Barksdale NBA Picks

**tatddy** · 12-25-10, 01:28 AM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

*** Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks under 205 / 1 UNIT ***

I don't usually use qualitative analysis, but was thinking that the early start time here will lend itself to the under. Are these guys really gonna be ready to play at a fast pace at that hour on xmas?

Also, under in 5 of the last 6 games Bulls have played in NY.

**pstaff1989** · 12-25-10, 01:31 AM

nice heat write up. thanks man

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 01:36 AM

Originally posted by tatddy

I don't usually use qualitative analysis, but was thinking that the early start time here will lend itself to the under. Are these guys really gonna be ready to play at a fast pace at that hour on xmas?

Also, under in 5 of the last 6 games Bulls have played in NY.

Early game and just going back a few years looking at the Christmas game the early game doesn't usually have high scoring. I think most of the players don't want to be there and want to be with their kids or families.

Last year Knicks played vs Miami in New York and lost 93-87 on Christmas. The year before that New Orleans lost at Orlando in the early game 88-68, year before that 96-82 Cleveland over Miami, year before that LA and Miami were the only game at 2:30 and Miami won 101-85. All of these games are pretty low scoring and I don't see why the trend wouldn't continue.

**tatddy** · 12-25-10, 01:42 AM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

Early game and just going back a few years looking at the Christmas game the early game doesn't usually have high scoring. I think most of the players don't want to be there and want to be with their kids or families.

Last year Knicks played vs Miami in New York and lost 93-87 on Christmas. The year before that New Orleans lost at Orlando in the early game 88-68, year before that 96-82 Cleveland over Miami, year before that LA and Miami were the only game at 2:30 and Miami won 101-85. All of these games are pretty low scoring and I don't see why the trend wouldn't continue.

Yeah and the total has dropped significantly, opened at 207.5 or so. Have it booked myself 1.5x so far.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 01:54 AM

Good luck to everyone tomorrow and happy holidays. I'll be around for a little while if anyone has any other questions feel free.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 02:01 AM

I like Portland also, but couldn't find a line on it anywhere.

**maxcraft** · 12-25-10, 04:06 AM

hey avon how about the under in BOS - ORL? good bet you think?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 04:19 AM

I am on it for 1 unit. I think Orlando will struggle to score again against Boston and the San Antonio game was really more in part due to a lack of effort/defense from San Antonio.

**GTS925** · 12-25-10, 07:31 AM

Avon, do you like NYK and OKC?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 11:25 AM

I would lean Chicago and the OKC game I have no real opinion on, but it's either no play or OKC because you can't bet on Denver without 'Melo.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 02:37 PM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

*** Chicago Bulls at New York Knicks under 205 / 1 UNIT ***

Winner

The score was close to what I thought it would be, but it didn't necessarily happen the way I thought it would. Regardless, a win is a win.

**Krazymojo** · 12-25-10, 02:38 PM

hwo confident are you in your next picks with the under and the celtics on that game?

**Krazymojo** · 12-25-10, 02:39 PM

guess it don't matter nemore lol

**Krazymojo** · 12-25-10, 02:44 PM

i could get boston at +5.5 right now take it?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 02:49 PM

I wouldn't chase it. I do expect Boston to get close again, but they are shooting terribly thus far...

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 03:50 PM

Changing Heat to +5 line.

**Nitro3** · 12-25-10, 03:55 PM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

Changing Heat to +5 line.

Avon How you changing the line to +5. didnt you lock it in at +3?

Just checked my book and its not even offering +5

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 03:56 PM

I just took it at +5 right now... I would take it +3 too obviously and have. I am just updating it to current line.

**Nitro3** · 12-25-10, 04:08 PM

Gotchya...what book is offering that?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 04:59 PM

it's not available online.

closest i saw was +4.5 on BetUs so we can just use that line if needed.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 05:21 PM

Boston +2.5 is a loss somehow, Boston under is an easy win.

Should be 3-0, but will take 2-1 heading into my biggest play of the day.

Let's go Miami!

I might have a couple plays later.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 05:42 PM

I just realized I didn't even post my Heat ML play, but oh well. Good luck to everyone!

**7secondsOrLess** · 12-25-10, 06:01 PM

keep it up avon itll only be a matter of time before lb starts hating on you too

**BING23** · 12-25-10, 06:06 PM

BOL to my fav tv character!!!

happy holidays aswell

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 06:21 PM

*** Oklahoma City Thunder 1st Half -3 / 1 UNIT ***

**Pauulzcappin** · 12-25-10, 06:37 PM

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

Changing Heat to +5 line.

Originally posted by Avon Barksdale

I just realized I didn't even post my Heat ML play, but oh well. Good luck to everyone!

What are we doing here? How do you update a play to a +5 line after you booked it? Are you even playing the games?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 06:40 PM

Because I took it at +3, then the line moved so I took it again and also said I would still take +3 if that's what people had and updated it to my most recent play. It doesn't seem to matter either way does it? Thanks.

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 07:45 PM

Will probably have a play or two later.

**pstaff1989** · 12-25-10, 09:17 PM

Any idea on those possible plays?

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 09:22 PM

I will probably end up making Portland +3 a play, but not 100% yet.

**pstaff1989** · 12-25-10, 09:37 PM

Cool thanks i will wait and see

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 09:44 PM

*** Portland Trail Blazers +3 / 3 UNITS ***

**pstaff1989** · 12-25-10, 10:11 PM

damn you really like Portland tonight, alright man I am on it too. let's cash this and have a jolly holly ending to this Christmas day.

btw their ats record scares me a little, but I have seen GS play and I think Portland is better. last 10 games Portland is way better

**Avon Barksdale** · 12-25-10, 10:17 PM

Yeah, the ATS doesn't look good, but Portland has played the most Christmas games and has the best record on Christmas.

Also, Biedrins is out, as is Gadzuric and Camby is back for Portland, along with Cunningham so I think Aldridge and Camby will do big damage. Portland is also on 5 days rest so should be ready.

Curry is back for GSW, but he hasn't played in a while so I think there may be some rust for him and he himself said he's only at about 70%.

Portland hasn't lost since they sat out Roy so I'll continue to ride them for now.

**pstaff1989** · 12-26-10, 01:07 AM

dude I can't handle these epic let down's on Christmas. we got ****** on gs and boston we should have chased both of them. sorry man, good luck tomorrow. on to the next one