Rudy's picks, discussions and more

[Joe Sharp]

WOW! spread jumped up to -6 -109 at pinny. itll end up being over +200

Does this concern you at all? Not the kind of RLM I was hoping for. Still VERY early though!

[RudyRuetigger]

Rudy when you talk about Bodog and the Square plays are meaning the -115 on most of the games?

No. For example, the Lions were +6.5 everywhere last week and +7 at bodog or SIA. So if you are line shopping, you'd wanna play Green Bay at 6.5 at Pinny or Lions +7 at bodog or SIA. And without knowing which play is correct, you should atleast know which book is sharper.

Does this concern you at all? Not the kind of RLM I was hoping for. Still VERY early though!

Not concerning, especially this early when books are just opening the line.

[RudyRuetigger]

No. For example, the Lions were +6.5 everywhere last week and +7 at bodog or SIA. So if you are line shopping, you'd wanna play Green Bay at 6.5 at Pinny or Lions +7 at bodog or SIA. And without knowing which play is correct, you should atleast know which book is sharper.

To go further on this point, you hear people bitching..oh I wish I had pinny because of the juice...well the fact is, you don't want to bet Pinny's numbers. You want to bet numbers better than Pinny.

So many of these threads I see people bitching about how "bad" Bodog's lines are and they need to trade places because of it. If you fit in this category, you might want to think twice about betting in general.

[doublej95]

Thanks Rudy for explaining

[big0mar]

To go further on this point, you hear people bitching..oh I wish I had pinny because of the juice...well the fact is, you don't want to bet Pinny's numbers. You want to bet numbers better than Pinny. So many of these threads I see people bitching about how "bad" Bodog's lines are and they need to trade places because of it. If you fit in this category, you might want to think twice about betting in general.

I never understood why people would knock books like Sportsbook and BoDog

I place over half my bets at Sportsbook.com these days.

[opie1988]

Great info, RUDE-DOG!

This is how we need to keep this thread. Nothing but good info......and top plays!!

Really appreciate your efforts, Rudy.

[linedrivr]

To go further on this point, you hear people bitching..oh I wish I had pinny because of the juice...well the fact is, you don't want to bet Pinny's numbers. You want to bet numbers better than Pinny.

So many of these threads I see people bitching about how "bad" Bodog's lines are and they need to trade places because of it. If you fit in this category, you might want to think twice about betting in general.

glad to see that someone else on this board gets it. Looking forward to your thread Rudy.

[atwolfe]

wizards just went to +6.5 (-110) and +225 with my local

[RudyRuetigger]

line moving slightly against but i got the opening ML at +230 and then add more at +225...but yea its more than 5% now and i have too much on it

good news is im drinking..2 down right now


so this thread will probably be a "leading up to game" and "in game" thread for the next 2 pages

[sharper2]

so im guessing all the other factors are looking good besides the lack of RLM? including your sharp friend being on it? thinking about putting all 500 points on the ML

[RudyRuetigger]

so im guessing all the other factors are looking good besides the lack of RLM? including your sharp friend being on it? thinking about putting all 500 points on the ML

yes, everything points to it being a top play....except the line movement,which is why I'm on 3rd beer now

[RudyRuetigger]

yes, everything points to it being a top play....except the line movement,which is why I'm on 3rd beer now

although i will say, when i checked pinny it was -6 -107 and the ml was +227. it has moved to -6 -113 and the ml is still +227

[spargament]

who knows what the pub reaction to wall and blatche missing will be/is. I feel like the betting public has little grasp on 2nd and 3rd option players on losing teams in the NBA

[RudyRuetigger]

who knows what the pub reaction to wall and blatche missing will be/is. I feel like the betting public has little grasp on 2nd and 3rd option players on losing teams in the NBA

and add that to the fact they havent moved the ML

[harlee71]

RR how about some input on my games from time to time.

Stop over for a visit.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-basketball-handicapping/826251-investment-betting-p58.html

[RudyRuetigger]

RR how about some input on my games from time to time.

Stop over for a visit.

http://forum.sbrforum.com/ncaa-baske...tting-p58.html

I use to only be in players talk..and my thread here is the first that I can remember in NBA...NCAA I can literally say I've never been to so I never knew you had a thread. Will stop by

[harlee71]

My NBA is horrible. I gave up. I have been staying out of PT pretty much since CBB season started.

Your St Bon post saved me a bunch of $$ the other night in the Niagra game. Thanks for posting the info!

[rfr3sh]

Good play rudy, I think there is value in this play I might sprinkle some myself

also to add onto the SIA/greek thing, if you see greek has lets say Sanfran +9.5 -115, and sia has Sanfran +10 -105 you can play that aswell because it has a small edge

[maxwell house]

Thansk for the play mate. Just pounded a massive bet on the +6 because I am seriously hungover and in the mood to be wreckless

enjoy the beers bro

[RudyRuetigger]

Thansk for the play mate. Just pounded a massive bet on the +6 because I am seriously hungover and in the mood to be wreckless

enjoy the beers bro

on 8 right now

i dont know, i really think wizards either win or get blown out, so i hope they win so both our bets come through


good to see rfr3sh likes it.

[RudyRuetigger]

ok, the spread has moved almost a full point without the ML moving. At this point Im an "action" size bet on nets ats. i think either nets cover or wizards win

[RudyRuetigger]

WOW!!!!!!!!!!!! Who witnessed that late movement towards the wizards!!

[sharper2]

closed at+ 6.5 -116. now let's hope it translates to a win

[harlee71]

Wiz +225 Come on WIZ! I dont care about the first 5 minutes of a game, because its the last 5 that counts!

[sharper2]

not a great start..lopez is gonna go off on mcghee with no problem, hope arenas has that big game you expect

[k22t]

Refs clearly favoring Nets early on.. Wizards need to pick it up asap!

[sharper2]

well..f\*\*k. nets are shooting a crazy high% and wiz a crazy low % but you know who wants to win more tonight by just watching.

[sharper2]

mcgee is literally the biggest waste of space

[harlee71]

Well, I guess I will say what everyone is thinking. Lets hope the Wiz have a big comeback in them tonight.

[harlee71]

Say it and it shall happen!!! Come on WIZ!

[sharper2]

[harlee71]

2pt game!!! Lets go WIZ!

[rfr3sh]

Rudy how about the nuggets ?

[harlee71]

1pt game 140 to go!

[harlee71]

8pts....Damn