nba season picks

[BigMama]

great day for all

[BL]

well see how the line moves, will book it when first nba games started. still have to look at some things in that matchup first. won't be more than 1x play anyways.

[Vreston]

Take the Nuggets to the bank. Don't sweat it. Just play it and go to sleep. Wake up to the score. The best way to do it. No stress.

[Love The Action]

Great win with Phoenix over last night. That play at least got me even from that horrible beat on the okc under.

I'm with you on the Denver play for 5 units right now and may up it later today. Love this play for all the reasons you mentioned, plus Sac is coming into the thin air and the initial line move went from 11.5 to 12.

I haven't even looked at any totals yet, so will probably have a bunch of more plays, but this will be my largest play today.

Everything points Denver here so let's cash! Good luck!

[BigOrangeBrother]

Great calls on those NBA totals last night. You are absolutely slaying totals right now.....keep up the good work!!

[Soon2BRich]

10 units is alot so ill play 4 units just in case. lets get this

[rafa martin]

You're being followed by quite a few guys in a Spanish blog and they're all fretting thinking about that stake 10

what spanish blog, do you talk about?

[agrippa]

what spanish blog, do you talk about?

apuestablog.com

[rafa martin]

gracias,,, tu eres mi compatriota?,, con ese nombre y esa old fashion photo,,, no pareces español,,,, tener cuidado con los spreads tan altos,,, no es dificil que el underdog acabe dentro del spread,,,, yo me siento mas seguro con los totals cuando me juego todo mi bankroll o apuestas fuertes.... lo hago de vez en cuando cuando me harto de perder.. sobre todo en college hoops.. un abrazo

[BL]

rafa sometimes there's huge value in big spreads like today. usually I stay away from spreads that big but I couldn't pass on dropping a bomb on the Nuggets today

This season as a >10 point fav Denver won the 1H by an average of 14,3 points and the second half by 1,5 points. Those numbers include the time before the trade when they played worse in those spots.

As a >10 point dog Sacramento lost the 1H by an average of 7,1 points and the 2H by 7,8 points on average!

As you can see there's a lot of value even on Denver 2H if they are up big at halftime. This is what makes the play golden. Add the situational edge for the Nuggets and you see why I pounded this play.

[hogfan]

Denver covering will be a great play. I think the public may move the line down a little this afternoon considering the way Sac has played lately.

[agrippa]

gracias,,, tu eres mi compatriota?,, con ese nombre y esa old fashion photo,,, no pareces español,,,, tener cuidado con los spreads tan altos,,, no es dificil que el underdog acabe dentro del spread,,,, yo me siento mas seguro con los totals cuando me juego todo mi bankroll o apuestas fuertes.... lo hago de vez en cuando cuando me harto de perder.. sobre todo en college hoops.. un abrazo

Sí soy español Rafa y me da igual que sean totals o sides, yo sigo a BL y ya está... cierto que el backdoor cover es un riesgo pero la apuesta sin riesgo no existe. De todas formas no le meto stake 10 a nada, ni mucho menos todo mi bankroll.

Let's go back to speaking English before we get thrown out of here

[rafa martin]

rafa sometimes there's huge value in big spreads like today. usually I stay away from spreads that big but I couldn't pass on dropping a bomb on the Nuggets today

This season as a >10 point fav Denver won the 1H by an average of 14,3 points and the second half by 1,5 points. Those numbers include the time before the trade when they played worse in those spots.

As a >10 point dog Sacramento lost the 1H by an average of 7,1 points and the 2H by 7,8 points on average!

As you can see there's a lot of value even on Denver 2H if they are up big at halftime. This is what makes the play golden. Add the situational edge for the Nuggets and you see why I pounded this play.

por supuesto bl,,,and you know this game much better than me,,, is just that so high spreads scares me,, because if they are not up over 20 points, in the last quarter,,, most of the times the underdog,,, you know ,,, squeezes into that spread,,,, but this said..... i will be tail your pick,,,just go to bed because the game is too late for europeans to stay up,, and just check the account tomorrow,,,, i hated last night when i place my bet in the over houston,,, and saw you and all the other good guys in the under,,,at least i cash big on the h/t bet... houston and okland in hoops have been cash in the over this year. suerte con tus diez unidades amigo

[rafa martin]

Sí soy español Rafa y me da igual que sean totals o sides, yo sigo a BL y ya está... cierto que el backdoor cover es un riesgo pero la apuesta sin riesgo no existe. De todas formas no le meto stake 10 a nada, ni mucho menos todo mi bankroll.

Let's go back to speaking English before we get thrown out of here

cool,,, another spanierd here is always good,,, yo soy andaluz,,,y tu?
but i have spent 20 years in us,,, playing and betting in all the american sports...i hate college hoops,, but loves the nfl season,, i will be sending you picks once the season started.. last fall was great!!!!, my man even told me to pick the packers to win it all at 13.. do you bet in soccer? regards. rafa

[phenomenon]

will be any european basketball matches ?

[BL]

one Eurocup play today:

Budivelnik-Cajasol OVER 141,5 (1x)

Mission impossible for Budivelnik. They know they have to score 80+ if they want to have a chance. I don't see them advancing to the next round but expect them to fight until the last second. They have to try getting into a run&gun game here against Cajasol. Their defensive style didn't work at all in the previous meeting and they will have learned from that. Their last league play did show what the coach wants: A running offense. Going with the over here for 1x

game starts in 55 min

[phenomenon]

just one bro ? 3 more matches we have

[Pick'nParlays]

bol

[BL]

may have a later play on the game of my hometeam Göttingen. Waiting for some info from italy on that one. enough time left for that one as it is a later game.

[phenomenon]

I have to combıne 3 teams bro,that why because I am hurryıng up
anyway I am stayıng tunned bro
goodluck for us

[Love The Action]

Very nice line movement on denver to -12.5, despite most bets on sac. Looks like we'll beat the closer on this one. Good luck with all your plays today!

[BL]

livescoring for the eurocup pick available at www.eurocupbasketball.com

both teams shooting hot in the first Q. Hoping that they can keep it up

[Dexter]

Denver Nuggets -12 (10x)

Denver is trying to maintain its hold on fifth place in the Western. They are in good shape and well rested for sure after not playing in the last 4 days. Since the trade Nuggets won their eight games at the Pepsi Center by an average of 20.4 points. Shouldn't get any better for the hot Kings team tonight. road/home/road for the Kings after a long roadtrip coming to thin air denver on the second of a back2back. Talk about a bad spot ! They won a run&gun game against the Suns yesterday and should run out of gas tonight. This is my biggest play of the regular season.

lets get it

[willij97]

nice work. im impresses

[BL]

one Eurocup play today:

Budivelnik-Cajasol OVER 141,5 (1x)

Mission impossible for Budivelnik. They know they have to score 80+ if they want to have a chance. I don't see them advancing to the next round but expect them to fight until the last second. They have to try getting into a run&gun game here against Cajasol. Their defensive style didn't work at all in the previous meeting and they will have learned from that. Their last league play did show what the coach wants: A running offense. Going with the over here for 1x

game still in progress but already a winner

[asiangambler]

good luck today bro

[Rolo1984]

damn missed ur europacup play. A good capper is on the over@ benetton-gottingen (around 144) match what do you think BL?

[Vinotinto]

game still in progress but already a winner

Well done... Congrats... Any insight on Rockets @ 76ers game?

[BL]

besides my heavy 10x bet on Denver I just booked:

Rockets +3 (1x)

Orlando -2 (1x) -125 bought hook

Hornets/Blazers UNDER 181,5 (1x)

[BL]

damn missed ur europacup play. A good capper is on the over@ benetton-gottingen (around 144) match what do you think BL?

It will rain freethrows in that one but both teams suck from the line so I won't buy that one. It should be the right call but could be close. I would take Göttingen ML if anything at +320 but leaving it alone.
out now for a beer and the Göttingen match as its my hometeam

[figue]

BL ,no seria mejor denver 1h -7.5 ??

[BL]

BL ,no seria mejor denver 1h -7.5 ??

with Kings on the b2b the play for the fulgame is the smarter one. Thin arir usually doesnt affect teams at the beginning

[Rolo1984]

It will rain freethrows in that one but both teams suck from the line so I won't buy that one. It should be the right call but could be close. I would take Göttingen ML if anything at +320 but leaving it alone.
out now for a beer and the Göttingen match as its my hometeam

I luckily already had the bet so happy it got there. Too bad your team did not really deliver

[Tennispro]

Really like Denver tonight bl just don't like the spread might play the 2nd half depends wich Kings team comes to play.
And i really wanted Rockets at +4 now i am stuck deciding to play or not to play think this one is going to be close or Rockets blow them out...

[BL]

yo TP ! Denver "h should be a solid play regarding to my posted stats... Well I wont watch that game as I am invited to a party. But I'll be happy to cash that 10x ticket