John Morrison 2010 NBA

[Wallco99]

That is pretty funny.
This is a scary bet, being that Washington has nothing to play for and Portland is jockeying for playoff positioning.
I say Washington covers one of these games though, because they will be getting a ton of points in each game.

Waiting for the (B).

[hagball52]

Wallco threw you some points. Yeah waiting on WAS is a good idea. They are the worst road team in NBA so if bet goes to [C] and loses you know JM will strike it from the record. We'll all get the "oops" email. I like their chances much better on the next play.

[Wallco99]

Wallco threw you some points. Yeah waiting on WAS is a good idea. They are the worst road team in NBA so if bet goes to [C] and loses you know JM will strike it from the record. We'll all get the "oops" email. I like their chances much better on the next play.

Thank you.

[Full-Grown]

COVER FOUR BACK TEST FOR THIS SEASON 3 wins SU 3 ATS wins *bet to cover one of the next 4 * play ML on favorites *include pushes as wins for favorites *also includes pushes as a win when determining if a team has won 3su and 3ATS *does not count pushes as win with underdogs. East Coat: A 18-13 B 6-7 C 5-2 D 1-1 Record: 30-1 *loss with the nets today 3/21 West Coast A 38-17 B 12-5 C 2-3 D 2-1 Record 55-1 loss with Warriors on 03/01/11 TOTAL RECORD: 85-2

Well Deron Williams was out so maybe it would be smart to stay away like JM says to in his v1, v2, v3 system if the best player is out.

Also, wouldn't Washington be considered a fade 110 play today? Game B?

I'm liking Portland to whoop them tonight I can tell you that.

[SharkMerc]

Damn is every one scarred from last night? Dont see any JM picks being posted today lol

[Wallco99]

Well Deron Williams was out so maybe it would be smart to stay away like JM says to in his v1, v2, v3 system if the best player is out.

Also, wouldn't Washington be considered a fade 110 play today? Game B?

I'm liking Portland to whoop them tonight I can tell you that.

This will probably turn out to be a good system, but if I were you, I would wait until next season to start new system. It is WAAAAAAAY too late in the season, and JM said himself, we need to further backtest this. Just be careful.

[Wallco99]

Damn is every one scarred from last night? Dont see any JM picks being posted today lol

For the (B) (C) bettors, and the "worst team filter" bettors, there are no JM bets tonight, but for everyone else, good luck with Washington!!!

[hagball52]

For the (B) (C) bettors, and the "worst team filter" bettors, there are no JM bets tonight, but for everyone else, good luck with Washington!!!

At this point in the season I'd say it becomes a personal choice also. I didn't feel good about Toronto the other day at OKC and look what they did. The last few weeks of the season are volatile but there is value to be had. Stay the course. GL

[alexknyc]

All is not lost with GS. You can still cash on the C bet with Wallco's chase.

GS hurt... What is Wallco's chase? Neither Google nor the search function here have been very helpful.

[GGPLAYER]

[quote=Wallco99;9301327[B]][/B]Chase 110 - Plays for 3/21/11
2010-11 System to date: 74-0
System Rules can be found in post #5000
System Backtest can be found in post #5000

[krzychu78]

JM's NBA system (injury filter and ML filter are not applied):
03/21/2011 Indiana @ New Jersey- V3, B bet - WIN
03/21/2011 Golden State @ San Antonio- V3, C bet - LOSS

V1record so far (finished series): 55-3
(A): 29-29
(B): 21-8
(C): 5-3
Lost series:
PHO 11/17-20
DET 12/07-10
UTA 01/17-21

V2 record so far (finished series): 29-1
(A): 17-13
(B): 5-8
(C): 7-1
Lost series:
MIN 10/30-11/03

V3 record so far (finished series): 52-3
(A): 29-25-1 (W-L-P)
(B): 19-7-1 (W-L-P)
(C): 5-2-1 (W-L-P)
Lost series:
CLE 12/04-07
TOR 01/29-02/02 (B bet and C bet were pushes according to covers.com)
GS 03/18-21

Next JM's plays:
03/22/2011 Washington @ Portland- V1, A bet*
03/23/2011 New Jersey @ Cleveland- V3, A bet
03/23/2011 San Antonio @ Denver- V3, A bet
03/24/2011 New Orleans @ Utah- V3, A bet
03/26/2011 Dallas @ Utah- V3, A bet
03/27/2011 Houston @ Miami- V1, A bet
03/27/2011 Boston @ Minnesota- V2, A bet
03/27/2011 Portland @ Oklahoma City- V3, A bet
03/28/2011 Milwaukee @ Charlotte- V3, A bet
03/29/2011 Miami @ Cleveland- V3, A bet
03/30/2011 Cleveland @ Charlotte - V3, A bet
03/30/2011 Oklahoma City @ Phoenix- V3, A bet
04/03/2011 Phoenix @ San Antonio- V3, A bet
04/05/2011 Milwaukee @ Orlando- V3, A bet
04/05/2011 LA Clippers @ Memphis- V3, A bet
04/05/2011 Sacramento @ Houston- V3, A bet
04/06/2011 New York @ Philadelphia- V3, A bet
04/08/2011 Chicago @ Cleveland- V3, A bet

* - Washington has the worst road record. I wasn't using that filter in my backtesting but original system says not to play worst team.

[bauerranch]

which system? there are 74 systems in this thread.

LMAO

[imotiv8]

Im usually the first to defend C bets. However tonight I will not play my usual amount. GS is playing back to back and have a history of getting blown out in SA. On the other side SA really doesnt have anything to play for and will hopefully rest and or give limited playing time to some starters. Dont get me wrong, Im still playing them because thats what the system calls for, just not for as much especially since I skipped the B bet yesterday

I think we all need to realize that systems are systems. Even when the system calls for a play it is okay to lay off or lay low. I dont ever get mad at any system when they lose. Its a part of the game. If youre not losing your not winning. Keep up the good work fellas. Lets continue to make money!

[J.M. Disciple]

03/22/11
JM NBA:
Wiz [A] unofficial


Chase 110:
nothing


J.M. Disciples Cover Four
nothing


J.M. Disciples Fade 110 (76-2)
nothing
*Wiz are not a play because they covered on 3/14 as an “A” bet.
AFTER the 14th they did not lose 3 consecutive. You do not count 14th as one of the 3 games.


SBP original:
LAL -6.5 [C]
SBP updated:
nothing


Next JM nhl v1 plays:
(3/22/11) Florida Panthers +1.5@ N.Y. Rangers v1 (A)
(3/22/11) Toronto Maple Leafs +1.5 @ Minnesota v1 (A)


*I am only betting LAL -6.5 [C] vs SBP because they are still fighting against dallas. NHL I have stopped betting because this late in the season teams have stopped playing defense.

[Congruency]

surprised some of you arent putting in washington
i know they suck, i know theyre the worst road team (which shouldnt make them a play)

but you're getting almost 20 points!!! an NBA team should not be laying 20 points to another ever

i may be wrong, GL to those who decide/don't decide to play it

JM system is a brutal rollercoaster hope you guys finish the season strong

[J.M. Disciple]

note if you only bet SBP Original "C bets" risking 5 units on each C bet You would be up more then his whole system. Around 20 units where he is only up 16 units this year.

[J.M. Disciple]

surprised some of you arent putting in washington
i know they suck, i know theyre the worst road team (which shouldnt make them a play)

but you're getting almost 20 points!!! an NBA team should not be laying 20 points to another ever

i may be wrong, GL to those who decide/don't decide to play it

JM system is a brutal rollercoaster hope you guys finish the season strong

Out of 7 games yesterday 4 of them lost by 15pts or more and six of them lost by DOUBLE DIGITS!

tHATS why we are "scared" that and we are suppose to wait for a "B & C " bet anyways.

[Wallco99]

[Wallco99]

Chase 110 - Plays for 3/21/11
2010-11 System to date: 74-0
System Rules can be found in post #5000
System Backtest can be found in post #5000



Thank You very much. I feel your pain, it's not like I type the rules & backtest # at the top of EVERY page EVERY day. Lucky for him you responded, no way I was. I am back on my "no one wants to read" rant again. You are a genuinely kind and patient fellow.

[Wallco99]

Out of 7 games yesterday 4 of them lost by 15pts or more and six of them lost by DOUBLE DIGITS!

tHATS why we are "scared" that and we are suppose to wait for a "B & C " bet anyways.

And two of them were more than 30. I'll wait with you.

[bauerranch]

note if you only bet SBP Original "C bets" risking 5 units on each C bet You would be up more then his whole system. Around 20 units where he is only up 16 units this year.

Thanks I have often wondered that

[jas19illini]

Eager to try these new systems out next season. Starting to turn my focus to baseball as bball seems to be quite chaotic right now with plenty of teams simply giving up.

[J.M. Disciple]

I haven't cashed out my roll yet from betus, but i am kinda curious about baseball since i never really followed a system with baseball. I followed JM system a little bit last year, but didn't manage my money well so i just gave up on it.

I was wondering what you all thought the best systems to follow for this coming up season would be. I need something pretty consistent cause im cashing out 2/3 of my roll.

Anyone try to fade the JM system before for baseball? Cause if its based on a team that got swept the previous year, i would think m/l on the team that swept them should be profitable as well. If they swept them the previous year I would think they should be able to win at least 1 game in their next series as well.

I'll post on the baseball thread as well. I dont even like baseball, but i wouldn't mind building a roll if i only have to invest 30min a day on this forum.

[Brian891]

J.M, check out the g's picks thread in baseball here. its kind of a hybrid of jm and no home sweep chase. He does extremely well every year. Also, i made decent bank with highest fav on 1.5 runline chase and no runs in 1st inning chase for specific teams. Those can both get dicey as i do 5 games. G's is 3 game chase and he has his whole thread posted from last year if u want to backtest. It is a definite winner. 50+ units for season depending on your money management.

[handicapper03]

coolbro thanks for this.

[honeyeater]

3 wins one loss NHL over/under! Det yesterday and MTL, NASH, won and Wash lost today- Still paying and I'm still playing-

[Congruency]

Out of 7 games yesterday 4 of them lost by 15pts or more and six of them lost by DOUBLE DIGITS!

tHATS why we are "scared" that and we are suppose to wait for a "B & C " bet anyways.

you were right, i was wrong

good luck on the rest of the series

[J.M. Disciple]

you were right, i was wrong

good luck on the rest of the series

Wasn't trying to be right or wrong bro.. NO worries. I could of easily just of been wrong and A bet could of covered easily. Just happens they are fighting for play off spots and wiz are out. I'm done with nba for this season after the C bet loss today.

Gotta see how much money i can make off baseball or just focus on poker. Feel like just focusing on poker and save up money over next four months for sports betting when NBA starts again.

If i find a system that doesn't take much time or effort then i will consider doing baseball. Beginning of season usually pretty rough anyways right? so might as well wait a month before i redeposit.

[J.M. Disciple]

I guess I should of kept betting on JM NHL games. they went 2-0 today. Lakers won by 2pts so didn't cover the C bet and glad I didn't bet on washington cause they got murdered.

No more following any basketball games or hockey though rest of the season.

I looked Gs picks and his conservative bankroll management. I am probably just going to see what kind of systems wallco has or event one of my own systems. Shouldn't be too hard.

Wallco please PM me what kind of systems you are working on and what kind of results you are getting so far. Im curious what kind of system I should back test myself or something you already back tested and failed, so i dont waste my time on it.

I know Wilba in the past worked on something about flat betting teams to go under after they hit like 5 straight unders and said it was very profitable and he made some where around 60 units on it or something.

So over / under system instead of run lines could be very profitable as well. I'll look into something like that after I finish back testing NBA. I am just going to back test 3 years for my two systems. I think that should be enough to determine if they are winning systems or not.

ALright Everyone take it easy and ill talk to you all more later in the week.

BOL to everyone still following the systems.

[J.M. Disciple]

...............

[J.M. Disciple]

Alright just finished cashing out from betus.com I had no problem with this transaction. As Stated earlier, by someone else, hopefully I receiving my money in time. They said it takes 2-3 bussiness days for my money to be taking out of my account, then 5-10 bussiness days for money to be received into the bank account. Hopefully all goes well.

Since I do not really take baseball too serious and dont want to spend very much time researching baseball, I left hopefully enough in my account for $5 units lol. Hopefully I can turn my couple hundred into a nice bankroll before basketball starts back up again. I just created a new spread sheet, so going to be very conservative with this money.

Thank You to everyone who participated in this forum for this season and hopefully we can do the same for baseball. Hopefully to turn $250 into roughly $1,000 before basketball starts up again, all with $5 units Should be doable if I get 2-3 systems going same time at 50 units / system.

[GoGooners]

Thank you very much JMD. Hope to see u in the baseball thread too. I know nuts about baseball and like u I am still undecided over the baseball season. Thanks alot to you and wallco and of course to wilba for all the help. This rough first season for me could have been much worse without all your help. My sincere thanks to all of u

[Wallco99]

Chase 110 - Plays for 3/23/11
2010-11 System to date: 74-0
System Rules can be found in post #5000
System Backtest can be found in post #5000



Golden State (+8 ½) @ Houston (C)
Orlando @ New York Knicks (+1 ½) (A)
New Jersey Nets (M/L) @ Cleveland (B) ** Also a JM v3 (A) bet

[dratk00l]

Alright just finished cashing out from betus.com I had no problem with this transaction. As Stated earlier, by someone else, hopefully I receiving my money in time. They said it takes 2-3 bussiness days for my money to be taking out of my account, then 5-10 bussiness days for money to be received into the bank account. Hopefully all goes well.

Since I do not really take baseball too serious and dont want to spend very much time researching baseball, I left hopefully enough in my account for $5 units lol. Hopefully I can turn my couple hundred into a nice bankroll before basketball starts back up again. I just created a new spread sheet, so going to be very conservative with this money.

Don't go too far or be a stranger, JMD! Hope to see you on the MLB thread.

Also, much praise and thanks to everyone for their knowledge and insight on this thread. I am not a baseball fan, but that makes it easier to just wager and not get involved with fave teams, etc... Hope to see you all there as well.

-Alex

[Wallco99]

He'll be back, It's IN HIS BLOOD.