Big bet for me Wednesday

[No coincidences]

Horrible night tonight -- hoping to bounce back.

ATL -1

If you hate it, fade it.

[$Burm$]

like it NC

[lunchbawks]

how big of a play?

[No coincidences]

how big of a play?

For me NBA-wise, pretty big (though I'm admittedly not a big gambler bankroll wise -- this is much more recreation and much less of an income).

ODU ML on Thursday is bigger.

This is likely my only NBA play Wednesday.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Orlando (-5) is the safer bet.

[No coincidences]

I love this new-look Denver team, BTW. I just think the Hawks get the job done on Wednesday.

As for Orlando, why are they only -5 (after opening at 5.5)? Bucks have been atrocious in their last two games, and they should be tired. Magic were favored by more in Phoenix against a much better Suns team (even sans Nash). Doesn't make any sense; I don't like it.

[lunchbawks]

this game will be good.

[No coincidences]

I do like ORL/MIL under 180 a lot:

Under is 7-1 in ORL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 14-4 in ORL last 18 overall.
Under is 6-2 in ORL last 8 road games.
Under is 24-8 in MIL last 32 home games.
Under is 6-2 in MIL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 19-7 in MIL last 26 overall.

[NYSportsGuy210]

I think Magic getting blown out at Los Angeles was cause for concern. It's a buy low-sell high type of line here....perception of Orlando is that they are weak and out of sync. They are still better than Milwaukee however.

[twelvejewelz]

I wont bet against this denver team right now. I was on Atlanta tonight but denver is deep. They can start their entire bench..How is atlanta on b2b?

[NYSportsGuy210]

I do like ORL/MIL under 180 a lot:

Under is 7-1 in ORL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 14-4 in ORL last 18 overall.
Under is 6-2 in ORL last 8 road games.
Under is 24-8 in MIL last 32 home games.
Under is 6-2 in MIL last 8 vs. Eastern Conference.
Under is 19-7 in MIL last 26 overall.

Yes, I was also leaning towards this. However I think the Magic come out and need to make a statement after their Lakers bashing. This is why I favor the spread more.

[No coincidences]

I think Magic getting blown out at Los Angeles was cause for concern. It's a buy low-sell high type of line here....perception of Orlando is that they are weak and out of sync. They are still better than Milwaukee however.

And what would the perception be of Milwaukee after their last two performances?

IMHO, this should be at least -6.5.

[NYSportsGuy210]

This is a classic case of arbitrage. You need to take advantage of it. Magic (-5.5) or (-5) is the play here.

[lunchbawks]

milwaukee has never looked worse. magic 1H -3 is likely my POD.

[No coincidences]

This is a classic case of arbitrage. You need to take advantage of it. Magic (-5.5) or (-5) is the play here.

Good luck. I'm not touching it. Magic just lost to the Lakers -- they weren't blown out, and it was one game against the champs on their court. If they'd lost 5 in a row or something, you'd have me convinced. The line stinks IMHO.

[No coincidences]

milwaukee has never looked worse. magic 1H -3 is likely my POD.

They were outstanding Saturday night.

[NYSportsGuy210]

Also because the Magic lost at Milwaukee earlier this season by like 10.

That played into the spread too.

[Goat Milk]

They were outstanding Saturday night.

no philly was just tired

[NBA_Brosuf]

I'm not betting on this one but I'm liking Denver. Just sharing to stir up the pot a little bit. LOL

[ThingsFallApart]

Thank you, I did like Denver now I can stick with it



Please don't switch to Denver because the line is moving though.

[dchung53]

hawks blow out denver

[Degenerate]

I like ATL, but I haven't bet it yet.
GL with your bet

[thebestthereis]

bucks have dominated orlando ats in milwaukee for years, the line is too high (not too low) in that game but adjusted for the situation, hence -5.5. it isn't like orlando has won 10 straight. it's the bucks 4th game in 5 nights are they have only scored 8 points in two games including 4 garbage buckets. throw the last two games out (way out) and the line is too high. good luck!

[doe]

Denver ml

[Jerm3462]

.....waiting for dynamite

[begsy]

bucks 4th game in 5 nights are they have only scored 8 points in two games including 4 garbage buckets. throw the last two games out (way out) and the line is too high. good luck!

what does this mean?

[No coincidences]

no philly was just tired

Philly was tired, but it's not like Milwaukee skated by. They blew them out.

[CHAZ]

Why do you like ATL so much tonight?

[gv12]

good luck today noco, really like the Atlanta play as well

[No coincidences]

Why do you like ATL so much tonight?

Hawks are still a very solid home team who plays up to their competition. Denver's on an ATS tear, but this is still a 13-20 road squad we're talking about here. I know they've played well on the road since the trade, but a lot of games have been against inferior competition and this game isn't it.

Denver hasn't won in Atlanta since I believe '07-08, and they're 2-18 L-20 there. They also have the Magic and Heat on deck. I just think this is a bad spot for them.

[soxwin]

Atlanta -1 seems to be the popular play. Make the cash!!

[JR007]

no philly was just tired

thought it was all about matchups...are you admiting that fatigue comes into play when capping the NBA ????...lets stay consistent

[suicidekings]

Hawks are still a very solid home team who plays up to their competition. Denver's on an ATS tear, but this is still a 13-20 road squad we're talking about here. I know they've played well on the road since the trade, but a lot of games have been against inferior competition and this game isn't it.

Denver hasn't won in Atlanta since I believe '07-08, and they're 2-18 L-20 there. They also have the Magic and Heat on deck. I just think this is a bad spot for them.

This is the same logic that made so many people on here so confident about the Pistons when the Nuggets went to Detroit on Jan 26th... Denver was a shit road team, on a B2B, that hadn't won at the Palace in a LONG time, and the Nuggets still beat them by 9. Such trends are worse than worthless because they're misleading.

It seems odd to me that with the factors contributing to the matchup: Hawks having this good home track record against the Nuggets and in a revenge situation (albeit not from a big blowout), while Denver is supposedly a shit team on the road, missing Arron Afflalo, and with the Magic & Heat coming up next... With all that, ATL is only a pk at open?

I like the Nuggets. Not a big bet, but I really wouldn't describe the Hawks as being in a favourable spot. More like neutral. Be careful going big, especially chasing yesterday's losses...

[No coincidences]

This is the same logic that made so many people on here so confident about the Pistons when the Nuggets went to Detroit on Jan 26th... Denver was a shit road team, on a B2B, that hadn't won at the Palace in a LONG time, and the Nuggets still beat them by 9. Such trends are worse than worthless because they're misleading.

It seems odd to me that with the factors contributing to the matchup: Hawks having this good home track record against the Nuggets and in a revenge situation (albeit not from a big blowout), while Denver is supposedly a shit team on the road, missing Arron Afflalo, and with the Magic & Heat coming up next... With all that, ATL is only a pk at open?

I like the Nuggets. Not a big bet, but I really wouldn't describe the Hawks as being in a favourable spot. More like neutral. Be careful going big, especially chasing yesterday's losses...

I appreciate and respect your thoughts, SK.

With that being said, the Hawks aren't the Pistons.

[lakerboy]

NO COIN how big is the bet?