Pstaff's NBA Picks 2010-2011

[pstaff1989]

76'ers +5 -110*

2.2 units


I thought the line would be around +3.5, so I am seeing some good value here. I think Philly can win SU, I look for them to bounce back after a tough ats loss. They are also 2-0 ats vs Atlanta this year, but are 0-2 su. Let's see if they get some revenge tonight

[pstaff1989]

WOW, took a 5 hour nap to wake up and see that the line moved from +5 to +3.5, that's pretty telling


It looks as though Horford will not play this evening (thanks Demens)

[pstaff1989]

76'ers +5 -110*

2.2 units Winner +2 units
I thought the line would be around +3.5, so I am seeing some good value here. I think Philly can win SU, I look for them to bounce back after a tough ats loss. They are also 2-0 ats vs Atlanta this year, but are 0-2 su. Let's see if they get some revenge tonight

A nice winner as the 76'ers are able to get a big victory in Atlanta.



2010-2011 NBA Season Record: 62-45-5 +29.11 units .579%

[smoth]

Great call: my compliments!

[pstaff1989]

Chicago Bulls +1 -110*


1.1 units

[Zuriken]

Any other toughts? Because Bulls killed me twice this week, don't want to hit a third!

[pstaff1989]

I think the Cavs can actually win tonight, but I can't put money on them because they just can't finish at the end of the game. I also think that 76'ers have a shot at beating Orlando tonight, but containing Dwight will be an issue for them. I like Golden State to beat the Nuggets


These would be my plays if I had to pick some, but I am not putting any money on them

Cavs -1
Warriors -2
76'ers +1.5

[pstaff1989]

The Bulls line moved from +2.5 to Pick
The Cavs line moved from +1.5 to -1.5 (-115)
The Warriors line moved from -1 to -2

[pstaff1989]

Chicago Bulls +1 -110*


1.1 units Winner +1 unit

Yet another winner as the Bulls are able to win SU 91-86.


Now on a nice 13-2-1 run



2010-2011 NBA Season Record: 63-45-5 +30.11 units .583%

[pstaff1989]

Lakers +3 -115*

2.3 units


Everyone on here seems to be rolling with the banged up/sick Celtics. I will stick with the Lakers. Ray will break his record and the Lakers will win 101-99 with better inside presence and good perimeter shooting from guys who NEED to step up. Everyone seems to think that the Lakers don't care about the regular season at all, but that simply is not true. If you watch their games you would see that the effort is there, the execution is not. I think a veteran team steps up and plays a good game on national tv.

[pstaff1989]

Celtics are also 3-7 ATS Home vs. the west
Lakers are also 6-2 ATS Road vs. the east


Pinny juicing Lakers +3 at -113, looks like it is going to +2.5 soon

[pstaff1989]

Lakers are now being juiced at +2.5 -113

looks like the line might be headed to +2

[pstaff1989]

Lakers +3 -115*

2.3 units Winner +2 units
Everyone on here seems to be rolling with the banged up/sick Celtics. I will stick with the Lakers. Ray will break his record and the Lakers will win 101-99 with better inside presence and good perimeter shooting from guys who NEED to step up. Everyone seems to think that the Lakers don't care about the regular season at all, but that simply is not true. If you watch their games you would see that the effort is there, the execution is not. I think a veteran team steps up and plays a good game on national tv.

another winner as the Lakers were down 15 in the 2Q and end up covering the spread by 9 points!!

On a really nice run now as I am fortunate to be 14-2-1 in my last 17 plays



2010-2011 NBA Season Record: 64-45-5 +32.11 units .587%

[pstaff1989]

If I have a play tomorrow, I will try to have it up by 12pm EST.


congratulations to anyone who has been tailing, it's been an amazing run since Jan. 1

[pstaff1989]

Really want to take the Clippers tonight, I feel like the cavs might be looking ahead to Washington (as weird as that sounds). I will look into the game a little more

[pstaff1989]

Clippers -4 -115*

3.45 units

[pstaff1989]

Just realized I am on a 7-0 run over the past 10 days or so. hopefully the Clippers keep it going

[Zuriken]

Great job man! tailed on the lakers! You're really confident that the clippers cover the spread? Thanks

[pstaff1989]

Yeah, I think they win by two possessions or more. -4 is as far as I would go, though.

The cavs are also 1-6-1 ATS vs the western conference @ home

[pstaff1989]

Also, despite the fact that the Clippers suck on the road, they are actually much better on the road vs the east. They are a better team, I mean the cavs are one of the worst teams in the history of the NBA. Catching 4 against the Clippers is not enough for an ats win, imo

[pstaff1989]

Clippers -4 -115*

3.45 units Loser -3.45 units

not much to say really, first win in almost 2 months and it comes when I bet against them.


my apologies for the terrible pick. also, anyone thinking about backing the clippers in the future- be advised that the only defense they can play is to foul the shooter and hope he misses the FT's. truly a terrible defensive team



2010-2011 NBA Season Record: 64-46-5 +28.66 units .581%

[pstaff1989]

My dad loves to rub it in my face when I lose these games

"bet on bad sports teams and see how much money you make in the long run", "in a game where there are two shitty teams, you may as well flip a coin. if you win, it means that team was less shitty"

the point I am getting at is that it was a bad call to back a shitty team on the road as -4 favorites. I try to stick with 2-4 point favorites/dogs because I feel those games have the best chance of predictability, whereas a 6-10 point spread is harder to accurately predict.

I will do my best to avoid games with two shitty teams in the future. The Clippers have some good pieces in place, but they need to learn how to play defense on the road. I can see them making the playoffs as early as next season, but right now they are not a consistent team. It will be interesting to see how the team continues to develop. Have a good Friday night, I will be studying the rest of the day hopefully I can get a few beers in me later on

[pstaff1989]

I have an in-play bet on the Jazz @ -9.5 but i'm not sure anyone will be able to get a line like that so I won't make it an official play


I think the Jazz win by 10+

[Zuriken]

I tailed you on the clippers, but no worries, it happens! Let's get them today!

[pstaff1989]

what a bad night. let's get 'em today


looking at okc -4 right now

[pstaff1989]

Oklahoma City Thunder -4 -105*

4.2 units


I am going to roll with the OKC Thunder tonight. They play @ Sacramento, a team who has been playing good ball as of late. I think that OKC bounces back after a tough loss to Memphis, and wins this game with a 105-97 type score. OKC has better scorers, and they have good size defensively which will at least make the Kings try to hit perimeter shots at the end of the game. OKC wins by two possessions or more, IMO


we're talking about a team that should make it to at least the second round of the playoffs. I think they get the job done tonight. The game will be on NBA tv, so I expect good effort from Sacramento. I just don't think it will be enough.

If they trade buckets, OKC will win. if they try to play defensively and win that way, I just don't see them stopping KD, RB, SI, JG, and JH on a consistent basis. The only way the Kings win is if OKC doesn't show up to play, which shouldn't be the case after a tough SU loss

[pstaff1989]

the line is now -4.5 -110


my guess is that it will go to -5 -115 ish by tip off, but we'll see what happens

[pstaff1989]

one thing I forgot to mention

OKC is awesome at getting to the free throw line. If Cousins and Evans can't keep themselves on the court, this could get ugly. I have seen those two take stupid fouls all season long

[docvinny]

gl on your play today im thinking the same thing

[CHAZ]

Goodluck on OKC tonight!!

[pstaff1989]

Thanks guys!

Good luck tonight, everyone!

[pstaff1989]

Kings looking really good early. Hopefully that's just some 1Q energy and it will wear off shortly

[pstaff1989]

I don't like to make excuses, but if this play doesn't cover it is 100% the fact that OKC cannot make their free throws today. I think they are first in the league in free throw %, but are 68% from the line tonight with 9 misses through 3 quarters of play


unacceptable


I think OKC can pull it out still but they really should be running away with the game at this point

[pstaff1989]

Oklahoma City Thunder -4 -105*

4.2 units Loser 4.2 units
I am going to roll with the OKC Thunder tonight. They play @ Sacramento, a team who has been playing good ball as of late. I think that OKC bounces back after a tough loss to Memphis, and wins this game with a 105-97 type score. OKC has better scorers, and they have good size defensively which will at least make the Kings try to hit perimeter shots at the end of the game. OKC wins by two possessions or more, IMO


we're talking about a team that should make it to at least the second round of the playoffs. I think they get the job done tonight. The game will be on NBA tv, so I expect good effort from Sacramento. I just don't think it will be enough.

If they trade buckets, OKC will win. if they try to play defensively and win that way, I just don't see them stopping KD, RB, SI, JG, and JH on a consistent basis. The only way the Kings win is if OKC doesn't show up to play, which shouldn't be the case after a tough SU loss

I have never felt so robbed... I have nothing to say

12-2 Sacramento run to end the game and cover the spread, top it off with KEVIN DURANT missing two free throws to Push.

[pstaff1989]

just a little side note, in my write up I said OKC would win 105-97. if they hit their free throws with the same average they do throughout the regular season, they win 104-97 instead of 99-97. I really feel like I was on the complete right side with this play


I would rather lose 80-110 then win 99-97 and not cover the spread. such a heartbreak, 4+ units on it as well

sorry for going on and on, in case you can't tell I am ******* outraged. my bookie is probably doing back flips knowing he won multiple nba games off me in a row. I hate loosing.

I really like the Heat tomorrow, I think they are favored for a reason