nba season picks

BL · 03-28-11, 12:36 PM

Originally posted by Love The Action

After capping the Mil/Char total, I would be careful about taking the under there. Recent trends, both teams' scoring and the refs all point to the over in this one. Plus, line movement has pointed that way too. I'm probably not going to play that game at all.

the line had to move with that much public money on the over. but for the play nothing really changed. It still needs 180 points for the over to hit. 187 posessions is the number you gotta look at here. with the importance of todays game I like this one to go UNDER

Love The Action · 03-28-11, 12:48 PM

I hear ya...I just think if there were any heavy hitters on the under, the line wouldn't have moved. That game is just a bit scary. I was eyeing this game for an under play just like you, but some recent factors have scared me off that game for now. I'm going to keep my eye on the line and reserve judgment for later. If you end up locking it in, good luck.

Sort of eyeing the SA/Por over. I think the loss of Ginobli might have dropped the line enough to provide some good value. Sort of have a lean to the Bulls over too, but the line just moved and I lost a point of value. A small play on the over in the Boston/Ind game is interesting as well. I will be looking for your decision in that one as well. Not really sure on any play though as I don't really like today's card -- not much value out there on totals today.

Good luck on your final plays.

BL · 03-28-11, 01:14 PM

will most likely end up playing Indiana, Pacers/Cs Over and Bucks Under.

BL · 03-28-11, 01:24 PM

Indiana +2 (3x)
I do like Pacers to get the win against the Celtics here. It's hard to sweep a team that is still fighting for the playoffs and with Boston on the back2back and possible rest of some players I do think Pacers will run this one home

Boston/Indiana OVER 187,5 (2x)
And with the Pacers cover I like the total to fly OVER the line. With an average of combined 192,5 posessions per game this one should go over. The C's are on a 10 game under run and this should end today with the line being inflated of that fact and the public pounding the under. Too much adjustment made here.

Bucks/Bobcats UNDER 179 (3x)
I already posted yesterday that I will play this total. Line moved enough for me now to make it a 3x play. Both teams fighting for a playoff spot in a game that should find the winner by the easy formula "first team to score 80".

BL · 03-28-11, 01:25 PM

wow lol, I just placed my bets and the Bucks total line already dropping again. That's called timing

Love The Action · 03-28-11, 01:26 PM

Yes sir...great RLM on the Bucks under. Great call...hope you cash it!

Full-Grown · 03-28-11, 02:48 PM

Originally posted by BL

Indiana +2 (3x) I do like Pacers to get the win against the Celtics here. It's hard to sweep a team that is still fighting for the playoffs and with Boston on the back2back and possible rest of some players I do think Pacers will run this one home Boston/Indiana OVER 187,5 (2x) And with the Pacers cover I like the total to fly OVER the line. With an average of combined 192,5 posessions per game this one should go over. The C's are on a 10 game under run and this should end today with the line being inflated of that fact and the public pounding the under. Too much adjustment made here. Bucks/Bobcats UNDER 179 (3x) I already posted yesterday that I will play this total. Line moved enough for me now to make it a 3x play. Both teams fighting for a playoff spot in a game that should find the winner by the easy formula "first team to score 80".

I don't understand why you use the playoff under analogy for the Bobcats game but not the Celtics game. Celtics are trying to hold on to the 2 seed so plenty to play for. Their defense has been awesome lately and 8 unders in a row. Don't see why this streak wont continue.

BL · 03-28-11, 03:44 PM

Originally posted by Full-Grown

I don't understand why you use the playoff under analogy for the Bobcats game but not the Celtics game. Celtics are trying to hold on to the 2 seed so plenty to play for. Their defense has been awesome lately and 8 unders in a row. Don't see why this streak wont continue.

it's simply because Bobcats and Bucks are defensive driven teams. Indiana is offensively driven. So we have to look at this one from another angle.

Full-Grown · 03-28-11, 03:50 PM

cool, fair enough

A's Fan · 03-28-11, 03:52 PM

you still like the bulls bl?

BL · 03-28-11, 03:56 PM

yeah I do think they'll cover but this spread is the highest for this matchup so far and I dont really want to mess with it. The first quarter might be a good play but 3,5 points isn't something I want to mess with.

Metanoia · 03-28-11, 04:38 PM

Good Luck BL

CarmeLO15 · 03-28-11, 08:23 PM

Congrats BL !
Looks like another great night ! well done

No coincidences · 03-28-11, 08:24 PM

BL · 03-28-11, 08:27 PM

come on pacers !!

Love The Action · 03-28-11, 08:28 PM

Great night sir, congrats once again. Once I saw your confidence and the RLM on the Milwaukee under, I hit it and cashed.

clamchowder · 03-28-11, 08:29 PM

BL you sick freak.

leafsfan19 · 03-28-11, 08:31 PM

lol ya you sick freak.. great night!!!!

Full-Grown · 03-28-11, 08:33 PM

Good Work BL. Well done.

BL · 03-28-11, 08:37 PM

Originally posted by BL

Indiana +2 (3x)
I do like Pacers to get the win against the Celtics here. It's hard to sweep a team that is still fighting for the playoffs and with Boston on the back2back and possible rest of some players I do think Pacers will run this one home

Boston/Indiana OVER 187,5 (2x)
And with the Pacers cover I like the total to fly OVER the line. With an average of combined 192,5 posessions per game this one should go over. The C's are on a 10 game under run and this should end today with the line being inflated of that fact and the public pounding the under. Too much adjustment made here.

Bucks/Bobcats UNDER 179 (3x)
I already posted yesterday that I will play this total. Line moved enough for me now to make it a 3x play. Both teams fighting for a playoff spot in a game that should find the winner by the easy formula "first team to score 80".

Great night going 3-0 +8 units !

NBA SEASON 178-129 (58%) +59,45 units

BL · 03-28-11, 08:42 PM

thanks guys! what a night to start into the week!

mrlinemaker · 03-28-11, 08:59 PM

dude unreal night. thank you. I appreciate it BL. I follow all of your plays. Stay hot bud!

ClimbSomeRocks · 03-28-11, 10:20 PM

great run, I gotta remember to keep checking in on your thread!

agrippa · 03-28-11, 10:25 PM

Thank you BL.

figue · 03-28-11, 10:50 PM

JamalCrawford · 03-28-11, 11:07 PM

i couldnt take the pacers cuz they made me so angry on saturday night against the pistons. Otherwise i would have followed... GREAT nite man, keep it goin!

bonestock · 03-28-11, 11:12 PM

Great picks.

dume walker · 03-28-11, 11:16 PM

Great calls tonight, BL. Thanks for the winners.

A's Fan · 03-29-11, 12:33 AM

nice work bl

BigBurk · 03-29-11, 01:34 AM

Marvelous night! Glad I followed on all 3

agrippa · 03-29-11, 03:26 AM

Keep them coming BL

Rolo1984 · 03-29-11, 04:00 AM

Text BOOM SWITCH ON to 4444

Producer2627 · 03-29-11, 04:21 AM

aussieH · 03-29-11, 04:47 AM

Great work bl. Much appreciated

leon · 03-29-11, 05:00 AM

Do we have something fot tonight?