Testing my modification of JM and reverse

[Seth]

Did the line move a shitton for Magic, or did you buy?

I bought 3, which is a requirement for the system 1.

[oh_lol]

oh dur. it even says that a few posts above mine

[Jaylensdaddy410]

Followed last night, and took OKC tonight. I was scared of the Wizards but they won too. Any plays tomorrow?

[Seth]

Tough loss with Orlando, what's with these Utah comebacks....anyways, that'll be a B bet on Atlanta on the 12th. Loss on OKC also, B bet will be on Dallas.

Updated schedule and record:

System 1: (3-1, with 1 pending play) +$175
11/12 (B) Atlanta (no line yet +3 points) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Houston (no line yet +3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Dallas (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200

System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800
11/12 (B) Dallas (no line yet) 462 to win 420

[cmdyrds]

Seth,
Glad to have you back! I just checked thru last yrs records and i have the following:
v1-54-1
v2-26-2
v3- got tired of counting losses, very bad!

Like i said i'm playin both. Portland pushed A bet, lost B bet. I played minnesota and they lost on A. Toronto covered last night.
Current record so far for me is 2-0 with 1 series pending.

chef

these numbers were based on seth's system for version 1 and yours for version 2 correct?

[dvb02]

Tough loss with Orlando, what's with these Utah comebacks....anyways, that'll be a B bet on Atlanta on the 12th. Loss on OKC also, B bet will be on Dallas. Updated schedule and record: System 1: (3-1, with 1 pending play) +$175 11/12 (B) Atlanta (no line yet +3 points) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540 11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200 11/12 (A) Houston (no line yet +3 points) 340 to win 200 11/12 (A) Dallas (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200 System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800 11/12 (B) Dallas (no line yet) 462 to win 420

That is exactly what I have. Friday will have a lot of money on the table!

[Seth]

That is exactly what I have. Friday will have a lot of money on the table!

Yeah we will.. I'm trying to decide whether Dallas should actually be a play on system 1. At some books, OKC covered with the 3 points which would make that an end to the reverse system, at others, it pushed. But, if you use the original line, it lost. I would think that I should judge it off the original line and disregard all line movement, making Dallas an eligible play on Friday. I'd like to hear your thoughts man.

[dvb02]

I actually pushed with Okl City, and was wondering the same thing. I went and looked at my data from last year and I had 3 pushes in the monitoring stage (although all were the road (JM) team). All 3 of those games covered the next game, which would be our A bet (I only played 2 of the 3 since one was Sacramento and I think they were terrible). At this time, I am planning on playing Dallas. I also like the fact that it falls into the B bet of Version 2.

[thebestthereis]

sixers will not cover the next 3 games on the road you can bank on that. add -3 against them and it is a lock. i don't use lock but i did

[cmdyrds]

guys,

just so i know i get it.

system 1

last night we watched philly cover on game 1. we will play against philly (dallas) game 2 on 11/12 buying the 3 points.

system 2

last night we played okc as philly is sub .500 on the road. okc didn't cover/push. so now we play okc on 11/12 (portland)?

thanks.

[Seth]

guys,

just so i know i get it.

system 1

last night we watched philly cover on game 1. we will play against philly (dallas) game 2 on 11/12 buying the 3 points.

system 2

last night we played okc as philly is sub .500 on the road. okc didn't cover/push. so now we play okc on 11/12 (portland)?

thanks.

You've got system 2 a little backwards buddy. Since the OKC didn't cover, you're going to play ATS on the next team Philly plays, which happens to be Dallas. It has nothing to do with OKC from here on out. Just look at one of my last posts, I have the updated plays that I'll be making on the 12th that fall under both systems. Hope that helps.

[Seth]

I actually pushed with Okl City, and was wondering the same thing. I went and looked at my data from last year and I had 3 pushes in the monitoring stage (although all were the road (JM) team). All 3 of those games covered the next game, which would be our A bet (I only played 2 of the 3 since one was Sacramento and I think they were terrible). At this time, I am planning on playing Dallas. I also like the fact that it falls into the B bet of Version 2.

Thanks for the info man, yeah I'll keep that as a play under system 1. I also like the fact that it's a B bet under system 2.

[joanapoker]

Tough loss with Orlando, what's with these Utah comebacks....anyways, that'll be a B bet on Atlanta on the 12th. Loss on OKC also, B bet will be on Dallas.

Updated schedule and record:

System 1: (3-1, with 1 pending play) +$175
11/12 (B) Atlanta (no line yet +3 points) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Houston (no line yet +3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Dallas (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200

System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800
11/12 (B) Dallas (no line yet) 462 to win 420

these records aren't updated right?

System 1: 3-2 -$165
System 2: 4-1 +$580

right?

[cmdyrds]

You've got system 2 a little backwards buddy. Since the OKC didn't cover, you're going to play ATS on the next team Philly plays, which happens to be Dallas. It has nothing to do with OKC from here on out. Just look at one of my last posts, I have the updated plays that I'll be making on the 12th that fall under both systems. Hope that helps.

thanks seth for answering the pm too. so in theory we have two seperate bets going on dallas on 11/12. i guess this could be the case often?

[Seth]

these records aren't updated right?

System 1: 3-2 -$165
System 2: 4-1 +$580

right?

OK, check this out. I guess I didn't state this before. The record isn't single game records, it is for completed series ONLY. Therefore the record states how many 2 game chases have been won and how many have been lost. As you can see, if there is a series currently in progress, i.e. going to a B wager, then I annotate that as a pending play.

[Seth]

thanks seth for answering the pm too. so in theory we have two seperate bets going on dallas on 11/12. i guess this could be the case often?

That's correct, so far I've seen this happen one time, but yes, the probability is that this will happen quite often throughout the season.

[Seth]

Almost all the lines are out, I'll be making my plays shortly..good luck to everyone tomorrow!

[joanapoker]

As always Seth reply to every question posted! Thx Seth!

[Seth]

2 Bets so far placed, I'll update this as the lines come out for the other games.

System 1: (3-1, with 1 pending play) +$175
11/12 (B) Atlanta (-1) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Houston (+7.5) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Dallas (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200

System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800
11/12 (B) Dallas (no line yet) 462 to win 420

[Seth]

As always Seth reply to every question posted! Thx Seth!

No problem at all.

[dvb02]

Today is money day Seth. Let's take the books!

[cmdyrds]

That's correct, so far I've seen this happen one time, but yes, the probability is that this will happen quite often throughout the season.

thanks

As always Seth reply to every question posted! Thx Seth!

he's a standup guy

[joanapoker]

I like the Atlanta play!

I'm playing them for the 1st Half, when the line for that market opens!

GL tonight

[Seth]

Today is money day Seth. Let's take the books!

That it is! Atlanta and Dallas will be big ones...still waiting on these lines to come out.. Good luck to everyone tonight, or tomorrow morning for me lol.

[Seth]

FINAL

System 1: (3-1, with 1 pending play) +$175
11/12 (B) Atlanta (-1) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540
11/12 (A) Detroit (+4) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Houston (+7.5) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Dallas (-6.5) 340 to win 200

System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800
11/12 (B) Dallas (-9.5) 462 to win 420

[joanapoker]

$2400 on the games 2night! GL Seth I hope u cash all those tickets

I like DET to win, so +4 is a bonus

[Seth]

$2400 on the games 2night! GL Seth I hope u cash all those tickets

I like DET to win, so +4 is a bonus

Yeah that'd be nice, but I'll be happy with a positive night no matter how it happens. Detroit is the least of my worries lol, but hope they win as well.

[Seth]

For the record, Utah has officially become my least favorite team in the league, they're just too good in the second half...

System 1: (4-2, with 2 pending plays) -$883
11/12 (B) Atlanta (-1) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540 LOSS
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200
11/12 (A) Houston (+7.5) 340 to win 200 WIN
11/12 (A) Dallas (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200

System 2: (4-0, with 1 pending play) +$800
11/12 (B) Dallas (no line yet) 462 to win 420

[dvb02]

Unbelievable......They came back again and won! That hurt. 2 losses already and I only had 3 all of last year. Hopefully that means we just got them out the way early.

[Seth]

Well, that was a horrible day. Damn half point on the Dallas game...well that's gambling for you. Updated results below:

System 1: (6-2) -$483 -2.415 Units
11/12 (B) Atlanta (-1) **AGAINST UTAH 918 to win 540 LOSS
11/12 (A) Detroit (no line yet + 3 points) 340 to win 200 WIN
11/12 (A) Houston (+7.5) 340 to win 200 WIN
11/12 (A) Dallas (-6.5) 340 to win 200 WIN

System 2: (4-1) +$118 +0.59 units
11/12 (B) Dallas (-9.5) 462 to win 420 LOSS

NET TOTAL FOR BOTH SYSTEMS COMBINED: -1.825 UNITS (-$365) (In other words, crappy for this early in the season)

[Seth]

No plays on the 13th or 14th. There will be 5 series starting between the 15th and 17th. I'm gonna sit back and enjoy some college football and try not to think about this miserable day in the nba haha...be back later.

[jcygts6]

man really tough day, with atlanta blowing the lead and dallas losing by 0.5 point. >_<

[jcygts6]

we'll get it back, dont worry

[joanapoker]

Dallas closed at -9....u were unlucky

[cmdyrds]

seth,

can you confirm if i finally got this correct.

monday
system 1 monitor nj/clippers
system 2 play the clippers no buying points as nj has a sub .500 road record

thanks