NBA picks

[adam3248]

Im off to Old Trafford tonight to watch 'the mighty' Man United vs Marseille in the Champions League Soo.. if I havent posted any selections for tonight within the next hour, I won't have any for tonight..


UNITED! UNITED!

[kingjamesyap]

whats your pick for tonight?

[adam3248]

Dallas Mavericks @ Portland TrailBlazers 'UNDER 189.5' (1.5 Units)

I like the 'under' in this game tonight.. If Batum is cleared to play he will also bolster the Portland 'D'. When you look at opponents Dallas have faced that are similar to Portland in terms of their defense and preference to dictate a slower tempo you have to favour the 'under' 189.5 tonight. I also think that Dallas, being involved in some high scoring games lately has influenced the line and books have slightly over-adjusted tonight's posted total. (Dallas have scored 100+ points in 19 of their last 22 games) But when you look at some of the teams they have faced (uptempo teams) such as the Knicks, Wolves, Pacers, Suns, Kings, Rockets, Nuggs.. you can understand why they have topped 100 points on so many occasions recently.

If you look at some of the games where Dallas have failed to score 100+ points..
96-91 vs Lakers (187 total)
92-93 vs Hornets (185 total)
99-96 vs Cleveland (195 total)
87-86 vs Nets (173 total)
77-82 vs Bulls (159 total)
84-81 vs Blazers (165 total)
87-99 vs Bucks (186 total)

Average total across these games = 178.5

I understand this is a small sample size. But generally when Dallas faces a team that plays with similar defensive intensity to Portland's (I believe the Blazers will play BIG defense tonight on their home court after 2 consecutive losses, look to dictate the pace of the game, (relatively slower) and hold the Mavs to under 100 points) the total fails to supass 190.

Portland have also held 6 of their last 8 opponents to under 100 points. (average of 88 points allowed in those 6 games)

Portland have also averaged just 86 points allowed in their last 10 games including opposition such as Miami, Orlando, Houston, Denver, Lakers..

The Blazers have averaged 94ppg on offense their last 10 games overall.

The previous matchup between these two also resulted in a 84-81 dallas win (165 total points) I see value with the 'UNDER' 189.5 here and I believe the score will be roughly 94-89 to Dallas..

Best of luck all!

[adam3248]

Apologies if the write-up doesn't read very well. I have researched the games this morning but had limited time to compile analysis for my selection.

Best of luck to those that follow.

Will hopefully improve on the 11-2 run with another winner tonight

#note: My book just dropped the line to 189 a few mins after I posted. Not a big deal just thought I'd point it out. I believe it may continue to drop and close lower than 189 so i'd advise followers to get on board early with this one.

Good luck!

[kingjamesyap]

so dallas and under is the play

[adam3248]

Im not going to bet Dallas myself.. Portland are a tough team on their home court but if I had to call it I would lean towards Dallas -1. (More confident about the 'under' though)

Good luck with whatever you choose to take

[adam3248]

2nd pick for tonight (NCAAB)

Hofstra +2.5 @ Evansville (1.5 Units)

[adam3248]

My final pick of the night:

NY Knicks -2.5 @ IND Pacers (1.5 Units)

*in-play: currently 41-43 pacers 2Q

[arnau]

Please, no more NY Knicks!! No more!

[arnau]

I know, no more knocks, but today I like NY -1.5

[arnau]

And again Knicks crashed me. DAMN!

[adam3248]

3 picks from me for tonight (2 NBA, 1 NCAAB)

Golden State Warriors @ San Antonio Spurs -11 (2 Units) Winner!
Indiana Pacers -3 @ New Jersey Nets (2 Units) WINNER!

Missouri State @ Miami Florida -4 (2 Units) WINNER!

best of luck all!

[adam3248]

nice 2-0 start to the night. Will hopefully get the 3-0 sweep!

GO SPURS!

[adam3248]

3 plays from me tonight (1 MLB, 1NHL & 2 team NBA parlay)

MLB: (spring training) Tampa Bay Rays @ Boston Red Sox ML [+100] (1 Unit)

NHL: New York Islanders @ Tampa Bay Lightning (race to 3 goals - Tampa Bay) [-130] (1.5 Units)

NBA parlay: Chicago Bulls ML [@ Atlanta Hawks] + [Pheonix Suns @] Los Angeles Lakers ML [+104] (2 Units)

best of luck all!

[smoth]

lucky on parlay (Lakers) but congratulations!

[arnau]

Only 2 games today. Nothing for me

[adam3248]

*in-play bet* (Cricket World Cup)

India TO WIN vs Australia *-138 odds* (6 Units)

Australia scored 260 runs for 6 wickets.

India just about to start batting.

BOL

[adam3248]

After just 2 overs of India's innings the line has already moved to -225. Got a really good line here GO INDIA

[smoth]

I don't understand anything about cricket: good luck

[blinky88]

Good luck everyone tonight

[blinky88]

Good luck everyone tonight

[adam3248]

*in-play bet* (Cricket World Cup) India TO WIN vs Australia *-138 odds* (6 Units) Australia scored 260 runs for 6 wickets. India just about to start batting. BOL

Nice 6 Units winner the other day as India progress through to the World Cup semi-finals with this win over Australia

[adam3248]

*In-Play betting* (NCAAB)

Butler Vs Florida -4 (2.5 Units) currently 15-18

best of luck!

[adam3248]

Nice little 5-0 run for Florida extending their lead to 15-23. I think they will win this one by around 9 points.

GO FLORIDA

[adam3248]

Florida lead for virtually the whole game and blow it in overtime.

[blinky88]

Bol tonight

[adam3248]

1 play for tonight:

Dallas Mavericks @ Los Angeles Clippers (4th Quarter total UNDER 49.5) 2 Units

BOL

[smoth]

Better today. Good luck. Bye

[smoth]

Nothing yesterday... Good luck today!

[smoth]

Waiting for your picks... thank you

[smoth]

I suppose nothing today, bye bye

[adam3248]

I have 4 picks for today.. none are NBA though..

MLB: PIT Pirates @ STL Cardinals ML -139 odds (3 units)
MLB: PIT Pirates @ STL Cardinals (game total OVER 9.0) +100 odds (1 unit)
MLB: DET Tigers @ BAL Orioles (game total OVER 9.5) -125 odds (1.5 units)
NCAAB: Butler Vs Connecticut (game total UNDER 129) -110 odds (1.5 units)

best of luck all!

[smoth]

Good call on Cardinals, 3x!!! TY

[smoth]

good luck on ur pick

[smoth]

No picks today? Lot of games! GL