NBA picks

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  • leafsfan19
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 09-10-10
    • 620

    #981
    love the wings tonight too, great value
    Comment
    • adam3248
      SBR MVP
      • 11-03-10
      • 1271

      #982
      Charlotte Bobcats +9 @ Boston Celtics (NBA) 2 Units

      I think the Celtics are getting too much credit without Garnett in the lineup against a Bobcats team that has really turned things around since Paul Silas took over as coach. The Bobcats just beat the Bulls by five and only loss to the Heat by six just a few games back.

      The Celtics are just 12-23 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons, and are 7-19 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

      Charlotte is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600, and are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
      Comment
      • leafsfan19
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 09-10-10
        • 620

        #983
        you mean 1-2 right?
        Comment
        • adam3248
          SBR MVP
          • 11-03-10
          • 1271

          #984
          Originally posted by leafsfan19
          love the wings tonight too, great value
          Glad were on the same page

          Lets get it!
          Comment
          • adam3248
            SBR MVP
            • 11-03-10
            • 1271

            #985
            Originally posted by leafsfan19
            you mean 1-2 right?
            huh?
            Comment
            • leafsfan19
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 09-10-10
              • 620

              #986
              you wrote 2-1 nigght last night, but i thought it was 1-2?
              Comment
              • adam3248
                SBR MVP
                • 11-03-10
                • 1271

                #987
                Los Angeles Clippers @ Golden State Warriors -3 (NBA) 1.5 Units

                Back on January 9th, these two Western Conference foes met in LA and the Clippers (-4) walked away with an easy 105-91 victory. Since then, Golden State played once against the Lakers and slipped again by five (115-110). Off back-to-back straight up losses and with nearly right back revenge, the Warriors will respond.

                As a home favorite, State has been at its best posting a solid 13-2 SU and 12-3 ATS record in its last 15 tries. In division action, the Warriors have been competitive lately too notching a decent 14-5 ATS mark in their last 19 contests including a nearly perfect 8-1 ATS at home in this role.

                On the visitors side of the court, Los Angeles has struggled as a Pacific Division guest posting a weak 8-36 SU and 15-29 ATS record in its last 44 tries including an nasty 3-17 SU and 4-16 ATS in this role checking in off a straight up win. With those two parameters applied and the Clippers rested, this team trend crashes to a shocking 1-15 SU and ATS!
                Comment
                • adam3248
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-03-10
                  • 1271

                  #988
                  Originally posted by leafsfan19
                  you wrote 2-1 nigght last night, but i thought it was 1-2?
                  Apologies, I'm half asleep tonight.

                  My picks went 1-2 last night. My 4th selection last night (Berdych vs Youzhny) [tennis] was postponed so not sure when that is re-scheduled for..

                  thanks for the correction
                  Comment
                  • adam3248
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-03-10
                    • 1271

                    #989
                    Gael Monfils to win Vs Lleyton Hewitt (Tennis) 1 unit
                    Comment
                    • adam3248
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-03-10
                      • 1271

                      #990
                      David Nalbandian to win Vs David Ferrer (Tennis) 2 Units
                      Comment
                      • adam3248
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-03-10
                        • 1271

                        #991
                        My final card for tonight's games:

                        DET Redwings ML @ COL Blue Jackets (NHL) 1.5 Units (LOSES IN SUDDEN DEATH SHOOTOUT)
                        CHA Bobcats +9 @ BOS Celtics (NBA) 2 Units
                        LA Clippers @ GS Warriors -3 (NBA) 1.5 Units
                        Gael Monfils ML vs Lleyton Hewitt (Tennis) 1.5 Unit
                        David Nalbandian ML vs David Ferrer (Tennis) 2 Units

                        best of luck all! Lets cash this card and get back to profitable ways!
                        Comment
                        • adam3248
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-03-10
                          • 1271

                          #992
                          This is just getting ridiculous.
                          Comment
                          • leafsfan19
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 09-10-10
                            • 620

                            #993
                            why the other tennis play losing???
                            Comment
                            • JMobile
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 08-21-10
                              • 19074

                              #994
                              Good luck today Adam!
                              Comment
                              • portnoy65
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 08-18-10
                                • 435

                                #995
                                Good Luck Adam!!
                                Comment
                                • arnau
                                  SBR High Roller
                                  • 12-07-10
                                  • 132

                                  #996
                                  no bet for me today. GL everybody
                                  Comment
                                  • portnoy65
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 08-18-10
                                    • 435

                                    #997
                                    Lakers-5,Spurs -7.5..I like it
                                    Comment
                                    • adam3248
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-03-10
                                      • 1271

                                      #998
                                      Hey guys. Sorry I haven't posted this weekend, been pretty busy.. I'll be back in action tomorrow. Good luck if any of you have bets going tonight
                                      Comment
                                      • adam3248
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-03-10
                                        • 1271

                                        #999
                                        1 play for tonight: (ncaab)

                                        North Carolina @ Georgia Tech +6 (1.5 units)

                                        Winner!
                                        Comment
                                        • TheDood
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 10-21-10
                                          • 328

                                          #1000
                                          Good Luck Adam
                                          Comment
                                          • adam3248
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-03-10
                                            • 1271

                                            #1001
                                            Originally posted by TheDood
                                            Good Luck Adam
                                            Thanks dood. Good to see you back in action
                                            Comment
                                            • adam3248
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-03-10
                                              • 1271

                                              #1002
                                              Good win last night as Georgia tech win by 20 as 6 point underdogs
                                              Comment
                                              • adam3248
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-03-10
                                                • 1271

                                                #1003
                                                I have 3 picks for tonight's games which I will post in a couple of minutes. Best of luck all!
                                                Comment
                                                • adam3248
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-03-10
                                                  • 1271

                                                  #1004
                                                  Idaho @ Fresno State -4 (ncaab) 1.5 units
                                                  Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 @ Los Angeles Lakers (1.5 units)
                                                  & game total UNDER 204 (1.5 units)

                                                  Let's build on last night's win with another profitable night tonight

                                                  Best of luck all!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • adamo1018
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 01-16-11
                                                    • 451

                                                    #1005
                                                    Im on that thunder pick as well. I grew up in Detroit and I know the wings like the back of my hand. Stay away from them for a minute with all the injuries, but they love winning big at home on Friday nights. I would wait at least a few weeks though, at least until a couple of those key players return from injury. Keep it in mind for the second half.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • adamo1018
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 01-16-11
                                                      • 451

                                                      #1006
                                                      They'll cover if they are +1/2 Dogs at Pittsburgh tomorrow night. Zetterberg shuts down Crosby every time. It's going to be tough without Howard tho, but I feel like McDonald will play solid.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • adam3248
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-03-10
                                                        • 1271

                                                        #1007
                                                        Disappointing 1-2 night last night. Will hopefully respond with some winners tonight
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JMobile
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 08-21-10
                                                          • 19074

                                                          #1008
                                                          Good luck today Adam!
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TheDood
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-21-10
                                                            • 328

                                                            #1009
                                                            Let's take it to the max baby!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • leafsfan19
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-10-10
                                                              • 620

                                                              #1010
                                                              Crosby is out. and the value is in the wings with all of these injuries... with dats and cleary back the ML moves back into heavy juice territory, but the reality is they can still win some games without those guys.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • adam3248
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-03-10
                                                                • 1271

                                                                #1011
                                                                Sorry posting late guys. I Have four plays for tonight (1NBA, 2 NCAAB & 1NHL) which are:

                                                                Charlotte Bobcats +8 @ Chicago Bulls (2 units)
                                                                Nashville Predators @ Pheonix Coyotes ML (NHL) 1.5 Units
                                                                Michigan @ Northwestern -6.5 (NCAAB) 1.5 Units
                                                                *Clemson @ North Carolina -5 (NCAAB) 2 Units

                                                                I will post analysis sections supporting each of my plays in a few minutes..

                                                                Best of luck all!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • adam3248
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-03-10
                                                                  • 1271

                                                                  #1012
                                                                  Charlotte Bobcats +8 @ Chicago Bulls (2 Units)

                                                                  Charlotte takes on the Bulls tonight as both teams come off road games with no rest. These two hooked up just 6 days ago in Charlotte with the Bobcats coming away with a 96-91 win. Tonight the Bulls fit a negative system that is 1-12 ats since 1995.

                                                                  Play against home favorites of 5 or more with no rest if they scored 90 or more points as a dog of 5 or more and are now taking on an opponent that scored 90 or more as a road dog, had 25 or less assists and had 1 or more previous day of rest.

                                                                  If the total in these games is 180 or more our road team has covered 12 of 13 times. The Bulls are just 13-27 ats vs South East Division teams.

                                                                  Carlos Boozer (sprained left ankle) didn't travel with the team to Memphis yesterday, so they are playing this week for the first time all season without Boozer and Joakim Noah.

                                                                  Boozer is one of just four players in the NBA averaging a double-double, and will miss all four games this week because of the ankle's significant swelling. Boozer said, "It's a bad one. It's pretty swollen." Charlotte has been a cover-machine since new coach Paul Silas, even on the road, covering at Minnesota and Boston.

                                                                  Look for Charlotte to cover the spread tonight
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • adam3248
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-03-10
                                                                    • 1271

                                                                    #1013
                                                                    Nashville Predators @ Pheonix Coyotes 'MoneyLine' (NHL) 1.5 Units

                                                                    May seem like the analysis is over-crowded with stats but there are many different factors supporting Pheonix tonight..

                                                                    Nashville is 1-8 this year after a loss by 2 goals or more in their previous game. Phoenix is 4-1 SU and ATS at home vs Nashville the past 3 years. Predators are 6-20 in their last 26 games following a loss of 3 or more goals. Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. a team with a winning record.

                                                                    Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 games playing on 0 days rest. Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 in the third game of a 3-in-4 situation. Coyotes are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. Western Conference. Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 5 goals or more in their previous game. Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5 overall. Coyotes are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

                                                                    Coyotes are 26-8 in their last 34 games as a favorite of -110 to -150. Coyotes are 5-2 in their last 7 vs. Central. Coyotes are 10-4 in their last 14 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Coyotes are 20-8 in their last 28 games as a home favorite of -110 to -150.

                                                                    Coyotes are 32-15 in their last 47 games as a favorite. Favorite is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings. Home team is 21-7-1 in the last 29 meetings. Predators are 2-8 in the last 10 meetings in Phoenix.

                                                                    Look for Pheonix to pick up the 'W' on home ice tonight.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • adam3248
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-03-10
                                                                      • 1271

                                                                      #1014
                                                                      Michigan Wolverines @ Northwestern Wildcats -6.5 (NCAAB) 1.5 Units

                                                                      Michigan is 11-5 straight up this year. The Wolverines are 6-16 ATS in road games after allowing 80 or more points in their last game. Michigan is 19-34 ATS after a loss where they scored less than 70 points.

                                                                      Northwestern is 11-5 straight up this year. The Wildcats are 10-2 ATS their last 12 home games and they 9-3 ATS following a straight up. The Wildcats are 18-8-1 ATS their last 27 games vs. a team with a winning record.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • adam3248
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 11-03-10
                                                                        • 1271

                                                                        #1015
                                                                        Clemson Tigers @ North Carolina Tar Heels -5 (NCAAB) 2 Units

                                                                        Clemson has won eight straight games but it hits the road for the first time since before Christmas as it has played five straight games on its home floor. The Tigers are 1-2 on the road this season with the only victory coming at Charleston and the losses coming against major conference teams South Carolina and fellow ACC team Florida St. The other bit of bad news for Clemson is the fact that it has not played since January 12th and that puts a major hurting on the momentum built from the winning streak.

                                                                        North Carolina is coming off an embarrassing loss on Sunday at Georgia Tech by 20 points. That snapped a five-game winning streak and it should provide motivation for a bounceback. The turnaround is a quick one as well and that will help more than hurt as the players want to get that game out of their minds right away. Also, after Tuesday’s game, North Carolina will have eight days off before playing at Miami next Wednesday so it needs to enter the break on a high. The other motivating factor for the Tar Heels is revenge. They were beaten badly last season in Clemson by 19 points but playing in Chapel Hill will turn that around.

                                                                        The Tar Heels won the last meeting at home by 24 points two years ago to improve to 54-0 at home over Clemson all-time, extending the longest win streak in NCAA history by one team over another at home. Incredibly, the North Carolina-Clemson game in Chapel Hill has been decided by single digits just twice in the past 28 years.

                                                                        Play on home favorites or pickems that are coming off a conference loss as a favorite going up against an opponent that is coming off a conference win by 20 points or more. This situation is 38-10 ATS (79.2 percent) over the last five seasons.

                                                                        Clemson meanwhile is just 2-14 ATS in its last 16 road games against teams with a winning record and 1-8 ATS in its last nine ACC roadies. The Tar Heels meanwhile are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games off a loss as a road favorite.

                                                                        Look for North Carolina to cover the -5 spread on their home court tonight
                                                                        Comment
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