Sawyer's NBA Totals Thread 2010-2011 Season

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  • SolidDala
    SBR MVP
    • 12-14-09
    • 1696

    #1611
    Will wait with my bet, doesn't get much more public then this so at 184.5 I except additional 1-2 points
    Comment
    • sapidoc
      SBR MVP
      • 03-25-10
      • 1273

      #1612
      Originally posted by SolidDala
      Will wait with my bet, doesn't get much more public then this so at 184.5 I except additional 1-2 points
      this +1.

      Sawyer, I know you don't believe in line movement with your system and I totally buy into that. If it works regardless of line movement then so be it.

      But don't you think we have some edge on determining which way a line will move? (just looking at the different consensus sites?) If your system gives you a public line then we need to jump on it soon, if it gives you a public fade then we should wait.

      I'm not sure if we are able to determine the line movement with any reasonable accuracy yet, but using the numbers right now it looks as though the line should creep higher today, making our under bet a little better later in the day.

      Regardless if any system uses line movement; we should always be trying to get a better number on our over/unders.
      Comment
      • cala56
        SBR MVP
        • 02-25-10
        • 4231

        #1613
        Nice conclusion i will bet later in 186.5
        Comment
        • Duby
          SBR MVP
          • 01-26-09
          • 3608

          #1614
          Bouceback day....GL Sawyer!
          Comment
          • JR007
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 02-21-10
            • 5279

            #1615
            will win tonight
            Comment
            • JR007
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-21-10
              • 5279

              #1616
              will win tonight
              Comment
              • Sawyer
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 06-01-09
                • 7713

                #1617
                Well, I'm posting my pick early. It's up to you to pick it asap or later. If you think line will drift, then pick it later. If you think line will move down, pick it early.

                Good luck!
                Comment
                • Hollowbody
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 12-08-09
                  • 235

                  #1618
                  Thanks Sawyer.
                  Comment
                  • cala56
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-25-10
                    • 4231

                    #1619
                    Dont care when pick. You are the bomb.
                    Comment
                    • Sawyer
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-01-09
                      • 7713

                      #1620
                      Don't forget to visit my NFL Totals Thread too, LoL.
                      Comment
                      • dextermasuka
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 11-03-10
                        • 517

                        #1621
                        Originally posted by taraftar
                        Takma kafana Sawi...
                        Senin sikin sağolsun...


                        GL...
                        nice one....
                        Comment
                        • Mitch Buchannon
                          SBR Hustler
                          • 08-31-10
                          • 51

                          #1622
                          Originally posted by madmiek
                          Man oh man! I had hesitated to follow you b4 sawyer, but after watching all your success i couldn't help it and i played the games you posted today. 0-3. I am not panicking, i will keep following you till the end because you have to be realistic and know that you cant win everyday.Just too bad it was today. So keep ur head up and keep doing what ur doing. GL rest of the season.
                          just flat bet and refrain from making negative posts in the future (i consider consolation negativity!)

                          you'll be glad you followed my advice at the end of the season

                          Comment
                          • MrSink
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 12-30-08
                            • 8087

                            #1623
                            Girls absolutely needed when it's time to post plays.
                            Good luck today!
                            Comment
                            • freddues
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 02-29-08
                              • 591

                              #1624
                              If you believe tonight Boston game stays UNDER such a low total how can you not believe that Boston will cover -7. How can the spread be large with such a low total?

                              Probability is high that Boston covers this number---3-1 ATS on the road.

                              GLA
                              Comment
                              • sapidoc
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-25-10
                                • 1273

                                #1625
                                Originally posted by freddues
                                If you believe tonight Boston game stays UNDER such a low total how can you not believe that Boston will cover -7. How can the spread be large with such a low total? Probability is high that Boston covers this number---3-1 ATS on the road. GLA
                                Probability that I flip a coin 4 times and get heads 3 times and tails 1 time?

                                Assuming ATS is just a coinflip prop then 25% of the time 3-1 is achieved by random chance alone.

                                I don't think 3-1 is statistically significant. If one game went the other way your stat becomes is 2-2 ATS on the road.
                                Comment
                                • Sawyer
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 06-01-09
                                  • 7713

                                  #1626
                                  Really liked Celtics +7 in this spot btw.

                                  But you know I don't pick side bets, LoL.

                                  GSW-CHI Line is announced. No Play.

                                  GL Everybody!
                                  Comment
                                  • nastradamus
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-03-09
                                    • 632

                                    #1627
                                    good luck Sawyer! What do you think about Celtcis-Heat 1Q under 47.5?
                                    Comment
                                    • turkstock
                                      SBR Sharp
                                      • 08-17-08
                                      • 352

                                      #1628
                                      good luck to all - lets be positive!!
                                      Comment
                                      • WhyWhat55
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 10-23-10
                                        • 202

                                        #1629
                                        Is there any way to subscribe to this thread? Really would enjoy following you on this.

                                        I'm a heat fan (from the mid 90's with pj brown, zo, hardaway, voshon leonard, majerle etc.) so this season my picks have basically been lakers and heat parlayed as often as possible.. (screw you utah) Think I'm sitting out everything except the Heat-Celts under.
                                        Comment
                                        • schenker88
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-13-10
                                          • 1877

                                          #1630
                                          sorry for this dummy question but:
                                          "Sfox NBA 2010 Jan-July Record: 133-83, %61.5"
                                          what means sfox here? is there an other 3rd american basketball outside of NBA and NCAAB?
                                          Comment
                                          • Sawyer
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 06-01-09
                                            • 7713

                                            #1631
                                            Originally posted by nastradamus
                                            good luck Sawyer! What do you think about Celtcis-Heat 1Q under 47.5?
                                            Really liked 1st Quarter Under & 3rd Quarter Under for this game. These are my leans for today..
                                            Comment
                                            • Sawyer
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 06-01-09
                                              • 7713

                                              #1632
                                              Originally posted by schenker88
                                              sorry for this dummy question but:
                                              "Sfox NBA 2010 Jan-July Record: 133-83, %61.5"
                                              what means sfox here? is there an other 3rd american basketball outside of NBA and NCAAB?
                                              Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.
                                              Comment
                                              • Soderman
                                                SBR Rookie
                                                • 09-29-10
                                                • 33

                                                #1633
                                                Schenker88, no that's a shortening of statfox.com another handicapping site
                                                Comment
                                                • sentetiyen
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 03-07-09
                                                  • 362

                                                  #1634
                                                  Good Luck Doctor !!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • flop
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 03-29-10
                                                    • 81

                                                    #1635
                                                    Sawyer im definately trailing you tonight but because of shaqs and jermaines absence dont you think there will be alot of inside game and the score will be run up?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • PortsDave
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 06-13-09
                                                      • 447

                                                      #1636
                                                      Best of luck tonight gents
                                                      Comment
                                                      • swiss88
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 02-07-10
                                                        • 906

                                                        #1637
                                                        On the under with you, best of luck
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Jordan23
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 04-26-10
                                                          • 1227

                                                          #1638
                                                          Best of luck everyone.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • KDubTheTruth
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 11-03-10
                                                            • 30

                                                            #1639
                                                            Good luck tonight Sawyer... I got no doubt you will bounce back from last night!
                                                            Comment
                                                            • FreddDS
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 09-29-10
                                                              • 656

                                                              #1640
                                                              Tailing you on the under tonight! Let's get it!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • schenker88
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-13-10
                                                                • 1877

                                                                #1641
                                                                Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                                Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.
                                                                Originally posted by Sawyer
                                                                Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.

                                                                thx
                                                                Originally posted by Soderman
                                                                Schenker88, no that's a shortening of statfox.com another handicapping site
                                                                thx

                                                                and which site is better? i also can get points on statfox and purchase sportsbook free plays there?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Moneyclip
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-19-10
                                                                  • 1368

                                                                  #1642
                                                                  Total is up to 186. I hope we are the 80% tonight and not the 20% like last night.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • lukemiller20
                                                                    SBR Rookie
                                                                    • 09-19-10
                                                                    • 19

                                                                    #1643
                                                                    best of luck
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • adam3401
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 05-03-10
                                                                      • 210

                                                                      #1644
                                                                      I got 188.5 lol
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Dark Horse
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 12-14-05
                                                                        • 13764

                                                                        #1645
                                                                        Careful; market rejected the under (opener).
                                                                        Comment
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