NBA picks

[adam3248]

Chicago Bulls @ Pheonix Suns

The Bulls are 2-4 on the road so far this season, averaging just 94.7 ppg away from home. On the other hand, the Suns are putting up 108.4 ppg at home this year and hold a 3-2 SU record at home.
The Suns are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games vs a team with a losing record. Pheonix are also 12-3 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favourite of 0.5 - 4.5 points. They are also 20-8-1 ATS in their last 29 home games overall.

Pick: CHI Bulls @ PHO Suns -3

thanks and good luck!

[adam3248]

San Antonio Spurs @ Minnesota Timberwolves

Minnesota are 4-11 SU this year. They are 5-11 ATS their last 16 games vs San Antonio. Minnesota are 8-20-1 ATS their last 29 games after allowing 100+ points in their last game. The Timberwolves are also 3-10-1 ATS their last 14 games as home underdogs.

San Antonio are 12-1 SU this year. They are 6-0 ATS their last 6 games overall. They are also 19-7-1 ATS after scoring 100+ points in their last game. The Spurs are 8-0 ATS their last 8 games vs NBA Northwest division teams.

Pick: SA Spurs -7.5 @ MIN T'Wolves

thanks and good luck!

[adam3248]

Detroit Pistons @ Memphis Grizzlies

The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Detroit's last 5 games overall vs Memphis. The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games when playing on the road vs Memphis.

Looking at the last 10 games between these two teams, Detroit have averaged 95.5 ppg and Memphis 87.9 ppg combining for an average total of 183.4 points.

I think there is value with the UNDER here tonight.

Pick: DET Pistons @ MEM Grizzlies UNDER 195.5

[clbonham2]

Good luck wit the picks!

[adam3248]

Dallas Mavericks @ Oklahoma City Thunder

The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Dallas's last 8 games on the road, 6 of the last 9 when playing Oklahoma and 5 of the last 5 when playing on the road vs the Thunder.

In Dallas's last 5 games, neither team in any of these encounters has scored 99+ points. Although the Thunder have been involved in some high scoring games this season, they have come against uptempo opponents and when facing teams that favour a slower, more defensive minded team such as Boston, Milwaukee, we have seen scores of 89-84 and 82-81. I see good value with tonight's game going UNDER the posted total.

Pick: DAL Mavericks @ OKC Thunder UNDER 197

[adam3248]

Lets get back on track with some wins tonight! An unusually large card from me for tonight's games but I'm confident we will return a profit from this one!

Here are my final picks for tonight's games:

DET Pistons +7 @ MEM Grizzlies
CHI Bulls @ PHO Suns -3
SA Spurs -7.5 @ MIN T'Wolves
DET Pistons @ MEM Grizzlies UNDER 195.5
DAL Mavericks @ OKC Thunder UNDER 197
MIL Bucks -1.5 @ CLE Caveliers

good luck all!

[adam3248]

*Adding pick*

Milwaukee Bucks @ Cleveland Caveliers

Looking into this specific situation/trend .. Play on any road team pick'em or favourite of 4.5 points or less coming off a home favourite SU loss, playing on 3+ days of rest vs an apponent with a win percentage below 40% playing in the early stages of a season. This trend is 10-0 SU and ATS since 1990. The road team has won these encounters by an average of 9.2 ppg.

Additionally, the Bucks are 8-1 SU and 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 games as a conference road pick'em or favourite.

Pick: MIL Bucks -1.5 @ CLE Caveliers

[adam3248]

I also have two NHL picks for tonight if anyone is interested:

Columbus Blue Jackets ML -130 @ NY Islanders
Washington Capitals ML -140 @ Carolina Hurricanes

for analysis of these picks, check out my NHL thread.

Good luck tonight! Enjoy!

[orlikowski]

I like the bucks pick, the spurs, and the two unders I am the other way on chicago especially since nash is not at full strength. But bol on your picks

[cario]

I apologise for the last few days guys! Everyone experiences downswings like this at times it's just dealing with them in the right way and finding a quick response I'm feeling good about my selections for tonight and I hope we can get back to winning ways!

Will be posting my plays for tonight shortly with analysis!

LETS GET 'EM TONIGHT!!

Hey man, you don't have apologize!! It wasn't meant like that, was more like "Lets do this, cmon". Sorry, if it came over in the wrong way. After all, I'm European and you have to forgive me some English mistake

I'm in again, lets get some €'s!!

[adam3248]

Don't be mad Cario, I know u didn't mean it like that, just conscious of people jumping on board my picks and having a few bad runs here and there, but thanks for sticking around and staying positive through the tough spells. I appreciate everyones support on here and I hope I can reward you with some winners again in return! hopefully starting tonight!

good luck everyone!

[TheDood]

Damn, I missed it tonight, I hope you guys had a good night, I missed it, let's do another good one tomorrow

Vegas is Busy, Busy...

[adam3248]

This is just getting ridiculous now!!!! the Bucks lead for virtually the whole game and lose by two on the final buzzer!!!!

[TheDood]

This is just getting ridiculous now!!!! the Bucks lead for virtually the whole game and lose by two with 23 seconds left!!!!

I hate that dude, seriously, I do... I hope that's your only lose for today.. I want tomorrow to already come, I can't wait to start betting on tomorrows games with your picks Andrew.

[jose21_us]

fuken amazing i still cant win a game....

[adam3248]

I don't think that will be my only loss tonight. The spurs are doing a great job of getting smashed by the awesome timberwolves

[TheDood]

fuken amazing i still cant win a game....

Dude, It's all because you start tai'n... Just kidding.. remember the day you started to tail Poker, he had like the worst day in history?? And now poor Andrew... hahaha. Just Play'n... We'll pull out of it, hopefully tonight!

[TheDood]

I don't think that will be my only loss tonight. The spurs are doing a great job of getting smashed by the awesome timberwolves

Lame...

I tried to put down on Suns and Utah Jazz cuz I got back to my hotel so late, and my bookie was just error'n out like crazy... I think everyone is on vacation this week, including the players unfortunately. Your suns looks good man, I hope they pull it off. as long as you get over 50% you should be golden, and on your way back from the losing streak.

[adam3248]

Detroit were leading at HT now theyre down by 19 .. good work!

[adam3248]

i hope so .. isn't looking to promising at the minute though .. so frustrating it's unreal!

[adam3248]

guaranteed another losing night already. 0-4 so far. I don't think following my picks is a good idea at the moment

[adam3248]

clean sweep in NHL .. not that that's any consolation lol

[figue]

[jose21_us]

Dude, It's all because you start tai'n... Just kidding.. remember the day you started to tail Poker, he had like the worst day in history?? And now poor Andrew... hahaha. Just Play'n... We'll pull out of it, hopefully tonight!

ya man I am bad luck....

[adam3248]

Great night last night as one of my selections loses on a last second buzzer-beater one in OT and one in double OT

[adam3248]

NBA record now 28-23-2

Overall:

NHL: 4-1
NCAAF: 6-3
NFL: 7-2
NBA 28-23-2

45-32-2

[and24]

don't be downhearted adam, I appreciate you.

[Fresno]

So close to hitting!!!!

With Wins come Losses. I always buy a few points, so faired a little better, but appreciate the capping skills and effort you put into it Adam....... NBA is getting tougher already.....!

[TheDood]

ya man I am bad luck....

You and me both..


Hey Adam, Let's get a winning day today man!! Don't give up, loosing streak is almost done, then it's back to the mak'n money!

[adam3248]

Hey Guys, thanks for the support! Extremely frustrating last few days but hope tonight is the night we get back on track! Sorry i'm later than usual with tonight's picks but will be posting them up shortly..

Good luck all!

[adam3248]

2 NBA picks and 1 NCAAF pick from me for tonight's card:

Washington Wizards +8 @ Atlanta Hawks
Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks UNDER 197
Texas A&M -3 @ Texas (NCAAF)

will post analysis for my selections shortly.. Lets get back to winning ways tonight

[adam3248]

Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks

Atlanta are 2-7 SU & ATS in their last 9 games. Washington have only lost one of their last 9 games by 8 or more points. The Hawks beat the Wizards at home when they played on October 30th but only just with a 99-95 scoreline.

The Wizards will come into this game highly motivated to end their current 10-game losing streak vs the Hawks tonight. Atlanta are 0-8 ATS as a home favourite so far this season and I believe we are getting good value with the Wizards plus the points in this spot.

Pick: WAS Wizards +8 @ ATL Hawks

thanks and good luck!

[adam3248]

Washington Wizards @ Atlanta Hawks

The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Washington's last 25 games on the road, UNDER in 4 of he last 6 vs Atlanta overall and UNDER in 4 of the last 5 games when playing on the road vs the Hawks. The total has also gone UNDER in 4 of Atlanta's last 6 games and 10 of their last 13 at home. I think were getting good value with the UNDER here tonight as I see both teams putting up a good defensive effort.

Pick: WAS Wizards @ ATL Hawks UNDER 197

thanks and good luck!

[adam3248]

Texas A&M @ Texas (NCAAF)

Texas A&M are 8-3 SU so far this year while Texas currently hold a 5-6 SU record so far on the season. Texas A&M are 5-1 ATS this year coming in off a conference game. Texas are just 1-6 ATS so far this year when playing on grass. They are also 1-5 ATS at home on the season so far.
Texas A&M are 7-1 SU when playing on grass this year. They are averaging 32.5ppg overall and 34.7ppg on the road this season. Texas A&M have won 5 consecutive games coming into tonight's matchup and Texas has lost 4 of their last 5 games heading into tonight's game.

PICK: Texas A&M -3 @ Texas

thanks and good luck!

[TheDood]

Great Fading Material Adam! I faded ya, and got some good return... Sorry... I wont fade you tomorrow, just had to try it today. I didn't fade your NCAA pick, because you've been doing really good with those, so it's a 3-0 day today