Bartek's NBA post all-star break picks

bolekblues · 03-29-11, 04:22 PM

Originally posted by MysteryMung

best of luck my friend

i hate taking 13.5 but i think my money is on MIA tonight

me two, esp when it is a road team. but the cavs are cavs, and mia seems to be rolling recently.

bolekblues · 03-30-11, 12:55 AM

what a day. i am just getting beat badly in the recent days. Suns lost the 4th by double digits and Mia lost SU to Cle. wow

bolekblues · 03-30-11, 08:43 AM

2011-03-29 results: 0-3
YTD: 93-82-2 (53,1%), +18,47%

bolekblues · 03-30-11, 11:18 AM

i think i might have to think about abandoning the project, since the model chooses nothing but favorites. I have looked at the past picks and yes it has chosen favs mostly, but it has been more like 65-70% rather than 90%

I will see how it shapes up for the next 2-3 days and decide after that.

bolekblues · 03-30-11, 11:21 AM

2011-03-30
Orlando -2,5 (-103)
Indiana -6,5 (-110)
Chicago -9 (-108)
New York -8,5 (-110)

all plays 3,5%

JR007 · 03-30-11, 11:53 AM

sent you a pm
is there a archives/ for past results/on sbr ???

bolekblues · 03-30-11, 02:40 PM

Originally posted by JR007

sent you a pm is there a archives/ for past results/on sbr ???

no there are no past results. i have developed the model this year, but saying past results i mean results in previous seasons when backtesting.

bolekblues · 03-31-11, 03:00 AM

2011-03-30 results: 5-2
YTD: 98-84-2 (53,8%), +30,37%

JR007 · 03-31-11, 09:55 AM

I found a sbr archive for past games.....in the nba, looks like it would take lots oof work to "extract" the info that I need for my particular interest....I awaiting the spread sheet...I deleted the last one by mistake

bolekblues · 03-31-11, 01:49 PM

Originally posted by JR007

I found a sbr archive for past games.....in the nba, looks like it would take lots oof work to "extract" the info that I need for my particular interest....I awaiting the spread sheet...I deleted the last one by mistake

all right. let me know if you have it

bolekblues · 03-31-11, 03:25 PM

no official play for today. i played dal and sas, but those are my personal leans. for tomorrow i have already booked several plays.

2011-04-01
Boston 0 (-105)
Oklahoma City +2,5 (-105)
LA Lakers -7,5 (-110)

all plays 3,5% unless otherwise specified

bolekblues · 04-01-11, 04:37 PM

Chicago -8,5 (-103)
San Antonio +2,5 (-109), 5%
Orlando -12,5 (-103)
Denver -5 (-109)
Washington -2 (-109)
Indiana -3,5 (-108), 2,5%

JR007 · 04-01-11, 05:24 PM

good luck tonight

bolekblues · 04-02-11, 04:02 AM

2011-04-02 results: 3-6
YTD: 101-90-2 (52,9%), +13,41%

another dismal night. line movement in orlando game beat me and bos had another collapse in the 4th.
try to get em back today

bolekblues · 04-02-11, 11:02 AM

2011-04-02
Philadelphia -2 (-102)
Minnesota +13,5 (+100)
Toronto +14,5 (-103), 2,5%

bolekblues · 04-02-11, 04:45 PM

Oklahoma City -5 (-107), 2,5%

bolekblues · 04-03-11, 11:45 AM

San Antonio -11 (-105)

JR007 · 04-03-11, 12:00 PM

watching that move..closely

bolekblues · 04-03-11, 12:52 PM

Originally posted by JR007

watching that move..closely

all right

JR007 · 04-03-11, 02:56 PM

Denver......due to my observation...

bolekblues · 04-03-11, 05:15 PM

posting late, but didn't have time earlier. some dogs today

Washington +8 (-106)
Atlanta +6 (-105)
Indiana +5 (-108)
New York -11,5 (-105), 6,5%
Dallas +5 (-103)
Utah +6 (-103), 5%
Orlando -9 (-110), 5%

bolekblues · 04-04-11, 07:33 AM

2011-04-03 results: 4-4
YTD: 106-97-2 (52,2%), +5,2%

pretty much back to the drawing board

will finish the season and see what the record is.

bolekblues · 04-05-11, 03:49 PM

2011-04-05
Charlotte -2 (-107)
Oklahoma City +5 (-108)
New York -9 (-110), 5%
Detroit ML (-107)

other plays that i would normally play but have cut off for some reasons
Phoenix +11, Milwaukee +8, LA Clippers +9, New Jesrsey -5,5, Houston -9.

Pho and Mil look really strong, but i passed off

JR007 · 04-05-11, 07:14 PM

Looks like the same scenario for totals....for MLB.....

bolekblues · 04-06-11, 04:09 PM

Originally posted by JR007

Looks like the same scenario for totals....for MLB.....

small sample size, but surely worth looking into

bolekblues · 04-06-11, 04:11 PM

2011-04-06
Orlando -6,5 (+100), 5%
Milwaukee +9 (-108)
Phoenix -4,5 (-107)
LA Clippers +10,5 (-110)
New York +5,5 (-109)
Toronto -5 (-104)

bolekblues · 04-07-11, 06:38 AM

2011-04-06 results: 5-1
YTD: 113-100-2 (53,1%), +22,64%

bolekblues · 04-08-11, 07:25 AM

2011-04-08
Oklahoma City -3,5 (-105)
LA Lakers -1,5 (-110)

bolekblues · 04-08-11, 02:38 PM

New York -3,5 (-105)
Miami -12 (-110)
Philadelphia -12 (-110)

caught a bad line on philly, bu did a nice job on the remaining four

bolekblues · 04-08-11, 04:09 PM

Chicago -9,5 (-103)
LA Clippers +9 (-105)

bolekblues · 04-09-11, 05:28 PM

3-4 yesterday, will have a recap tomorrow because i have to go to sleep now.

Today i have 2 plays. system also indicates the spurs, but i am not sure whether they will care and play their starters normal minutes. i am sure they want no1 overall seed, but 10points is a lot in these circumstances.

Houston -8,5 (-102)
Atlanta -2 (-108)

JR007 · 04-09-11, 07:16 PM

are you going to use the model in the playoffs ???

bolekblues · 04-10-11, 07:12 AM

Originally posted by JR007

are you going to use the model in the playoffs ???

probably not, because it has not been backtested for playoffs. but for a first one / two games of the series i might post the model leans.

how has it been going with the totals and greek leans?

bolekblues · 04-10-11, 07:32 AM

2011-04-09 results: 1-1
YTD: 117-105-2 (52,7%), +16,73%

JR007 · 04-10-11, 09:26 AM

up and down...think more consistant.....in the nba...so far.....too early in bases as of yet......i am using more in conjunction with the weather...early on...www.dailybaseballdata.com......if you click on weather and the teams
gives you which way the wind is blowing and wind speed