Paul's hoops thread

[Pauulzcappin]

This is the best look of the picks for tomorrow. Also I like Philly in their home spot. I decided to fade Phoenix rest of their road trip. Gettin' way too close and they are gettin' way too tired. I was a little hesitant with these points too but even without Chandler there is Dirk that can fill in as center. Dallas has the deepest bench in the NBA now and everyone can score points. Like Dallas to dish a good old-fashioned blowout for the welcoming home crowd. What you think about taking Charlotte in L.A. too? Charlotte has given Lakers more trouble over the years winning eight of ten. No Wallace now though. And each of the two games Lakers won were without Wallace. Don't know. I know the revenge game is on the minds of Lakers too. I'd say Dallas is the play...

I don't like to bet teams that lose after having a big winning streak, but Suns might be a good play tomorrow. Milwaukee continues to struggle with injuries and they might have like 6-7 players out tomorrow. Gooden/Redd have been out for like forever, Bogut is definetly out tomorrow as well. Ilyasova and Douglas-Roberts are injured and didn't play Tuesday, both remain questionable. Mbah a Moute has the flu but I think despite being questionable, he should play, he is a tough guy.

Phoenix is simply the best team here who has been playing well and despite losing to the Celts, had a good recovery and almost made the game interesting. Carter and Frye and probably to play and they had yesterday to rest.

Lakers are on a great run ATS since the ASB but it's usually profitable to fade them when they are DD favs. Wouldn't go big though. They have been rolling and Artest is playing well again.

Not sure about Philly. Didn't look them up yet but the Wolves are a horrible road team.

[forzuto13]

I just can't pull the trigger on Phoenix. I lost with that second OT game by half point and decided I'd fade them the rest of the trip. Jumping off the train, so to speak. But you're right, the circumstances, on paper, are ideal for Phoenix. I think their are getting over-valued now a bit.

Good luck on Dallas if you play. Check Philly out. They are one game behind NYC and in the hunt for playoffs now finally going .500. Shitty road team with T-Wolves and Philly are 18-11 ATS at home.

[Pauulzcappin]

Philly is playing well, I concur. Just about time to cash my season win total (over) on them.

[aireent777]

Taking a good hard look at Dallas for tomorrow, revenge spot after losing by 13 on Indianapolis w/ no Nowitzki. I think the line is a bit high though but I fully expect the Mavs to win by DD.

Indiana had a good streak after O'brien got canned but they seemed to come back to reality as a .500 team... 3-6 L9 beating teams like GS, Washington and Detroit w/ only the Wiz being away. They just lost by 20+ to OKC who's a good home team like Dallas.

Tyson Chandler is out of the game, but I think he wont be much of a factor since despite being a poor FT shooter, Haywood is a good defender. Indiana is not a very good jump shooting team ranking 15th on 3pt% for example, so Mavs zone should give them fits.

For me that will be huge defense-wise. I not even gonna take the ML on this one.

[bigjim]

Congrats guys, keep up the good work

[Pauulzcappin]

Kinda like Memphis at -5.5 tonight against New Orleans on Fedex Forum.

To sum up, New ORleans has been struggling big losing 6 of L8 and those two came against Twolves and the Clippers. They are looking even worse after trading Marcus Thornton for Carl Landry. Landry has been playing ok but he's not a scorer like Thornton and that's what the Hornets need. Add that to Paul's problems and Ariza being questionable tonight and I think you have good reasons to fade NO.

Memphis won 7 of last 9 including Denver, San An, Philly and OKC on Oklahoma.

[Pauulzcappin]

Magic -2 -101 2U

Vendetta baby!

[Pauulzcappin]

Memphis -5.5 -108 3.5U

[Pauulzcappin]

Suns -2.5 -111 2U

[lunchbawks]

Suns -2.5 -111 2U

lol, exact same line and unit size for me

[Pauulzcappin]

Meh, looks like a 0-3 night

[lunchbawks]

the bucks are due for their 12 point 3rd quarter. don't give up hope

[Pauulzcappin]

LIVE Heat +15 +102 3U

Are they gonna get embarassed two nights in a row? Don't think so.

[lunchbawks]

that can't be right.

the books are expecting the spurs to build their lead by 15?? wtf

[Pauulzcappin]

Not sure, that's what I got on live

196203554-1
3 7:13pm 4-Mar-11 6:35pm 4-Mar-11 Basketball
Handicap Miami Heat (+15) vs San Antonio Spurs for Game. +102 300.00 306.00

[lunchbawks]

dang. i gotta lurk the live lines more often

[Pauulzcappin]

Denver is a dog @ LA against the Clippers. Me likey.

[Jae iLL]

thinkin the same thing

[Pauulzcappin]

Going to bed, Heat will lose by 20+ so my +15 is toasted

[bigjim]

Miami lost by 30, 30!!! So fuc..... sh....

[Pauulzcappin]

Toronto ML 3.4U to win 3.95U

[Pauulzcappin]

Other lean is the OVER on the game.

[Pauulzcappin]

Over is gonna comfortably hit while Toronto is gonna lose.

[larry040681]

nice call on the over...

[lunchbawks]

Over is gonna comfortably hit while Toronto is gonna lose.

only down 3 points.

[Pauulzcappin]

Fukking Bargnani.

[BigBurk]

I'm still leaning Raptors though.

[lunchbawks]

Clutch 3 from Andrea, YES!

[Pauulzcappin]

Triple overtime. Fukks sakes. Just give the ball do Leandrinho.

[Pauulzcappin]

Clutch 3 from Andrea, YES!

Yep, burned me there. Your team gonna win this or what?

[lunchbawks]

the over cashed about an hour ago...just waiting on toronto

[Pauulzcappin]

Toronto is the worst team in the NBA right now. Jesus christ, just a bunch of garbage foreigns all together in canada. how can it be any worse?

Well, I'm stupid to bet this shit anyway.

[Pauulzcappin]

Like Indiana/Houston OVER for fading purposes.

[JOHON8]

Don't you think Houston may be a bit overrated tonight? They don't have Brooks anymore, I think -6.5 is a lot to lay vs a Pacers team that played descent vs Dallas last night.

[Pauulzcappin]

YEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEEES! LEANDRINHOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO!

Close this out please!