large enough. These hit at a pretty good rate, but I don't have any record...I just play them as I see them.

I see, thanks.. Still looking at this and hope to see some good results

[ManBearPig]

I see, thanks.. Still looking at this and hope to see some good results

Well they are looking good tonight...I only had Texas, but looks like a possible 2-0 night. Not bad for a start, aren't you glad the Royals weren't a play...jesus they forgot they were playing apparently.

[danller]

Well they are looking good tonight...I only had Texas, but looks like a possible 2-0 night. Not bad for a start, aren't you glad the Royals weren't a play...jesus they forgot they were playing apparently.

Its nice to go off with a good start! We just need to see how this will go but I like how its looking

[groupama]

Good call on Elsinborg. Congrats

[Jimbo42]

Its nice to go off with a good start! We just need to see how this will go but I like how its looking

Stoffo system has been tracked in other forums for seasons and it went through some really poor weeks and months....so caution..bro...but hey, track it and let's see how it plays out.

[RoagBettor]

5/17/2011 2:45 PM England Soccer 225 Reading (ENG-Cham)* +226 vs Cardiff (ENG-Cham) - $100 to win $226

*This is a risky play, if tailing you should consider making it a smaller play for yourself. But for the project I'm betting $100 on it. We will have 1 more play today.

[RoagBettor]

5/17/2011 2:45 PM England Soccer 201 Stoke (ENG-P)/Manchester City (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -107 - $107 to win $100

[lawalahmed]

5/17/2011 2:45 PM England Soccer 201 Stoke (ENG-P)/Manchester City (ENG-P)* Over 2½ -107 - $107 to win $100

Why did you select this match ? In the last 3yrs these two teams played 8 times and 7 go under 2.5 goals......may be variance ?

Good Luck

[RoagBettor]

Why did you select this match ? In the last 3yrs these two teams played 8 times and 7 go under 2.5 goals......may be variance ?

Good Luck

Well it's not really variance. The line offered by the books should be 2.25 yet they're offering 2.5 with not much juice on the under, when in fact it should be an easy under as you just stated. So when it seems too good to be true...it usually is! I will put my money opposite of where the books are trying to steer me.

We'll see what happens. I'm also leaning Manchester City -1,1.5 but won't touch the side play, let's get a 2-1 or 3-0 game that's my hope!