My NBA Box Score Projection System 2010-2011

Mike the Greek · 02-09-11, 12:55 PM

You called it close , and it was.........

VTranX · 02-09-11, 01:55 PM

2/9/2010

7:00pm ET
CHA 23 22 22 26 93
IND 26 28 23 21 98
Play: Indiana -4, Under 194.5

10:00pm ET
DAL 29 28 27 24 108
SAC 29 22 23 25 99
Play: Dallas -5, Over 196.

10:30pm ET
DEN 26 29 29 26 110
GSW 23 30 26 22 101
Play: Denver +2, Under 220.

VTranX · 02-09-11, 02:13 PM

Originally posted by the_mathman

VtranX, congratulation!!!!

It appear to be a great system! :-D

This is the first year for your method or do you have tryed it 'offline' in the previous year(s)?

Been using this concept for about 2 seasons now refining and adjusting this system. This will be my final product, let's see how it holds in this NBA season.

Up · 02-09-11, 02:25 PM

Shouldn't the Cha-Ind game be Over? 93+98 = 191...

Jon Q Phenomenon · 02-09-11, 02:27 PM

Or maybe Under 195 instead of 190, since I'm seeing numbers around 195 most places.

VTranX · 02-09-11, 03:15 PM

Sorry for the typo, corrected now.

Untied · 02-09-11, 03:55 PM

Nice job on your system VTranX, it's looking good.

A word of warning about the under on the Char/Indy game. Pacers have scored over 100 in every game since O'Brien was fired. It seems that pushing the tempo of the game is a part of the new look Pacers.

sickpicks · 02-09-11, 06:38 PM

tailing totals. Taking indiana ATS and SU. GL guys

Untied · 02-09-11, 09:59 PM

I'll be on the Indiana over wave until it crashes, especially 1st half

face · 02-09-11, 10:18 PM

I hope Denver/Golden State doesn't go to overtime. Under it is. GL

VTranX · 02-09-11, 11:26 PM

Looks like another horrible day. Sorry guys...

dlew2k · 02-10-11, 12:23 AM

No apologies needed man. Its called gambling for a reason !

THEGREAT30 · 02-10-11, 12:24 AM

cool thoughts

face · 02-10-11, 12:42 AM

get that racist stuff off your avatar

the_mathman · 02-10-11, 03:12 AM

Originally posted by VTranX

Been using this concept for about 2 seasons now refining and adjusting this system. This will be my final product, let's see how it holds in this NBA season.

It is very impressive for the under/over results!
congratulation!

if it works on the quarter totals, i presume that the win/lose haven't the same performance of the U/O.

I apologize for the hard work that request your system, but if your operation are only matematical (and not request discretional decision) you can automate it (eg:with the help of excel programming)...

sickpicks · 02-10-11, 04:42 AM

Originally posted by VTranX

Looks like another horrible day. Sorry guys...

shit happens

Pacers ML was my best bet unfortunately i had to take knicks and phila. That's how it goes when i place too many bets

cheer up VTranX

sickpicks · 02-10-11, 04:49 AM

Originally posted by Untied

Nice job on your system VTranX, it's looking good.

A word of warning about the under on the Char/Indy game. Pacers have scored over 100 in every game since O'Brien was fired. It seems that pushing the tempo of the game is a part of the new look Pacers.

u were right man

VTranX · 02-10-11, 05:28 AM

Originally posted by VTranX

2/9/2010

7:00pm ET
CHA 23 22 22 26 93
IND 26 28 23 21 98
Play: Indiana -4, Under 194.5

10:00pm ET
DAL 29 28 27 24 108
SAC 29 22 23 25 99
Play: Dallas -5, Over 196.

10:30pm ET
DEN 26 29 29 26 110
GSW 23 30 26 22 101
Play: Denver +2, Under 220.

Final Scores:

CHA 28 20 22 33 103
IND 29 29 23 23 104

DAL 20 36 18 28 102
SAC 28 19 26 27 100

DEN 35 33 24 22 114
GSW 34 36 30 16 116

Record
Today: 1-4-1
Overall: 26-17-1

VTranX · 02-10-11, 05:35 AM

My real goal for the season is to finish above 55%, I hope this down swing doesn't last for much longer. I will have a projection or two up this afternoon if you guys still want to tail me after this down swing I've been having the last couple days.

the_mathman · 02-10-11, 11:30 AM

Originally posted by VTranX

I real goal for the season is to finish above 55%, I hope this down swing doesn't last for much longer. I will have a projection or two up this afternoon if you guys still want to tail me after this down swing I've been having the last couple days.

if you can, maintain two totals (one for the ATS and one for the U/O).
your U/O results are very interesting

widebody2 · 02-10-11, 12:11 PM

Originally posted by the_mathman

I apologize for the hard work that request your system, but if your operation are only matematical (and not request discretional decision) you can automate it (eg:with the help of excel programming)...

lol I said the same thing to him and got a 1 word answer

VTranX · 02-10-11, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by widebody2

lol I said the same thing to him and got a 1 word answer

You also told me it would cost $800.

dlew2k · 02-10-11, 01:14 PM

It would cost you $0 here.

VTranX · 02-10-11, 01:36 PM

2/10/2011

LAL 20 24 19 24 87
BOS 19 23 22 26 90
Play: Boston 2.5, Under 187.5.

DAL 24 23 31 20 98
DEN 27 29 28 23 107
Play: Denver -3, Under 210.5.

PRiiMO · 02-10-11, 01:45 PM

hmmmmmmmm i like every play except LAL/bos under 187.5
the first time they played the total was 205

VTranX · 02-10-11, 02:41 PM

Last time they played was at Lakers home.

PRiiMO · 02-10-11, 04:37 PM

this is where i could act like all the retards in this place and start an argument but hey lets just see. nba is very unpredictable

Magic62 · 02-10-11, 05:21 PM

Thanks VT.like these picks,BOL tonight,lets hope you got it right

widebody2 · 02-10-11, 06:57 PM

Originally posted by VTranX

You also told me it would cost $800.

Mine cost $800 but is pretty damn complicated. I don't know how in depth yours is. Maybe you could do it yourself on excel. I just remember sitting there and doing all that math.....even though I'm a math guy it was not fun

widebody2 · 02-10-11, 07:01 PM

I see the laker game going over that too but thats the thing with systems...it doesn't matter what you think. Just stick w the system. If its a good system then its going to do better than you long term

Mike the Greek · 02-11-11, 12:29 AM

Just keep doing what you're doing Vtranx, sometimes no figures can account for human variables, but you're pretty damn close as it is.....That Laker total tonite was close and under. Looks like Denver/Dal is gonna be the same way.

VTranX · 02-11-11, 03:05 AM

Might take Friday off, past 3 days have not been so good. Good lucks guys, hope you all have a good NBA Friday.

shopbar picks · 02-11-11, 04:30 AM

amazing stuff VT

the_mathman · 02-11-11, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by widebody2

Mine cost $800 but is pretty damn complicated. I don't know how in depth yours is. Maybe you could do it yourself on excel. I just remember sitting there and doing all that math.....even though I'm a math guy it was not fun

You can't say how is complicated if don't know what the sheet must to be.

In addition, VTranX spend him time here with us,
the minimum is help him to work!

VTranX · 02-11-11, 02:19 PM

Originally posted by VTranX

2/10/2011

LAL 20 24 19 24 87
BOS 19 23 22 26 90
Play: Boston 2.5, Under 187.5.

DAL 24 23 31 20 98
DEN 27 29 28 23 107
Play: Denver -3, Under 210.5.

Finals Scores

LAL 20 25 27 29 92
BOS 27 26 15 18 86

DAL 19 39 34 28 120
DEN 33 26 29 33 221

Record
Today: 1-3-0
Overall: 27-20-1

Totals: 16-8-0
ATS: 11-12-1