Nba_Brosuf mid season to finals cherry picking

[Anthonyg7]

Yeah ant. I saw your info leads that both games went into OT which points to the under in this game.

Too late for me now ant. I already placed my bids in. I'm gonna take a shot at this good game in miami just for the hell of it to watch a good game going.

why would you play the over if you noticed GSW played better defense today? Also, you should have waited to play the over.

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
03/13 13:01 217 -105 / 217 -105
03/13 15:34 217 -102 / 217 -108

The line moved to -108 on the under meaning money is coming in on the under. I also have sources reading the 62% of the bets are on the under. In this spot, I would wait closer to gametime to watch the line move especially with the bets that will come in tomorrow. This line will move to 216 and possible 215 giving you better value for your over. Just a thought. of course in the end its gamble and anything can happen. best of luck to you and your plays.

[NBA_Brosuf]

why would you play the over if you noticed GSW played better defense today? Also, you should have waited to play the over.

TOTALS - OVER/UNDER
03/13 13:01 217 -105 / 217 -105
03/13 15:34 217 -102 / 217 -108

The line moved to -108 on the under meaning money is coming in on the under. I also have sources reading the 62% of the bets are on the under. In this spot, I would wait closer to gametime to watch the line move especially with the bets that will come in tomorrow. This line will move to 216 and possible 215 giving you better value for your over. Just a thought. of course in the end its gamble and anything can happen. best of luck to you and your plays.

Good observation and I'm still a noobie in this hobby. I'm not yet that sharp when it comes to line movement to get the better value and what not nor am I that sharp about seeing a blow out game and then stay with them to see them not producing the same defensive results.

It is hard to produce the same results on a back to back. Today I play great but tomorrow, it is a whole different ball game. Maybe It is a fallacy that I'm playing on or perhaps, I just claim that I'm with stupid like betting against what I would obviously bet upon and like sometimes obvious is not really obvious in the Nba.

I just like to bet and get it over with and by tomorrow, I'll be busy at my job so I can't focus or tracking line movements and such. That is why I have you as my line movement guy.

[NBA_Brosuf]

heat game under 199 1U

Imma tail ant on this one. I think he sees something about heat playing elite teams usually goes under or something like that. Lets see how this game will unfold.

[Anthonyg7]

Good observation and I'm still a noobie in this hobby. I'm not yet that sharp when it comes to line movement to get the better value and what not nor am I that sharp about seeing a blow out game and then stay with them to see them not producing the same defensive results.

It is hard to produce the same results on a back to back. Today I play great but tomorrow, it is a whole different ball game. Maybe It is a fallacy that I'm playing on or perhaps, I just claim that I'm with stupid like betting against what I would obviously bet upon and like sometimes obvious is not really obvious in the Nba.

I just like to bet and get it over with and by tomorrow, I'll be busy at my job so I can't focus or tracking line movements and such. That is why I have you as my line movement guy.

Haha. I have learned a lot this season and this is actually my first time sports betting. I got attracted to this hobby during my break from Poker after running cold for a series of months. I have picked up the fine details from experienced cappers on this forum and have learned alot by reviewing some of the wagers i placed earlier in the season. It is VERY important that you beat the closing line on all your plays. I must admit, i work an office job and during my breaks i watch line movement and do some quick cappin for each day. I work and go to school full time so its tough for me to look into all the games. It's all a learning process, and I'm happy to share what i have picked up from some of these guys here on the forum. In the end we are all here to have fun and challenge this tough game. Personally i don't do it for the money, i like the challenge and researching that is involved. Of course i wouldn't want to end up in the red at the end of the season..

[Anthonyg7]

heat game under 199 1U

Imma tail ant on this one. I think he sees something about heat playing elite teams usually goes under or something like that. Lets see how this game will unfold.

Best of luck man. hope it hits for us. should be a good game to watch

[JR007]

make sure that you have "accurate" betting percentagesfrom multiple sources.....not just sbr.......have to be careful regarding line movement....there are scalpers in there,middlers, as well.....that may push the line past it's fair value....close to game time...best to check line history ...during the day as well...especially in the morning
around 10:00 am

[NBA_Brosuf]

make sure that you have "accurate" betting percentagesfrom multiple sources.....not just sbr.......have to be careful regarding line movement....there are scalpers in there,middlers, as well.....that may push the line past it's fair value....close to game time...best to check line history ...during the day as well...especially in the morning
around 10:00 am

Whao!!! Another Great tips by a veteran capper. All are appreciated and thank you so much for it Jr007.


76ers -2 1U



As of late and in 24 games, philly has not lost a back to back lost game yet. I'm betting that they will not lose tonight plus they are fav for a reason. They lost to bucks and now they are facing them jazz whom they already beat once so their are up 1-0 in this series. Will utah try to even up the score and have their revenge? It is possible that utah will be trying to play hard and try to inch up closer to the 8th seed, a playoff spot for them. The only thing I don't like is philly not a good team on the road. Philly is now sitting at the 7th seed and is 1.5 games behind them Knicks. They have all to win and nothing to lose actually. A win will bump them up but a lost will still puts them in the 7th spot since they are 6 games ahead of the 8th seed Pacers. Philly is looking at clippers and sacramento next, both easy raping games for them sixers so lets ride with them sixers until they cover ATS in anyone of these 3 games.


Denver +2.5 1U

Nuggets are starting their road trip games with some tough teams coming on up. They will play against them cats tonight, atl then magic then heat, all games in other people's home field advantage court. I'm sure that nuggets are going to win one of these games by being a dog and eat up them spread. This game here tonight with the spread about +2.5 is probably one of the best bet game for them nuggets to pull an upset. They are already winning 2 games in a row and when they win 2 games in a row, they are bound to win the 3rd one unless they faces teams like them bulls. Denver are even with them cats in this series at 1-1 a piece. NO has something to play for here. If they win, they will be tie with Denver in seed ranking. No is also on a 2 games winning streak so they're somewhat hot right now. NO has a winning record at home so that is my concern. Here is something interesting about the trend for them cats. When they win 2, they are likely to lose their 3rd game to a mediocre team. This will be a fun game to watch with 2 teams of the same status and caliber, battling each other for ranking spots.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Spurs +4 3U

Lakers -6 4U

I'm buying more spurs and I'm buying lakers. I'm going hard on these 2 teams to win. I have recorded every single betting from this one guy who has a winning record and although he doesn't bet much, he has been winning as of late. Check out his winning and losing record.

-lakers -6 orlando pending
-spurs +4 miami pending
-denver +3 phoenix win
-bull -7.5 atl win
-*memphis -3 okc win
-*knicks -6.5 jazz win
-*phoenix -4.5 utah lost
-*spurs -8 nets win
-*bobcat +5 lakers underdog win
-*Phoenix +6 Utah underdog win
-*Bobcats +4.5 boston under dog win
-*laker +3.5 hornet underdog win
-*dallas mavs +6 boston underdog win

He is very notorious for picking upsets and underdogs to win thus why I'm capping and tailing this guy. If you can pick upsets, you are a great capper. When he bet, I go hard because I trust his betting status. He is not from the forum by the way.

[JR007]

thank you sir......if you look at things long enough......that is all I can say......here

[NBA_Brosuf]

Under is 18-3 in the last 21 meetings.

[NBA_Brosuf]

SA +4.5 1U

I don't like betting on hard to pick games but I just can't watch these good games without placing anything on it. 1U on old timer SA vs. young bucks of Miami. SA has weapons that are evenly distributed instead of Miami who has just a few. If these few choke, you are so out of luck and a sinking ship is going to happen. I'm betting on the trend that Miami still has problems with elite teams. Prove us otherwise Miami.

Loser WAhhhhhhh

Miami starting to look like the real deal.

Rape system: 30-35 +5 units tally is also included the 3U lost extra buy.

[NBA_Brosuf]

heat game under 199 1U

Imma tail ant on this one. I think he sees something about heat playing elite teams usually goes under or something like that. Lets see how this game will unfold.

Ant is right. Winner

Rape system: 31-35 +6U

[NBA_Brosuf]

76ers -2 1U



As of late and in 24 games, philly has not lost a back to back lost game yet. I'm betting that they will not lose tonight plus they are fav for a reason. They lost to bucks and now they are facing them jazz whom they already beat once so their are up 1-0 in this series. Will utah try to even up the score and have their revenge? It is possible that utah will be trying to play hard and try to inch up closer to the 8th seed, a playoff spot for them. The only thing I don't like is philly not a good team on the road. Philly is now sitting at the 7th seed and is 1.5 games behind them Knicks. They have all to win and nothing to lose actually. A win will bump them up but a lost will still puts them in the 7th spot since they are 6 games ahead of the 8th seed Pacers. Philly is looking at clippers and sacramento next, both easy raping games for them sixers so lets ride with them sixers until they cover ATS in anyone of these 3 games.

Loser


Rape system: 31-36 +5U

Denver +2.5 1U

Nuggets are starting their road trip games with some tough teams coming on up. They will play against them cats tonight, atl then magic then heat, all games in other people's home field advantage court. I'm sure that nuggets are going to win one of these games by being a dog and eat up them spread. This game here tonight with the spread about +2.5 is probably one of the best bet game for them nuggets to pull an upset. They are already winning 2 games in a row and when they win 2 games in a row, they are bound to win the 3rd one unless they faces teams like them bulls. Denver are even with them cats in this series at 1-1 a piece. NO has something to play for here. If they win, they will be tie with Denver in seed ranking. No is also on a 2 games winning streak so they're somewhat hot right now. NO has a winning record at home so that is my concern. Here is something interesting about the trend for them cats. When they win 2, they are likely to lose their 3rd game to a mediocre team. This will be a fun game to watch with 2 teams of the same status and caliber, battling each other for ranking spots.

Winner

Rape system: 32-36 +6U

[Anthonyg7]

gave you a winner

[NBA_Brosuf]

gave you a winner

Loving what you do for me ant. Good call on that under heat game. Thanks bud.

gsw +1 1U
Over 217 1U

I'm buying them early before someone changes their mind.
From GSW to the kings is only a 2 hours drive. To me, it is still a home court advantage since fans of both teams are both living in both of these locality.

GSW beat kings 2 times this year. Is this a set up for a revenge game by them kings? I don't think so buddy. I like how gsw played defense tonight so hopefully, they will continue to stop their opponent from scoring so they can advance with their offense. As of late, GSW has been winning 3 games in a row. A win against them kings SU will put them in another 3 games winning streak. GSW for the win here and their next game will be against them Dallas in which they will lose. Unless gsw is the real deal, they will beat them dallas too.

Both games total were 231 and 226 which gives an average about 228.5.

It pushes for an over by 11.5 points.

Still waiting for my line to come out to play Denver and them 76ers. Come on vegas, what is the hold up?

winner on over

loser on game

Rape system: 33-37 +6U

[NBA_Brosuf]

Lakers -6 4U Winner


Rape system: 34-37 +10U

[Anthonyg7]

oh damn the over hit.. nice call. hah

[NBA_Brosuf]

oh damn the over hit.. nice call. hah

Yeah and it is the nba. No matter how much stats you have, there is still this unquestionable nature to the game that no one can really pin point it to the tee. My obvious are losing and my sucker bets are winning. Lets get them again next time. It's fun only if we're winning.


Dallas -1 1U
Under 189 1U

This will be a good game here. Dallas has a monkey on their tail in their conference with them Lakers tying with them. A win here will advance Dallas. Portland is half game behind them cats. A win here for Portland will put them half a game ahead of them cats. Not too sure how accurate my stats are since Lakers won tonight so they should be 1 game ahead of dallas. Number 2 and 3 seed is all of of a big deal here.

Dallas is up 2-0 against Portland and I guess you can say that portland is looking for a revenge and no better way to do it is at home. -1 spread on dallas is as generous as you can get. Dallas usually do not lose 2 in a row and if they did, it is against them elites teams like Chicago, Orlando and Spurs. Portland is not elite so let them trend ride it out like always.

Last they played
165 and 201 for an average of 183. Spread is a tad higher than average so I'm riding on the under.

[JR007]

fishy line,,,,based on portland's good home record

[NBA_Brosuf]

fishy line,,,,based on portland's good home record

Line is fishy and perhaps it shows because portland has been shooting more 3's lately than ever before. Well if they are shooting 3's, the mavs also have young 3 shooters on their teams too so if this is a raining 3 parade game then the over is a better buy.

Dallas don't seem like they are playing top notch basketball anymore and with games whining down, they are just pacing it out for the playoff and resting themselves to avoid injuries.

1U bets, I can afford it. Lets see if this is a game where them stats are accurate or a monkey picking skills are just as good.

[Anthonyg7]

Good luck on ur plays man.. lookin good. Lets cash that dallas win !

[NBA_Brosuf]

Good luck on ur plays man.. lookin good. Lets cash that dallas win !

Dallas don't look too good for me but that's alright. If it is anything but luck, I'm hoping for this luck here.

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
[539] NC ASHEVILLE -4-110 Win
[542] CLEMSON -4½-110 Win
[544] COLL CHARLESTON -5½-110 Win
[550] OKLAHOMA STATE -5½-110 Win
[564] DAVIDSON -2-110 Win
[566] EVANSVILLE -2-110 Win
[576] E TENNESSEE ST -4½-110 Win
[580] NORTHERN IOWA -5-110 Win
[584] SANTA CLARA -4-110 Pending <<--- Lets go Santa clara...


I'll be in Reno for some live action games and taking what I have learned here to the Reno Casino Floor. I will be there until Sunday so I will process my bets from there.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas don't look too good for me but that's alright. If it is anything but luck, I'm hoping for this luck here.

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
[539] NC ASHEVILLE -4-110 Win
[542] CLEMSON -4½-110 Win
[544] COLL CHARLESTON -5½-110 Win
[550] OKLAHOMA STATE -5½-110 Win
[564] DAVIDSON -2-110 Win
[566] EVANSVILLE -2-110 Win
[576] E TENNESSEE ST -4½-110 Win
[580] NORTHERN IOWA -5-110 Win
[584] SANTA CLARA -4-110 Pending <<--- Lets go Santa clara...


I'll be in Reno for some live action games and taking what I have learned here to the Reno Casino Floor. I will be there until Sunday so I will process my bets from there.

Yes, Santa Clara U won and cover by 1 point. I wonder how much 9 teams parlay at 5 pays. LOL

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas don't look too good for me but that's alright. If it is anything but luck, I'm hoping for this luck here.

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
[539] NC ASHEVILLE -4-110 Win
[542] CLEMSON -4½-110 Win
[544] COLL CHARLESTON -5½-110 Win
[550] OKLAHOMA STATE -5½-110 Win
[564] DAVIDSON -2-110 Win
[566] EVANSVILLE -2-110 Win
[576] E TENNESSEE ST -4½-110 Win
[580] NORTHERN IOWA -5-110 Win
[584] SANTA CLARA -4-110 Pending <<--- Lets go Santa clara...


I'll be in Reno for some live action games and taking what I have learned here to the Reno Casino Floor. I will be there until Sunday so I will process my bets from there.

Correction. This game here [539] NC ASHEVILLE -4-110 is a Push.

Push is tie and all tie is still a win.

I should do parlay more often. This is fun. Luck of a strike.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Yeah and it is the nba. No matter how much stats you have, there is still this unquestionable nature to the game that no one can really pin point it to the tee. My obvious are losing and my sucker bets are winning. Lets get them again next time. It's fun only if we're winning.


Dallas -1 1U
Under 189 1U

This will be a good game here. Dallas has a monkey on their tail in their conference with them Lakers tying with them. A win here will advance Dallas. Portland is half game behind them cats. A win here for Portland will put them half a game ahead of them cats. Not too sure how accurate my stats are since Lakers won tonight so they should be 1 game ahead of dallas. Number 2 and 3 seed is all of of a big deal here.

Dallas is up 2-0 against Portland and I guess you can say that portland is looking for a revenge and no better way to do it is at home. -1 spread on dallas is as generous as you can get. Dallas usually do not lose 2 in a row and if they did, it is against them elites teams like Chicago, Orlando and Spurs. Portland is not elite so let them trend ride it out like always.

Last they played
165 and 201 for an average of 183. Spread is a tad higher than average so I'm riding on the under.

Loser and Loser. My man was right. Any fishy lines, stay away. I need to keep that in mind.

Rape system: 34-39 +8U

[NBA_Brosuf]

My 2 college parlay cards for tomorrow looking like this. I know I can't win them all, all of the time but who knows. Already won an 8 teams parlay (one push) wagering 15 last month and now hitting a 9 teams parlay (1 push again) at wagering 5 just today. Asking for the luck of the irish for Saint's Patty's day for some luck here. LOL

PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
[624] TEX SAN ANTONIO -3-110
[626] USC -4½-110
[630] WICHITA STATE -4-110
[638] CALIFORNIA -4½-110
[648] RHODE ISLAND -8-110
[650] CENTRAL FLORIDA -6-1

and

PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[632] MIAMI FLORIDA -11-110
[634] NORTHWESTERN -9½-110
[640] WASHINGTON STAT -9½-110
[648] RHODE ISLAND -8-110
[654] OREGON -10½-110
[664] SMU -4-110
[666] SAN FRANCISCO -4-110

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas -3.5 3U



Well that's odd. Just saw Dallas -3.5 early, took it but now they took it down? Interesting.

76ers +1 3U

No write up this time because I'm tired of writing up something that ends up losing. Write less, bet more is my new policy.

I'm waiting for Charlotte lines to come out to play Charlotte against Houston.

[twelvejewelz]

iguolada may be out for philly but im still leaning philly , i like the dallas play there is no way there going to let themselves lose again.

[NBA_Brosuf]

iguolada may be out for philly but im still leaning philly , i like the dallas play there is no way there going to let themselves lose again.

I think next year, I will play with a new system. Like just sit quiet until a good team gets an upset and then play them the next game against lower seeded teams to see what happen. I hope someone can backtrack such system to see what the results are.

I'm still rolling with them dallas. I don't believe they will continue to roll out the rest of the season and looking like a worn down team. If they do, I'll still wager on them in the playoff since spread on them will be a tad smaller or larger if they play with a super seeded team.

76ers on the other hand, they lost to utah and now facing them clippers. For some reason, them clippers just made this grown man cry. Clippers just done with their 5 road games and winning 3 of them. Not too shabby and now they get to start their home games with them 76ers. I'm digging the spread thus why I'm playing them 76ers. Clippers are going to take it easy and just cruise on by. Heck, they might end up being fav at home against the next 4 games for them.

76ers
cavs
suns
wizards.

I say clips will win 1 of these 4 games SU but which one? I don't know.

[NBA_Brosuf]

Charlotte +6.5 3U

Something about them cats. SU or backdoor cover? 6.5 is Houston cover giving to teams like WAshington and cavs.....Not Charlotte. Lets see if my sponge bob square head is right on this one or not. Maybe not.

[JR007]

good luck tonight

[NBA_Brosuf]

My 2 college parlay cards for tomorrow looking like this. I know I can't win them all, all of the time but who knows. Already won an 8 teams parlay (one push) wagering 15 last month and now hitting a 9 teams parlay (1 push again) at wagering 5 just today. Asking for the luck of the irish for Saint's Patty's day for some luck here. LOL

PARLAY (6 TEAMS)
[624] TEX SAN ANTONIO -3-110 win
[626] USC -4½-110 lose game
[630] WICHITA STATE -4-110 win
[638] CALIFORNIA -4½-110 lose, did not cover by 1.5
[648] RHODE ISLAND -8-110 win
[650] CENTRAL FLORIDA -6-1 win

and

PARLAY (7 TEAMS)
[632] MIAMI FLORIDA -11-110 win
[634] NORTHWESTERN -9½-110 lose did not cover by 0.5
[640] WASHINGTON STAT -9½-110 lose did not cover by 0.5
[648] RHODE ISLAND -8-110 win
[654] OREGON -10½-110 lose cover by 1.5
[664] SMU -4-110 lose game
[666] SAN FRANCISCO -4-110 win

loser and like always, I'll try again

PARLAY (9 TEAMS)
[708] WEST VIRGINIA -2½-110
[713] MICHIGAN STATE -1-110
[718] CINCINNATI -1-110
[721] OLD DOMINION -2-110
[724] VANDERBILT -2½-110
[730] ST. JOHNS -1-110
[734] TEMPLE -3-110
[736] KANSAS STATE -2½-110
[738] WISCONSIN -5-110

[NBA_Brosuf]

Dallas -3.5 3U winner



Well that's odd. Just saw Dallas -3.5 early, took it but now they took it down? Interesting.

76ers +1 3U Win

No write up this time because I'm tired of writing up something that ends up losing. Write less, bet more is my new policy.

I'm waiting for Charlotte lines to come out to play Charlotte against Houston.

Rape system: 36-39 +14U

[NBA_Brosuf]

Charlotte +6.5 3U Loser

Something about them cats. SU or backdoor cover? 6.5 is Houston cover giving to teams like WAshington and cavs.....Not Charlotte. Lets see if my sponge bob square head is right on this one or not. Maybe not.

Rape system: 36-40 +11U

[NBA_Brosuf]

cavs +14 1U

Why? Well first time I'm backing up them cavs and taking the backdoor cover. I think. LOL

Am here at the Grand Sierra Reno Casino and people here are talking about them cavs. Maybe they know something we don't know? Waiting for the bookie here to open up their lines so I can pound some while I'm here.