Math man NBA 2011 Picks

[million2one]

Classic, that is a funny one.
Poor Cle, may not win another game the rest of the season.
I hope Boston will sweep Miami in the playoffs, or better yet the mighty Sixers can take out Miami, how great would that be.

Oh yeah and for LeBron you will never have as many rings as D. Wade and therefore will never be better than him.

[million2one]

1/31:

Straight Bet 19: Cleveland Cavaliers (+17.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 19: Cleveland Cavaliers (+18.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

2/1:


Straight Bet 20: Portland Trailblazers (+5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Straight Bet 20: Portland Trailblazers (+6.5) risking 2.8 units to win 2 units *Bought 1.5 points*

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 9 - 10 for -1.75 units

System Bets = 12 - 7 for +7 units

[million2one]

2/1:

Straight Bet 20: Portland Trailblazers (+5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

Straight Bet 20: Portland Trailblazers (+6.5) risking 2.8 units to win 2 units

So close to taking the money line on that one. More action for tonight.
Liking the Bulls as well and may add them as a play later.

2/2:

Straight Bet 21: Toronto Raptors (+10) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 21: Toronto Raptors (+11) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 10 - 10 for -0.75 units

System Bets = 13 - 7 for +9 units

[million2one]

2/2:

Straight Bet 21: Toronto Raptors (+10) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 21: Toronto Raptors (+11) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

Don't feel great about this one so gonna take a stab with buying some points.
I do like the fact that Boston has Orlando on deck, and Boston is coming off a road trip, hopefully they will take it easy tonight so they can roll on the Magic sunday.


2/4:

Straight Bet 22: Dallas Mavericks (+6.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 22: Dallas Mavericks (+8) risking 2.8 units to win 2 units *Bought 1.5 points*

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 10 - 11 for -1.85 units

System Bets = 13 - 8 for +7.7 units

[million2one]

2/4:

Straight Bet 22: Dallas Mavericks (+6.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 22: Dallas Mavericks (+8) risking 2.8 units to win 2 units *Bought 1.5 points*

I must be crazy taking this team again, but I like the value and the line movement. So here goes nothing

2/5:

Straight Bet 23: Cleveland Cavaliers (+6) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 23: Cleveland Cavaliers (+8) risking 1.5 units to win 1 unit

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 11 - 11 for -0.85 units

System Bets = 14 - 8 for +9.7 units

[million2one]

2/5:

Straight Bet 23: Cleveland Cavaliers (+6) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 23: Cleveland Cavaliers (+8) risking 1.5 units to win 1 unit *bought two points*

Looking at the Sixers for Sunday.
I know its a home and home, but I love how the sixers are winning and they can beat the Knicks again.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 11 - 11 for -0.85 units

System Bets = 15 - 8 for +10.7 units

[freeagent]

Kicking butt kid, keep it up! Sexies tomorrow baby, this team is absolutely relevant again and fun to watch. Should be a close game again regardless, good luck. Super Bowl Sunday let's party!

[million2one]

I decided not to take the Sexies (Sixers). Although I'll be rooting for them, they are relevant once again. Doug Collins is the man.
Let's just wait and see what's on tap for Monday. I have no idea who to take for the Super Bowl

YTD:

Straight Bets = 11 - 11 for -0.85 units

System Bets = 15 - 8 for +10.7 units

[million2one]

2/7:

This team is hilarious getting so many points, I'm just gonna ride it out, and not watch any of their games.
Also like Memphis (+4) and Bulls (-2) may add them later as a straight bet.
First game back for Dallas so hoping this will be the difference for me.

Straight Bet 24: Cleveland Cavaliers (+15.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*


System Bet 24: Cleveland Cavaliers (+15.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

[million2one]

2/7:

Straight Bet 24: Cleveland Cavaliers (+15.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

System Bet 24: Cleveland Cavaliers (+15.5) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit *Bought one point*

Not sold on anything for tonight.
I would like to play Indiana but I don't like the fact that it is revenge for Miami.
So going with the safe option and waiting until Wednesday.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 12 - 11 for +0.15 units

System Bets = 16 - 8 for +11.7 units

[million2one]

Anyone else loving Philly today. Get on board Free Agent.

[million2one]

Really liking the Sixers tonight as a home dog and may wait until 6:30PM to try to get the best line.
I want to get greedy here as I feel it is one of those rare spots, but decided to leave well enough alone.
I thought the line would go to +2 but it seems like it is not. This is a good sign however as public bets are on the Magic.


2/9:

Straight Bet 25: Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 25: Philadelphia 76ers (+3) risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit

[freeagent]

I'm on it, go 76ers!

[million2one]

2/9:

Straight Bet 25: Philadelphia 76ers (+1.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 25: Philadelphia 76ers (+3) risking 1.4 units to win 1 unit

Oh well can't win 'em all, had a chance at the end there but just didn't have a big enough spread.
The important thing is to learn from your mistakes and stay even keeled , without chasing or forcing plays. Just be patient and wait for your next opportunity.

Perhaps I was a little over-zealous because it was my home-town team and I was rooting hard for them to win.
In retrospect the line just wasn't large enough for the Sexies.

Nothing for today.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 12 - 12 for -0.85 units

System Bets = 16 - 9 for +10.3 units

[million2one]

Lots of live dogs tonight (IMO) , including the hometown team.
Last three times that San Antonio played in Philadelphia, the Sixers were 3 point dogs and won all three outright.
But I have to roll with my numbers and take Phoenix. Not sure how Sloan stepping down will affect this game though?
And am I crazy to think that the Cavs could win tonight??

2/11:

Straight Bet 26: Phoenix Suns (+6) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 26: Phoenix Suns (+8) risking 3 units to win 2 units

Tonight's Lottery Pick: (Sixers/Cavs/Suns) 3 team money line Round Robin

[million2one]

2/11:

Straight Bet 26: Phoenix Suns (+6) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 26: Phoenix Suns (+8) risking 3 units to win 2 units

Tonight's Lottery Pick: (Sixers/Cavs/Suns) 3 team money line Round Robin

I said there were lots of live dogs last night. That was understatement, as 5 of the dogs won outright, including the three I put on my round robin, hope you followed that one. And yes I did call for a Cav's win last night.

I got my big win with Phoenix and the Lottery Pick really helped my account. I'm off to coach a BBall game and will take time later to look at today's games and hopefully we can come up with something. Sixers again?????


YTD:

Straight Bets = 13 - 12 for +0.15 units

System Bets = 17 - 9 for +12.3 units

[million2one]

No Plays for today.
Looking to find one more play to cash before the all-star break, but if not so be it.
I am usually cautious the week before and the week after the all-star break.

BTW. System is 17 - 0 as a three game chase, if your into that non-sense.


YTD:

Straight Bets = 13 - 12 for +0.15 units

System Bets = 17 - 9 for +12.3 units

[million2one]

I know it's a tough spot for Charlotte, but 9.5 points is a lot to cover, and Chicago is just coming off of a successful road trip.
Gotta take a gamble with these points tonight.
I am also liking Sac-Town, the Pacers, and the Sexies.

2/11:

Straight Bet 26: Charlotte Bobcats (+9.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 26: Charlotte Bobcats (+10) risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

[million2one]

2/11:

Straight Bet 26: Charlotte Bobcats (+9.5) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 26: Charlotte Bobcats (+10) risking 1.2 units to win 1 unit

Going back to the well tonight with the Cav's, this team has been good to me during the course of this thread, so lets hope that trend continues. I mean how often do you get a double digit home underdog. Waiting until the last minute to get the best possible line.
It will be tough being that the Lakers have lost two straight, but if the Cav's have any pride they will want to avenge that humiliating loss to the Lakers earlier in the season. Take the Cav's and go to sleep.

2/16:

Straight Bet 28: Cleveland Cavaliers (+11) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 28: Cleveland Cavaliers (+14) risking 3.4 units to win 2 units

[million2one]

Nice just got 11.5 as I typed.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 13 - 13 - 1 for -0.95 units

System Bets = 17 - 10 for +11.1 units

[million2one]

I mean how often do you get a double digit home underdog. Waiting until the last minute to get the best possible line.
It will be tough being that the Lakers have lost two straight, but if the Cav's have any pride they will want to avenge that humiliating loss to the Lakers earlier in the season. Take the Cav's and go to sleep.

2/16:

Straight Bet 28: Cleveland Cavaliers (+11) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 28: Cleveland Cavaliers (+14) risking 3.4 units to win 2 units

Easy win last night, c'mon folks you always take a double digit home dog.
Let's hear it for the Cavs, who would of thought they would win.
I would hope to think that a pro-athelete has pride in what they do, and care about the game, the Cavs proved that last night.
My faith in athletes and pro sports has been restored. Thank you Cleveland.
If you are crying about a fix, then you know nothing about competitive spirit.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 14 - 13 - 1 for +0.05 units

System Bets = 18 - 10 for +13.1 units

[million2one]

No Plays for today, be back in a week or so, enjoy the break.

[million2one]

Not sure how to proceed the week after the break, may just wait until these teams get back to normal routine again.
I am leaning toward Atlanta +7.5 and Sac-town at +13. Maybe a ML parlay with Bean town.

[million2one]

Can't pass up on this tonight as I like the inflated line with the 'Melo trade.
I may be getting set up, but it will be fun to watch.

2/23:

Straight Bet 29: Milwaukee Bucks (+7) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 29: Milwaukee Bucks (+8) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit



YTD:

Straight Bets = 14 - 13 - 1 for +0.05 units

System Bets = 18 - 10 for +13.1 units

[freeagent]

NBA back in full action baby, let's get some loot. Good Luck with the Bucks!

[million2one]

2/23:

Straight Bet 29: Milwaukee Bucks (+7) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 29: Milwaukee Bucks (+8) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit

This is how it's done, slow and steady.
I waited over a week but found my game and got the win, albeit of the narrowest of margins, but a win is a win.
The difference between winning and losing is such a fine line as last night's game showed me.
Always be humble, otherwise you will get humbled.

No Plays for tonight.

YTD:

Straight Bets = 15 - 13 - 1 for +1.05 units

System Bets = 19 - 10 for +14.1 units

[million2one]

Not sure why Orlando is a 7 pt. favorite to a decent OKC team, Orlando just lost to the Kings of all teams and are being over-rated IMO.
This Orlando team is going to falter in the playoffs, I would look to fade them come playoff time.
Not sure how the trade will affect OK City, as I am not up on all the players. What does everyone think about the trade?

Also like the Cav's a bit but not enough to make a play, maybe on a tease.

2/25:

Straight Bet 30: Oklahoma City Thunder (+7) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit


System Bet 30: Oklahoma City Thunder (+8) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit

[freeagent]

Let the Thunder roar tonight, good luck!

[million2one]

2/25:

Straight Bet 30: Oklahoma City Thunder (+7) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 30: Oklahoma City Thunder (+8) risking 1.3 units to win 1 unit

"Everybody plays the fool, sometimes" The Thunder looked dreadful on Friday night, and I can't figure out Orlando.
How do you lose to Sacramento Kings at home.
I should of rolled with my squad in Cleveland on Friday, keep an eye on them going forward.

Lots of juicy plays for today, so multiple bets are coming, but here is the main one for now.
I'm a little pissed because my system would have took Detroit last night, but I was scared with all the Drama that went on.

Lets hope for a big day today.

2/27:

Straight Bet 31: Houston Rockets (+6) risking 1.1 units to win 1 unit

System Bet 31: Houston Rockets (+9) risking 3.4 units to win 2 units

[million2one]

YTD:

Straight Bets = 15 - 14 - 1 for -0.05 units

System Bets = 19 - 11 for +12.8 units

[freeagent]

Hang in there, we'll set off like a rocket tonight. GL