SSK NBA Thread 3 (Beast Mode)

[ssk13809]

Usual: occurring or encountered or experienced or observed frequently or in accordance with regular practice or procedure.

Sorry but appealing to "usual" when your pick calling is still sub 40% doesn't work.

I've had more winning days than losing days in this thread while in BEAST MODE


So once again, providing winners daily like usual

[FourLengthsClear]

You'll probably lose. My lean is Atlanta +6

OTOH, perhaps not.

[ssk13809]

Ok guys so easy win day.


Tomorrow again I'll be going all-in and should approach 100 units. And once again, I'll be selective. And we all know how good I am when I'm selective in BEAST MODE (4 Winning Days and 1 Losing Day).

[ssk13809]

OTOH, perhaps not.

Congrats on the win. You were losing your bet 90% of the game. In other words, you were on the wrong side and won. Luck.

[Full Time Hobo]

Good work today SSK but your winning picks are about 2 threads late

[phillybadboy]

you survived another day ssk

[ssk13809]

Good work today SSK but your winning picks are about 2 threads late

March 11,2011. Mark the date down. Then we'll see who laughs at me.

[Full Time Hobo]

March 11,2011. Mark the date down. Then we'll see who laughs at me.

Man until you're in + units everyone will laugh at you. Until then you're still digging out of a massive hole.

[FourLengthsClear]

Congrats on the win. You were losing your bet 90% of the game. In other words, you were on the wrong side and won. Luck.

LOL. Do you really think you are the person to be telling me what the 'right' side is? You are a complete laughing stock. You have burned through two (and a half) bankrolls in less than a month.

You bet without value (8 point teasers are the ultimate sucker bet), have no discipline, and your picks have been significantly worse than a coin-flip.

Games are won and lost down the stretch, I thought you would have realised that by now.

[ssk13809]

LOL. Do you really think you are the person to be telling me what the 'right' side is? You are a complete laughing stock. You have burned through two (and a half) bankrolls in less than a month.

You bet without value (8 point teasers are the ultimate sucker bet), have no discipline, and your picks have been significantly worse than a coin-flip.

Games are won and lost down the stretch, I thought you would have realised that by now.

lol?

You're lucky the they were covering at the end of the game. 90% of the game they weren't covering. Granted Hawks had a head start on the cover, but still 70% of the time you would've lost that bet. On the other hand, my Hawks +11, they had that cover 100% of the game. That is what I call expert capping.

Pretty sure my overall record on 8 point teasers is >=50%. So yeah.

[FourLengthsClear]

lol?

You're lucky the they were covering at the end of the game. 90% of the game they weren't covering. Granted Hawks had a head start on the cover, but still 70% of the time you would've lost that bet. On the other hand, my Hawks +11, they had that cover 100% of the game. That is what I call expert capping.

Pretty sure my overall record on 8 point teasers is >=50%. So yeah.

You really do not have a clue, do you?

The closing line (market expectation) had it as a 6-point game, meaning my bet was essentially 50/50 proposition.

Your +11 on the Hawks based on Push Probabilities for a 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 point loss would be correctly priced at around -231 (or a 69.8% likelihood). My bet covered comfortably, your's scraped by. Qite how you can call it expert capping when you had the Hawks +6 in your parlay is beyond me.

The result of the game, and our bets is decided after 48 minutes, not 24 or 36 and the proportion of game time that the best would be winners is completely irrelevant.

Now. Can you work out what price you actually paid for the above mentioned -231 teaser leg? Good value?

[ssk13809]

You really do not have a clue, do you?

The closing line (market expectation) had it as a 6-point game, meaning my bet was essentially 50/50 proposition.

Your +11 on the Hawks based on Push Probabilities for a 6, 7, 8, 9 or 10 point loss would be correctly priced at around -231 (or a 69.8% likelihood). My bet covered comfortably, your's scraped by. Qite how you can call it expert capping when you had the Hawks +6 in your parlay is beyond me.

The result of the game, and our bets is decided after 48 minutes, not 24 or 36 and the proportion of game time that the best would be winners is completely irrelevant.

Now. Can you work out what price you actually paid for the above mentioned -231 teaser leg? Good value?

Really good at making up numbers? lol where you getting -231? My MIT team says I payed -262 for both the legs in the teaser.

[FourLengthsClear]

Really good at making up numbers? lol where you getting -231? My MIT team says I payed -262 for both the legs in the teaser.

Your MIT team is exactly right on the price you paid.

I am not going to spoon feed you (or your team) answers on how to correctly value/price points in the NBA. Suffice to say that the fair value was around -231 and that if you don't know why, you have no business betting.

[ssk13809]

Your MIT team is exactly right on the price you paid.

I am not going to spoon feed you (or your team) answers on how to correctly value/price points in the NBA. Suffice to say that the fair value was around -231 and that if you don't know why, you have no business betting.

I don't know why, but I can always ask my MIT team they can tell me. So I'm good.

[BetterBizness]

March 11,2011. Mark the date down. Then we'll see who laughs at me.

I marked the date down... but I thought I'd start a little early...

[LChruscial85]

Nice job last night SSK

[BetterBizness]

I don't know why, but I can always ask my MIT team they can tell me. So I'm good.

Dude your teams are all looking for you as noted on the last page... I wouldn't start mentioning them again...

[ssk13809]

Plays for today:


2 Team Teaser
Magic -2
76ers +6.5
Risk 18 to Win 15


Pacers -5.5
Risk 11 to Win 10

Pacers -3 (1H)
Risk 5.5 to Win 5

Blazers -2.5 (1H)
Risk 5.5 to Win 5


3 Team ATS Parlay
Magic -7
Pacers -5.5
Blazers -4.5
Risk 4 (All -110 odds)

[phillybadboy]

g l

[ssk13809]

1st Indiana with blowing a double digit 1st half lead making me lose my Halftime Bet on them


And then the 76ers

For exactly 47 minutes and 35 seconds they had the cover. For exactly 25 seconds of the game they didn't. Unfortunately, the 25 seconds were the last 25 seconds of the game.


Ridiculous. Costing my big teaser. I was winning the bet the WHOLE WAY till the last 25 seconds of the game. Wow.

[phillybadboy]

[DrStale]

Barring a stunning comeback from the Blazers you are down to 10 units. Whoops.

[FourLengthsClear]

Whoops, indeed.

[Hanlidin]

Faded Ssk again and won big.. lost a bit last night but knew his great capping skills would make me money sooner or later! ROFL!!!

[phillybadboy]

you forgot about money management dude

[DrStale]

you forgot about money management dude

Not a good sign when your lone supporter turns to criticism Beastmaster.

[SprayBoy]

I hope the entertainment that is SSK, doesn't stop =(

[ssk13809]

Well, tough day. 76ers bet decided it. I was winning the whole game. And the last 20 seconds I lost the bet. What can I say to that.

I'm down to like 10 units. But who says I'm done? I'm still coming back.

[DrStale]

I'm down to like 10 units. But who says I'm done? I'm still coming back.

History
Logic
Common sense

Pick your favorite.

[ssk13809]

History
Logic
Common sense

Pick your favorite.

Fantasy?

[Hanlidin]

This thread is getting boring fast... the haters can't even say much bc Ssk really does suck bad, -290 units within 20 days of handicapping.. but don't leave Ssk, youve made me +290 units within 20 days... you are the best nba handicappper in my eyes don't leave please lol

[BetterBizness]

We may all have to pay him to continue... The day is coming... S.s.k. Lang...

[jsmithj88]

-290 units?
wat is it, dollar units?

[ssk13809]

-290 units?
wat is it, dollar units?

Over 1k per unit. Basically lost half my yearly salary because of the NBA season.

[shermanator]

Over 1k per unit. Basically lost half my yearly salary because of the NBA season.

wow. you are such a great handicapper....