PICK$ & WINNER$ (last season 204W-172L +61 UNITS)

[joanapoker]

Note for my total play below:

88% public is betting under at the GSW x CHI game!

[joanapoker]

Dumb play number #1 GSW x CHI OVER 215.5 (1x)
Average joe is all over the UNDER at CHICAGO game, and in the last games public is pounding the numbers in the directions the bookies want to set traps but they are still winning (this regarding totals) but I can't follow them...I'm guessing the books will win tonight making the crowd bet the under!

#2 MIA -3.5 1st half (1x)
#3 CHI -3.5 1st half (2x)
#4 BOS x MIA UNDER 94 1st Half (1x)
#5 LAL x DEN UNDER 107.5 1st Half (1x)

[Tommy_de1st]

Didn't know you had BA thread

GL on it

[Dingo-]

Thanks for the picks.

[joanapoker]

Dumb play number #1 GSW x CHI OVER 215.5 (1x) LOSS
Average joe is all over the UNDER at CHICAGO game, and in the last games public is pounding the numbers in the directions the bookies want to set traps but they are still winning (this regarding totals) but I can't follow them...I'm guessing the books will win tonight making the crowd bet the under!

#2 MIA -3.5 1st half (1x) LOSS
#3 CHI -3.5 1st half (2x) WIN
#4 BOS x MIA UNDER 94 1st Half (1x) LOSS
#5 LAL x DEN UNDER 107.5 1st Half (1x) LOSS

Jesuuuuuus, I'm really a fcking moron capping totals! I used to be fairly good....dam it .

1-4 yesterday -2.40 units

[joanapoker]

FRIDAY:

#1 SAC x PHX OVER 216 (3x) my last try for TOTALS but I have to take this bcs I think line will raise
#2 HOU x IND OVER 213.5 (2x)
#3 UTA x ATL UNDER 199.5 (2.5x)

[joanapoker]

#4 TOR x ORL UNDER 202.5 (3x)

[joanapoker]

I'm also gonna play Indiana and Atlanta 1st Half lines when they open!

[joanapoker]

#5 ATL -2 1st Half (1.5x)
#6 DET +1 (2x)

[joanapoker]

#7 PHX -7 @-120 hook buy (3x)
#8 PHX -4 1st Half (2x)

[sunshine]

your so money on the spreads, why are you killing yourself with totals!

[pokerwhiz90]

best of luck; the best plays might be miami, orlando, chicago tho.... respectively against very weak opponents

[joanapoker]

FRIDAY:

#1 SAC x PHX OVER 216 (3x) my last try for TOTALS but I have to take this bcs I think line will raise -- line dropped!! LOSS
#2 HOU x IND OVER 213.5 (2x) LOSS
#3 UTA x ATL UNDER 199.5 (2.5x) WIN

#4 TOR x ORL UNDER 202.5 (3x) LOSS

#5 ATL -2 1st Half (1.5x) WIN
#6 DET +1 (2x) WIN

#7 PHX -7 @-120 hook buy (3x) WIN
#8 PHX -4 1st Half (2x) WIN

FRIDAY RECAP:
5-3 winning night +2.20 units

Totals: 1-3 I'm a moron
Spreads: 4-0 Very cool picks

[joanapoker]

your so money on the spreads, why are you killing yourself with totals!

U are absolutely right sunshine! I was trying a new approach regarding public bets and line movement offshore and casinos but maybe the data is just not big enough and as a result I'm being slaughter!!!

The totals this year are just so dam hard to cap:

examples (closing lines):

NOVEMBER GAME ------- TOTAL SCORED ----- DIFFERENCE

12th) POR @ OKC (194) ------ 218 ------------- +24
12th) UTA @ ATL (200) ------ 176 ------------- -24
12th) SAC @ PHX (215.5)----- 192 ------------- -23.5
11th) BOS @ MIA (186.5)----- 219 ------------- +32.5
10th) HOU @ WAS (209.5)---- 189 ------------- -20.5
10th) MIN @ SAC (214.5)----- 187 ------------- -27.5

this are some few examples that happens every day! I mean, I know that not all games are gonna be close on the line but this much every day with differences over/under 20 points?? Wtf is happening with the lines they put??

[p3re]

Hey joana, just wanted to say Thank you for your bets, and Keep it up!
And i'm so.... let's say unfortunate, that i was working the day you did the perfect 5-0 and could not follow you with your predictions

[joanapoker]

Thx p3re for the kind words!

If it weren't for totals....damn...my bankroll would be passing easily the +25 units!

But the important thing is winning steadily!

[sunshine]

where is joana

[joanapoker]

Not a big fan for tonights games:

#1 MIL -3.5 1st half (1x)
#2 POR x NO UNDER 187 (1x)
#3 MEM +3.5 (1x)

[joanapoker]

Totals still not working!

Grizzs Morons destroy my bet at OT...how can they play like that after such a good finnish in the 4th...JESUS!!!

[senser]

Maybe a dumb question but if you have a point spread of +3 on Mem and they finish 99-99, don't you win the bet than? Because it is 102-99?No?

[sunshine]

Maybe a dumb question but if you have a point spread of +3 on Mem and they finish 99-99, don't you win the bet than? Because it is 102-99?No?

its not a regular period bet like you can place in NHL. spread follows into overtime so grizzlies lost by 6.

Hang in there joana your not alone. i took philly today. felt like they may pull a big upset. instead.... i am upset....

[joanapoker]

Not a big fan for tonights games:

#1 MIL -3.5 1st half (1x) WIN
#2 POR x NO UNDER 187 (1x) LOSS
#3 MEM +3.5 (1x) LOSS

1-2 YESTERDAY losing -1.20 units

83 points in the first half for POR/NO game....then over 50 in each quarter....
MEM always close to BOS in the second half surpassing a 11 point deficit.....and then they start OT at 0-7 lolol fking morons!

I'm thinking in taking a break for the NBA

[joanapoker]

REBOUND TODAY or I'll take a break

#1 NYK -1.5 1st Half (2x)
#2 DET +2.5 1st Half (1.5x)
#3 DET +5 (2x)
#3 HOU team UNDER 106.5 (1.5x)
#4 PHX +5 1st Half (1x)

[joanapoker]

#2 & #3 Already winners +3.50 units

and by the way knicks x rockets game is going guess it will be up to the suns to get a positive night

[sunshine]

nice day joana. i was too busy saving my ass in football today to check your picks but
4-1 nice job!

[joanapoker]

REBOUND TODAY or I'll take a break

#1 NYK -1.5 1st Half (2x) LOSS
#2 DET +2.5 1st Half (1.5x) WIN
#3 DET +5 (2x) WIN
#3 HOU team UNDER 106.5 (1.5x) WIN
#4 PHX +5 1st Half (1x) WIN

I won't have to take a break so soon after all
Nice capping yesterday (also played the UNDER at DET/SAC witch cashed but didn't make it on time to post, so no count to the record!)

4-1 yesterday only with the KNICKS destroying what would had been a perfect night!
+3.80 units added

[joanapoker]

I HATE THE BOARD TODAY...but I'm playing anyway! Picking winners everyday is a hard task, but only betting and learning with mistakes is the only way to evolve

MONDAY BETS:

#1 PHX PK 1st Half (2x)
#2 OKC +3 1st Half (1x)
#3 ORL -4.5 1st Half (2.5x)

[joanapoker]

just made the bet one minute before closing time
score is still 0-0

#4 MIN x CHA UNDER 196 (2.5x)

[joanapoker]

I HATE THE BOARD TODAY...but I'm playing anyway! Picking winners everyday is a hard task, but only betting and learning with mistakes is the only way to evolve

MONDAY BETS:

#1 PHX PK 1st Half (2x) LOSS
#2 OKC +3 1st Half (1x) WIN
#3 ORL -4.5 1st Half (2.5x) WIN

just made the bet one minute before closing time
score is still 0-0

#4 MIN x CHA UNDER 196 (2.5x) LOSS

Damn stupid total!!! JESUS I 100% SUCK CAPPING TOTALS!!!

2-2 yesterday losing -1.35 units

[clbonham2]

Just bet against the total and everyone will win!

[p3re]

The day you stop betting totals will be the day you become a great, great Basketball capper!

[joanapoker]

The day you stop betting totals will be the day you become a great, great Basketball capper!

P3RE,

I don't know about that, but I would be much better this year no doubt!!! I'm freaking capping totals....I feel so stupid!!!

Just to show my numbers since the start of the season:

SPREADS: 34-20-0 ---- THIS IS A VERY GOOD 63% WIN RATE

TOTALS: 12-20-0 ----- SHAME ON ME, SHAME ON ME......37.5% WIN RATE

[joanapoker]

16th NOVEMBER PLAYS:

#1 CHI +1.5 (3x)

will play DEN 1st Half and probably -8.5 for the game

[joanapoker]

#2 TOR +1 (1x) deleted
#2 DEN -4.5 1st half (2x)
#3 CLE -1.5 1st Half (1x)
#4 TOR x WAS OVER 204.5 (2.5x)

[pokerwhiz90]

keep it going!