Will wait with my bet, doesn't get much more public then this so at 184.5 I except additional 1-2 points
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#1612
Originally posted by SolidDala
Will wait with my bet, doesn't get much more public then this so at 184.5 I except additional 1-2 points
this +1.
Sawyer, I know you don't believe in line movement with your system and I totally buy into that. If it works regardless of line movement then so be it.
But don't you think we have some edge on determining which way a line will move? (just looking at the different consensus sites?) If your system gives you a public line then we need to jump on it soon, if it gives you a public fade then we should wait.
I'm not sure if we are able to determine the line movement with any reasonable accuracy yet, but using the numbers right now it looks as though the line should creep higher today, making our under bet a little better later in the day.
Regardless if any system uses line movement; we should always be trying to get a better number on our over/unders.
Comment
cala56
SBR MVP
02-25-10
4231
#1613
Nice conclusion i will bet later in 186.5
Comment
Duby
SBR MVP
01-26-09
3608
#1614
Bouceback day....GL Sawyer!
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#1615
will win tonight
Comment
JR007
SBR Hall of Famer
02-21-10
5279
#1616
will win tonight
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7713
#1617
Well, I'm posting my pick early. It's up to you to pick it asap or later. If you think line will drift, then pick it later. If you think line will move down, pick it early.
Good luck!
Comment
Hollowbody
SBR High Roller
12-08-09
235
#1618
Thanks Sawyer.
Comment
cala56
SBR MVP
02-25-10
4231
#1619
Dont care when pick. You are the bomb.
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7713
#1620
Don't forget to visit my NFL Totals Thread too, LoL.
Comment
dextermasuka
SBR Wise Guy
11-03-10
517
#1621
Originally posted by taraftar
Takma kafana Sawi...
Senin sikin sağolsun...
GL...
nice one....
Comment
Mitch Buchannon
SBR Hustler
08-31-10
51
#1622
Originally posted by madmiek
Man oh man! I had hesitated to follow you b4 sawyer, but after watching all your success i couldn't help it and i played the games you posted today. 0-3. I am not panicking, i will keep following you till the end because you have to be realistic and know that you cant win everyday.Just too bad it was today. So keep ur head up and keep doing what ur doing. GL rest of the season.
just flat bet and refrain from making negative posts in the future (i consider consolation negativity!)
you'll be glad you followed my advice at the end of the season
Comment
MrSink
SBR Hall of Famer
12-30-08
8087
#1623
Girls absolutely needed when it's time to post plays.
Good luck today!
Comment
freddues
SBR Wise Guy
02-29-08
591
#1624
If you believe tonight Boston game stays UNDER such a low total how can you not believe that Boston will cover -7. How can the spread be large with such a low total?
Probability is high that Boston covers this number---3-1 ATS on the road.
GLA
Comment
sapidoc
SBR MVP
03-25-10
1273
#1625
Originally posted by freddues
If you believe tonight Boston game stays UNDER such a low total how can you not believe that Boston will cover -7. How can the spread be large with such a low total? Probability is high that Boston covers this number---3-1 ATS on the road. GLA
Probability that I flip a coin 4 times and get heads 3 times and tails 1 time?
Assuming ATS is just a coinflip prop then 25% of the time 3-1 is achieved by random chance alone.
I don't think 3-1 is statistically significant. If one game went the other way your stat becomes is 2-2 ATS on the road.
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7713
#1626
Really liked Celtics +7 in this spot btw.
But you know I don't pick side bets, LoL.
GSW-CHI Line is announced. No Play.
GL Everybody!
Comment
nastradamus
SBR Wise Guy
11-03-09
632
#1627
good luck Sawyer! What do you think about Celtcis-Heat 1Q under 47.5?
Comment
turkstock
SBR Sharp
08-17-08
352
#1628
good luck to all - lets be positive!!
Comment
WhyWhat55
SBR High Roller
10-23-10
202
#1629
Is there any way to subscribe to this thread? Really would enjoy following you on this.
I'm a heat fan (from the mid 90's with pj brown, zo, hardaway, voshon leonard, majerle etc.) so this season my picks have basically been lakers and heat parlayed as often as possible.. (screw you utah) Think I'm sitting out everything except the Heat-Celts under.
Comment
schenker88
SBR MVP
01-13-10
1877
#1630
sorry for this dummy question but:
"Sfox NBA 2010 Jan-July Record: 133-83, %61.5"
what means sfox here? is there an other 3rd american basketball outside of NBA and NCAAB?
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7713
#1631
Originally posted by nastradamus
good luck Sawyer! What do you think about Celtcis-Heat 1Q under 47.5?
Really liked 1st Quarter Under & 3rd Quarter Under for this game. These are my leans for today..
Comment
Sawyer
SBR Hall of Famer
06-01-09
7713
#1632
Originally posted by schenker88
sorry for this dummy question but:
"Sfox NBA 2010 Jan-July Record: 133-83, %61.5"
what means sfox here? is there an other 3rd american basketball outside of NBA and NCAAB?
Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.
Comment
Soderman
SBR Rookie
09-29-10
33
#1633
Schenker88, no that's a shortening of statfox.com another handicapping site
Comment
sentetiyen
SBR Sharp
03-07-09
362
#1634
Good Luck Doctor !!
Comment
flop
SBR Hustler
03-29-10
81
#1635
Sawyer im definately trailing you tonight but because of shaqs and jermaines absence dont you think there will be alot of inside game and the score will be run up?
Comment
PortsDave
SBR Sharp
06-13-09
447
#1636
Best of luck tonight gents
Comment
swiss88
SBR Wise Guy
02-07-10
906
#1637
On the under with you, best of luck
Comment
Jordan23
SBR MVP
04-26-10
1227
#1638
Best of luck everyone.
Comment
KDubTheTruth
SBR Rookie
11-03-10
30
#1639
Good luck tonight Sawyer... I got no doubt you will bounce back from last night!
Comment
FreddDS
SBR Wise Guy
09-29-10
656
#1640
Tailing you on the under tonight! Let's get it!
Comment
schenker88
SBR MVP
01-13-10
1877
#1641
Originally posted by Sawyer
Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.
Originally posted by Sawyer
Plays I posted in Statfox forum. First, I started posting there. Then started to post in SBR too.
thx
Originally posted by Soderman
Schenker88, no that's a shortening of statfox.com another handicapping site
thx
and which site is better? i also can get points on statfox and purchase sportsbook free plays there?
Comment
Moneyclip
SBR MVP
02-19-10
1368
#1642
Total is up to 186. I hope we are the 80% tonight and not the 20% like last night.