Diesel's NBA Public Dog Plays of 52% or Higher + RLM Plays

Miaggi · 10-29-10, 03:23 PM

Hi guys,

NO is the candidate, am I true?
Spread moved -1, above 9k bets placed and NO was taken 39% of whole bets.

The-Diesel · 10-29-10, 04:18 PM

Originally posted by Miaggi

Hi guys,

NO is the candidate, am I true?
Spread moved -1, above 9k bets placed and NO was taken 39% of whole bets.

Thats correct Miaggi

The-Diesel · 10-30-10, 12:52 AM

This would have been the plays tonight.

Public dogs
52% Sacramento +2.5 .......Lost
52% Orlando +4................Lost
54% Denver +2.....................Lost

RLM Plays
56% N.O. -2 .......................Won
44% Memphis +9..............Won

Tracking for now
Betting with public dogs = 5-7
Betting against public dog = 7-5
RLM Plays = 3-1

The-Diesel · 10-31-10, 07:32 PM

Sunday, 10/31/10

No Plays tonight

TakeIt · 11-01-10, 01:44 PM

diesel, i just thought of something. here's my question: are you keeping track of the plays where the public dog coincides with rlm? i think new orleans was one of those. in other words NO was a public dog and an rlm play (it was rlm depending on which site you use).

have there been many of these plays where the two ideas coincide? i wonder how they are doing percentage wise?

docvinny · 11-01-10, 01:48 PM

Hey Take It I looked into that and it looks like every team that was a public dog and had RLM won against the spread

The-Diesel · 11-01-10, 05:10 PM

Originally posted by TakeIt

diesel, i just thought of something. here's my question: are you keeping track of the plays where the public dog coincides with rlm? i think new orleans was one of those. in other words NO was a public dog and an rlm play (it was rlm depending on which site you use).

have there been many of these plays where the two ideas coincide? i wonder how they are doing percentage wise?

Most of the time the RLM will come out on top. For examle there were 3 games in the NFL like that yesterday and all 3 of the RLM won over the dog play. In college I'm going against the public dog and if the RLM matches up consider it a strong play. Still studying the NBA for at least another week. Just don't know if I'm going with the dog or against yet and the RLM play is always worth a shot.

The-Diesel · 11-01-10, 05:28 PM

Maybe a play on Sacramento tonight. Let's wait closer to game time.

The-Diesel · 11-01-10, 07:57 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Maybe a play on Sacramento tonight. Let's wait closer to game time.

No plays tonight

Miaggi · 11-02-10, 07:08 AM

Guys today is one candidate:

MILL - line went from -2 to -3 but 59% public on Portland... have eye on this.. GL

The-Diesel · 11-02-10, 05:31 PM

Tuesday, 11/2/10

Still going through a test run this week guys. Here's the way stands as of now. Will get the true numbers after all the games has started. GL tonight guys.

Public dogs
58% Phill +3
58% Minny +16.5
62% Portland +3

RLM Plays
18% Cleveland +3
38% Milwaukee -3

We have one game bumping heads which usually makes the RLM a stronger play. So Milwaukee -3 is the strongest play on the board (I think).

playr101 · 11-02-10, 05:40 PM

like it..

-playr101

The-Diesel · 11-03-10, 02:39 PM

Tuesday, 11/2/10

What are we going to do with the NBA guys LOL. Everything is running about even. We'll keep tracking for now.

Diesel

Public dogs
58% Phill +3...................Won
58% Minny +16.5............Lost
62% Portland +3.............Won

RLM Plays
18% Cleveland +3...........Lost
38% Milwaukee -3...........Lost

Tracking for now
Betting with public dogs = 7-8
Betting against public dog = 8-7
RLM Plays = 3-3

The-Diesel · 11-03-10, 06:00 PM

Wednesday, 11/3/10

Once again no plays here just tracking for now. Heres the way things look now. I will update the record once all the lines close to get a better feel. GL tonight if your playing.

Public dogs
81% Minny +18
54% N.O. +5.5

RLM plays
19% Orlando -18
16% Sacramento +5

One game bumps head again tonight and that's the Minn/Orl. game. When this happens the RLM usually wins out but it didn't happen last night. Let's see what happens tonight!!

The-Diesel · 11-04-10, 05:38 PM

11/4/10 Play

No plays tonight. GL guys

The-Diesel · 11-05-10, 06:12 PM

OK guys all systems were hitting around 50%. The pros are tough. My plays start tonight. I will be taking the public dogs fades that match up with any kind of RLM plays and bet it that night. Keep in mind the lines may change before gametime.

The matches will be in blue

GL toniht guys!!!!

Public Dog Fades
40% Indiana -2.5
40% Philadelphia -5
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

RLM Games
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

Tonight's Plays 11/5/10
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

playr101 · 11-05-10, 07:11 PM

tailing..

-playr101

LiarGame · 11-05-10, 07:58 PM

I'm going with Denver tonight too. Good luck

Aussiecapper101 · 11-05-10, 08:42 PM

Denver.. lets get it

The-Diesel · 11-06-10, 12:56 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

OK guys all systems were hitting around 50%. The pros are tough. My plays start tonight. I will be taking the public dogs fades that match up with any kind of RLM plays and bet it that night. Keep in mind the lines may change before gametime.

The matches will be in blue

GL toniht guys!!!!

Public Dog Fades
40% Indiana -2.5
40% Philadelphia -5
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

RLM Games
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

Tonight's Plays 11/5/10
40% Boston -8
42% Denver -10.5

Now that's the way you start a season going 0-2. Hell I like a challenge to dig out of the hole right off the bat.

Tonight's Plays 11/5/10
40% Boston -8.............Lost
42% Denver -10.5........Lost

YTD Record
0-2
0%
-2.10 units

Aussiecapper101 · 11-06-10, 04:10 AM

All good diesel, you got this.. tough beat with Denver too if Melo hit that 3 with half minute to go then things might have been different

The-Diesel · 11-06-10, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

All good diesel, you got this.. tough beat with Denver too if Melo hit that 3 with half minute to go then things might have been different

The-Diesel · 11-07-10, 04:54 PM

Sunday, 11/7/10 Plays

I've lost my 1st two games at the end. Let's try some halftime bets tonight. GL on your plays guys. My try more games tonight.

1 unit - 1st half plays
64% Phoenix +3

SwisherSweet420 · 11-07-10, 04:57 PM

i like the play. hopefully the hawks dont come out and blow it up

SwisherSweet420 · 11-07-10, 06:02 PM

any plays for the next game?

The-Diesel · 11-07-10, 06:23 PM

Originally posted by SwisherSweet420

any plays for the next game?

Looking at Boston and Minnesota right now. Still haven't pull the trigger yet.

The-Diesel · 11-07-10, 06:56 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Sunday, 11/7/10 Plays

I've lost my 1st two games at the end. Let's try some halftime bets tonight. GL on your plays guys. My try more games tonight.

1 unit - 1st half plays
64% Phoenix +3

Adding on two more half time plays. One public dog and one RLM play. GL tonight.

1 unit - 1st half plays
64% Phoenix +3...................Won
69% Boston +1
44% Minnesota +5

The-Diesel · 11-07-10, 09:09 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Adding on two more half time plays. One public dog and one RLM play. GL tonight.

1 unit - 1st half plays
64% Phoenix +3...................Won
69% Boston +1
44% Minnesota +5

2-1 on my halftime bets guy. I'll take that.

1 unit - 1st half plays
64% Phoenix +3...................Won
69% Boston +1....................Won
44% Minnesota +5................Lost

YTD Record
2-3
40%
-1.20 units

The-Diesel · 11-08-10, 06:59 PM

Monday, 11/8/10 Plays

Let's see how we do tonight!! GL on your plays guys.

May have more later.

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)

The-Diesel · 11-08-10, 08:03 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Monday, 11/8/10 Plays

Let's see how we do tonight!! GL on your plays guys.

May have more later.

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)

Adding on one game

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9
70% Phoenix +5

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9
30% Memphis -5

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)
1st Half - Memphis -2.5 (-108)
Game - Memphis -5 (-102)

The-Diesel · 11-08-10, 08:28 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Adding on one game

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9
70% Phoenix +5

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9
30% Memphis -5

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)
1st Half - Memphis -2.5 (-108)
Game - Memphis -5 (-102)

Final Card

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9
70% Phoenix +5
66% Boston +3.5

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9
30% Memphis -5

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)
1st Half - Memphis -2.5 (-108)
Game - Memphis -5 (-102)
1st Half - Boston +2 (-115)
Game - Boston +3.5 (-105)

The-Diesel · 11-09-10, 04:22 AM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Final Card

Public Dogs
85% G.S. +1
70% Atlanta +9
70% Phoenix +5
66% Boston +3.5

RLM Games
30% Orlando -9
30% Memphis -5

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105)
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)
1st Half - Memphis -2.5 (-108)
Game - Memphis -5 (-102)
1st Half - Boston +2 (-115)
Game - Boston +3.5 (-105)

Went 5-3 tonight not so bad I don't suppose. Back to whole games tonight.

My plays
1st Half - G.S. +.5 (-105).....................Won
Game - G.S. +1 (-103)..........................Won
1st Half - Orlando -5 (-110)....................Lost
Game - Orlando -9 (+102)......................Lost
1st Half - Memphis -2.5 (-108)................Won
Game - Memphis -5 (-102)......................Won
1st Half - Boston +2 (-115)....................Lost
Game - Boston +3.5 (-105).....................Won

YTD Record
7-6
53%
+0.55 units

The-Diesel · 11-09-10, 07:27 PM

Tuesday, 11/9/10

Let's try and make some cash tonight guys. GL on your plays.

RLM Games
42% Utah +9.5

My Plays
42% Utah +9.5 (-105)

duwork · 11-09-10, 07:34 PM

Not a dog, but looks good: Bucks -5, here's why: Reverse line movement and the public has been pounding NY moneyline. Mil is 7-1 against NY. Bucks take this game easy @ home, and should very well cover the 5.

The-Diesel · 11-09-10, 07:58 PM

Originally posted by The-Diesel

Tuesday, 11/9/10

Let's try and make some cash tonight guys. GL on your plays.

RLM Games
42% Utah +9.5

My Plays
42% Utah +9.5 (-105)

Public Dogs
72% N.Y. +6

RLM Games
42% Utah +9.5

My Plays
Utah +9.5 (-105)
N.Y. +6 (-110)